FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026 · Neutral site

Stony Brook def. Rider 3–0

Stony Brook beat Rider 3-0 (25-16, 25-22, 25-12) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026 at a neutral site. Ayanna Pierre Louis led Stony Brook with 8 kills; Rider's Rylah Robinson had a match-high 10.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set123Sets
STONY2525253
RIDER1622120

Win probability

Rider above 50 · Stony Brook below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.3% RIDERrally 125 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Rider — set 2, STONY 15-17 RIDER. Attack error by Ella Sanders. RIDER win probability 6% → 7%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STONY 92.8%7.2% RIDER

Stony Brook wins

3-0
50.0%
3-1
30.9%
3-2
11.9%

Rider wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.1%
3-2
4.2%
STONY break %
49.9% vs this opp
RIDER break %
38.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ella SandersAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Ella Sanders

    Set 2 · STONY 15-17 RIDER · RIDER 6% → 7%

  2. 02

    Kill by Damisi Osibodu (set by Taryn Su)

    Set 2 · STONY 24-22 RIDER · STONY 97% → 98%

  3. 03
    Ella SandersKill+1.2%

    Kill by Ella Sanders (set by Rayanne Wheat)

    Set 2 · STONY 19-18 RIDER · STONY 95% → 96%

  4. 04

    Kill by Mercedes Motton (set by Rayanne Wheat)

    Set 2 · STONY 17-17 RIDER · STONY 94% → 95%

  5. 05
    Makenna MasonKill+1.1%

    Kill by Makenna Mason (set by Zayda Fuertez)

    Set 2 · STONY 17-18 RIDER · RIDER 5% → 6%

  6. 06
    Aubrey BakerKill+1.1%

    Kill by Aubrey Baker (set by Makenna Mason)

    Set 2 · STONY 23-22 RIDER · RIDER 2% → 3%

  7. 07

    Kill by Mercedes Motton (set by Rayanne Wheat)

    Set 2 · STONY 20-18 RIDER · STONY 96% → 97%

  8. 08
    Damisi OsiboduAttack error+1.0%

    Attack error by Damisi Osibodu

    Set 2 · STONY 13-14 RIDER · RIDER 4% → 5%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38011.72711130010.59.5
37221.23801071010.58.5
35311.18200000031.56.5
34011.36400010010.54.5
3226.000020800004
3000–1820500002
37115.400000000007
3419.333000001226
3000–1401310004
3000–1613600001
1116.000000000001
Team totals381090.3113611443318575
Riderhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310426.2310003100010
34111.273011000216
3203.66720001300002
24415.000101430004
22413-.15400010010.52.5
1002.000000000000
3519.444000000005
3000–511720001
3011-1.000002400000
2207.286000100002
2001.000101120000
2000–001330000
1226.00000000010.52.5
1204.500001100002
1001.000411100001
Team totals331799.1623139391104250

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 STONY · RIDER 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 7 STONYRIDER 3

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 STONYRIDER 3

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 9 STONYRIDER 4

Bars above the line = Rider leads, below = Stony Brook leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stony Brook

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
60%6/10
2
83%5/6
29%2/7
3
56%5/9
38%3/8
4
100%4/4
64%7/11
5
50%4/8
33%2/6
6
75%3/4
57%4/7
All
67%26/39
49%24/49

Rider

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
43%3/7
2
56%5/9
0%0/5
3
67%4/6
44%4/9
4
40%4/10
20%1/5
5
40%4/10
20%1/5
6
50%3/6
50%4/8
All
51%25/49
33%13/39

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#STONY-RIDERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0STONYSTONY×3Attack errMaisie Nawrocki+0.7
22-0STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brookaced Rylah Robinson+0.6
33-0STONYSTONY×3KillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+0.5
43-1STONYRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+0.5
54-1RIDERSTONYServe errRider+0.4
65-1STONYSTONYKillCarey-Jean Blockset Rayanne Wheat+0.5
75-2STONYRIDERKillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+0.4
86-2RIDERSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+0.4
97-2STONYSTONYBlockedMaisie Nawrockiblk Damisi Osibodu, Leimaile Lasike+0.4
107-3STONYRIDERKillMaisie Nawrockiset Makenna Mason+0.3
117-4RIDERRIDERAceRideraced Zayda Fuertez+0.5
128-4RIDERSTONY×7KillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+0.4
139-4STONYSTONY×7BlockedMaisie Nawrockiblk Damisi Osibodu, Leimaile Lasike+0.4
1410-4STONYSTONY×7KillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+0.3
1511-4STONYSTONY×7KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+0.2
1612-4STONYSTONY×7KillLeimaile Lasikeset Taryn Su+0.2
1713-4STONYSTONY×7KillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+0.1
1814-4STONYSTONY×7Attack errMaisie Nawrocki+0.1
1914-5STONYRIDERKillCecilia DeCaroset Katie Cook·
2015-5RIDERSTONYServe errRider·
2116-5STONYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Zayda Fuertez·
2216-6STONYRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Katie Cook·
2316-7RIDERRIDERAceRideraced Ella Sanders·
2417-7RIDERSTONYKillAyanna Pierre Louisset Taryn Su·
2517-8STONYRIDERAttack errElla Sanders·
2618-8RIDERSTONYKillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat·
2718-9STONYRIDERKillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason·
2819-9RIDERSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat·
2920-9STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Simone Langford·
3020-10STONYRIDERKillCecilia DeCaroset Makenna Mason·
3120-11RIDERRIDERAttack errDamisi Osibodu·
3221-11RIDERSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat·
3321-12STONYRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason·
3422-12RIDERSTONYServe errRider·
3522-13STONYRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Katie Cook·
3623-13RIDERSTONYAttack errRylah Robinson·
3724-13STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Simone Langford·
3824-14STONYRIDER×3KillRylah Robinsonset Katie Cook·
3924-15RIDERRIDER×3KillTori Bonacciset Simone Langford·
4024-16RIDERRIDER×3Attack errQuinn Anderson·
4125-16RIDERSTONYKillAyanna Pierre Louisset Taryn Su·
Set 2
10-1RIDERRIDER×3BlockedCarey-Jean Blockblk Molly Rohde, Anja Kelly+0.6
20-2RIDERRIDER×3KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+0.7
30-3RIDERRIDER×3Attack errCarey-Jean Block+0.8
41-3RIDERSTONYKillCarey-Jean Blockset Rayanne Wheat+0.5
51-4STONYRIDERKillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+0.6
62-4RIDERSTONYServe errRider+0.5
72-5STONYRIDERServe errStony Brook+0.7
82-6RIDERRIDERAceRider+0.9
93-6RIDERSTONYServe errRider+0.6
103-7STONYRIDERKillMaisie Nawrockiset Simone Langford+0.7
114-7RIDERSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+0.6
124-8STONYRIDERKillMaisie Nawrockiset Makenna Mason+0.8
135-8RIDERSTONY×4Serve errRider+0.6
146-8STONYSTONY×4AceStony Brookaced Maisie Nawrocki+0.8
157-8STONYSTONY×4AceStony Brookaced Maisie Nawrocki+0.8
168-8STONYSTONY×4KillQuinn Andersonset Rayanne Wheat+0.7
178-9STONYRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Simone Langford+0.7
188-10RIDERRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Tyler Adams+0.9
199-10RIDERSTONYServe errRider+0.6
2010-10STONYSTONYKillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+0.8
2110-11STONYRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+0.7
2211-11RIDERSTONYAttack errAnja Kelly+0.6
2311-12STONYRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Maisie Nawrocki+0.8
2412-12RIDERSTONYKillDamisi Osibodu+0.7
2513-12STONYSTONYAttack errAnja Kelly+0.8
2613-13STONYRIDERServe errStony Brook+0.7
2713-14RIDERRIDERAttack errDamisi Osibodu+1.0
2814-14RIDERSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+0.7
2914-15STONYRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+0.9
3015-15RIDERSTONYServe errRider+0.8
3115-16STONYRIDERKillMaisie Nawrockiset Makenna Mason+0.9
3215-17RIDERRIDERAttack errElla Sanders+1.3
3316-17RIDERSTONYKillLeimaile Lasikeset Ayanna Pierre Louis+0.9
3417-17STONYSTONYKillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat+1.2
3517-18STONYRIDERKillMakenna Masonset Zayda Fuertez+1.1
3618-18RIDERSTONY×3KillQuinn Andersonset Rayanne Wheat+1.0
3719-18STONYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+1.2
3820-18STONYSTONY×3KillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat+1.0
3920-19STONYRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+0.8
4021-19RIDERSTONYAttack errAnja Kelly+0.9
4121-20STONYRIDERServe errStony Brook+0.8
4222-20RIDERSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+1.0
4323-20STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Maisie Nawrocki+0.9
4423-21STONYRIDERServe errStony Brook+0.4
4523-22RIDERRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+1.1
4624-22RIDERSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+1.3
4725-22STONYSTONYAttack errAnja Kelly+0.8
Set 3
11-0STONYSTONYAttack errMolly Rohde+0.2
21-1STONYRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+0.2
32-1RIDERSTONYKillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+0.2
43-1STONYSTONYBlockedMadison Daleyblk Damisi Osibodu, Ella Sanders+0.2
53-2STONYRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+0.2
64-2RIDERSTONYKillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat+0.2
74-3STONYRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+0.2
85-3RIDERSTONY×5KillLeimaile Lasikeset Taryn Su+0.2
96-3STONYSTONY×5Attack errTori Bonacci+0.2
107-3STONYSTONY×5AceStony Brookaced Tyler Adams+0.1
118-3STONYSTONY×5Attack errOlivia DeSaro+0.1
129-3STONYSTONY×5KillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+0.1
139-4STONYRIDERKillMakenna Masonset Makenna Mason+0.1
149-5RIDERRIDERAttack errDamisi Osibodu+0.1
1510-5RIDERSTONY×9Serve errRider+0.1
1611-5STONY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
1712-5STONYSTONY×9KillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+0.1
1813-5STONYSTONY×9BlockedRylah Robinsonblk Leimaile Lasike·
1914-5STONYSTONY×9KillAyanna Pierre Louisset Taryn Su·
2015-5STONYSTONY×9AceStony Brookaced Tyler Adams·
2116-5STONYSTONY×9AceStony Brookaced Carly Allen·
2217-5STONYSTONY×9Attack errRylah Robinson·
2318-5STONYSTONY×9AceStony Brookaced Carly Allen·
2418-6STONYRIDERAttack errLeimaile Lasike·
2518-7RIDERRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Simone Langford·
2619-7RIDERSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su·
2719-8STONYRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason·
2820-8RIDERSTONY×5KillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat·
2921-8STONYSTONY×5AceStony Brookaced Carly Allen·
3022-8STONYSTONY×5BlockedRylah Robinsonblk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Mercedes Motton·
3123-8STONYSTONY×5KillHanna Berkefeltset Rayanne Wheat·
3224-8STONYSTONY×5Attack errMadison Daley·
3324-9STONYRIDER×4KillMadison Daleyset Makenna Mason·
3424-10RIDERRIDER×4KillMadison Daleyset Simone Langford·
3524-11RIDERRIDER×4KillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason·
3624-12RIDERRIDER×4BlockedHanna Berkefeltblk Madison Daley, Molly Rohde·
3725-12RIDERSTONYKillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat·

Score shown after each rally, Stony Brook first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).