FinalThu, Sep 10, 2026

AwayCAA

0:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Rutgers def. Stony Brook 3–0

(25-18, 25-21, 25-15)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
STONY	18	21	15	0
RUTGER	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

RUTGER above 50 · STONY below

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Stony Brook — set 1, STONY 16-18 RUTGER. Kill by Ella Sanders (set by Rayanne Wheat). RUTGER win probability 83% → 81%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

STONY 23.6%76.4% RUTGER

Stony Brook wins

3-0

4.1%

3-1

8.0%

3-2

11.5%

Rutgers wins

3-0

28.2%

3-1

29.1%

3-2

19.1%

STONY break %: 39.9% vs this opp
RUTGER break %: 45.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ella SandersKill+2.1%
Kill by Ella Sanders (set by Rayanne Wheat)
Set 1 · STONY 16-18 RUTGER · STONY 17% → 19%
02
Skylar GeorgeAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Skylar George
Set 1 · STONY 1-0 RUTGER · STONY 24% → 26%
03
Ayanna Pierre LouisKill+2.0%
Kill by Ayanna Pierre Louis (set by Rayanne Wheat)
Set 1 · STONY 14-16 RUTGER · STONY 17% → 19%
04
Aspen MaxwellKill+1.9%
Kill by Aspen Maxwell (set by Brooke Baldwin)
Set 1 · STONY 16-20 RUTGER · RUTGER 83% → 85%
05
Aspen MaxwellKill+1.9%
Kill by Aspen Maxwell (set by Brooke Baldwin)
Set 1 · STONY 1-2 RUTGER · RUTGER 76% → 78%
06
Malia RomesKill+1.9%
Kill by Malia Romes (set by Lily Bolen)
Set 1 · STONY 16-19 RUTGER · RUTGER 81% → 83%
07
Imani HowellKill+1.8%
Kill by Imani Howell (set by Lily Bolen)
Set 1 · STONY 14-18 RUTGER · RUTGER 82% → 84%
08
STONY serverAce+1.8%
Stony Brook ace on Kenzie Dyrstad
Set 2 · STONY 7-6 RUTGER · STONY 13% → 15%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Stony Brookaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Ella SandersOH	3	8	6	27	.074	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	8
5Damisi OsiboduMB	3	4	2	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
14Quinn AndersonOH	3	4	3	13	.077	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	4
7Ayanna Pierre LouisMB	3	2	0	8	.250	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	2	4
9Taryn SuS	3	0	0	1	.000	11	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
6Leimaile LasikeMB	2	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
10Mercedes MottonMB	3	3	1	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
3Carey-Jean BlockL/DS	3	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
1Rayanne WheatS	3	1	0	1	1.000	9	1	1	5	0	0	0	0	2
18Zayda FuertezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	7	1	0	11	0	0	0	0	1
4Hanna BerkefeltOH	2	4	0	12	.333	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	4
12Avari AmstutzOH	2	0	2	7	-.286	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	1
19Madison CignaL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	16	90	.133	28	3	4	31	5	1	8	5	54

Rutgershome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Imani HowellMB	3	9	2	16	.438	0	1	2	3	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
8Skylar GeorgeOH	3	9	4	25	.200	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	10
0Aspen MaxwellOH	3	8	2	18	.333	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	2	10
9Natalie RobinsonMB	3	5	0	9	.556	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
12Brooke BaldwinS	3	0	0	0	–	21	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
10Kaila Kalama-BajetL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	4	1	0	0	0	1
4Karis WillowOH	3	8	6	19	.105	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	8
22Malia RomesMB	3	7	2	15	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
11Lily BolenS	3	1	0	1	1.000	18	1	2	5	0	0	0	0	2
3Kenzie DyrstadL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	14	2	0	0	0	0
15Alleigh DuttonL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Jenna DeLaMaterL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	16	103	.301	43	5	7	41	3	2	8	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 STONY · RUTGER 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 STONYRUTGER 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 STONYRUTGER 6

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 STONYRUTGER 6

Bars above the line = Rutgers leads, below = Stony Brook leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Stony Brook

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	27%6/22	45%5/11
2	75%6/8	14%1/7
3	75%6/8	40%4/10
4	56%5/9	50%6/12
5	33%5/15	29%2/7
6	36%4/11	44%4/9
All	44%32/73	39%22/56

Rutgers

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	58%7/12
2	60%6/10	65%11/17
3	55%6/11	33%3/9
4	67%6/9	25%2/8
5	71%5/7	50%5/10
6	50%4/8	76%13/17
All	61%34/56	56%41/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

129 rallies

Rally log

#	STONY-RUTGER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Skylar George		+2.0
2	1-1	STONY	RUTGER×5	Kill	Skylar George	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.4
3	1-2	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.9
4	1-3	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Ella Sanders	+1.8
5	1-4	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Attack err	Leimaile Lasike		+1.6
6	1-5	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Attack err	Ella Sanders	blk Aspen Maxwell	+1.4
7	2-5	RUTGER	STONY	Kill	Damisi Osibodu	set Taryn Su	+1.0
8	2-6	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.0
9	3-6	RUTGER	STONY	Kill	Damisi Osibodu	set Taryn Su	+1.0
10	3-7	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Skylar George	set Lily Bolen	+1.1
11	4-7	RUTGER	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+1.0
12	4-8	STONY	RUTGER×3	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+1.1
13	4-9	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Kill	Lily Bolen	set Karis Willow	+1.2
14	4-10	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Attack err	Quinn Anderson	blk Imani Howell, Malia Romes	+1.0
15	5-10	RUTGER	STONY	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.6
16	5-11	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+0.7
17	6-11	RUTGER	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Zayda Fuertez	+0.6
18	7-11	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Aspen Maxwell		+1.1
19	7-12	STONY	RUTGER	Serve err	STONY server		+0.9
20	8-12	RUTGER	STONY×3	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.8
21	9-12	STONY	STONY×3	Attack err	Skylar George	blk Damisi Osibodu, Leimaile Lasike	+1.4
22	10-12	STONY	STONY×3	Attack err	Imani Howell		+1.8
23	10-13	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Imani Howell	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.5
24	10-14	RUTGER	RUTGER	Bad set	Taryn Su		+1.7
25	11-14	RUTGER	STONY	Serve err	RUTGER server		+1.1
26	11-15	STONY	RUTGER	Serve err	STONY server		+1.3
27	12-15	RUTGER	STONY	Serve err	RUTGER server		+1.1
28	12-16	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Lily Bolen	+1.3
29	13-16	RUTGER	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Zayda Fuertez	+1.1
30	14-16	STONY	STONY	Kill	Ayanna Pierre Louis	set Rayanne Wheat	+2.0
31	14-17	STONY	RUTGER	Serve err	STONY server		+1.7
32	14-18	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Imani Howell	set Lily Bolen	+1.8
33	15-18	RUTGER	STONY	Attack err	Karis Willow		+1.1
34	16-18	STONY	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+2.1
35	16-19	STONY	RUTGER×4	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+1.9
36	16-20	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.9
37	16-21	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Kill	Karis Willow		+1.2
38	16-22	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Kill	Karis Willow	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.7
39	17-22	RUTGER	STONY	Kill	Rayanne Wheat	set Zayda Fuertez	+0.2
40	17-23	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Karis Willow	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.4
41	17-24	RUTGER	RUTGER	Attack err	Ella Sanders		+0.2
42	18-24	RUTGER	STONY	Attack err	Imani Howell		+0.0
43	18-25	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Imani Howell	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Attack err	Damisi Osibodu		+1.4
2	0-2	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Attack err	Ella Sanders	blk Imani Howell, Aspen Maxwell	+1.3
3	0-3	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Attack err	Damisi Osibodu		+1.2
4	0-4	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Team	+1.1
5	1-4	RUTGER	STONY	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.7
6	1-5	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Skylar George	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.8
7	2-5	RUTGER	STONY×3	Kill	Damisi Osibodu	set Taryn Su	+0.8
8	3-5	STONY	STONY×3	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Zayda Fuertez	+1.2
9	4-5	STONY	STONY×3	Ace	STONY server	aced Kaila Kalama-Bajet	+1.4
10	4-6	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.1
11	5-6	RUTGER	STONY×3	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Taryn Su	+1.1
12	6-6	STONY	STONY×3	Attack err	Skylar George		+1.7
13	7-6	STONY	STONY×3	Ace	STONY server	aced Kenzie Dyrstad	+1.8
14	7-7	STONY	RUTGER	Attack err	Quinn Anderson	blk Natalie Robinson, Malia Romes	+1.3
15	7-8	RUTGER	RUTGER	Attack err	Ella Sanders		+1.7
16	8-8	RUTGER	STONY	Attack err	Karis Willow		+1.3
17	8-9	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Lily Bolen	+1.3
18	8-10	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Karis Willow	set Lily Bolen	+1.7
19	9-10	RUTGER	STONY	Attack err	Malia Romes	blk Ayanna Pierre Louis	+1.2
20	9-11	STONY	RUTGER×6	Kill	Imani Howell	set Lily Bolen	+1.3
21	9-12	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Karis Willow	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.5
22	9-13	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Bad set	Rayanne Wheat		+1.3
23	9-14	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Attack err	Ella Sanders		+1.0
24	9-15	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Imani Howell	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.8
25	9-16	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Attack err	Carey-Jean Block		+0.5
26	10-16	RUTGER	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Zayda Fuertez	+0.3
27	11-16	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Karis Willow	blk Damisi Osibodu, Avari Amstutz	+0.5
28	11-17	STONY	RUTGER	Serve err	STONY server		+0.5
29	11-18	RUTGER	RUTGER	Attack err	Ella Sanders		+0.5
30	12-18	RUTGER	STONY	Kill	Carey-Jean Block	set Taryn Su	+0.2
31	12-19	STONY	RUTGER	Attack err	Avari Amstutz		+0.3
32	13-19	RUTGER	STONY	Kill	Hanna Berkefelt	set Taryn Su	+0.2
33	14-19	STONY	STONY	Kill	Ayanna Pierre Louis	set Taryn Su	+0.4
34	14-20	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.5
35	14-21	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Skylar George	set Lily Bolen	+0.3
36	15-21	RUTGER	STONY×3	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.1
37	16-21	STONY	STONY×3	Attack err	Malia Romes		+0.3
38	17-21	STONY	STONY×3	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.6
39	17-22	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Skylar George	set Lily Bolen	+0.6
40	18-22	RUTGER	STONY	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Hanna Berkefelt	+0.3
41	19-22	STONY	STONY	Kill	Carey-Jean Block	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.9
42	19-23	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Lily Bolen	+1.0
43	19-24	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Imani Howell	set Lily Bolen	+0.6
44	20-24	RUTGER	STONY	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.1
45	21-24	STONY	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.4
46	21-25	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Karis Willow	set Lily Bolen	+0.6
Set 3
1	1-0	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Aspen Maxwell		+0.9
2	1-1	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Imani Howell	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.6
3	1-2	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Aspen Maxwell		+0.8
4	2-2	RUTGER	STONY	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.6
5	2-3	STONY	RUTGER	Bad set	Taryn Su		+0.6
6	2-4	RUTGER	RUTGER	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Team	+0.8
7	3-4	RUTGER	STONY	Kill	Hanna Berkefelt	set Taryn Su	+0.6
8	3-5	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Skylar George	set Lily Bolen	+0.6
9	4-5	RUTGER	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.6
10	4-6	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+0.6
11	5-6	RUTGER	STONY	Attack err	Karis Willow	blk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Mercedes Motton	+0.6
12	5-7	STONY	RUTGER×6	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+0.6
13	5-8	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Attack err	Mercedes Motton		+0.7
14	5-9	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.6
15	5-10	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Karis Willow	set Kenzie Dyrstad	+0.5
16	5-11	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Imani Howell	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.4
17	5-12	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Team	+0.3
18	6-12	RUTGER	STONY×3	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.2
19	7-12	STONY	STONY×3	Ace	STONY server	aced Kenzie Dyrstad	+0.3
20	8-12	STONY	STONY×3	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Zayda Fuertez	+0.5
21	8-13	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Imani Howell	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.4
22	8-14	RUTGER	RUTGER	Attack err	Avari Amstutz	blk Aspen Maxwell, Imani Howell	+0.4
23	9-14	RUTGER	STONY	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.2
24	9-15	STONY	RUTGER×6	Kill	Skylar George	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.3
25	9-16	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.3
26	9-17	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Skylar George	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.2
27	9-18	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Skylar George	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.1
28	9-19	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.1
29	9-20	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Attack err	Quinn Anderson	blk Natalie Robinson	+0.0
30	10-20	RUTGER	STONY	Kill	Damisi Osibodu	set Taryn Su	+0.0
31	11-20	STONY	STONY	Kill	Hanna Berkefelt	set Taryn Su	+0.0
32	11-21	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Kenzie Dyrstad	+0.0
33	11-22	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Malia Romes	set Kenzie Dyrstad	+0.0
34	12-22	RUTGER	STONY	Attack err	Skylar George	blk Avari Amstutz, Ayanna Pierre Louis	+0.0
35	13-22	STONY	STONY	Kill	Hanna Berkefelt	set Zayda Fuertez	+0.0
36	13-23	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
37	13-24	RUTGER	RUTGER	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Hanna Berkefelt	+0.0
38	14-24	RUTGER	STONY	Attack err	Karis Willow		+0.0
39	15-24	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Karis Willow		+0.0
40	15-25	STONY	RUTGER	Kill	Karis Willow	set Lily Bolen	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Stony Brook first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.