FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayAMERICA-EAST

3:0

HomePATRIOT

New Hampshire def. Bucknell 3–0

(25-17, 25-20, 25-20)

Set	1	2*	3	Sets
UNH	25	25	25	3
BUCKNL	17	20	20	0

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BUCKNL above 50 · UNH below

Biggest swing: 1.6% to New Hampshire — set 2, UNH 18-16 BUCKNL. Attack error by Cameron Lloyd. BUCKNL win probability 7% → 6%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UNH 85.6%14.4% BUCKNL

New Hampshire wins

3-0

37.9%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

16.3%

Bucknell wins

3-0

2.1%

3-1

4.6%

3-2

7.7%

UNH break %: 47.9% vs this opp
BUCKNL break %: 39.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Cameron LloydAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Cameron Lloyd
Set 2 · UNH 18-16 BUCKNL · UNH 93% → 94%
02
Emma ConverseKill+1.5%
Kill by Emma Converse (set by Jessica Shattles)
Set 2 · UNH 13-13 BUCKNL · UNH 90% → 91%
03
Marion HaskellAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Marion Haskell
Set 2 · UNH 12-13 BUCKNL · UNH 88% → 90%
04
Jessica ShattlesAttack error+1.5%
Jessica Shattles stuffed by Stephanie Eroh & Cameron Lloyd
Set 2 · UNH 6-11 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 13% → 15%
05
UNH serverAce+1.5%
New Hampshire ace on Kaitlyn Taylor
Set 2 · UNH 14-13 BUCKNL · UNH 91% → 93%
06
UNH serverAce+1.5%
New Hampshire ace on Kaitlyn Taylor
Set 2 · UNH 11-13 BUCKNL · UNH 87% → 88%
07
BUCKNL serverAce+1.4%
Bucknell ace on Vivien Affeldt
Set 2 · UNH 3-7 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 11% → 13%
08
Marion HaskellKill+1.4%
Kill by Marion Haskell (set by Peyton McGee)
Set 2 · UNH 6-12 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 15% → 16%

Official NCAA box

Box score

New Hampshireaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Rachel GrierMB	3	11	1	22	.455	0	3	1	2	0	2	1	15
8Emma ConverseOH	3	8	4	19	.211	0	2	0	5	1	1	0.5	10.5
17Olivia MauldingMB	3	7	1	14	.429	0	2	0	2	0	2	1	10
18Evelyn BrentonMB	3	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
22Jessica ShattlesS	3	0	1	4	-.250	26	3	0	9	0	3	1.5	4.5
11Julianne LeeOH	3	4	5	21	-.048	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4
20Hady PickardL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	9	0	0	0	1
3Dylan HuntOH	3	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	0
19Varvara ZverevaMB	2	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
1Miray Su KeskinL/DS	2	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
21Vivien AffeldtL/DS	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0
Team totals		37	14	95	.242	29	11	4	38	4	12	6	75

Bucknellhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
1Sidney ShafferMB	3	10	2	17	.471	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
15Marion HaskellOPP	3	7	4	25	.120	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
22Cameron LloydOH	3	5	3	20	.100	0	2	0	9	2	1	0.5	7.5
2Kaitlyn TaylorOH	3	5	4	18	.056	1	1	3	4	4	0	0	6
4Peyton McGeeS	3	4	0	8	.500	22	1	1	6	0	0	0	5
17Stephanie ErohMB	3	4	1	7	.429	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
33Katie O'SullivanL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	4	0	2	11	1	0	0	0
5Isabella CharltonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	2	2	0	0	0
12Emerson SpringsOH	2	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Klea TarjaOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
9Sarah HilliardOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	15	98	.204	27	4	11	36	11	4	2	57

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 UNH · BUCKNL 7

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 4 UNHBUCKNL 3

Set 2*

25-20

Longest run 5 UNHBUCKNL 4

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 6 UNHBUCKNL 7

Bars above the line = Bucknell leads, below = New Hampshire leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

New Hampshire

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	64%9/14
2	80%4/5	50%4/8
3	100%4/4	20%1/5
4	100%4/4	20%1/5
5	40%4/10	56%5/9
6	67%4/6	56%5/9
All	68%25/37	50%25/50

Bucknell

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	36%5/14	33%2/6
2	50%4/8	38%3/8
3	80%4/5	20%1/5
4	80%4/5	0%0/4
5	44%4/9	0%0/4
6	44%4/9	60%6/10
All	50%25/50	32%12/37

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

132 rallies

Rally log

#	UNH-BUCKNL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Peyton McGee	+1.2
2	1-1	BUCKNL	UNH×3	Kill	Julianne Lee	set Jessica Shattles	+1.1
3	2-1	UNH	UNH×3	Attack err	Sidney Shaffer	blk Olivia Maulding, Evelyn Brenton	+1.3
4	3-1	UNH	UNH×3	Kill	Emma Converse	set Dylan Hunt	+1.2
5	3-2	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Peyton McGee	+1.0
6	4-2	BUCKNL	UNH	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+0.9
7	4-3	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Kaitlyn Taylor	+1.0
8	5-3	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier	set Jessica Shattles	+1.0
9	5-4	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Isabella Charlton	+1.0
10	6-4	BUCKNL	UNH	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+1.0
11	6-5	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Peyton McGee	+1.0
12	7-5	BUCKNL	UNH×4	Attack err	Marion Haskell		+1.0
13	8-5	UNH	UNH×4	Kill	Julianne Lee	set Jessica Shattles	+1.2
14	9-5	UNH	UNH×4	Attack err	Kaitlyn Taylor	blk Jessica Shattles, Evelyn Brenton	+1.0
15	10-5	UNH	UNH×4	Ace	UNH server	aced Cameron Lloyd	+0.8
16	10-6	UNH	BUCKNL	Serve err	UNH server		+0.6
17	11-6	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Emma Converse		+0.6
18	12-6	UNH	UNH	Kill	Emma Converse	set Hady Pickard	+0.6
19	12-7	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Stephanie Eroh	set Peyton McGee	+0.4
20	12-8	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Attack err	Evelyn Brenton		+0.7
21	13-8	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Julianne Lee	set Jessica Shattles	+0.6
22	14-8	UNH	UNH	Kill	Evelyn Brenton	set Jessica Shattles	+0.6
23	14-9	UNH	BUCKNL	Attack err	Dylan Hunt		+0.4
24	15-9	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Olivia Maulding	set Jessica Shattles	+0.5
25	16-9	UNH	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier		+0.4
26	16-10	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Peyton McGee	set Peyton McGee	+0.2
27	17-10	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier	set Jessica Shattles	+0.3
28	17-11	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Cameron Lloyd		+0.2
29	18-11	BUCKNL	UNH×4	Kill	Emma Converse	set Jessica Shattles	+0.3
30	19-11	UNH	UNH×4	Kill	Rachel Grier	set Jessica Shattles	+0.2
31	20-11	UNH	UNH×4	Kill	Rachel Grier		+0.1
32	21-11	UNH	UNH×4	Ace	UNH server	aced Isabella Charlton	+0.0
33	21-12	UNH	BUCKNL	Attack err	Julianne Lee		+0.0
34	22-12	BUCKNL	UNH	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+0.0
35	22-13	UNH	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Katie O'Sullivan	+0.0
36	22-14	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Ace	BUCKNL server	aced Vivien Affeldt	+0.0
37	22-15	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Attack err	Julianne Lee		+0.1
38	23-15	BUCKNL	UNH	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+0.1
39	24-15	UNH	UNH	Attack err	Cameron Lloyd	blk Olivia Maulding, Evelyn Brenton	+0.0
40	24-16	UNH	BUCKNL	Attack err	Emma Converse		+0.0
41	24-17	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer		+0.0
42	25-17	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Emma Converse	set Hady Pickard	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	BUCKNL	UNH	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+0.7
2	1-1	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Stephanie Eroh	set Peyton McGee	+0.8
3	1-2	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Attack err	Olivia Maulding		+1.1
4	2-2	BUCKNL	UNH	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+0.8
5	2-3	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Peyton McGee		+0.9
6	3-3	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier	set Katie O'Sullivan	+0.8
7	3-4	UNH	BUCKNL×4	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.9
8	3-5	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.3
9	3-6	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×4	Ace	BUCKNL server	aced Emma Converse	+1.3
10	3-7	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×4	Ace	BUCKNL server	aced Vivien Affeldt	+1.4
11	4-7	BUCKNL	UNH	Attack err	Kaitlyn Taylor		+0.9
12	4-8	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+1.1
13	5-8	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Julianne Lee	set Hady Pickard	+0.9
14	5-9	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Peyton McGee	set Jessica Shattles	+1.2
15	6-9	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Miray Su Keskin	set Jessica Shattles	+0.9
16	6-10	UNH	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Katie O'Sullivan	+1.2
17	6-11	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Attack err	Jessica Shattles	blk Stephanie Eroh, Cameron Lloyd	+1.5
18	6-12	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Peyton McGee	+1.4
19	7-12	BUCKNL	UNH×3	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+0.8
20	8-12	UNH	UNH×3	Ace	UNH server	aced Kaitlyn Taylor	+1.2
21	9-12	UNH	UNH×3	Kill	Emma Converse	set Hady Pickard	+1.3
22	9-13	UNH	BUCKNL	Attack err	Emma Converse		+1.3
23	10-13	BUCKNL	UNH×5	Attack err	Sidney Shaffer		+1.0
24	11-13	UNH	UNH×5	Ace	UNH server	aced Kaitlyn Taylor	+1.5
25	12-13	UNH	UNH×5	Attack err	Marion Haskell		+1.5
26	13-13	UNH	UNH×5	Kill	Emma Converse	set Jessica Shattles	+1.5
27	14-13	UNH	UNH×5	Ace	UNH server	aced Kaitlyn Taylor	+1.5
28	14-14	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Peyton McGee	+1.2
29	15-14	BUCKNL	UNH	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+1.2
30	15-15	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+1.3
31	16-15	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier	set Jessica Shattles	+1.2
32	16-16	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+1.4
33	17-16	BUCKNL	UNH	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+1.3
34	18-16	UNH	UNH	Attack err	Cameron Lloyd		+1.6
35	18-17	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Stephanie Eroh	set Peyton McGee	+1.2
36	19-17	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Varvara Zvereva	set Jessica Shattles	+1.3
37	20-17	UNH	UNH	Attack err	Stephanie Eroh	blk Emma Converse, Varvara Zvereva	+1.3
38	20-18	UNH	BUCKNL	Serve err	UNH server		+0.9
39	21-18	BUCKNL	UNH	Bad set	Peyton McGee		+1.1
40	22-18	UNH	UNH	Kill	Olivia Maulding	set Jessica Shattles	+0.9
41	22-19	UNH	BUCKNL	Serve err	UNH server		+0.5
42	23-19	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier	set Jessica Shattles	+0.7
43	23-20	UNH	BUCKNL	Attack err	Emma Converse	blk Sidney Shaffer, Marion Haskell	+0.4
44	24-20	BUCKNL	UNH	Attack err	Cameron Lloyd	blk Rachel Grier, Jessica Shattles	+0.6
45	25-20	UNH	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier		+0.2
Set 3
1	0-1	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Peyton McGee	+0.4
2	1-1	BUCKNL	UNH	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+0.4
3	2-1	UNH	UNH	Kill	Varvara Zvereva	set Jessica Shattles	+0.5
4	2-2	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Peyton McGee	+0.4
5	3-2	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Emma Converse	set Jessica Shattles	+0.4
6	3-3	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Peyton McGee	+0.4
7	4-3	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier	set Jessica Shattles	+0.4
8	5-3	UNH	UNH	Attack err	Emerson Springs		+0.4
9	5-4	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.4
10	6-4	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier	set Jessica Shattles	+0.3
11	6-5	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Stephanie Eroh	set Peyton McGee	+0.4
12	7-5	BUCKNL	UNH	Attack err	Marion Haskell		+0.4
13	7-6	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Peyton McGee		+0.4
14	8-6	BUCKNL	UNH×6	Kill	Evelyn Brenton	set Jessica Shattles	+0.4
15	9-6	UNH	UNH×6	Kill	Olivia Maulding	set Jessica Shattles	+0.4
16	10-6	UNH	UNH×6	Attack err	Marion Haskell		+0.4
17	11-6	UNH	UNH×6	Ace	UNH server	aced Team	+0.3
18	12-6	UNH	UNH×6	Ace	UNH server	aced Kaitlyn Taylor	+0.2
19	13-6	UNH	UNH×6	Ace	UNH server	aced Katie O'Sullivan	+0.2
20	13-7	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Peyton McGee	+0.1
21	13-8	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Attack err	Julianne Lee		+0.2
22	14-8	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Evelyn Brenton	set Jessica Shattles	+0.2
23	14-9	UNH	BUCKNL	Serve err	UNH server		+0.1
24	14-10	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer		+0.2
25	15-10	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Olivia Maulding	set Jessica Shattles	+0.2
26	15-11	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.2
27	16-11	BUCKNL	UNH	Kill	Olivia Maulding	set Jessica Shattles	+0.2
28	16-12	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Peyton McGee	+0.2
29	17-12	BUCKNL	UNH×3	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+0.2
30	18-12	UNH	UNH×3	Ace	UNH server	aced Isabella Charlton	+0.2
31	19-12	UNH	UNH×3	Attack err	Kaitlyn Taylor		+0.1
32	19-13	UNH	BUCKNL×7	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Katie O'Sullivan	+0.1
33	19-14	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×7	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Katie O'Sullivan	+0.1
34	19-15	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×7	Attack err	Julianne Lee		+0.2
35	19-16	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×7	Attack err	Julianne Lee		+0.3
36	19-17	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×7	Attack err	Rachel Grier		+0.5
37	19-18	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×7	Ace	BUCKNL server	aced Team	+0.8
38	19-19	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×7	Attack err	Emma Converse		+1.0
39	20-19	BUCKNL	UNH×3	Attack err	Kaitlyn Taylor	blk Rachel Grier, Jessica Shattles	+0.8
40	21-19	UNH	UNH×3	Ace	UNH server	aced Cameron Lloyd	+0.9
41	22-19	UNH	UNH×3	Ace	UNH server	aced Team	+0.7
42	22-20	UNH	BUCKNL	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Peyton McGee	+0.4
43	23-20	BUCKNL	UNH×3	Kill	Evelyn Brenton	set Jessica Shattles	+0.6
44	24-20	UNH	UNH×3	Kill	Olivia Maulding	set Jessica Shattles	+0.4
45	25-20	UNH	UNH×3	Kill	Olivia Maulding	set Jessica Shattles	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, New Hampshire first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.