FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026

Campbell def. Stony Brook 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Campbell 60.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Campbell beat visiting Stony Brook 3-0 (25-11, 25-14, 25-21) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set123Sets
STONY1114210
CAMPBL2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Campbell held Stony Brook to .061 hitting.

Win probability never moved more than 3.1 points on one rally; Stony Brook topped out at 42% in Set 1. Campbell went in as RallyIQ's 61% pick.

Stony BrookCampbell
  • Break %+25.5 pts
    34.059.5

    Points won on own serve: 44 of 74 vs 16 of 47. Stony Brook sided out 40.5% of the time.

  • Hitting+.207
    .061.268

    Kills and errors: 49–15 vs 23–16.

  • Longest run+1
    67

    7 straight Campbell points in the first set stretched a 15–9 lead to 22–9. Final score of the set: 25–11.

Campbell above 50Stony Brook belowMax swing 3.1%

Stony BrookCampbell

Aces
Stony Brook 2·Campbell 6
Serve err
Stony Brook 3·Campbell 6
Blocks
Stony Brook 4·Campbell 8.51 BS · 6 BA vs 2 BS · 13 BA
Digs
Stony Brook 54·Campbell 67

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Campbell above 50 · Stony Brook below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.1% CAMPBLrally 121 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.1% to Campbell — set 3, STONY 21-23 CAMPBL. Kill by Victoria Tupy (set by Hannah Pattie). CAMPBL win probability 94% → 97%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STONY 34.6%65.4% CAMPBL

Stony Brook wins

3-0
7.0%
3-1
12.4%
3-2
15.2%

Campbell wins

3-0
20.3%
3-1
25.1%
3-2
20.0%
STONY break %
44.4% vs this opp
CAMPBL break %
47.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Victoria TupyKill+3.1%

    Kill by Victoria Tupy (set by Hannah Pattie)

    Set 3 · STONY 21-23 CAMPBL · CAMPBL 94% → 97%

  2. 02

    Ayanna Pierre Louis stuffed by Hailey Heytvelt & Cayla Prohaska

    Set 3 · STONY 20-21 CAMPBL · CAMPBL 90% → 93%

  3. 03

    Kill by Hailey Heytvelt (set by Hannah Pattie)

    Set 3 · STONY 21-22 CAMPBL · CAMPBL 91% → 94%

  4. 04
    Stony BrookAce+2.6%

    Stony Brook ace on Ella Duong

    Set 1 · STONY 6-5 CAMPBL · STONY 39% → 42%

  5. 05

    Kill by Breanna McMillan (set by Aubree Fernandez)

    Set 1 · STONY 6-7 CAMPBL · CAMPBL 60% → 63%

  6. 06

    Avari Amstutz stuffed by Maddie Lambers & Breanna McMillan

    Set 1 · STONY 6-8 CAMPBL · CAMPBL 63% → 65%

  7. 07
    Ella SandersKill+2.4%

    Kill by Ella Sanders (set by Taryn Su)

    Set 1 · STONY 5-5 CAMPBL · STONY 37% → 39%

  8. 08

    Kill by Mercedes Motton (set by Rayanne Wheat)

    Set 3 · STONY 21-21 CAMPBL · STONY 7% → 9%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
34226.077100521015
34310.10010020010.54.5
32114.071101400002
3001.0001002800000
22319-.05301092031.54.5
2113.000000000212
34323.043000000004
3000–1001200000
2519.444000200005
2012-.500410300001
2015-.200000310000
2000–400300000
1102.500000000001
1000–000300000
Team totals2316114.061222354616446
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39117.47112012100011
39432.1562016102110
39629.1030001002110
36011.545200301439
33310.000001001225
31011.00012101000002
39120.4001005002110
3206.33300000010.52.5
31011.0001711700002
3000–6111600001
3000–211400001
1000–200300000
1000–001000000
Team totals4915127.26845666722138.575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Stony Brook vs Campbell

Season series · Campbell leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 STONY · CAMPBL 7

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 3 STONYCAMPBL 7

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 STONYCAMPBL 6

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 6 STONYCAMPBL 6

Bars above the line = Campbell leads, below = Stony Brook leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stony Brook

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
0%0/5
2
33%5/15
22%2/9
3
56%5/9
29%2/7
4
42%5/12
44%4/9
5
50%4/8
38%3/8
6
25%4/16
56%5/9
All
41%30/74
34%16/47

Campbell

SlotSideout %Break %
1
88%7/8
57%8/14
2
71%5/7
74%14/19
3
50%5/10
17%1/6
4
83%5/6
64%9/14
5
42%5/12
44%4/9
6
100%4/4
67%8/12
All
66%31/47
59%44/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

121 rallies

#STONY-CAMPBLSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CAMPBLCAMPBLAceCampbellaced Ella Sanders+2.2
20-2CAMPBLCAMPBLKillElla Duongset Hannah Pattie+2.1
31-2CAMPBLSTONYBlockedVictoria Tupyblk Ella Sanders, Mopelola Ojo+1.8
41-3STONYCAMPBLKillVictoria Tupyset Hailey Heytvelt+1.9
51-4CAMPBLCAMPBLKillHailey Heytveltset Hannah Pattie+2.1
62-4CAMPBLSTONYAttack errEmma McCartney+1.7
73-4STONYSTONYKillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+2.2
83-5STONYCAMPBLKillVictoria Tupyset Hannah Pattie+1.9
94-5CAMPBLSTONY×3BlockedVictoria Tupyblk Avari Amstutz+1.9
105-5STONYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+2.4
116-5STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brookaced Ella Duong+2.6
126-6STONYCAMPBL×6KillEmma McCartneyset Hannah Pattie+2.1
136-7CAMPBLCAMPBL×6KillBreanna McMillanset Aubree Fernandez+2.5
146-8CAMPBLCAMPBL×6BlockedAvari Amstutzblk Maddie Lambers, Breanna McMillan+2.5
156-9CAMPBLCAMPBL×6AceCampbellaced Avari Amstutz+2.3
166-10CAMPBLCAMPBL×6KillEmma McCartneyset Alexis Jodie+2.1
176-11CAMPBLCAMPBL×6KillBreanna McMillanset Alexis Jodie+1.8
187-11CAMPBLSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+1.4
198-11STONYSTONYKillMercedes Mottonset Damisi Osibodu+1.9
208-12STONYCAMPBL×4KillBreanna McMillanset Alexis Jodie+1.9
218-13CAMPBLCAMPBL×4KillElla Duongset Alexis Jodie+1.9
228-14CAMPBLCAMPBL×4KillElla Duongset Alexis Jodie+1.5
238-15CAMPBLCAMPBL×4KillElla Duongset Alexis Jodie+1.2
249-15CAMPBLSTONYServe errCampbell+0.7
259-16STONYCAMPBL×7KillBreanna McMillanset Alexis Jodie+1.0
269-17CAMPBLCAMPBL×7Attack errMopelola Ojo+0.8
279-18CAMPBLCAMPBL×7Attack errTaryn Su+0.5
289-19CAMPBLCAMPBL×7KillElla Duongset Alexis Jodie+0.3
299-20CAMPBLCAMPBL×7BlockedElla Sandersblk Hailey Heytvelt+0.1
309-21CAMPBLCAMPBL×7KillEmma McCartneyset Breanna McMillan+0.1
319-22CAMPBLCAMPBL×7KillHailey Heytveltset Alexis Jodie·
3210-22CAMPBLSTONYServe errCampbell·
3310-23STONYCAMPBLKillBreanna McMillanset Alexis Jodie·
3411-23CAMPBLSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Rayanne Wheat·
3511-24STONYCAMPBLKillHailey Heytveltset Hannah Pattie·
3611-25CAMPBLCAMPBLKillVictoria Tupyset Sadie Johnston·
Set 2
10-1STONYCAMPBLServe errStony Brook+1.7
21-1CAMPBLSTONYServe errCampbell+1.7
32-1STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Emma McCartney+2.1
42-2STONYCAMPBLKillBreanna McMillanset Alexis Jodie+1.8
53-2CAMPBLSTONYAttack errElla Duong+1.8
63-3STONYCAMPBLKillVictoria Tupyset Aubree Fernandez+1.8
73-4CAMPBLCAMPBLKillEmma McCartneyset Hannah Pattie+2.1
84-4CAMPBLSTONYAttack errEmma McCartney+1.8
94-5STONYCAMPBLKillVictoria Tupyset Hailey Heytvelt+1.8
104-6CAMPBLCAMPBLAceCampbellaced Ella Sanders+2.1
115-6CAMPBLSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+1.8
126-6STONYSTONYBlockedVictoria Tupyblk Ella Sanders, Damisi Osibodu+2.3
136-7STONYCAMPBLKillVictoria Tupyset Aubree Fernandez+1.9
147-7CAMPBLSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+2.0
157-8STONYCAMPBL×6BlockedElla Sandersblk Emma McCartney, Maddie Lambers+2.0
167-9CAMPBLCAMPBL×6Bad setTaryn Su+2.3
177-10CAMPBLCAMPBL×6Attack errCarey-Jean Block+2.2
187-11CAMPBLCAMPBL×6KillElla Duongset Aubree Fernandez+2.0
197-12CAMPBLCAMPBL×6Attack errMercedes Motton+1.7
207-13CAMPBLCAMPBL×6BlockedElla Sandersblk Maddie Lambers+1.4
218-13CAMPBLSTONYBlockedEmma McCartneyblk Mopelola Ojo, Ella Sanders+1.0
228-14STONYCAMPBL×5KillMaddie Lambersset Alexis Jodie+1.2
238-15CAMPBLCAMPBL×5KillElla Duongset Sadie Johnston+1.1
248-16CAMPBLCAMPBL×5AceCampbellaced Carey-Jean Block+0.8
258-17CAMPBLCAMPBL×5KillElla Duongset Alexis Jodie+0.5
268-18CAMPBLCAMPBL×5KillElla Duongset Alexis Jodie+0.3
279-18CAMPBLSTONYKillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+0.1
289-19STONYCAMPBLKillAlexis Jodieset Emma McCartney+0.2
2910-19CAMPBLSTONYKillMopelola Ojoset Rayanne Wheat+0.1
3011-19STONYSTONYAttack errVictoria Tupy+0.2
3111-20STONYCAMPBL×3KillHailey Heytveltset Lauren Wheeler+0.3
3211-21CAMPBLCAMPBL×3AceCampbell+0.2
3311-22CAMPBLCAMPBL×3Attack errDamisi Osibodu+0.1
3412-22CAMPBLSTONYKillAvari Amstutzset Rayanne Wheat·
3512-23STONYCAMPBLKillCayla Prohaskaset Sadie Johnston·
3613-23CAMPBLSTONYAttack errMaddie Lambers·
3714-23STONYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Zayda Fuertez·
3814-24STONYCAMPBLKillMaddie Lambersset Lauren Wheeler·
3914-25CAMPBLCAMPBLAttack errDamisi Osibodu·
Set 3
11-0CAMPBLSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Rayanne Wheat+1.1
22-0STONYSTONYAttack errVictoria Tupy+1.3
32-1STONYCAMPBLServe errStony Brook+1.0
43-1CAMPBLSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Rayanne Wheat+1.1
53-2STONYCAMPBLKillEmma McCartneyset Hannah Pattie+1.0
63-3CAMPBLCAMPBLAttack errDamisi Osibodu+1.3
74-3CAMPBLSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Ellery Singleton+1.1
84-4STONYCAMPBLKillHannah Pattieset Ella Duong+1.1
95-4CAMPBLSTONYServe errCampbell+1.2
105-5STONYCAMPBLKillEmma McCartneyset Alexis Jodie+1.1
116-5CAMPBLSTONYKillLeimaile Lasikeset Ellery Singleton+1.2
126-6STONYCAMPBLServe errStony Brook+1.2
137-6CAMPBLSTONYKillAvari Amstutzset Rayanne Wheat+1.2
147-7STONYCAMPBLKillBreanna McMillanset Alexis Jodie+1.2
158-7CAMPBLSTONYAttack errVictoria Tupy+1.3
168-8STONYCAMPBL×6KillHailey Heytveltset Hannah Pattie+1.2
178-9CAMPBLCAMPBL×6KillVictoria Tupyset Hannah Pattie+1.5
188-10CAMPBLCAMPBL×6Attack errMercedes Motton+1.4
198-11CAMPBLCAMPBL×6AceCampbellaced Avari Amstutz+1.3
208-12CAMPBLCAMPBL×6BlockedQuinn Andersonblk Victoria Tupy, Hailey Heytvelt+1.2
218-13CAMPBLCAMPBL×6KillVictoria Tupyset Hannah Pattie+1.0
229-13CAMPBLSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Rayanne Wheat+0.7
239-14STONYCAMPBLKillEmma McCartneyset Aubree Fernandez+0.9
2410-14CAMPBLSTONY×3Serve errCampbell+0.7
2511-14STONYSTONY×3Attack errEmma McCartney+1.1
2612-14STONYSTONY×3Attack errMaddie Lambers+1.3
2712-15STONYCAMPBLKillMaddie Lambersset Hannah Pattie+1.3
2812-16CAMPBLCAMPBLKillEmma McCartneyset Alexis Jodie+1.3
2913-16CAMPBLSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Ellery Singleton+0.9
3013-17STONYCAMPBLKillBreanna McMillanset Emma McCartney+1.1
3114-17CAMPBLSTONY×6KillAvari Amstutzset Ellery Singleton+0.9
3215-17STONYSTONY×6KillAvari Amstutz+1.4
3316-17STONYSTONY×6Attack errBreanna McMillan+1.8
3417-17STONYSTONY×6KillMercedes Mottonset Ayanna Pierre Louis+2.1
3518-17STONYSTONY×6Attack errMaddie Lambers+2.3
3619-17STONYSTONY×6KillMercedes Mottonset Avari Amstutz+2.3
3719-18STONYCAMPBLKillCayla Prohaskaset Alexis Jodie+1.8
3819-19CAMPBLCAMPBLBlockedAvari Amstutzblk Breanna McMillan, Hailey Heytvelt+2.4
3920-19CAMPBLSTONYServe errCampbell+2.3
4020-20STONYCAMPBLKillBreanna McMillanset Alexis Jodie+2.2
4120-21CAMPBLCAMPBLBlockedAyanna Pierre Louisblk Hailey Heytvelt, Cayla Prohaska+2.9
4221-21CAMPBLSTONYKillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat+2.4
4321-22STONYCAMPBL×4KillHailey Heytveltset Hannah Pattie+2.8
4421-23CAMPBLCAMPBL×4KillVictoria Tupyset Hannah Pattie+3.1
4521-24CAMPBLCAMPBL×4KillEmma McCartneyset Aubree Fernandez+2.3
4621-25CAMPBLCAMPBL×4BlockedMercedes Mottonblk Emma McCartney, Hailey Heytvelt, Victoria Tupy+1.0

Score shown after each rally, Stony Brook first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).