FinalThu, Oct 22, 2026Watch on MW+

UC Davis def. Nevada 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UC Davis 91.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 22, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UC Davis won at Nevada 3-0 (25-18, 25-20, 25-21) on Thu, Oct 22, 2026. UC Davis' Isabella Umpierre led with 14 kills, and Ximena Cordero Barr added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 22

Set123Sets
UC DAV2525253
NEVADA1820210

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Isabella Umpierre needed just 3 sets for 14 kills. UC Davis swept Nevada.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.3 points, and Nevada's high was 12% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave UC Davis 92% before first serve.

UC DavisNevada
  • Break %+14.6 pts
    44.630.0

    Points won on own serve: 33 of 74 vs 18 of 60. Nevada sided out 55.4% of the time.

  • Longest run+3
    63

    Down 1–3 in the third set, UC Davis scored 6 straight to lead 7–3. Final score of the set: 25–21.

Nevada above 50UC Davis belowMax swing 1.3%

UC DavisNevada

Hitting
UC Davis .157·Nevada .113
Aces
UC Davis 5·Nevada 1
Serve err
UC Davis 4·Nevada 9
Blocks
UC Davis 9·Nevada 103 BS · 12 BA vs 6 BS · 8 BA
Digs
UC Davis 50·Nevada 39

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Nevada above 50 · UC Davis below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.3% NEVADArally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Nevada — set 1, UC DAV 0-3 NEVADA. Attack error by Gianna Bogan. NEVADA win probability 10% → 11%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UC DAV 94.7%5.3% NEVADA

UC Davis wins

3-0
54.5%
3-1
29.9%
3-2
10.2%

Nevada wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.5%
3-2
3.2%
UC DAV break %
48.3% vs this opp
NEVADA break %
36.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Gianna BoganAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Gianna Bogan

    Set 1 · UC DAV 0-3 NEVADA · NEVADA 10% → 11%

  2. 02

    Paige Thies stuffed by Isabella Umpierre & Allie Caldwell

    Set 1 · UC DAV 5-6 NEVADA · UC DAV 89% → 90%

  3. 03
    Gianna BoganAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Gianna Bogan

    Set 1 · UC DAV 0-2 NEVADA · NEVADA 9% → 10%

  4. 04
    UC DavisAce+1.1%

    UC Davis ace on Summer Suppik

    Set 1 · UC DAV 6-6 NEVADA · UC DAV 90% → 91%

  5. 05

    Kill by Isabella Umpierre (set by Mia Starr)

    Set 1 · UC DAV 9-8 NEVADA · UC DAV 91% → 92%

  6. 06
    Ceren SertBlock+1.1%

    Allie Caldwell stuffed by Ceren Sert

    Set 1 · UC DAV 3-6 NEVADA · NEVADA 11% → 12%

  7. 07
    Madison LongKill+1.0%

    Kill by Madison Long (set by Adriana Dorn)

    Set 1 · UC DAV 2-5 NEVADA · NEVADA 11% → 12%

  8. 08
    Ally ChandlerKill+1.0%

    Kill by Ally Chandler (set by Mia Starr)

    Set 1 · UC DAV 10-8 NEVADA · UC DAV 92% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314732.2190213002117
312119.5790103012215
3215.200000201435
3105.200351090031.53.5
32824-.25000060010.52.5
3000–002500000
38521.143000711019
3000–110300001
3002.0000011200000
Team totals3922108.1573654501312975
Nevadahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310626.1540001012212
34110.300001301226
34425.00000193111.55.5
34311.0912301110111.55.5
34010.400000000215
3000–002310000
3001.000401510000
22315-.067000000002
2001.000002400000
1326.167000200003
1001.000000002022
1000–311100001
Team totals3119106.1133019395681059

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UC Davis vs Nevada

Season series · UC Davis leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UC DAV · NEVADA 3

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 3 UC DAVNEVADA 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 UC DAVNEVADA 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 6 UC DAVNEVADA 3

Bars above the line = Nevada leads, below = UC Davis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC Davis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
33%4/12
2
67%8/12
33%4/12
3
64%7/11
56%9/16
4
86%6/7
45%5/11
5
67%6/9
54%7/13
6
75%6/8
40%4/10
All
70%42/60
45%33/74

Nevada

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
13%1/8
2
62%8/13
43%6/14
3
47%7/15
33%4/12
4
40%6/15
22%2/9
5
55%6/11
40%4/10
6
86%6/7
14%1/7
All
55%41/74
30%18/60

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#UC DAV-NEVADASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UC DAVNEVADA×3KillPaige Thiesset Masyn Navarro+0.8
20-2NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errGianna Bogan+1.2
30-3NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errGianna Bogan+1.3
41-3NEVADAUC DAVAttack errMadison Long+0.8
51-4UC DAVNEVADAKillKarly Bonaventureset Adriana Dorn+1.0
62-4NEVADAUC DAVServe errNevada+0.8
72-5UC DAVNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+1.0
83-5NEVADAUC DAVServe errNevada+0.8
93-6UC DAVNEVADABlockedAllie Caldwellblk Ceren Sert+1.1
104-6NEVADAUC DAV×3Attack errAdriana Dorn+0.9
115-6UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedPaige Thiesblk Isabella Umpierre, Allie Caldwell+1.2
126-6UC DAVUC DAV×3AceUC Davisaced Summer Suppik+1.1
136-7UC DAVNEVADAAttack errIsabella Umpierre+0.9
147-7NEVADAUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.8
157-8UC DAVNEVADAKillKarly Bonaventureset Adriana Dorn+1.0
168-8NEVADAUC DAV×3Attack errMadison Long+0.9
179-8UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.1
1810-8UC DAVUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.0
1910-9UC DAVNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.7
2011-9NEVADAUC DAV×3Serve errNevada+0.7
2112-9UC DAVUC DAV×3AceUC Davisaced Paige Thies+0.9
2213-9UC DAVUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.7
2313-10UC DAVNEVADAAttack errGianna Bogan+0.5
2413-11NEVADANEVADAKillAdriana Dornset Mia Starr+0.8
2514-11NEVADAUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+0.7
2614-12UC DAVNEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+0.6
2715-12NEVADAUC DAVServe errNevada+0.7
2816-12UC DAVUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.7
2916-13UC DAVNEVADAAttack errBrooke Hibino+0.5
3017-13NEVADAUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.5
3117-14UC DAVNEVADAKillCeren Sertset Adriana Dorn+0.5
3218-14NEVADAUC DAVBlockedPaige Thiesblk Allie Caldwell+0.5
3319-14UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.5
3419-15UC DAVNEVADAServe errUC Davis+0.3
3520-15NEVADAUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.4
3620-16UC DAVNEVADAAttack errIsabella Umpierre+0.2
3721-16NEVADAUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.3
3822-16UC DAVUC DAVBad setAdriana Dorn+0.2
3922-17UC DAVNEVADAServe errUC Davis+0.1
4022-18NEVADANEVADABlockedGianna Boganblk Madison Long+0.2
4123-18NEVADAUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Adriana Dorn+0.3
4224-18UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedMalia Pilimaiblk Ally Chandler+0.1
4325-18UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errAdriana Dorn·
Set 2
11-0NEVADAUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.4
21-1UC DAVNEVADA×3KillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.5
31-2NEVADANEVADA×3KillKarly Bonaventureset Adriana Dorn+0.7
41-3NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errAlly Chandler+0.8
52-3NEVADAUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.5
63-3UC DAVUC DAVAceIsabella Umpierreaced Paige Thies+0.7
73-4UC DAVNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.6
83-5NEVADANEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.9
94-5NEVADAUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.6
105-5UC DAVUC DAVBad setAdriana Dorn+0.7
115-6UC DAVNEVADAKillCeren Sertset Adriana Dorn+0.6
126-6NEVADAUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.5
137-6UC DAVUC DAVBlockedMalia Pilimaiblk Allie Caldwell, Mia Starr+0.7
147-7UC DAVNEVADAKillCeren Sertset Adriana Dorn+0.6
157-8NEVADANEVADABad setMia Starr+0.9
168-8NEVADAUC DAV×3Serve errNevada+0.6
179-8UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errPaige Thies+0.8
1810-8UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.7
1910-9UC DAVNEVADAKillCeren Sertset Adriana Dorn+0.5
2011-9NEVADAUC DAVBlockedPaige Thiesblk Allie Caldwell, Isabella Umpierre+0.5
2111-10UC DAVNEVADAAttack errIsabella Umpierre+0.5
2212-10NEVADAUC DAVKillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+0.5
2312-11UC DAVNEVADAAttack errGianna Bogan+0.5
2413-11NEVADAUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.5
2514-11UC DAVUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.6
2614-12UC DAVNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.4
2714-13NEVADANEVADABlockedGianna Boganblk Ceren Sert, Madison Long+0.8
2815-13NEVADAUC DAVBad setPaige Thies+0.6
2915-14UC DAVNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.6
3016-14NEVADAUC DAV×5BlockedMalia Pilimaiblk Ally Chandler, Mia Starr+0.6
3117-14UC DAVUC DAV×5KillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+0.7
3218-14UC DAVUC DAV×5BlockedCeren Sertblk Brooke Hibino+0.5
3319-14UC DAVUC DAV×5KillBrooke Hibinoset Khloe Wong+0.4
3420-14UC DAVUC DAV×5AceUC Davisaced Paige Thies+0.2
3520-15UC DAVNEVADA×3KillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+0.1
3620-16NEVADANEVADA×3BlockedBrooke Hibinoblk Adriana Dorn, Ceren Sert+0.2
3720-17NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre+0.4
3821-17NEVADAUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.4
3922-17UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.3
4022-18UC DAVNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+0.1
4122-19NEVADANEVADAAttack errBrooke Hibino+0.3
4223-19NEVADAUC DAVServe errCeren Sert+0.4
4323-20UC DAVNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+0.2
4424-20NEVADAUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.3
4525-20UC DAVUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.1
Set 3
10-1UC DAVNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.2
20-2NEVADANEVADAKillMckaley Herrset Masyn Navarro+0.4
31-2NEVADAUC DAVKillMia Starr+0.2
41-3UC DAVNEVADAKillKarly Bonaventureset Adriana Dorn+0.3
52-3NEVADAUC DAV×6KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.2
63-3UC DAVUC DAV×6Attack errMadison Long+0.3
74-3UC DAVUC DAV×6Attack errMadison Long+0.3
85-3UC DAVUC DAV×6KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.2
96-3UC DAVUC DAV×6AceUC Davisaced Masyn Navarro+0.2
107-3UC DAVUC DAV×6KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.2
117-4UC DAVNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.1
128-4NEVADAUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.1
139-4UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errAdriana Dorn+0.1
1410-4UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errMckaley Herr+0.1
1510-5UC DAVNEVADAKillAdriana Dornset Keely Hummel+0.1
1610-6NEVADANEVADAKillAdriana Dornset Keely Hummel+0.1
1711-6NEVADAUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.1
1811-7UC DAVNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Masyn Navarro+0.1
1912-7NEVADAUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.1
2012-8UC DAVNEVADAServe errUC Davis+0.1
2112-9NEVADANEVADABlockedIsabella Umpierreblk Karly Bonaventure, Paige Thies+0.2
2213-9NEVADAUC DAVServe errNevada+0.1
2313-10UC DAVNEVADABlockedIsabella Umpierreblk Paige Thies+0.1
2413-11NEVADANEVADAKillMadison Longset Masyn Navarro+0.3
2514-11NEVADAUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+0.2
2614-12UC DAVNEVADABlockedIsabella Umpierreblk Adriana Dorn+0.2
2715-12NEVADAUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.2
2815-13UC DAVNEVADAKillMckaley Herrset Adriana Dorn+0.2
2916-13NEVADAUC DAVServe errNevada+0.2
3017-13UC DAVUC DAVBlockedMckaley Herrblk Mia Starr, Allie Caldwell+0.2
3117-14UC DAVNEVADAKillAdriana Dornset Keely Hummel+0.1
3218-14NEVADAUC DAVServe errNevada+0.2
3318-15UC DAVNEVADABlockedBrooke Hibinoblk Kamryn Tifft+0.1
3419-15NEVADAUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.2
3519-16UC DAVNEVADAAttack errGianna Bogan+0.1
3620-16NEVADAUC DAV×3Attack errMadison Long+0.2
3721-16UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.1
3822-16UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedMadison Longblk Gianna Bogan, Ally Chandler+0.1
3922-17UC DAVNEVADAServe errUC Davis·
4023-17NEVADAUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr·
4123-18UC DAVNEVADABlockedGianna Boganblk Karly Bonaventure, Madison Long·
4224-18NEVADAUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr·
4324-19UC DAVNEVADA×3KillMckaley Herrset Adriana Dorn·
4424-20NEVADANEVADA×3BlockedBrooke Hibinoblk Kamryn Tifft·
4524-21NEVADANEVADA×3AceKeely Hummelaced Brooke Hibino+0.1
4625-21NEVADAUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.1

Score shown after each rally, UC Davis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).