FinalSun, Sep 6, 2026

Stony Brook def. Navy 3–0

Stony Brook won at Navy 3-0 (25-16, 25-20, 25-22) on Sun, Sep 6, 2026. Stony Brook's Ella Sanders led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Sep 6

Set123Sets
STONY2525253
NAVY1620220

Win probability

Navy above 50 · Stony Brook below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.5% STONYrally 133 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Stony Brook — set 3, STONY 23-21 NAVY. Kill by Ella Sanders (set by Rayanne Wheat). NAVY win probability 5% → 2%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STONY 68.7%31.3% NAVY

Stony Brook wins

3-0
22.4%
3-1
26.4%
3-2
20.0%

Navy wins

3-0
6.1%
3-1
11.0%
3-2
14.2%
STONY break %
46.9% vs this opp
NAVY break %
43.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ella SandersKill+2.5%

    Kill by Ella Sanders (set by Rayanne Wheat)

    Set 3 · STONY 23-21 NAVY · STONY 95% → 98%

  2. 02
    Ella SandersKill+2.3%

    Kill by Ella Sanders (set by Zayda Fuertez)

    Set 3 · STONY 24-22 NAVY · STONY 96% → 98%

  3. 03

    Kill by Quinn Anderson (set by Zayda Fuertez)

    Set 3 · STONY 22-21 NAVY · STONY 93% → 95%

  4. 04
    Farrah EikeKill+2.1%

    Kill by Farrah Eike (set by Isa Boyd)

    Set 3 · STONY 20-20 NAVY · NAVY 5% → 7%

  5. 05

    Kill by Ayanna Pierre Louis (set by Taryn Su)

    Set 1 · STONY 4-2 NAVY · STONY 71% → 73%

  6. 06
    Farrah EikeAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Farrah Eike

    Set 1 · STONY 1-0 NAVY · STONY 69% → 71%

  7. 07
    Stony BrookService error+1.9%

    Stony Brook service error

    Set 3 · STONY 21-21 NAVY · NAVY 5% → 7%

  8. 08
    Caroline AdamsAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Caroline Adams

    Set 1 · STONY 5-2 NAVY · STONY 73% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318440.350122111010.520.5
313326.3850002102114
3319.22210000153.56.5
3329.111024200216
3000–2033300003
31513-.30800020031.52.5
3218.12510000010.52.5
3102.5001212500002
3105.200000600001
3001.0005111120001
Team totals4216113.23040912424114875
Navyhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39432.1560015102110
3519.44400010052.57.5
32315-.06700010052.54.5
3000–13211100002
3014-.250000100211
2000–010220001
36420.100001300006
3012-.500900400000
3000–1001040000
2126-.16700000010.51.5
1001.00000000111.51.5
1114.000000100001
1000–012000001
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals241793.0752345399116958

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 STONY · NAVY 7

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 9 STONYNAVY 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 3 STONYNAVY 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 STONYNAVY 7

Bars above the line = Navy leads, below = Stony Brook leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stony Brook

SlotSideout %Break %
1
36%4/11
67%8/12
2
80%4/5
43%3/7
3
40%4/10
69%9/13
4
67%4/6
33%2/6
5
75%3/4
40%2/5
6
100%2/2
71%5/7
All
55%21/38
58%29/50

Navy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%4/12
0%0/2
2
57%4/7
64%7/11
3
31%4/13
20%1/5
4
67%4/6
60%6/10
5
60%3/5
33%2/6
6
29%2/7
25%1/4
All
42%21/50
45%17/38

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#STONY-NAVYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0STONYSTONYAttack errFarrah Eike+2.0
21-1STONYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.7
32-1NAVYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+1.7
42-2STONYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.8
53-2NAVYSTONY×9KillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+1.7
64-2STONYSTONY×9KillAyanna Pierre Louisset Taryn Su+2.0
75-2STONYSTONY×9Attack errCaroline Adams+1.9
86-2STONYSTONY×9BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Quinn Anderson, Ayanna Pierre Louis+1.7
97-2STONYSTONY×9BlockedIzzy Picardblk Quinn Anderson, Ayanna Pierre Louis+1.5
108-2STONYSTONY×9KillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+1.2
119-2STONYSTONY×9AceStony Brookaced Amara Chambers+1.0
1210-2STONYSTONY×9Attack errIzzy Picard+0.8
1311-2STONYSTONY×9KillAaJaylah Zenoset Taryn Su+0.6
1411-3STONYNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+0.4
1511-4NAVYNAVY×3Attack errAaJaylah Zeno+0.6
1611-5NAVYNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+0.8
1712-5NAVYSTONYServe errNavy+0.8
1812-6STONYNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+0.6
1912-7NAVYNAVY×3BlockedQuinn Andersonblk Izzy Picard, Siena Morgan+1.0
2012-8NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Quinn Anderson+1.4
2113-8NAVYSTONYServe errNavy+1.3
2214-8STONYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Zayda Fuertez+1.3
2314-9STONYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Caroline Adams+0.8
2414-10NAVYNAVYBlockedElla Sandersblk Ellen Gundlach, Siena Morgan+1.4
2515-10NAVYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Mercedes Motton+1.3
2616-10STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Amara Chambers+1.3
2716-11STONYNAVYServe errStony Brook+0.8
2817-11NAVYSTONY×4KillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+1.0
2918-11STONYSTONY×4KillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+0.8
3019-11STONYSTONY×4KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+0.5
3120-11STONYSTONY×4KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+0.3
3220-12STONYNAVYServe errStony Brook+0.1
3320-13NAVYNAVYBlockedAaJaylah Zenoblk Ellen Gundlach, Grace Burgoyne+0.2
3421-13NAVYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+0.3
3521-14STONYNAVYAttack errAaJaylah Zeno+0.2
3622-14NAVYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+0.3
3722-15STONYNAVYBlockedAaJaylah Zenoblk Farrah Eike, Grace Burgoyne+0.1
3823-15NAVYSTONYBad setCaroline Adams+0.2
3924-15STONYSTONYKillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+0.1
4024-16STONYNAVYAttack errQuinn Anderson·
4125-16NAVYSTONYServe errNavy·
Set 2
11-0NAVYSTONY×3BlockedCaroline Buffumblk AaJaylah Zeno, Damisi Osibodu+1.4
22-0STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brookaced Amara Chambers+1.6
33-0STONYSTONY×3KillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+1.5
43-1STONYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.2
54-1NAVYSTONY×3KillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+1.3
65-1STONYSTONY×3KillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+1.4
76-1STONYSTONY×3Attack errFarrah Eike+1.2
86-2STONYNAVYServe errStony Brook+0.9
97-2STONY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
108-2STONYSTONY×3Attack errEllen Gundlach+1.0
119-2STONYSTONY×3Attack errEllen Gundlach+0.8
129-3STONYNAVYServe errStony Brook+0.6
139-4NAVYNAVYAttack errMercedes Motton+0.9
1410-4NAVYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Zayda Fuertez+0.9
1510-5STONYNAVYAttack errAyanna Pierre Louis+0.7
1611-5NAVYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+0.9
1712-5STONYSTONYBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Damisi Osibodu, Mercedes Motton+0.8
1812-6STONYNAVYServe errStony Brook+0.5
1912-7NAVYNAVYAttack errElla Sanders+0.9
2013-7NAVYSTONYKillMercedes Mottonset Damisi Osibodu+0.9
2114-7STONYSTONYBlockedSiena Morganblk Damisi Osibodu+0.8
2214-8STONYNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+0.5
2314-9NAVYNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+0.8
2414-10NAVYNAVY×3Bad setTaryn Su+1.1
2515-10NAVYSTONYAttack errCaroline Buffum+1.1
2615-11STONYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+0.9
2716-11NAVYSTONYServe errNavy+1.1
2816-12STONYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+0.9
2917-12NAVYSTONY×3KillAyanna Pierre Louisset Taryn Su+1.1
3018-12STONYSTONY×3Attack errMackenzie Palumbo+1.0
3119-12STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brookaced Amara Chambers+0.7
3219-13STONYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+0.3
3319-14NAVYNAVYKillIzzy Picardset Amara Chambers+0.7
3420-14NAVYSTONYKillRayanne Wheatset Ella Sanders+0.8
3521-14STONYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+0.5
3621-15STONYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+0.2
3722-15NAVYSTONYKillCarey-Jean Blockset Rayanne Wheat+0.4
3822-16STONYNAVYServe errStony Brook+0.2
3923-16NAVYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+0.3
4024-16STONYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+0.1
4124-17STONYNAVY×4Serve errStony Brook·
4224-18NAVYNAVY×4KillMackenzie Palumboset Taryn Su·
4324-19NAVYNAVY×4AceNavyaced Zayda Fuertez+0.1
4424-20NAVYNAVY×4KillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+0.2
4525-20NAVYSTONYBad setCaroline Buffum+0.4
Set 3
11-0STONYSTONY×3BlockedCaroline Buffumblk Damisi Osibodu, AaJaylah Zeno+0.9
22-0STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brookaced Ally Alessio+0.9
33-0STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brookaced Ally Alessio+0.8
43-1STONYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Caroline Adams+0.7
54-1NAVYSTONYServe errNavy+0.7
64-2STONYNAVYServe errStony Brook+0.7
74-3NAVYNAVYBlockedQuinn Andersonblk Siena Morgan, Ellen Gundlach+0.9
85-3NAVYSTONYBlockedFarrah Eikeblk Damisi Osibodu, AaJaylah Zeno+0.8
95-4STONYNAVY×4Bad setZayda Fuertez+0.8
105-5NAVYNAVY×4BlockedAyanna Pierre Louisblk Avery Maddux+1.1
115-6NAVYNAVY×4AceNavyaced Ella Sanders+1.1
125-7NAVYNAVY×4BlockedAaJaylah Zenoblk Avery Maddux, Farrah Eike+1.2
136-7NAVYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+0.9
147-7STONYSTONYKillQuinn Anderson+1.1
157-8STONYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.0
168-8NAVYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Rayanne Wheat+1.0
178-9STONYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+1.0
189-9NAVYSTONY×4KillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+1.0
1910-9STONYSTONY×4KillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat+1.2
2011-9STONYSTONY×4BlockedGrace Burgoyneblk Damisi Osibodu, Ella Sanders+1.2
2112-9STONYSTONY×4KillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+1.1
2212-10STONYNAVYServe errStony Brook+0.8
2313-10NAVYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+0.9
2414-10STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Farrah Eike+0.9
2514-11STONYNAVY×7Serve errStony Brook+0.7
2614-12NAVYNAVY×7AceNavyaced Zayda Fuertez+1.0
2714-13NAVYNAVY×7KillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+1.2
2814-14NAVYNAVY×7BlockedElla Sandersblk Siena Morgan, Ellen Gundlach+1.4
2914-15NAVYNAVY×7KillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+1.6
3014-16NAVYNAVY×7Attack errDamisi Osibodu+1.7
3114-17NAVYNAVY×7BlockedElla Sandersblk Ellen Gundlach, Siena Morgan+1.6
3215-17NAVYSTONY×4KillElla Sandersset Carey-Jean Block+1.1
3316-17STONYSTONY×4Attack errEllen Gundlach+1.6
3417-17STONYSTONY×4KillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+1.7
3518-17STONYSTONY×4AceStony Brook+1.8
3618-18STONYNAVYServe errStony Brook+1.5
3719-18NAVYSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+1.6
3820-18STONYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Zayda Fuertez+1.8
3920-19STONYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.3
4020-20NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.1
4121-20NAVYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+1.9
4221-21STONYNAVYServe errStony Brook+1.9
4322-21NAVYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Zayda Fuertez+2.1
4423-21STONYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+2.5
4523-22STONYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+1.5
4624-22NAVYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Zayda Fuertez+2.3
4725-22STONYSTONYAceStony Brook+1.6

Score shown after each rally, Stony Brook first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).