FinalThu, Oct 15, 2026Watch on MW+

UNLV def. Nevada 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UNLV 82.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 7:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UNLV beat visiting Nevada 3-0 (25-18, 25-22, 25-11) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. UNLV's Jaida Harris led with 14 kills, and Basia Latos added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 15

Set123Sets
NEVADA1822110
UNLV2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Jaida Harris needed just 3 sets for 14 kills. UNLV swept Nevada.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.4 points, and Nevada's high was 19% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had UNLV at 82%.

NevadaUNLV
  • Break %+18.8 pts
    41.560.3

    On serve: 44/73 against 22/53 (Nevada sideout 39.7%).

  • Hitting+.193
    .122.315

    40 K / 11 E against 30 K / 18 E.

  • Longest run+2
    57

    7 straight UNLV points in the second set broke a 5–5 tie and made it 12–5. Final score of the set: 25–22.

UNLV above 50Nevada belowMax swing 2.4%

NevadaUNLV

Aces
Nevada 4·UNLV 7
Serve err
Nevada 6·UNLV 4
Blocks
Nevada 4·UNLV 41 BS · 6 BA vs 0 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Nevada 30·UNLV 40

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UNLV above 50 · Nevada below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.4% UNLVrally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.4% to UNLV — set 2, NEVADA 22-24 UNLV. Kill by Jaida Harris (set by Basia Latos). UNLV win probability 93% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NEVADA 13.3%86.7% UNLV

Nevada wins

3-0
1.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
7.2%

UNLV wins

3-0
39.4%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
15.8%
NEVADA break %
38.4% vs this opp
UNLV break %
46.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Jaida HarrisKill+2.4%

    Kill by Jaida Harris (set by Basia Latos)

    Set 2 · NEVADA 22-24 UNLV · UNLV 93% → 95%

  2. 02

    Ace by Masyn Navarro

    Set 2 · NEVADA 18-18 UNLV · NEVADA 8% → 11%

  3. 03
    Jada IngramKill+2.2%

    Kill by Jada Ingram (set by Kamryn Scroggins)

    Set 2 · NEVADA 18-20 UNLV · UNLV 91% → 93%

  4. 04
    Paige ThiesKill+2.1%

    Kill by Paige Thies (set by Summer Suppik)

    Set 2 · NEVADA 22-23 UNLV · NEVADA 5% → 7%

  5. 05
    Logan LindsayAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Logan Lindsay

    Set 1 · NEVADA 10-10 UNLV · NEVADA 17% → 19%

  6. 06

    Logan Lindsay stuffed by Ceren Sert & Mckaley Herr

    Set 2 · NEVADA 20-21 UNLV · NEVADA 6% → 8%

  7. 07
    Jaida HarrisKill+1.9%

    Kill by Jaida Harris (set by Rheanna Deen-Jackson)

    Set 1 · NEVADA 10-12 UNLV · UNLV 83% → 85%

  8. 08
    Jaida HarrisKill+1.9%

    Kill by Jaida Harris (set by Kamryn Scroggins)

    Set 2 · NEVADA 20-22 UNLV · UNLV 92% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Nevadaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39627.1110001012211
310324.2920012200010
3000–230100003
3206.333000000002
3225.00022011000002
3026-.33300100031.51.5
3001.0001111100001
25421.048000000005
2216.16700010010.52.5
2000–301200000
2000–000200000
1002.000000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals301898.122284630716451
UNLVhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314330.36702171031.517.5
37213.385431121010.510.5
38219.316000000008
3319.222000300425
34312.083100000004
3102.5001200500001
3305.600000000003
3001.0006121000001
3001.0001010200001
1000–000100000
Team totals401192.315337440408475

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Nevada vs UNLV

Season series · UNLV leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NEVADA · UNLV 7

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 NEVADAUNLV 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 5 NEVADAUNLV 7

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 2 NEVADAUNLV 6

Bars above the line = UNLV leads, below = Nevada leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Nevada

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%2/2
50%1/2
2
40%2/5
33%1/3
3
33%2/6
71%5/7
4
22%2/9
50%2/4
5
50%1/2
60%3/5
6
100%1/1
0%0/1
All
40%10/25
55%12/22

UNLV

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%2/3
0%0/2
2
29%2/7
60%3/5
3
50%2/4
67%4/6
4
40%2/5
78%7/9
5
100%1/1
50%1/2
6
50%1/2
0%0/1
All
45%10/22
60%15/25

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#NEVADA-UNLVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NEVADAUNLV×3KillJaida Harrisset Kamryn Scroggins+1.1
20-2UNLVUNLV×3KillJaida Harrisset Caleigh King+1.4
30-3UNLVUNLV×3AceUNLV+1.3
41-3UNLVNEVADAAttack errJaida Harris+0.9
52-3NEVADANEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+1.5
62-4NEVADAUNLV×3Serve errNevada+1.1
72-5UNLVUNLV×3KillLogan Lindsayset Kamryn Scroggins+1.3
82-6UNLVUNLV×3Attack errMadison Long+1.1
93-6UNLVNEVADAServe errCaleigh King+0.8
103-7NEVADAUNLVKillLogan Lindsayset Kamryn Scroggins+0.8
114-7UNLVNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.8
124-8NEVADAUNLVKillJaida Harrisset Kaia Thiele+0.9
135-8UNLVNEVADA×3KillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+0.8
146-8NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errJada Ingram+1.4
157-8NEVADANEVADA×3KillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+1.7
167-9NEVADAUNLVBlockedCeren Sertblk Basia Latos, Jada Ingram+1.2
178-9UNLVNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+1.3
188-10NEVADAUNLVKillBasia Latosset Kaia Thiele+1.3
199-10UNLVNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+1.3
2010-10NEVADANEVADAAttack errLogan Lindsay+2.1
2110-11NEVADAUNLV×4Serve errNevada+1.5
2210-12UNLVUNLV×4KillJaida Harrisset Rheanna Deen-Jackson+1.9
2310-13UNLVUNLV×4AceUNLV+1.7
2410-14UNLVUNLV×4Attack errMadison Long+1.4
2511-14UNLVNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+0.9
2611-15NEVADAUNLVBad setKarly Bonaventure+1.0
2712-15UNLVNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.9
2813-15NEVADANEVADABad setKamryn Scroggins+1.6
2913-16NEVADAUNLV×5KillLogan Lindsayset Kamryn Scroggins+1.3
3013-17UNLVUNLV×5BlockedMadison Longblk Jaida Harris, Jada Ingram+1.5
3113-18UNLVUNLV×5KillBasia Latosset Kaia Thiele+1.1
3213-19UNLVUNLV×5Attack errMalia Pilimai+0.7
3313-20UNLV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
3414-20UNLVNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.2
3514-21NEVADAUNLVKillTia Traudtset Kaia Thiele+0.2
3615-21UNLVNEVADAServe errJaida Harris+0.1
3715-22NEVADAUNLVKillBasia Latosset Kaia Thiele+0.2
3816-22UNLVNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+0.1
3917-22NEVADANEVADAKillKarly Bonaventure+0.2
4017-23NEVADAUNLVKillRheanna Deen-Jacksonset Kaia Thiele+0.3
4117-24UNLVUNLVKillRheanna Deen-Jackson+0.1
4218-24UNLVNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn·
4318-25NEVADAUNLVKillKamryn Scroggins·
Set 2
11-0UNLVNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+1.0
21-1NEVADAUNLVKillBasia Latosset Kamryn Scroggins+0.9
31-2UNLVUNLVKillJaida Harrisset Kamryn Scroggins+1.2
42-2UNLVNEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+0.9
53-2NEVADANEVADABlockedJaida Harrisblk Madison Long+1.4
63-3NEVADAUNLV×3Serve errMasyn Navarro+0.9
73-4UNLVUNLV×3Attack errMalia Pilimai+1.2
83-5UNLVUNLV×3KillLogan Lindsayset Kamryn Scroggins+1.1
94-5UNLVNEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+0.8
105-5NEVADANEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+1.3
115-6NEVADAUNLV×7KillJaida Harrisset Basia Latos+0.9
125-7UNLVUNLV×7BlockedMalia Pilimaiblk Jaida Harris, Jada Ingram+1.2
135-8UNLVUNLV×7Attack errCeren Sert+1.1
145-9UNLVUNLV×7BlockedMalia Pilimaiblk Jada Ingram, Jaida Harris+0.9
155-10UNLVUNLV×7Attack errAdriana Dorn+0.7
165-11UNLVUNLV×7AceUNLV+0.6
175-12UNLVUNLV×7KillJaida Harrisset Basia Latos+0.4
186-12UNLVNEVADA×3KillAdriana Dornset Keely Hummel+0.2
197-12NEVADANEVADA×3AceSummer Suppik+0.5
208-12NEVADANEVADA×3AceSummer Suppikaced Jaida Harris+0.6
218-13NEVADAUNLVKillJaida Harrisset Kaia Thiele+0.5
229-13UNLVNEVADAKillAdriana Dornset Keely Hummel+0.5
239-14NEVADAUNLVServe errCeren Sert+0.5
2410-14UNLVNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Keely Hummel+0.5
2511-14NEVADANEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.9
2611-15NEVADAUNLVKillBasia Latosset Kaia Thiele+0.7
2712-15UNLVNEVADAAttack errBasia Latos+0.7
2813-15NEVADANEVADAKillMadison Longset Masyn Navarro+1.2
2913-16NEVADAUNLV×3KillLogan Lindsayset Basia Latos+1.0
3013-17UNLVUNLV×3KillJaida Harrisset Caleigh King+1.1
3113-18UNLVUNLV×3KillRheanna Deen-Jacksonset Kamryn Scroggins+0.8
3214-18UNLVNEVADA×5KillMckaley Herrset Adriana Dorn+0.4
3315-18NEVADANEVADA×5Attack errRheanna Deen-Jackson+0.9
3416-18NEVADANEVADA×5Bad setBasia Latos+1.3
3517-18NEVADANEVADA×5BlockedJaida Harrisblk Ceren Sert, Madison Long+1.8
3618-18NEVADANEVADA×5AceMasyn Navarro+2.3
3718-19NEVADAUNLV×3KillRheanna Deen-Jacksonset Logan Lindsay+1.7
3818-20UNLVUNLV×3KillJada Ingramset Kamryn Scroggins+2.2
3918-21UNLVUNLV×3KillLogan Lindsayset Caleigh King+1.7
4019-21UNLVNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+1.0
4120-21NEVADANEVADABlockedLogan Lindsayblk Ceren Sert, Mckaley Herr+2.0
4220-22NEVADAUNLVKillJaida Harrisset Kamryn Scroggins+1.9
4320-23UNLVUNLVKillTia Traudtset Kaia Thiele+1.9
4421-23UNLVNEVADAKillMckaley Herrset Adriana Dorn+0.8
4522-23NEVADANEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Summer Suppik+2.1
4622-24NEVADAUNLVKillJaida Harrisset Basia Latos+2.4
4722-25UNLVUNLVAttack errAdriana Dorn+1.7
Set 3
11-0NEVADANEVADAKillKarly Bonaventureset Adriana Dorn+0.7
22-0NEVADANEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+0.7
32-1NEVADAUNLV×4Bad setSummer Suppik+0.5
42-2UNLVUNLV×4Attack errPaige Thies+0.7
52-3UNLV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
62-4UNLVUNLV×4KillLogan Lindsayset Caleigh King+0.6
73-4UNLVNEVADAServe errCaleigh King+0.4
83-5NEVADAUNLV×6KillJaida Harrisset Caleigh King+0.4
93-6UNLVUNLV×6Attack errMckaley Herr+0.5
103-7UNLVUNLV×6KillJada Ingramset Caleigh King+0.4
113-8UNLVUNLV×6KillTia Traudtset Kaia Thiele+0.4
123-9UNLVUNLV×6KillJaida Harris+0.3
133-10UNLVUNLV×6Attack errMadison Long+0.2
144-10UNLVNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.1
154-11NEVADAUNLV×4Bad setAdriana Dorn+0.2
164-12UNLVUNLV×4Attack errMadison Long+0.1
174-13UNLVUNLV×4AceUNLVaced Paige Thies+0.1
184-14UNLVUNLV×4AceUNLV+0.1
195-14UNLVNEVADABlockedBasia Latosblk Ceren Sert·
205-15NEVADAUNLVServe errKeely Hummel·
216-15UNLVNEVADAAttack errRheanna Deen-Jackson·
227-15NEVADANEVADAAceSummer Suppikaced Basia Latos+0.1
237-16NEVADAUNLVKillBasia Latosset Caleigh King+0.1
247-17UNLVUNLVAttack errPaige Thies·
258-17UNLVNEVADAAttack errRheanna Deen-Jackson·
268-18NEVADAUNLV×4KillBasia Latosset Kamryn Scroggins·
278-19UNLVUNLV×4Attack errPaige Thies·
288-20UNLVUNLV×4AceBasia Latos·
298-21UNLVUNLV×4Bad setMasyn Navarro·
309-21UNLVNEVADAServe errBasia Latos·
3110-21NEVADANEVADAKillMadison Longset Summer Suppik·
3210-22NEVADAUNLV×3KillLogan Lindsayset Kamryn Scroggins·
3310-23UNLVUNLV×3Attack errMadison Long·
3410-24UNLVUNLV×3KillJaida Harrisset Kamryn Scroggins·
3511-24UNLVNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn·
3611-25NEVADAUNLVServe errAlexa Ham·

Score shown after each rally, Nevada first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).