FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

Stony Brook def. William & Mary 3–0

Stony Brook won at William & Mary 3-0 (25-22, 25-19, 25-19) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Stony Brook's Ella Sanders led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set123Sets
STONY2525253
WM&MRY2219190

Win probability

William & Mary above 50 · Stony Brook below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.5% STONYrally 135 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.5% to Stony Brook — set 1, STONY 21-20 WM&MRY. Kill by Ella Sanders (set by Ayanna Pierre Louis). WM&MRY win probability 46% → 41%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STONY 54.7%45.3% WM&MRY

Stony Brook wins

3-0
14.6%
3-1
20.7%
3-2
19.4%

William & Mary wins

3-0
10.6%
3-1
16.8%
3-2
17.9%
STONY break %
45.5% vs this opp
WM&MRY break %
44.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ella SandersKill+5.5%

    Kill by Ella Sanders (set by Ayanna Pierre Louis)

    Set 1 · STONY 21-20 WM&MRY · STONY 54% → 59%

  2. 02
    Katherine ArnasonAttack error+5.4%

    Attack error by Katherine Arnason

    Set 1 · STONY 22-20 WM&MRY · STONY 59% → 65%

  3. 03
    William & MaryService error+5.0%

    William & Mary service error

    Set 1 · STONY 23-21 WM&MRY · STONY 61% → 66%

  4. 04
    Teagan PociusKill+4.7%

    Kill by Teagan Pocius (set by Cate Hatfield)

    Set 1 · STONY 18-19 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 45% → 50%

  5. 05
    Cate HatfieldBad set+4.5%

    Bad set by Cate Hatfield

    Set 1 · STONY 24-21 WM&MRY · STONY 66% → 71%

  6. 06
    Teagan PociusBlock+4.2%

    Damisi Osibodu stuffed by Teagan Pocius

    Set 1 · STONY 18-18 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 41% → 45%

  7. 07
    Teagan PociusKill+4.2%

    Kill by Teagan Pocius (set by Cate Hatfield)

    Set 1 · STONY 19-20 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 46% → 50%

  8. 08
    Ella SandersKill+4.1%

    Kill by Ella Sanders (set by Damisi Osibodu)

    Set 1 · STONY 20-20 WM&MRY · STONY 50% → 54%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318639.30800113014321
38433.1210002120210
34312.08310000254.58.5
3229.000212100425
30211-.182000100211
3001.00018011000000
3308.37500010031.54.5
3214.250001610002
31011.0001100700001
3000–3011200000
1000–000000000
Team totals3818118.16935165325181475
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310124.3750004012212
36215.2670001034511
34824-.167010110010.55.5
33215.067010170010.54.5
3126-.1672800400212
3000–003310000
361031-.12900040010.56.5
3011-1.000301900000
2000–000100000
2000–002000000
1315.40000000010.53.5
Team totals3327121.05031265414121060

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Stony Brook vs William & Mary

Season series · Stony Brook leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 STONY · WM&MRY 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 STONYWM&MRY 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 STONYWM&MRY 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 3 STONYWM&MRY 2

Bars above the line = William & Mary leads, below = Stony Brook leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stony Brook

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%9/11
38%5/13
2
80%8/10
47%7/15
3
73%8/11
27%3/11
4
58%7/12
36%4/11
5
67%6/9
45%5/11
6
75%6/8
54%7/13
All
72%44/61
42%31/74

William & Mary

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
22%2/9
2
50%8/16
31%4/13
3
80%8/10
11%1/9
4
55%6/11
27%3/11
5
50%6/12
40%4/10
6
60%6/10
33%3/9
All
58%43/74
28%17/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#STONY-WM&MRYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0STONYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+2.3
21-1STONYWM&MRYKillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+1.9
32-1WM&MRYSTONYAttack errAvery Horejsi+2.0
42-2STONYWM&MRYAttack errQuinn Anderson+2.0
53-2WM&MRYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Rayanne Wheat+2.0
63-3STONYWM&MRYBlockedMercedes Mottonblk Audrey Brcka, Olivia Westfort+2.0
74-3WM&MRYSTONYBlockedCate Hatfieldblk Damisi Osibodu+2.0
84-4STONYWM&MRY×3KillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.1
94-5WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errDamisi Osibodu+2.6
104-6WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+2.6
115-6WM&MRYSTONY×3BlockedKatherine Arnasonblk Quinn Anderson+2.1
126-6STONYSTONY×3BlockedAudrey Brckablk Damisi Osibodu, Ella Sanders+2.6
137-6STONYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+2.7
147-7STONYWM&MRY×4Serve errStony Brook+2.2
157-8WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errElla Sanders+2.8
167-9WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errElla Sanders+2.8
177-10WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Bad setDamisi Osibodu+2.7
188-10WM&MRYSTONYAttack errTeagan Pocius+2.1
198-11STONYWM&MRYKillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+2.3
208-12WM&MRYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+2.6
219-12WM&MRYSTONY×4Serve errWilliam & Mary+1.9
2210-12STONYSTONY×4Attack errKatherine Arnason+2.6
2311-12STONYSTONY×4KillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+2.9
2412-12STONYSTONY×4KillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+3.2
2512-13STONYWM&MRYAttack errCarey-Jean Block+2.7
2612-14WM&MRYWM&MRYAceWilliam & Maryaced Carey-Jean Block+3.4
2713-14WM&MRYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+2.6
2814-14STONYSTONY×3Attack errEmily McKee+3.4
2915-14STONYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+3.6
3015-15STONYWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+2.9
3116-15WM&MRYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Rayanne Wheat+3.1
3217-15STONYSTONYAttack errAudrey Brcka+3.7
3317-16STONYWM&MRYAttack errDamisi Osibodu+2.8
3418-16WM&MRYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+3.2
3518-17STONYWM&MRY×3Attack errQuinn Anderson+3.0
3618-18WM&MRYWM&MRY×3BlockedDamisi Osibodublk Teagan Pocius+4.2
3718-19WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+4.7
3819-19WM&MRYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+3.8
3919-20STONYWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+4.2
4020-20WM&MRYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Damisi Osibodu+4.1
4121-20STONYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Ayanna Pierre Louis+5.5
4222-20STONYSTONY×3Attack errKatherine Arnason+5.4
4322-21STONYWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+3.6
4423-21WM&MRYSTONYServe errWilliam & Mary+5.0
4524-21STONYSTONYBad setCate Hatfield+4.5
4624-22STONYWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+1.6
4725-22WM&MRYSTONYAttack errKatherine Arnason+3.5
Set 2
11-0WM&MRYSTONYServe errWilliam & Mary+1.8
21-1STONYWM&MRYBlockedAyanna Pierre Louisblk Olivia Westfort+1.8
32-1WM&MRYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Zayda Fuertez+1.9
43-1STONYSTONYAceAyanna Pierre Louisaced Ava Crabtree+2.2
53-2STONYWM&MRYServe errAyanna Pierre Louis+1.8
64-2WM&MRYSTONYAttack errAudrey Brcka+1.9
74-3STONYWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+1.8
85-3WM&MRYSTONY×3BlockedAudrey Brckablk Damisi Osibodu, Leimaile Lasike+1.9
96-3STONYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Zayda Fuertez+2.2
107-3STONYSTONY×3BlockedAudrey Brckablk Damisi Osibodu, Leimaile Lasike+2.1
117-4STONYWM&MRYBlockedElla Sandersblk Teagan Pocius, Cate Hatfield+1.6
128-4WM&MRYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+1.7
138-5STONYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.6
149-5WM&MRYSTONYBlockedKatherine Arnasonblk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Ella Sanders+1.8
159-6STONYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.6
1610-6WM&MRYSTONYKillCarey-Jean Blockset Rayanne Wheat+1.8
1710-7STONYWM&MRY×3Serve errStony Brook+1.6
1810-8WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillOlivia Westfortset Rayanne Wheat+2.3
1910-9WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+2.6
2011-9WM&MRYSTONYBlockedEmily McKeeblk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Mercedes Motton+2.3
2112-9STONYSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Rayanne Wheat+2.6
2212-10STONYWM&MRYKillCate Hatfield+2.0
2313-10WM&MRYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+2.2
2413-11STONYWM&MRYAttack errElla Sanders+2.0
2514-11WM&MRYSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Zayda Fuertez+2.3
2614-12STONYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+2.1
2715-12WM&MRYSTONY×4BlockedTeagan Pociusblk Ella Sanders+2.4
2816-12STONYSTONY×4Attack errAudrey Brcka+2.5
2917-12STONYSTONY×4Attack errKatherine Arnason+2.1
3018-12STONYSTONY×4BlockedKatherine Arnasonblk Leimaile Lasike, Ayanna Pierre Louis+1.5
3118-13STONYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+0.9
3219-13WM&MRYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+1.2
3319-14STONYWM&MRYBlockedElla Sandersblk Teagan Pocius, Katherine Arnason+0.8
3420-14WM&MRYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+1.2
3521-14STONYSTONYBlockedKatherine Arnasonblk Quinn Anderson+0.9
3621-15STONYWM&MRYKillEmily McKeeset Avery Horejsi+0.4
3722-15WM&MRYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Rayanne Wheat+0.6
3822-16STONYWM&MRYServe errStony Brook+0.3
3922-17WM&MRYWM&MRYAceWilliam & Maryaced Quinn Anderson+0.6
4023-17WM&MRYSTONYBlockedOlivia Westfortblk Damisi Osibodu, Mercedes Motton+0.8
4124-17STONYSTONYAttack errAudrey Brcka+0.4
4224-18STONYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Avery Horejsi+0.1
4324-19WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedQuinn Andersonblk Teagan Pocius, Cate Hatfield+0.2
4425-19WM&MRYSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+0.3
Set 3
10-1STONYWM&MRYServe errStony Brook+1.2
20-2WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedAyanna Pierre Louisblk Teagan Pocius+1.4
31-2WM&MRYSTONY×3Attack errAudrey Brcka+1.1
42-2STONYSTONY×3Bad setCate Hatfield+1.4
53-2STONYSTONY×3KillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+1.5
63-3STONYWM&MRYBlockedQuinn Andersonblk Sophia Van Name, Teagan Pocius+1.2
74-3WM&MRYSTONYServe errWilliam & Mary+1.2
84-4STONYWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+1.2
94-5WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedMercedes Mottonblk Olivia Westfort, Emily McKee+1.6
105-5WM&MRYSTONYBlockedSophia Van Nameblk Damisi Osibodu+1.3
115-6STONYWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+1.3
126-6WM&MRYSTONYKillLeimaile Lasikeset Taryn Su+1.3
136-7STONYWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+1.4
147-7WM&MRYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+1.3
158-7STONYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+1.7
169-7STONYSTONY×3Attack errAudrey Brcka+1.6
179-8STONYWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+1.3
1810-8WM&MRYSTONYKillLeimaile Lasikeset Ayanna Pierre Louis+1.4
1910-9STONYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+1.3
2011-9WM&MRYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+1.4
2112-9STONYSTONYAttack errAudrey Brcka+1.6
2212-10STONYWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.2
2313-10WM&MRYSTONYServe errWilliam & Mary+1.4
2413-11STONYWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+1.3
2513-12WM&MRYWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+1.8
2614-12WM&MRYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Zayda Fuertez+1.6
2715-12STONYSTONY×3Bad setCate Hatfield+1.8
2816-12STONYSTONY×3KillLeimaile Lasikeset Taryn Su+1.6
2916-13STONYWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+1.1
3017-13WM&MRYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+1.3
3118-13STONYSTONYBlockedCate Hatfieldblk Ella Sanders, Damisi Osibodu+1.3
3218-14STONYWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+0.8
3319-14WM&MRYSTONYKillCarey-Jean Blockset Taryn Su+1.1
3419-15STONYWM&MRYServe errStony Brook+0.7
3519-16WM&MRYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+1.3
3620-16WM&MRYSTONYKillTaryn Suset Audrey Brcka+1.4
3720-17STONYWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.0
3821-17WM&MRYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+1.4
3922-17STONYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Rayanne Wheat+1.2
4022-18STONYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Avery Horejsi+0.5
4123-18WM&MRYSTONYServe errWilliam & Mary+0.9
4223-19STONYWM&MRYBlockedElla Sandersblk Teagan Pocius+0.4
4324-19WM&MRYSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Rayanne Wheat+0.7
4425-19STONYSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Stony Brook first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).