Final · 4 setsWed, Oct 21, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Central Ark. def. Austin Peay 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Austin Peay 62.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 21, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Central Ark. won at Austin Peay 3-1 (23-25, 25-23, 25-15, 28-26) on Wed, Oct 21, 2026. Central Ark.'s Greyson Button led with 23 kills, and Ella Chaney added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 21

Set1234Sets
C ARK232525283
A PEAY252315261

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.488 on 41 swings: Greyson Button and Central Ark. edged Austin Peay.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Central Ark.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Austin Peay went in at 63% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Central Ark. 13–17 Austin Peay

    From here Central Ark. won 12 of 18 rallies to take the set 25–23.

    Central Ark. 12% → 40%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Central Ark. 0–3 Austin Peay

    Down 0–3, Central Ark. scored 9 straight to lead 9–3. The match swung to Central Ark.

    Central Ark. 31% → 59%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Central Ark. 25–25 Austin Peay

    Central Ark. closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 28–26 and win the match 3–1.

    Central Ark. 73% → >99%

Austin Peay above 50Central Ark. belowMax swing 16.1%

Central Ark.Austin Peay

Sideout %
Central Ark. 60.0·Austin Peay 53.0
Break %
Central Ark. 47.0·Austin Peay 40.0
Hitting
Central Ark. .234·Austin Peay .178
Longest run
Central Ark. 9·Austin Peay 4

Greyson Button
6 kills inside the turning points, 23 K and .488 for the match (26.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Austin Peay above 50 · Central Ark. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+16.1% C ARKrally 190 · set 4

Biggest swing: 16.1% to Central Ark. — set 4, C ARK 28-26 A PEAY. Attack error by Lauren Wallace. A PEAY win probability 16% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

C ARK 41.9%58.1% A PEAY

Central Ark. wins

3-0
9.4%
3-1
15.4%
3-2
17.1%

Austin Peay wins

3-0
16.2%
3-1
22.1%
3-2
19.8%
C ARK break %
42.2% vs this opp
A PEAY break %
43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lauren WallaceAttack error+16.1%

    Attack error by Lauren Wallace

    Set 4 · C ARK 28-26 A PEAY · C ARK 84% → 100%

  2. 02
    Lauren WallaceKill+15.4%

    Kill by Lauren Wallace (set by Reagan Anderson)

    Set 4 · C ARK 24-24 A PEAY · A PEAY 12% → 27%

  3. 03
    Greyson ButtonKill+11.3%

    Kill by Greyson Button (set by Sophie Skinner)

    Set 4 · C ARK 25-24 A PEAY · C ARK 73% → 84%

  4. 04
    Malena BenzKill+11.3%

    Kill by Malena Benz (set by Sarah Butler)

    Set 4 · C ARK 25-25 A PEAY · A PEAY 16% → 27%

  5. 05
    Greyson ButtonKill+11.3%

    Kill by Greyson Button (set by Sophie Skinner)

    Set 4 · C ARK 26-25 A PEAY · C ARK 73% → 84%

  6. 06

    McKinzee Haas stuffed by Malena Benz & Lauren Wallace

    Set 4 · C ARK 26-26 A PEAY · A PEAY 16% → 27%

  7. 07
    Cree HollierAttack error+11.3%

    Attack error by Cree Hollier

    Set 4 · C ARK 27-26 A PEAY · C ARK 73% → 84%

  8. 08

    Kill by Greyson Button (set by Sophie Skinner)

    Set 2 · C ARK 25-23 A PEAY · C ARK 31% → 40%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
423341.48800010153.526.5
413634.20602211100015
49442.11911414002111
44115.20000030031.55.5
4000–101910000
3004.0001501701222
48528.1071001004210
4002.0004221300002
4000–000000000
3315.4003022310005
Team totals6020171.2345271262321610101
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411837.08100112302112
49219.36800010052.511.5
49426.192200132031.510.5
45316.12510130031.56.5
4011-1.0001510500001
26620.000000100006
410018.55610040031.511.5
41011.0002111600002
4011-1.000013600001
4000–4002520000
23212.083000200003
2001.000701200000
1000–000000000
Team totals5427152.1785137807016889

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Central Ark. vs Austin Peay

Season series · Central Ark. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 C ARK · A PEAY 4

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 C ARKA PEAY 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 C ARKA PEAY 3

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 9 C ARKA PEAY 3

Set 4

28-26

Longest run 4 C ARKA PEAY 4

Bars above the line = Austin Peay leads, below = Central Ark. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Central Ark.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%11/23
44%7/16
2
65%11/17
56%14/25
3
59%10/17
44%8/18
4
57%8/14
47%8/17
5
70%7/10
42%5/12
6
78%7/9
42%5/12
All
60%54/90
47%47/100

Austin Peay

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%11/21
47%8/17
2
58%11/19
42%8/19
3
47%9/19
42%8/19
4
67%8/12
43%6/14
5
64%7/11
38%5/13
6
39%7/18
13%1/8
All
53%53/100
40%36/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

190 rallies

#C ARK-A PEAYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0A PEAYC ARKBlockedNicole Okojieblk Greyson Button+1.8
21-1C ARKA PEAYKillLauren Wallaceset Brooklynn Merrell+1.7
32-1A PEAYC ARKServe errTaylor Sass+1.8
42-2C ARKA PEAYKillCree Hollierset Brooklynn Merrell+1.8
53-2A PEAYC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.9
64-2C ARKC ARKBlockedCree Hollierblk Annie Hopkins, McKinzee Haas+2.6
74-3C ARKA PEAYKillCree Hollierset Brooklynn Merrell+1.8
85-3A PEAYC ARKKillAnnie Hopkinsset Tatelyn Brandsma+2.0
95-4C ARKA PEAYServe errSarah Carnathan+1.8
105-5A PEAYA PEAYBlockedAnnie Hopkinsblk Malena Benz, Lauren Wallace+2.6
116-5A PEAYC ARKBlockedLauren Wallaceblk Annie Hopkins, McKinzee Haas+2.0
126-6C ARKA PEAYKillAlison Coyset Sarah Butler+2.0
137-6A PEAYC ARK×3KillElla Chaneyset Olivia Kremer+2.1
148-6C ARKC ARK×3KillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+2.9
159-6C ARKC ARK×3KillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+2.8
169-7C ARKA PEAYServe errTrinity Hamilton+1.9
1710-7A PEAYC ARKBlockedTaly Cloydblk Greyson Button, Tatelyn Brandsma+2.2
1810-8C ARKA PEAYKillNicole Okojieset Brooklynn Merrell+1.9
1910-9A PEAYA PEAYKillNicole Okojie+2.8
2011-9A PEAYC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+2.3
2111-10C ARKA PEAYServe errOlivia Kremer+2.1
2212-10A PEAYC ARKBlockedNicole Okojieblk Tatelyn Brandsma+2.4
2313-10C ARKC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+3.2
2413-11C ARKA PEAY×4KillCree Hollierset Brooklynn Merrell+2.0
2513-12A PEAYA PEAY×4Attack errSarah Carnathan+3.1
2613-13A PEAYA PEAY×4KillCree Hollierset Sarah Butler+3.3
2713-14A PEAYA PEAY×4KillCree Hollierset Sarah Butler+3.4
2814-14A PEAYC ARKServe errSarah Butler+2.5
2914-15C ARKA PEAYKillAlison Coyset Sarah Butler+2.6
3015-15A PEAYC ARKKillAnnie Hopkinsset Olivia Kremer+2.7
3115-16C ARKA PEAYKillMalena Benzset Sarah Butler+2.8
3216-16A PEAYC ARK×5KillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+2.8
3317-16C ARKC ARK×5BlockedTaly Cloydblk Tatelyn Brandsma, Greyson Button+4.2
3418-16C ARKC ARK×5Attack errLauren Wallace+4.2
3519-16C ARKC ARK×5KillElla Chaneyset Trinity Hamilton+3.9
3620-16C ARKC ARK×5KillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+3.3
3720-17C ARKA PEAY×4KillTaly Cloydset Sarah Butler+1.6
3820-18A PEAYA PEAY×4KillTaly Cloydset Brooklynn Merrell+3.1
3920-19A PEAYA PEAY×4Attack errGreyson Button+4.2
4020-20A PEAYA PEAY×4KillTaly Cloydset Brooklynn Merrell+5.1
4121-20A PEAYC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+4.3
4221-21C ARKA PEAYServe errElla Chaney+4.1
4322-21A PEAYC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+4.9
4422-22C ARKA PEAY×3KillTaly Cloydset Ella Chaney+4.6
4522-23A PEAYA PEAY×3BlockedSarah Carnathanblk Nicole Okojie, Alison Coy+7.5
4622-24A PEAYA PEAY×3KillCree Hollierset Brooklynn Merrell+6.8
4723-24A PEAYC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+2.8
4823-25C ARKA PEAYAttack errAnnie Hopkins+6.5
Set 2
10-1C ARKA PEAY×3Attack errElla Chaney+1.5
20-2A PEAYA PEAY×3BlockedElla Chaneyblk Nicole Okojie, Lauren Wallace+2.0
30-3A PEAYA PEAY×3KillNicole Okojieset Brooklynn Merrell+1.9
41-3A PEAYC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.3
51-4C ARKA PEAYKillLauren Wallaceset Reagan Anderson+1.4
62-4A PEAYC ARKServe errTaylor Sass+1.3
73-4C ARKC ARKAttack errTaly Cloyd+2.0
83-5C ARKA PEAYServe errElla Chaney+1.5
94-5A PEAYC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.5
104-6C ARKA PEAYKillNicole Okojieset Brooklynn Merrell+1.6
115-6A PEAYC ARKKillMcKinzee Haasset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.6
125-7C ARKA PEAYServe errTatelyn Brandsma+1.6
136-7A PEAYC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Olivia Kremer+1.6
146-8C ARKA PEAYKillMalena Benzset Sarah Butler+1.7
156-9A PEAYA PEAYKillSarah Butlerset Malena Benz+2.1
167-9A PEAYC ARKServe errAlison Coy+1.5
177-10C ARKA PEAYKillTaly Cloydset Reagan Anderson+1.6
187-11A PEAYA PEAYAceBrooklynn Merrellaced Sarah Carnathan+1.9
198-11A PEAYC ARK×4KillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.3
209-11C ARKC ARK×4Attack errTaly Cloyd+2.0
2110-11C ARKC ARK×4Attack errTaly Cloyd+2.4
2211-11C ARKC ARK×4Attack errBrooklynn Merrell+2.7
2311-12C ARKA PEAY×3KillLauren Wallaceset Brooklynn Merrell+2.0
2411-13A PEAYA PEAY×3KillNicole Okojieset Brooklynn Merrell+2.7
2511-14A PEAYA PEAY×3Attack errGreyson Button+2.4
2612-14A PEAYC ARKBlockedTaly Cloydblk Ella Chaney, Greyson Button+1.6
2713-14C ARKC ARKKillGreyson Button+2.6
2813-15C ARKA PEAY×3Serve errElla Chaney+2.1
2913-16A PEAYA PEAY×3Attack errGreyson Button+2.6
3013-17A PEAYA PEAY×3Attack errSarah Carnathan+2.2
3114-17A PEAYC ARK×3KillSarah Carnathanset Sophie Skinner+1.3
3215-17C ARKC ARK×3KillSarah Carnathanset Sophie Skinner+2.3
3316-17C ARKC ARK×3AceOlivia Kremeraced Cree Hollier+2.9
3416-18C ARKA PEAYServe errOlivia Kremer+2.5
3517-18A PEAYC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Sophie Skinner+2.3
3618-18C ARKC ARKAttack errAlison Coy+3.8
3718-19C ARKA PEAYServe errSophie Skinner+3.0
3819-19A PEAYC ARKKillMcKinzee Haasset Sophie Skinner+3.0
3919-20C ARKA PEAYKillAlison Coyset Sarah Butler+3.2
4020-20A PEAYC ARKKillAnnie Hopkinsset Sophie Skinner+3.2
4120-21C ARKA PEAYKillLauren Wallaceset Sarah Butler+3.6
4221-21A PEAYC ARK×3KillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+3.6
4322-21C ARKC ARK×3KillSophie Skinnerset Ella Chaney+5.8
4423-21C ARKC ARK×3BlockedLauren Wallaceblk Ella Chaney, Greyson Button+5.8
4523-22C ARKA PEAYKillTaly Cloydset Brooklynn Merrell+3.0
4623-23A PEAYA PEAYAceTaylor Sassaced Trinity Hamilton+6.6
4724-23A PEAYC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+6.5
4825-23C ARKC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+9.2
Set 3
10-1A PEAYA PEAY×3KillSianna Dykesset Lauren Wallace+3.1
20-2A PEAYA PEAY×3KillCree Hollierset Brooklynn Merrell+3.0
30-3A PEAYA PEAY×3KillCree Hollierset Brooklynn Merrell+2.9
41-3A PEAYC ARK×9Attack errSianna Dykes+2.0
52-3C ARKC ARK×9KillSarah Carnathanset Sophie Skinner+3.0
63-3C ARKC ARK×9BlockedCree Hollierblk Annie Hopkins, Greyson Button+3.3
74-3C ARKC ARK×9Attack errTaylor Sass+3.5
85-3C ARKC ARK×9KillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+3.6
96-3C ARKC ARK×9KillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+3.6
107-3C ARKC ARK×9KillAnnie Hopkinsset Sophie Skinner+3.4
118-3C ARKC ARK×9KillElla Chaneyset Annie Hopkins+3.2
129-3C ARKC ARK×9KillAnnie Hopkinsset McKinzee Haas+2.8
139-4C ARKA PEAYKillNicole Okojieset Gianna Tagoa'i+1.6
149-5A PEAYA PEAYKillNicole Okojieset Gianna Tagoa'i+2.7
1510-5A PEAYC ARK×3KillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+2.4
1611-5C ARKC ARK×3Attack errAlison Coy+2.8
1712-5C ARKC ARK×3Attack errCree Hollier+2.3
1812-6C ARKA PEAYKillCree Hollierset Gianna Tagoa'i+1.2
1912-7A PEAYA PEAYAceSarah Butleraced Sophie Skinner+2.2
2013-7A PEAYC ARK×3KillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+2.1
2114-7C ARKC ARK×3KillSarah Carnathanset Sophie Skinner+2.2
2215-7C ARKC ARK×3Attack errCree Hollier+1.6
2315-8C ARKA PEAYServe errElla Chaney+0.8
2416-8A PEAYC ARKServe errCree Hollier+1.2
2517-8C ARKC ARKKillSophie Skinnerset Sophie Skinner+1.0
2617-9C ARKA PEAYKillLauren Wallaceset Sarah Butler+0.4
2717-10A PEAYA PEAYKillMalena Benzset Sarah Butler+0.9
2818-10A PEAYC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Sophie Skinner+1.0
2918-11C ARKA PEAYKillSianna Dykesset Sarah Butler+0.6
3019-11A PEAYC ARKKillMcKinzee Haasset Sophie Skinner+0.9
3119-12C ARKA PEAYKillNicole Okojieset Gianna Tagoa'i+0.5
3220-12A PEAYC ARKKillAnnie Hopkinsset Sophie Skinner+0.8
3321-12C ARKC ARKAttack errSianna Dykes+0.5
3421-13C ARKA PEAYKillNicole Okojieset Gianna Tagoa'i+0.2
3522-13A PEAYC ARKAttack errAlison Coy+0.3
3623-13C ARKC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+0.1
3723-14C ARKA PEAYBlockedElla Chaneyblk Nicole Okojie, Alison Coy·
3823-15A PEAYA PEAYKillMalena Benzset Alison Coy+0.1
3924-15A PEAYC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+0.1
4025-15C ARKC ARKAceElla Chaneyaced Reagan Anderson·
Set 4
10-1C ARKA PEAY×3KillAlison Coyset Sarah Butler+2.6
20-2A PEAYA PEAY×3KillMalena Benzset Sarah Butler+3.5
30-3A PEAYA PEAY×3KillCree Hollierset Sarah Butler+3.2
41-3A PEAYC ARKKillAnnie Hopkinsset Sophie Skinner+2.3
51-4C ARKA PEAYKillMalena Benzset Sarah Butler+2.4
62-4A PEAYC ARK×3KillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+2.3
73-4C ARKC ARK×3KillSarah Carnathanset Sophie Skinner+3.5
84-4C ARKC ARK×3KillSarah Carnathan+3.9
94-5C ARKA PEAYKillAlison Coyset Lauren Wallace+2.9
104-6A PEAYA PEAYKillLauren Wallaceset Sarah Butler+3.8
115-6A PEAYC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+2.7
125-7C ARKA PEAY×4KillMalena Benzset Sophie Skinner+2.8
135-8A PEAYA PEAY×4KillSianna Dykesset Gianna Tagoa'i+3.6
145-9A PEAYA PEAY×4Attack errSarah Carnathan+3.2
155-10A PEAYA PEAY×4Attack errSophie Skinner+2.8
166-10A PEAYC ARKKillSophie Skinnerset Gianna Tagoa'i+1.7
176-11C ARKA PEAYKillLauren Wallaceset Gianna Tagoa'i+2.0
187-11A PEAYC ARK×4KillAnnie Hopkinsset Sophie Skinner+1.7
198-11C ARKC ARK×4KillSarah Carnathanset Sophie Skinner+2.9
209-11C ARKC ARK×4AceSarah Carnathanaced Lauren Wallace+3.6
2110-11C ARKC ARK×4BlockedCree Hollierblk Annie Hopkins, McKinzee Haas+4.2
2210-12C ARKA PEAYServe errSarah Carnathan+3.3
2311-12A PEAYC ARKAttack errCree Hollier+3.2
2412-12C ARKC ARKKillGreyson Button+4.9
2512-13C ARKA PEAYAttack errElla Chaney+3.7
2613-13A PEAYC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+3.8
2713-14C ARKA PEAYKillMalena Benzset Sarah Butler+3.9
2814-14A PEAYC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Olivia Kremer+3.9
2914-15C ARKA PEAYBlockedSarah Carnathanblk Malena Benz, Alison Coy+4.0
3015-15A PEAYC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+4.1
3116-15C ARKC ARKAceOlivia Kremeraced Cree Hollier+6.1
3216-16C ARKA PEAYKillLauren Wallaceset Sarah Butler+4.3
3317-16A PEAYC ARK×3Serve errGianna Tagoa'i+4.8
3418-16C ARKC ARK×3AceSophie Skinneraced Lauren Wallace+6.6
3519-16C ARKC ARK×3AceSophie Skinneraced Cree Hollier+6.1
3619-17C ARKA PEAYServe errSophie Skinner+3.5
3719-18A PEAYA PEAYAttack errSarah Carnathan+6.1
3820-18A PEAYC ARK×3Serve errTaylor Sass+5.6
3921-18C ARKC ARK×3Attack errCree Hollier+6.7
4022-18C ARKC ARK×3AceSarah Carnathanaced Reagan Anderson+5.0
4122-19C ARKA PEAYBlockedAnnie Hopkinsblk Cree Hollier, Nicole Okojie+2.1
4222-20A PEAYA PEAYBlockedAnnie Hopkinsblk Cree Hollier, Nicole Okojie+4.6
4323-20A PEAYC ARKKillMcKinzee Haasset Sophie Skinner+5.5
4423-21C ARKA PEAYKillCree Hollierset Reagan Anderson+3.0
4523-22A PEAYA PEAYAttack errAnnie Hopkins+7.2
4624-22A PEAYC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+8.9
4724-23C ARKA PEAYKillMalena Benzset Sarah Butler+4.9
4824-24A PEAYA PEAYKillLauren Wallaceset Reagan Anderson+15.4
4925-24A PEAYC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+11.3
5025-25C ARKA PEAYKillMalena Benzset Sarah Butler+11.3
5126-25A PEAYC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+11.3
5226-26C ARKA PEAYBlockedMcKinzee Haasblk Malena Benz, Lauren Wallace+11.3
5327-26A PEAYC ARKAttack errCree Hollier+11.3
5428-26C ARKC ARKAttack errLauren Wallace+16.1

Score shown after each rally, Central Ark. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).