FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026 · Neutral site

New Hampshire def. Bucknell 3–0

New Hampshire beat Bucknell 3-0 (25-17, 25-20, 25-20) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026 at a neutral site. New Hampshire's Rachel Grier led with 11 kills.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set123Sets
UNH2525253
BUCKNL1720200

Win probability

Bucknell above 50 · New Hampshire below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.4% UNHrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.4% to New Hampshire — set 2, UNH 18-16 BUCKNL. Attack error by Cameron Lloyd. BUCKNL win probability 13% → 10%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNH 75.2%24.8% BUCKNL

New Hampshire wins

3-0
27.2%
3-1
28.7%
3-2
19.3%

Bucknell wins

3-0
4.4%
3-1
8.5%
3-2
12.0%
UNH break %
46.1% vs this opp
BUCKNL break %
40.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Cameron LloydAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Cameron Lloyd

    Set 2 · UNH 18-16 BUCKNL · UNH 87% → 90%

  2. 02
    Emma ConverseKill+2.2%

    Kill by Emma Converse (set by Jessica Shattles)

    Set 2 · UNH 13-13 BUCKNL · UNH 83% → 85%

  3. 03
    New HampshireAce+2.2%

    New Hampshire ace on Kaitlyn Taylor

    Set 2 · UNH 14-13 BUCKNL · UNH 85% → 87%

  4. 04
    Marion HaskellAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Marion Haskell

    Set 2 · UNH 12-13 BUCKNL · UNH 81% → 83%

  5. 05

    Stephanie Eroh stuffed by Emma Converse & Varvara Zvereva

    Set 2 · UNH 20-17 BUCKNL · UNH 90% → 92%

  6. 06
    New HampshireAce+2.0%

    New Hampshire ace on Kaitlyn Taylor

    Set 2 · UNH 11-13 BUCKNL · UNH 79% → 81%

  7. 07
    BucknellService error+2.0%

    Bucknell service error

    Set 2 · UNH 17-16 BUCKNL · UNH 85% → 87%

  8. 08

    Kill by Varvara Zvereva (set by Jessica Shattles)

    Set 2 · UNH 19-17 BUCKNL · UNH 88% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311122.4550312002115
38419.21102051010.510.5
37114.4290202002110
3418.37500000031.55.5
3014-.250263090031.54.5
34521-.048000100004
3000–311900001
3012-.500002700000
22021.00000000010.52.5
21011.000000200001
2002.000000120000
Team totals371495.24229114384012675
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310217.47100200010.510.5
37425.12000010010.57.5
35320.10002092010.57.5
35418.056113440006
3408.5002211600005
3417.42900000010.54.5
3002.0004021110000
3000–002220000
2011-1.000000000000
1000–000300000
1000–001000000
Team totals351598.20427411361104257

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UNH · BUCKNL 7

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 4 UNHBUCKNL 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 UNHBUCKNL 4

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 6 UNHBUCKNL 7

Bars above the line = Bucknell leads, below = New Hampshire leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Hampshire

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
64%9/14
2
80%4/5
50%4/8
3
100%4/4
20%1/5
4
100%4/4
20%1/5
5
40%4/10
56%5/9
6
67%4/6
56%5/9
All
68%25/37
50%25/50

Bucknell

SlotSideout %Break %
1
36%5/14
33%2/6
2
50%4/8
38%3/8
3
80%4/5
20%1/5
4
80%4/5
0%0/4
5
44%4/9
0%0/4
6
44%4/9
60%6/10
All
50%25/50
32%12/37

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#UNH-BUCKNLSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UNHBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.6
21-1BUCKNLUNH×3KillJulianne Leeset Jessica Shattles+1.5
32-1UNHUNH×3BlockedSidney Shafferblk Olivia Maulding, Evelyn Brenton+1.9
43-1UNHUNH×3KillEmma Converseset Dylan Hunt+1.8
53-2UNHBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.4
64-2BUCKNLUNHServe errBucknell+1.4
74-3UNHBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Kaitlyn Taylor+1.4
85-3BUCKNLUNHKillRachel Grierset Jessica Shattles+1.4
95-4UNHBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Isabella Charlton+1.4
106-4BUCKNLUNHServe errBucknell+1.4
116-5UNHBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+1.5
127-5BUCKNLUNH×4Attack errMarion Haskell+1.5
138-5UNHUNH×4KillJulianne Leeset Jessica Shattles+1.8
149-5UNHUNH×4BlockedKaitlyn Taylorblk Jessica Shattles, Evelyn Brenton+1.5
1510-5UNHUNH×4AceNew Hampshireaced Cameron Lloyd+1.3
1610-6UNHBUCKNLServe errNew Hampshire+0.9
1711-6BUCKNLUNHKillEmma Converse+1.0
1812-6UNHUNHKillEmma Converseset Hady Pickard+1.0
1912-7UNHBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+0.7
2012-8BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errEvelyn Brenton+1.1
2113-8BUCKNLUNHKillJulianne Leeset Jessica Shattles+1.0
2214-8UNHUNHKillEvelyn Brentonset Jessica Shattles+1.0
2314-9UNHBUCKNLAttack errDylan Hunt+0.6
2415-9BUCKNLUNHKillOlivia Mauldingset Jessica Shattles+0.8
2516-9UNHUNHKillRachel Grier+0.7
2616-10UNHBUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Peyton McGee+0.4
2717-10BUCKNLUNHKillRachel Grierset Jessica Shattles+0.5
2817-11UNHBUCKNLKillCameron Lloyd+0.4
2918-11BUCKNLUNH×4KillEmma Converseset Jessica Shattles+0.5
3019-11UNHUNH×4KillRachel Grierset Jessica Shattles+0.4
3120-11UNHUNH×4KillRachel Grier+0.2
3221-11UNHUNH×4AceNew Hampshireaced Isabella Charlton+0.1
3321-12UNHBUCKNLAttack errJulianne Lee·
3422-12BUCKNLUNHServe errBucknell·
3522-13UNHBUCKNL×3KillKaitlyn Taylorset Katie O'Sullivan·
3622-14BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknellaced Vivien Affeldt·
3722-15BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errJulianne Lee+0.1
3823-15BUCKNLUNHServe errBucknell+0.1
3924-15UNHUNHBlockedCameron Lloydblk Olivia Maulding, Evelyn Brenton·
4024-16UNHBUCKNLAttack errEmma Converse·
4124-17BUCKNLBUCKNLKillSidney Shaffer·
4225-17BUCKNLUNHKillEmma Converseset Hady Pickard·
Set 2
11-0BUCKNLUNHServe errBucknell+1.1
21-1UNHBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+1.2
31-2BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errOlivia Maulding+1.6
42-2BUCKNLUNHServe errBucknell+1.2
52-3UNHBUCKNLKillPeyton McGee+1.3
63-3BUCKNLUNHKillRachel Grierset Katie O'Sullivan+1.2
73-4UNHBUCKNL×4KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.3
83-5BUCKNL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.8
93-6BUCKNLBUCKNL×4AceBucknellaced Emma Converse+1.9
103-7BUCKNLBUCKNL×4AceBucknellaced Vivien Affeldt+1.9
114-7BUCKNLUNHAttack errKaitlyn Taylor+1.2
124-8UNHBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.5
135-8BUCKNLUNHKillJulianne Leeset Hady Pickard+1.3
145-9UNHBUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Jessica Shattles+1.5
156-9BUCKNLUNHKillMiray Su Keskinset Jessica Shattles+1.3
166-10UNHBUCKNL×3KillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+1.6
176-11BUCKNLBUCKNL×3BlockedJessica Shattlesblk Stephanie Eroh, Cameron Lloyd+1.9
186-12BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.7
197-12BUCKNLUNH×3Serve errBucknell+1.0
208-12UNHUNH×3AceNew Hampshireaced Kaitlyn Taylor+1.5
219-12UNHUNH×3KillEmma Converseset Hady Pickard+1.7
229-13UNHBUCKNLAttack errEmma Converse+1.7
2310-13BUCKNLUNH×5Attack errSidney Shaffer+1.3
2411-13UNHUNH×5AceNew Hampshireaced Kaitlyn Taylor+2.0
2512-13UNHUNH×5Attack errMarion Haskell+2.2
2613-13UNHUNH×5KillEmma Converseset Jessica Shattles+2.2
2714-13UNHUNH×5AceNew Hampshireaced Kaitlyn Taylor+2.2
2814-14UNHBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.8
2915-14BUCKNLUNHServe errBucknell+1.8
3015-15UNHBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.9
3116-15BUCKNLUNHKillRachel Grierset Jessica Shattles+1.9
3216-16UNHBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.0
3317-16BUCKNLUNHServe errBucknell+2.0
3418-16UNHUNHAttack errCameron Lloyd+2.4
3518-17UNHBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+1.8
3619-17BUCKNLUNHKillVarvara Zverevaset Jessica Shattles+2.0
3720-17UNHUNHBlockedStephanie Erohblk Emma Converse, Varvara Zvereva+2.1
3820-18UNHBUCKNLServe errNew Hampshire+1.3
3921-18BUCKNLUNHBad setPeyton McGee+1.7
4022-18UNHUNHKillOlivia Mauldingset Jessica Shattles+1.6
4122-19UNHBUCKNLServe errNew Hampshire+0.7
4223-19BUCKNLUNHKillRachel Grierset Jessica Shattles+1.1
4323-20UNHBUCKNLBlockedEmma Converseblk Sidney Shaffer, Marion Haskell+0.6
4424-20BUCKNLUNHBlockedCameron Lloydblk Rachel Grier, Jessica Shattles+1.0
4525-20UNHUNHKillRachel Grier+0.4
Set 3
10-1UNHBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.7
21-1BUCKNLUNHServe errBucknell+0.6
32-1UNHUNHKillVarvara Zverevaset Jessica Shattles+0.8
42-2UNHBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.6
53-2BUCKNLUNHKillEmma Converseset Jessica Shattles+0.6
63-3UNHBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+0.6
74-3BUCKNLUNHKillRachel Grierset Jessica Shattles+0.6
85-3UNHUNHAttack errEmerson Springs+0.8
95-4UNHBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.6
106-4BUCKNLUNHKillRachel Grierset Jessica Shattles+0.6
116-5UNHBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+0.6
127-5BUCKNLUNHAttack errMarion Haskell+0.6
137-6UNHBUCKNLKillPeyton McGee+0.6
148-6BUCKNLUNH×6KillEvelyn Brentonset Jessica Shattles+0.6
159-6UNHUNH×6KillOlivia Mauldingset Jessica Shattles+0.8
1610-6UNHUNH×6Attack errMarion Haskell+0.7
1711-6UNHUNH×6AceNew Hampshire+0.5
1812-6UNHUNH×6AceNew Hampshireaced Kaitlyn Taylor+0.4
1913-6UNHUNH×6AceNew Hampshireaced Katie O'Sullivan+0.3
2013-7UNHBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.2
2113-8BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errJulianne Lee+0.3
2214-8BUCKNLUNHKillEvelyn Brentonset Jessica Shattles+0.3
2314-9UNHBUCKNLServe errNew Hampshire+0.3
2414-10BUCKNLBUCKNLKillSidney Shaffer+0.5
2515-10BUCKNLUNHKillOlivia Mauldingset Jessica Shattles+0.4
2615-11UNHBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.4
2716-11BUCKNLUNHKillOlivia Mauldingset Jessica Shattles+0.4
2816-12UNHBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+0.4
2917-12BUCKNLUNH×3Serve errBucknell+0.4
3018-12UNHUNH×3AceNew Hampshireaced Isabella Charlton+0.4
3119-12UNHUNH×3Attack errKaitlyn Taylor+0.3
3219-13UNHBUCKNL×7KillKaitlyn Taylorset Katie O'Sullivan+0.1
3319-14BUCKNLBUCKNL×7KillKaitlyn Taylorset Katie O'Sullivan+0.3
3419-15BUCKNLBUCKNL×7Attack errJulianne Lee+0.4
3519-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×7Attack errJulianne Lee+0.6
3619-17BUCKNLBUCKNL×7Attack errRachel Grier+0.9
3719-18BUCKNLBUCKNL×7AceBucknell+1.2
3819-19BUCKNLBUCKNL×7Attack errEmma Converse+1.6
3920-19BUCKNLUNH×3BlockedKaitlyn Taylorblk Rachel Grier, Jessica Shattles+1.3
4021-19UNHUNH×3AceNew Hampshireaced Cameron Lloyd+1.6
4122-19UNHUNH×3AceNew Hampshire+1.2
4222-20UNHBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.7
4323-20BUCKNLUNH×3KillEvelyn Brentonset Jessica Shattles+1.0
4424-20UNHUNH×3KillOlivia Mauldingset Jessica Shattles+0.7
4525-20UNHUNH×3KillOlivia Mauldingset Jessica Shattles+0.2

Score shown after each rally, New Hampshire first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).