Austin Peay def. Kansas City 3–0
(25-19, 25-16, 26-24)| Set | 1* | 2* | 3* | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 19 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| A PEAY | 25 | 25 | 26 | 3 |
- * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
- * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
- * Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 3.6% to Kansas City — set 3, KC 24-24 A PEAY. Attack error by Alison Coy. A PEAY win probability 97% → 94%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Kansas City wins
Austin Peay wins
- KC break %
- 42.3% vs this opp
- A PEAY break %
- 46.7% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01
- 02
- 03Cree HollierKill+3.2%
Kill by Cree Hollier (set by Reagan Anderson)
Set 1 · KC 15-16 A PEAY · A PEAY 70% → 73%
- 04A PEAY serverAce+3.2%
Austin Peay ace on Dani Brey
Set 1 · KC 16-18 A PEAY · A PEAY 74% → 77%
- 05Lauren WallaceAttack error+3.2%
Lauren Wallace stuffed by Stella Smith
Set 1 · KC 14-12 A PEAY · KC 32% → 35%
- 06
- 07Unlogged pointFeed gap+2.9%
Point Austin Peay (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 3 · KC 24-25 A PEAY · A PEAY 94% → 97%
- 08
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10 | 0 | 21 | .476 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 27 | .185 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .208 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | .083 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | .333 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 36 | 13 | 107 | .215 | 34 | 4 | 9 | 60 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 59 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 14 | 2 | 31 | .387 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | |
| 3 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 17 | .294 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 6 | 0 | 13 | .462 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 8 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 46 | 10 | 119 | .303 | 41 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 76 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1*
19-25
Set 2*
16-25
Set 3*
24-26
Bars above the line = Austin Peay leads, below = Kansas City leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Kansas City
No clean sets to split.
Austin Peay
No clean sets to split.
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
135 rallies
Rally log
| # | KC-A PEAY | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | A PEAY | A PEAY | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.9 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | A PEAY | KC | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.6 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | KC | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +2.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | KC | A PEAY | Kill | Kaelynn Ashley | set Reagan Anderson | +1.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | set Coco Buschhorn | +1.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | KC | A PEAY | Kill | Malena Benz | set Brooklynn Merrell | +1.7 |
| 7 | 4-3 | A PEAY | KC | Serve err | A PEAY server | +1.8 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | KC | A PEAY×6 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.7 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | A PEAY | A PEAY×6 | Kill | Alison Coy | set Brooklynn Merrell | +2.1 |
| 10 | 4-6 | A PEAY | A PEAY×6 | Ace | A PEAY server | aced Mia Weaver | +2.0 |
| 11 | 4-7 | A PEAY | A PEAY×6 | Attack err | Madelyn Bahnsen | +1.9 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | A PEAY | A PEAY×6 | Ace | A PEAY server | aced Mia Weaver | +1.6 |
| 13 | 4-9 | A PEAY | A PEAY×6 | Kill | Cree Hollier | set Reagan Anderson | +1.4 |
| 14 | 5-9 | A PEAY | KC×3 | Kill | Madelyn Bahnsen | set Chloe Kaminski | +1.0 |
| 15 | 6-9 | KC | KC×3 | Kill | Mia Weaver | +1.5 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | KC | KC×3 | Ace | KC server | aced Callie Gardner | +1.9 |
| 17 | 7-10 | KC | A PEAY | Kill | Malena Benz | set Brooklynn Merrell | +1.6 |
| 18 | 8-10 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +1.5 |
| 19 | 9-10 | KC | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +2.2 |
| 20 | 9-11 | KC | A PEAY | Kill | Cree Hollier | set Reagan Anderson | +1.9 |
| 21 | 10-11 | A PEAY | KC×3 | Attack err | Cree Hollier | +1.9 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Nicole Okojie | +2.6 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | KC | KC×3 | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | +2.9 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | KC | A PEAY | Attack err | Ryanne Wattree | +2.2 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +2.4 |
| 26 | 14-12 | KC | KC | Attack err | Lauren Wallace | blk Stella Smith | +3.2 |
| 27 | 14-13 | KC | A PEAY | Kill | Nicole Okojie | set Sarah Butler | +2.3 |
| 28 | 14-14 | A PEAY | A PEAY | Kill | Lauren Wallace | +3.1 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Stella Smith | +2.7 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | KC | A PEAY | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.5 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | A PEAY | A PEAY | Kill | Cree Hollier | set Reagan Anderson | +3.2 |
| 32 | 16-16 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Mia Weaver | set Coco Buschhorn | +2.7 |
| 33 | 16-17 | KC | A PEAY×4 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.7 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | A PEAY | A PEAY×4 | Ace | A PEAY server | aced Dani Brey | +3.2 |
| 35 | 16-19 | A PEAY | A PEAY×4 | Attack err | Mia Weaver | +2.8 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | A PEAY | A PEAY×4 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.1 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | A PEAY | KC | Attack err | Cree Hollier | +1.3 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | KC | KC | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.4 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | KC | A PEAY | Kill | Cree Hollier | set Brooklynn Merrell | +2.4 |
| 40 | 19-21 | A PEAY | KC | Serve err | A PEAY server | +1.9 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | KC | A PEAY×4 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.6 | |
| 42 | 19-23 | A PEAY | A PEAY×4 | Kill | Nicole Okojie | +2.1 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | A PEAY | A PEAY×4 | Attack err | Emry Brown | +1.0 | |
| 44 | 19-25 | A PEAY | A PEAY×4 | Kill | Lauren Wallace | set Reagan Anderson | +0.2 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | KC | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +1.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | KC | A PEAY | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.3 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +1.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | KC | A PEAY | Kill | Malena Benz | set Brooklynn Merrell | +1.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | A PEAY | A PEAY | Kill | Malena Benz | +1.7 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +1.4 |
| 7 | 3-4 | KC | A PEAY | Serve err | KC server | +1.3 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Mia Weaver | +1.4 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | KC | A PEAY | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.4 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | A PEAY | A PEAY | Kill | Cree Hollier | set Sarah Butler | +1.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | A PEAY | KC | Serve err | A PEAY server | +1.3 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | KC | A PEAY | Kill | Cree Hollier | set Sarah Butler | +1.3 |
| 13 | 5-8 | A PEAY | A PEAY | Attack err | Mia Weaver | +1.6 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | A PEAY | KC | Serve err | A PEAY server | +1.2 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | KC | A PEAY | Serve err | KC server | +1.3 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | A PEAY | A PEAY | Attack err | Coco Buschhorn | blk Cree Hollier | +1.4 |
| 17 | 7-10 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Hannah Wayment | +1.0 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | KC | A PEAY | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.1 | |
| 19 | 7-12 | A PEAY | A PEAY | Attack err | Emry Brown | +1.2 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Hannah Wayment | set Savy Repinski | +0.8 |
| 21 | 8-13 | KC | A PEAY | Serve err | KC server | +1.0 | |
| 22 | 8-14 | A PEAY | A PEAY | Kill | Alison Coy | set Reagan Anderson | +0.9 |
| 23 | 9-14 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | +0.6 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | KC | A PEAY×4 | Attack err | Stella Smith | +0.7 | |
| 25 | 9-16 | A PEAY | A PEAY×4 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.7 | |
| 26 | 9-17 | A PEAY | A PEAY×4 | Serve err | A PEAY server | +0.4 | |
| 27 | 9-18 | A PEAY | A PEAY×4 | Kill | Nicole Okojie | +0.3 | |
| 28 | 10-18 | A PEAY | KC×3 | Serve err | A PEAY server | +0.1 | |
| 29 | 11-18 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Lauren Wallace | blk Mia Weaver | +0.3 |
| 30 | 12-18 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Alison Coy | +0.4 | |
| 31 | 12-19 | KC | A PEAY | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.5 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | A PEAY | KC×3 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.3 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | KC | KC×3 | Kill | Stella Smith | +0.6 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | KC | KC×3 | Ace | KC server | aced Callie Gardner | +0.9 |
| 35 | 15-20 | KC | A PEAY | Kill | Nicole Okojie | set Sarah Butler | +1.0 |
| 36 | 16-20 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Madelyn Bahnsen | +0.7 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | KC | A PEAY×5 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.9 | |
| 38 | 16-22 | A PEAY | A PEAY×5 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.7 | |
| 39 | 16-23 | A PEAY | A PEAY×5 | Kill | Cree Hollier | set Callie Gardner | +0.3 |
| 40 | 16-24 | A PEAY | A PEAY×5 | Ace | A PEAY server | aced Emry Brown | +0.1 |
| 41 | 16-25 | A PEAY | A PEAY×5 | Kill | Malena Benz | set Brooklynn Merrell | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | A PEAY | A PEAY | Kill | Kaelynn Ashley | set Brooklynn Merrell | +0.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Mia Weaver | set Savy Repinski | +0.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | KC | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +1.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | KC | A PEAY | Kill | Kaelynn Ashley | +0.7 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | A PEAY | KC×3 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.8 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Malena Benz | +1.0 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | KC | KC×3 | Ace | KC server | aced Cree Hollier | +1.0 |
| 8 | 5-3 | KC | A PEAY | Kill | Lauren Wallace | set Brooklynn Merrell | +0.8 |
| 9 | 6-3 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Savy Repinski | set Chloe Kaminski | +0.9 |
| 10 | 6-4 | KC | A PEAY | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.8 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | A PEAY | A PEAY | Attack err | Mila Zoric | blk Nicole Okojie | +1.0 |
| 12 | 7-5 | A PEAY | KC | Serve err | A PEAY server | +0.9 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | KC | A PEAY | Serve err | KC server | +0.8 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | A PEAY | KC | Serve err | A PEAY server | +0.9 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | KC | KC | Ace | KC server | aced Reagan Anderson | +1.2 |
| 16 | 9-7 | KC | A PEAY×3 | Kill | Nicole Okojie | +0.8 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | A PEAY | A PEAY×3 | Serve err | A PEAY server | +1.1 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | A PEAY | A PEAY×3 | Ace | A PEAY server | aced Dani Brey | +1.1 |
| 19 | 10-9 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Mila Zoric | set Sarah Butler | +1.0 |
| 20 | 10-10 | KC | A PEAY | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.9 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | A PEAY | KC | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.0 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | KC | A PEAY | Serve err | KC server | +1.0 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | +1.0 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | KC | A PEAY | Bad set | Savy Repinski | +1.0 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | A PEAY | A PEAY | Bad set | Savy Repinski | +1.2 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | A PEAY | KC | Attack err | Alison Coy | +1.0 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | KC | A PEAY | Attack err | Alison Coy | +1.0 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | +1.1 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | KC | A PEAY×5 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.1 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | A PEAY | A PEAY×5 | Kill | Cree Hollier | set Sarah Butler | +1.3 |
| 31 | 14-17 | A PEAY | A PEAY×5 | Kill | Cree Hollier | set Reagan Anderson | +1.1 |
| 32 | 14-18 | A PEAY | A PEAY×5 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.9 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | A PEAY | A PEAY×5 | Ace | A PEAY server | aced Megan Lawson | +0.7 |
| 34 | 15-19 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Savy Repinski | +0.4 | |
| 35 | 16-19 | KC | KC | Kill | Mia Weaver | set Savy Repinski | +0.7 |
| 36 | 16-20 | KC | A PEAY | Attack err | Savy Repinski | +0.8 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Mia Weaver | +0.6 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | KC | A PEAY | Kill | Cree Hollier | set Sarah Butler | +0.8 |
| 39 | 18-21 | A PEAY | KC×3 | Kill | Mia Weaver | set Savy Repinski | +0.5 |
| 40 | 19-21 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Cree Hollier | +1.0 | |
| 41 | 20-21 | KC | KC×3 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.5 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | KC | A PEAY | Kill | Malena Benz | set Brooklynn Merrell | +1.6 |
| 43 | 21-22 | A PEAY | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | +1.3 | |
| 44 | 21-23 | KC | A PEAY | Kill | Kaelynn Ashley | +1.8 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | A PEAY | A PEAY | Ace | A PEAY server | aced Mia Weaver | +1.5 |
| 46 | 22-24 | A PEAY | KC×3 | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | +0.5 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | KC | KC×3 | Serve err | KC server | +1.5 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Alison Coy | +3.6 | |
| 49 | 24-25 | KC | A PEAY | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.9 | |
| 50 | 24-26 | A PEAY | A PEAY | Attack err | Emry Brown | +3.3 | |
Score shown after each rally, Kansas City first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.