Nevada def. CSU Bakersfield 3–2
Nevada beat CSU Bakersfield 3-2 (20-25, 23-25, 25-21, 25-16, 15-13) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Nevada's Paige Thies led with 21 kills, and Masyn Navarro added 23 digs.
Data through · final Sep 19
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEVADA | 20 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
| CSUBAK | 25 | 25 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 21.4% to Nevada — set 5, NEVADA 13-12 CSUBAK. Kill by Malia Pilimai (set by Adriana Dorn). CSUBAK win probability 55% → 34%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Nevada wins
CSU Bakersfield wins
- NEVADA break %
- 41.8% vs this opp
- CSUBAK break %
- 43.7% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Malia PilimaiKill+21.4%
Kill by Malia Pilimai (set by Adriana Dorn)
Set 5 · NEVADA 13-12 CSUBAK · NEVADA 45% → 66%
- 02Madison LongKill+21.3%
Kill by Madison Long (set by Adriana Dorn)
Set 5 · NEVADA 15-13 CSUBAK · NEVADA 79% → 100%
- 03Malia PilimaiKill+21.2%
Kill by Malia Pilimai (set by Ceren Sert)
Set 5 · NEVADA 14-12 CSUBAK · NEVADA 66% → 88%
- 04Malia PilimaiKill+17.0%
Kill by Malia Pilimai (set by Adriana Dorn)
Set 5 · NEVADA 12-12 CSUBAK · NEVADA 28% → 45%
- 05
- 06Paige ThiesAttack error+11.8%
Attack error by Paige Thies
Set 5 · NEVADA 7-8 CSUBAK · CSUBAK 52% → 64%
- 07Leylah Duran&Jordyn Waite-wardBlock+11.2%
Paige Thies stuffed by Leylah Duran & Jordyn Waite-ward
Set 5 · NEVADA 7-7 CSUBAK · CSUBAK 41% → 52%
- 08Anna BacchinKill+10.8%
Kill by Anna Bacchin (set by Samantha Capinpin)
Set 5 · NEVADA 10-12 CSUBAK · CSUBAK 70% → 81%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 58 | .207 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | |
| 5 | 16 | 2 | 27 | .519 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | |
| 5 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .385 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | .214 | 40 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 26 | .231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -.125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 66 | 21 | 167 | .269 | 61 | 5 | 14 | 85 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 108 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 12 | 3 | 45 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 33 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 11.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 26 | .192 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 18 | .167 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -.083 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 5.5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 10 | 3 | 20 | .350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -.125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 56 | 25 | 175 | .177 | 47 | 6 | 11 | 67 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 100 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
20-25
Set 2
23-25
Set 3
25-21
Set 4
25-16
Set 5
15-13
Bars above the line = CSU Bakersfield leads, below = Nevada leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Nevada
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100%2/2 | 0%0/1 |
| 2 | 67%2/3 | 71%5/7 |
| 3 | 50%2/4 | 67%4/6 |
| 4 | 50%2/4 | 60%3/5 |
| 5 | 100%2/2 | 0%0/2 |
| 6 | 100%2/2 | 33%1/3 |
| All | 71%12/17 | 54%13/24 |
CSU Bakersfield
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29%2/7 | 0%0/2 |
| 2 | 33%2/6 | 33%1/3 |
| 3 | 40%2/5 | 50%2/4 |
| 4 | 100%2/2 | 50%2/4 |
| 5 | 67%2/3 | 0%0/2 |
| 6 | 100%1/1 | 0%0/2 |
| All | 46%11/24 | 29%5/17 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
208 rallies
| # | NEVADA-CSUBAK | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NEVADA | NEVADA | Attack err | Defne Yanik | +2.4 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | NEVADA | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Jordyn Waite-ward | +1.8 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Blocked | Paige Thies | blk Suelen Lima | +2.4 |
| 4 | 1-3 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Jordyn Waite-ward | set Luiza Da cruz | +2.3 |
| 5 | 2-3 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Adriana Dorn | +1.7 |
| 6 | 2-4 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Jordyn Waite-ward | set Luiza Da cruz | +1.8 |
| 7 | 2-5 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Kill | Jordyn Waite-ward | set Luiza Da cruz | +2.3 |
| 8 | 3-5 | CSUBAK | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Karly Bonaventure | set Adriana Dorn | +1.6 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Malia Pilimai | set Adriana Dorn | +2.4 |
| 10 | 5-5 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Malia Pilimai | set Ceren Sert | +2.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | NEVADA | CSUBAK×4 | Kill | Leylah Duran | set Luiza Da cruz | +2.0 |
| 12 | 5-7 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×4 | Attack err | Malia Pilimai | +2.6 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×4 | Kill | Suelen Lima | +2.4 | |
| 14 | 5-9 | CSUBAK | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.2 | |||
| 15 | 6-9 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Attack err | Torrin Higginbotham | set Analiese Gagliano | +1.5 |
| 16 | 6-10 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Samantha Capinpin | +1.6 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Kill | Leylah Duran | set Samantha Capinpin | +1.9 |
| 18 | 7-11 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | +1.2 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | NEVADA | NEVADA | Attack err | Leylah Duran | +2.0 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Torrin Higginbotham | set Samantha Capinpin | +1.7 |
| 21 | 9-12 | CSUBAK | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Ceren Sert | +1.5 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Attack err | Anna Bacchin | +2.4 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Paige Thies | set Adriana Dorn | +2.9 |
| 24–25 | 12-13 | NEVADA · CSUBAK | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.1 | |||
| 26 | 13-13 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Adriana Dorn | set Summer Suppik | +3.3 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Attack err | Anna Bacchin | +3.6 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Serve err | Nevada | +2.6 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Adriana Dorn | +2.8 |
| 30 | 15-15 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Serve err | Nevada | +2.8 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Ace | CSU Bakersfield | aced Malia Pilimai | +3.8 |
| 32 | 16-16 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Madison Long | set Adriana Dorn | +2.9 |
| 33 | 16-17 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Jordyn Waite-ward | set Luiza Da cruz | +3.0 |
| 34 | 16-18 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Ace | CSU Bakersfield | aced Masyn Navarro | +3.9 |
| 35 | 17-18 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Malia Pilimai | set Adriana Dorn | +2.7 |
| 36 | 17-19 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Serve err | Nevada | +3.1 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Kill | Leylah Duran | +3.6 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | +2.1 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | NEVADA | NEVADA | Attack err | Ana Franca benjamin | +3.9 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Leylah Duran | set Samantha Capinpin | +3.6 |
| 41 | 19-22 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Ace | CSU Bakersfield | aced Summer Suppik | +4.0 |
| 42 | 20-22 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Ceren Sert | set Adriana Dorn | +2.0 |
| 43 | 20-23 | NEVADA | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Ana Franca benjamin | set Defne Yanik | +3.1 |
| 44 | 20-24 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Ace | CSU Bakersfield | aced Lara Pacheco | +2.3 |
| 45 | 20-25 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Blocked | Paige Thies | blk Defne Yanik, Jordyn Waite-ward | +0.7 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Ace | CSU Bakersfield | aced Summer Suppik | +2.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Adriana Dorn | +1.6 |
| 3–4 | 2-2 | NEVADA · CSUBAK | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | · | |||
| 5 | 2-3 | NEVADA | CSUBAK×6 | Kill | Jordyn Waite-ward | set Luiza Da cruz | +1.7 |
| 6 | 2-4 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×6 | Blocked | Madison Long | blk Suelen Lima, Leylah Duran | +2.2 |
| 7 | 2-5 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×6 | Attack err | Madison Long | +2.0 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×6 | Blocked | Mckaley Herr | blk Reese Jackson | +1.9 |
| 9 | 2-7 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×6 | Ace | CSU Bakersfield | aced Paige Thies | +1.6 |
| 10 | 2-8 | CSUBAK | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.4 | |||
| 11 | 3-8 | CSUBAK | NEVADA×4 | Kill | Ceren Sert | set Adriana Dorn | +0.9 |
| 12 | 4-8 | NEVADA | NEVADA×4 | Kill | Mckaley Herr | set Adriana Dorn | +1.4 |
| 13 | 5-8 | NEVADA | NEVADA×4 | Attack err | Reese Jackson | +1.7 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | NEVADA | NEVADA×4 | Attack err | Suelen Lima | +2.0 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Serve err | Nevada | +1.7 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Ceren Sert | set Adriana Dorn | +1.6 |
| 17 | 8-9 | NEVADA | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Adriana Dorn | +2.4 |
| 18 | 8-10 | NEVADA | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Anna Bacchin | set Samantha Capinpin | +1.9 |
| 19 | 8-11 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Blocked | Paige Thies | blk Defne Yanik | +2.4 |
| 20 | 8-12 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Reese Jackson | +2.1 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Ceren Sert | set Adriana Dorn | +1.4 |
| 22 | 9-13 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Reese Jackson | set Samantha Capinpin | +1.6 |
| 23 | 10-13 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Adriana Dorn | +1.4 |
| 24 | 10-14 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Anna Bacchin | set Luiza Da cruz | +1.6 |
| 25 | 11-14 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | +1.4 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Analiese Gagliano | +1.7 |
| 27 | 12-15 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Mckaley Herr | set Masyn Navarro | +1.4 |
| 28 | 12-16 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Blocked | Mckaley Herr | blk Leylah Duran, Jordyn Waite-ward | +1.7 |
| 29 | 13-16 | CSUBAK | NEVADA×4 | Kill | Ceren Sert | set Adriana Dorn | +1.4 |
| 30 | 14-16 | NEVADA | NEVADA×4 | Attack err | Leylah Duran | +2.4 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | NEVADA | NEVADA×4 | Kill | Ceren Sert | set Adriana Dorn | +3.0 |
| 32 | 16-16 | NEVADA | NEVADA×4 | Kill | Paige Thies | set Adriana Dorn | +3.5 |
| 33 | 16-17 | NEVADA | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Leylah Duran | +2.7 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Attack err | Mckaley Herr | +3.5 | |
| 35 | 16-19 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Analiese Gagliano | +3.1 |
| 36 | 17-19 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Ceren Sert | set Adriana Dorn | +1.9 |
| 37 | 17-20 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Anna Bacchin | set Samantha Capinpin | +2.4 |
| 38 | 17-21 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Kill | Defne Yanik | set Samantha Capinpin | +2.4 |
| 39 | 18-21 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Attack err | Reese Jackson | set Defne Yanik | +1.2 |
| 40 | 18-22 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Reese Jackson | set Samantha Capinpin | +1.8 |
| 41 | 19-22 | CSUBAK | NEVADA×3 | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | +1.1 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Karly Bonaventure | +2.4 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Attack err | Jordyn Waite-ward | +3.9 | |
| 44 | 21-23 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Anna Bacchin | set Luiza Da cruz | +4.0 |
| 45 | 22-23 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Masyn Navarro | +2.9 |
| 46 | 22-24 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Jordyn Waite-ward | set Luiza Da cruz | +4.7 |
| 47 | 23-24 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Karly Bonaventure | +2.7 | |
| 48 | 23-25 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Jordyn Waite-ward | set Masyn Navarro | +6.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Paige Thies | set Summer Suppik | +1.4 |
| 2 | 2-0 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Blocked | Anna Bacchin | blk Karly Bonaventure, Madison Long | +1.4 |
| 3 | 3-0 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Madison Long | set Adriana Dorn | +1.4 |
| 4 | 3-1 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Serve err | Nevada | +1.0 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Madison Long | set Adriana Dorn | +1.1 |
| 6 | 4-2 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Serve err | Nevada | +1.0 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | +1.1 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | NEVADA | NEVADA | Attack err | Leylah Duran | +1.4 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Serve err | Nevada | +0.9 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Madison Long | set Adriana Dorn | +1.1 |
| 11 | 7-4 | NEVADA | CSUBAK×4 | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Samantha Capinpin | +0.9 |
| 12 | 7-5 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×4 | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Analiese Gagliano | +1.4 |
| 13 | 7-6 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×4 | Kill | Reese Jackson | set Suelen Lima | +1.5 |
| 14 | 7-7 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×4 | Attack err | Masyn Navarro | +1.6 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | +1.2 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | NEVADA | NEVADA | Kill | Ceren Sert | set Keely Hummel | +1.7 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Reese Jackson | set Samantha Capinpin | +1.2 |
| 18 | 10-8 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Ceren Sert | set Keely Hummel | +1.3 |
| 19 | 10-9 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Anna Bacchin | set Samantha Capinpin | +1.2 |
| 20 | 11-9 | CSUBAK | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Paige Thies | set Keely Hummel | +1.3 |
| 21 | 12-9 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Ace | Nevada | aced Suelen Lima | +1.7 |
| 22 | 13-9 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Blocked | Jordyn Waite-ward | blk Karly Bonaventure | +1.6 |
| 23 | 13-10 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Luiza Da cruz | +1.0 |
| 24 | 14-10 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Adriana Dorn | +1.2 |
| 25 | 14-11 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Blocked | Paige Thies | blk Jordyn Waite-ward, Defne Yanik | +1.0 |
| 26 | 15-11 | CSUBAK | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Madison Long | set Adriana Dorn | +1.2 |
| 27 | 16-11 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Madison Long | set Adriana Dorn | +1.4 |
| 28 | 17-11 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Attack err | Jordyn Waite-ward | +1.1 | |
| 29 | 17-12 | NEVADA | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Analiese Gagliano | +0.5 |
| 30 | 17-13 | CSUBAK | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.0 | |||
| 31 | 17-14 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Boden Liljedahl | +1.3 |
| 32 | 18-14 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | +1.3 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Masyn Navarro | +1.0 |
| 34 | 19-15 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | +1.3 | |
| 35 | 20-15 | NEVADA | NEVADA | Kill | Adriana Dorn | +1.3 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | NEVADA | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Anna Bacchin | set Samantha Capinpin | +0.6 |
| 37 | 20-17 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Attack err | Ceren Sert | +1.3 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Samantha Capinpin | +1.8 |
| 39 | 21-18 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Attack err | Defne Yanik | set Samantha Capinpin | +1.8 |
| 40 | 21-19 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Anna Bacchin | set Samantha Capinpin | +1.3 |
| 41 | 21-20 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Attack err | Paige Thies | +2.5 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Blocked | Defne Yanik | blk Karly Bonaventure | +2.5 |
| 43 | 23-20 | NEVADA | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Adriana Dorn | +2.7 |
| 44 | 23-21 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Anna Bacchin | set Luiza Da cruz | +1.1 |
| 45 | 24-21 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Adriana Dorn | +2.1 |
| 46 | 25-21 | NEVADA | NEVADA | Blocked | Suelen Lima | blk Karly Bonaventure, Madison Long | +1.1 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Adriana Dorn | +2.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Attack err | Malia Pilimai | set Masyn Navarro | +2.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Madison Long | +2.3 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Serve err | Nevada | +2.3 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | CSUBAK | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Malia Pilimai | set Adriana Dorn | +2.4 |
| 6 | 4-2 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Attack err | Samantha Capinpin | +3.2 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Ace | Nevada | aced Boden Liljedahl | +3.2 |
| 8 | 5-3 | NEVADA | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Samantha Capinpin | +2.2 |
| 9 | 5-4 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Blocked | Malia Pilimai | blk Anna Bacchin | +3.2 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Reese Jackson | set Keely Hummel | +3.3 |
| 11 | 6-5 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Reese Jackson | set Samantha Capinpin | +2.6 |
| 12 | 6-6 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Blocked | Adriana Dorn | blk Anna Bacchin, Defne Yanik | +2.5 |
| 13 | 7-6 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Masyn Navarro | +2.6 |
| 14 | 8-6 | NEVADA | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | +3.6 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Anna Bacchin | set Analiese Gagliano | +2.5 |
| 16 | 9-7 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Adriana Dorn | set Keely Hummel | +2.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Attack err | Paige Thies | set Adriana Dorn | +2.6 |
| 18 | 10-8 | CSUBAK | NEVADA×6 | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | +2.8 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | NEVADA | NEVADA×6 | Ace | Nevada | aced Suelen Lima | +3.7 |
| 20 | 12-8 | NEVADA | NEVADA×6 | Ace | Nevada | +3.4 | |
| 21 | 13-8 | NEVADA | NEVADA×6 | Attack err | Jordyn Waite-ward | +3.0 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | NEVADA | NEVADA×6 | Kill | Madison Long | +2.5 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | NEVADA | NEVADA×6 | Attack err | Suelen Lima | +1.9 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Luiza Da cruz | set Boden Liljedahl | +1.0 |
| 25 | 15-10 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Kill | Jordyn Waite-ward | set Luiza Da cruz | +1.8 |
| 26 | 16-10 | CSUBAK | NEVADA×5 | Kill | Madison Long | set Adriana Dorn | +1.8 |
| 27 | 17-10 | NEVADA | NEVADA×5 | Kill | Madison Long | set Jordyn Waite-ward | +1.8 |
| 28 | 18-10 | NEVADA | NEVADA×5 | Blocked | Torrin Higginbotham | blk Madison Long | +1.2 |
| 29 | 19-10 | NEVADA | NEVADA×5 | Kill | Malia Pilimai | set Masyn Navarro | +0.7 |
| 30 | 20-10 | NEVADA | NEVADA×5 | Kill | Madison Long | set Masyn Navarro | +0.4 |
| 31 | 20-11 | NEVADA | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Luiza Da cruz | set Analiese Gagliano | +0.1 |
| 32 | 20-12 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Nele Broszat | set Samantha Capinpin | +0.3 |
| 33 | 20-13 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Kill | Reese Jackson | set Masyn Navarro | +0.5 |
| 34 | 21-13 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Malia Pilimai | set Adriana Dorn | +0.6 |
| 35 | 22-13 | NEVADA | NEVADA | Ace | Nevada | aced Boden Liljedahl | +0.3 |
| 36 | 22-14 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Reese Jackson | set Masyn Navarro | +0.1 |
| 37 | 23-14 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Attack err | Anna Bacchin | set Analiese Gagliano | +0.2 |
| 38 | 23-15 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Attack err | Paige Thies | set Summer Suppik | · |
| 39 | 24-15 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Keely Hummel | +0.1 |
| 40 | 24-16 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Serve err | Nevada | · | |
| 41 | 25-16 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | +1.1 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NEVADA | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Summer Suppik | +8.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Serve err | Nevada | +6.4 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Madison Long | set Adriana Dorn | +6.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Reese Jackson | +6.6 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Madison Long | set Adriana Dorn | +7.1 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Serve err | Nevada | +6.9 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | +7.4 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Defne Yanik | set Luiza Da cruz | +7.2 |
| 9 | 5-4 | CSUBAK | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Ceren Sert | set Keely Hummel | +7.7 |
| 10 | 6-4 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Blocked | Defne Yanik | blk Ceren Sert | +10.4 |
| 11 | 7-4 | NEVADA | NEVADA×3 | Kill | Ceren Sert | set Keely Hummel | +9.9 |
| 12 | 7-5 | NEVADA | CSUBAK×4 | Serve err | Nevada | +6.1 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | CSUBAK | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +9.9 | |||
| 14 | 7-7 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×4 | Blocked | Paige Thies | blk Leylah Duran, Jordyn Waite-ward | +11.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×4 | Attack err | Paige Thies | +11.8 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Keely Hummel | +8.8 |
| 17 | 8-9 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Luiza Da cruz | +9.4 |
| 18 | 9-9 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Adriana Dorn | set Keely Hummel | +9.5 |
| 19 | 9-10 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Leylah Duran | set Samantha Capinpin | +10.3 |
| 20 | 9-11 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Kill | Reese Jackson | +13.2 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Paige Thies | set Masyn Navarro | +8.4 |
| 22 | 10-12 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Kill | Anna Bacchin | set Samantha Capinpin | +10.8 |
| 23 | 11-12 | CSUBAK | NEVADA×4 | Kill | Madison Long | set Adriana Dorn | +8.7 |
| 24 | 12-12 | NEVADA | NEVADA×4 | Kill | Malia Pilimai | set Adriana Dorn | +17.0 |
| 25 | 13-12 | NEVADA | NEVADA×4 | Kill | Malia Pilimai | set Adriana Dorn | +21.4 |
| 26 | 14-12 | NEVADA | NEVADA×4 | Kill | Malia Pilimai | set Ceren Sert | +21.2 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NEVADA | CSUBAK | Serve err | Nevada | +8.9 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | CSUBAK | NEVADA | Kill | Madison Long | set Adriana Dorn | +21.3 |
Score shown after each rally, Nevada first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).