FinalThu, Sep 10, 2026

AwayPAC-12

0:3

HomeAMERICAN

UTSA def. Gonzaga 3–0

(25-16, 25-15, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
GONZ	16	15	21	0
UTSA	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UTSA above 50 · GONZ below

Biggest swing: 1.2% to Gonzaga — set 1, GONZ 5-1 UTSA. Gonzaga ace on Isabella Arroyave. UTSA win probability 91% → 89%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

GONZ 6.3%93.7% UTSA

Gonzaga wins

3-0

0.7%

3-1

1.8%

3-2

3.7%

UTSA wins

3-0

52.1%

3-1

30.5%

3-2

11.1%

GONZ break %: 37.0% vs this opp
UTSA break %: 48.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
GONZ serverAce+1.2%
Gonzaga ace on Isabella Arroyave
Set 1 · GONZ 5-1 UTSA · GONZ 9% → 11%
02
Sydney BryantKill+1.1%
Kill by Sydney Bryant (set by Alyssa Manitzas)
Set 1 · GONZ 10-10 UTSA · UTSA 91% → 93%
03
Veronica Kjaer SorensenKill+1.1%
Kill by Veronica Kjaer Sorensen (set by Raechelle Dykstra)
Set 1 · GONZ 4-1 UTSA · GONZ 8% → 9%
04
Taylor WalshAttack error+1.0%
Attack error by Taylor Walsh
Set 1 · GONZ 5-3 UTSA · UTSA 90% → 91%
05
UTSA serverAce+1.0%
UTSA ace on Raechelle Dykstra
Set 1 · GONZ 10-11 UTSA · UTSA 93% → 94%
06
Hazel MurphyKill+1.0%
Kill by Hazel Murphy (set by Nia Damuni)
Set 1 · GONZ 10-8 UTSA · GONZ 8% → 9%
07
Lydia FisherAttack error+1.0%
Lydia Fisher stuffed by Sydney Bryant
Set 1 · GONZ 6-5 UTSA · UTSA 91% → 92%
08
Caroline TredwellAttack error+1.0%
Attack error by Caroline Tredwell
Set 1 · GONZ 3-1 UTSA · GONZ 7% → 8%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Gonzagaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Veronica Kjaer SorensenOH	3	8	1	19	.368	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	8
2Claire WagstaffOH	3	4	7	19	-.158	0	0	1	3	1	3	1.5	5.5
20Taylor WalshMB	3	3	2	8	.125	0	0	1	1	0	3	1.5	4.5
7Nikita ClausenMB	3	2	0	7	.286	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	3
8Daniele ClewisS	3	1	0	1	1.000	17	1	1	7	0	1	0.5	2.5
14Lydia FisherMB	2	3	4	15	-.067	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
10Hazel MurphyOH	3	5	2	9	.333	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	5
18Raechelle DykstraOH	3	4	2	13	.154	3	0	0	12	3	1	0.5	4.5
15Maggie RickertL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	2	1	0	7	0	0	0	1
3Nia DamuniS	2	0	0	0	–	6	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	18	93	.129	29	2	5	37	10	10	5	52

UTSAhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Sydney BryantOH	3	12	3	30	.300	0	0	0	2	0	1	4	3	15
4Caroline TredwellMB	3	7	3	15	.267	0	1	1	2	0	0	5	2.5	10.5
6Isabella ArroyaveOH	3	3	2	16	.063	0	6	4	7	2	0	0	0	9
7Ledisi KpeaMB	3	6	1	9	.556	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
23Brooke ElliottOPP	3	1	1	7	.000	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
21Valeria OrtizS	3	0	0	0	–	18	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
9Gigi MasonOPP	3	13	2	23	.478	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
0Giada ObregonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	0	4	0	0	0	0	3
3Alyssa ManitzasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
12Megan HawkinsS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	2	5	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	12	100	.300	41	10	7	38	2	1	16	9	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 GONZ · UTSA 10

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 4 GONZUTSA 10

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 2 GONZUTSA 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 GONZUTSA 6

Bars above the line = UTSA leads, below = Gonzaga leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Gonzaga

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	35%7/20	30%3/10
2	44%7/16	42%5/12
3	44%7/16	0%0/7
4	56%5/9	42%5/12
5	71%5/7	17%1/6
6	100%5/5	29%2/7
All	49%36/73	30%16/54

UTSA

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	44%4/9
2	64%7/11	65%13/20
3	88%7/8	42%5/12
4	64%7/11	63%12/19
5	83%5/6	38%3/8
6	63%5/8	0%0/5
All	70%38/54	51%37/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

127 rallies

Rally log

#	GONZ-UTSA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	GONZ	GONZ	Kill	Claire Wagstaff	set Daniele Clewis	+0.8
2	1-1	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.6
3	2-1	UTSA	GONZ×4	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.7
4	3-1	GONZ	GONZ×4	Attack err	Caroline Tredwell		+1.0
5	4-1	GONZ	GONZ×4	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Raechelle Dykstra	+1.1
6	5-1	GONZ	GONZ×4	Ace	GONZ server	aced Isabella Arroyave	+1.2
7	5-2	GONZ	UTSA	Attack err	Lydia Fisher	blk Sydney Bryant, Caroline Tredwell	+0.8
8	5-3	UTSA	UTSA	Attack err	Taylor Walsh		+1.0
9	6-3	UTSA	GONZ	Attack err	Sydney Bryant		+0.9
10	6-4	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Ledisi Kpea	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.8
11	6-5	UTSA	UTSA	Attack err	Lydia Fisher	blk Sydney Bryant	+1.0
12	7-5	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Lydia Fisher	set Maggie Rickert	+0.9
13	7-6	GONZ	UTSA	Serve err	GONZ server		+0.8
14	8-6	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Nia Damuni	+0.9
15	8-7	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.8
16	9-7	UTSA	GONZ	Attack err	Gigi Mason		+1.0
17	9-8	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.8
18	10-8	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Hazel Murphy	set Nia Damuni	+1.0
19	10-9	GONZ	UTSA×10	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.9
20	10-10	UTSA	UTSA×10	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Alyssa Manitzas	+1.1
21	10-11	UTSA	UTSA×10	Ace	UTSA server	aced Raechelle Dykstra	+1.0
22	10-12	UTSA	UTSA×10	Ace	UTSA server	aced Claire Wagstaff	+0.9
23	10-13	UTSA	UTSA×10	Attack err	Claire Wagstaff		+0.7
24	10-14	UTSA	UTSA×10	Ace	UTSA server	aced Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	+0.6
25	10-15	UTSA	UTSA×10	Attack err	Claire Wagstaff	blk Caroline Tredwell, Sydney Bryant	+0.4
26	10-16	UTSA	UTSA×10	Ace	UTSA server	aced Raechelle Dykstra	+0.3
27	10-17	UTSA	UTSA×10	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.2
28	10-18	UTSA	UTSA×10	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.1
29	11-18	UTSA	GONZ	Attack err	Caroline Tredwell		+0.0
30	12-18	GONZ	GONZ	Kill	Lydia Fisher	set Daniele Clewis	+0.1
31	12-19	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.1
32	12-20	UTSA	UTSA	Attack err	Lydia Fisher	blk Sydney Bryant, Ledisi Kpea	+0.1
33	13-20	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Taylor Walsh	set Daniele Clewis	+0.0
34	13-21	GONZ	UTSA×3	Kill	Ledisi Kpea	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.0
35	13-22	UTSA	UTSA×3	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.0
36	13-23	UTSA	UTSA×3	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.0
37	14-23	UTSA	GONZ×3	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Daniele Clewis	+0.0
38	15-23	GONZ	GONZ×3	Attack err	Ledisi Kpea		+0.0
39	16-23	GONZ	GONZ×3	Kill	Hazel Murphy	set Nia Damuni	+0.0
40	16-24	GONZ	UTSA	Serve err	GONZ server		+0.0
41	16-25	UTSA	UTSA	Ace	UTSA server	aced Raechelle Dykstra	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Claire Wagstaff	set Daniele Clewis	+0.4
2	2-0	GONZ	GONZ	Attack err	Isabella Arroyave		+0.6
3	2-1	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.4
4	2-2	UTSA	UTSA	Ace	UTSA server	aced Hazel Murphy	+0.5
5	3-2	UTSA	GONZ	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.5
6	3-3	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.4
7	4-3	UTSA	GONZ	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.5
8	5-3	GONZ	GONZ	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Hazel Murphy	+0.7
9	5-4	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Brooke Elliott	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.5
10	6-4	UTSA	GONZ	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.6
11	6-5	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Megan Hawkins	+0.5
12	7-5	UTSA	GONZ	Attack err	Isabella Arroyave		+0.6
13	7-6	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Ledisi Kpea	set Megan Hawkins	+0.5
14	8-6	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Lydia Fisher	set Nia Damuni	+0.6
15	9-6	GONZ	GONZ	Kill	Hazel Murphy	set Raechelle Dykstra	+0.9
16	9-7	GONZ	UTSA×3	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Megan Hawkins	+0.6
17	9-8	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Claire Wagstaff		+0.7
18	9-9	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Hazel Murphy	blk Brooke Elliott, Caroline Tredwell	+0.7
19	10-9	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Taylor Walsh	set Daniele Clewis	+0.6
20	10-10	GONZ	UTSA×4	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Brooke Elliott	+0.5
21	10-11	UTSA	UTSA×4	Attack err	Hazel Murphy		+0.7
22	10-12	UTSA	UTSA×4	Ace	UTSA server	aced Hazel Murphy	+0.6
23	10-13	UTSA	UTSA×4	Attack err	Claire Wagstaff		+0.5
24	11-13	UTSA	GONZ	Attack err	Brooke Elliott	blk Claire Wagstaff, Taylor Walsh	+0.4
25	11-14	GONZ	UTSA	Serve err	GONZ server		+0.4
26	12-14	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Daniele Clewis	+0.4
27	12-15	GONZ	UTSA×4	Kill	Ledisi Kpea	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.4
28	12-16	UTSA	UTSA×4	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.4
29	12-17	UTSA	UTSA×4	Attack err	Lydia Fisher		+0.3
30	12-18	UTSA	UTSA×4	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.2
31	13-18	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Nikita Clausen	set Nia Damuni	+0.1
32	13-19	GONZ	UTSA×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Megan Hawkins	+0.1
33	13-20	UTSA	UTSA×3	Ace	UTSA server	aced Hazel Murphy	+0.1
34	13-21	UTSA	UTSA×3	Ace	UTSA server	aced Hazel Murphy	+0.0
35	14-21	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Nikita Clausen	set Nia Damuni	+0.0
36	14-22	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.0
37	15-22	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Hazel Murphy	set Raechelle Dykstra	+0.0
38	15-23	GONZ	UTSA×3	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.0
39	15-24	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Claire Wagstaff	blk Brooke Elliott, Caroline Tredwell	+0.0
40	15-25	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Claire Wagstaff	blk Brooke Elliott, Caroline Tredwell	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	GONZ	GONZ	Ace	GONZ server	aced Isabella Arroyave	+0.3
2	1-1	GONZ	UTSA	Serve err	GONZ server		+0.2
3	2-1	UTSA	GONZ	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.2
4	2-2	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.2
5	3-2	UTSA	GONZ	Attack err	Sydney Bryant	blk Nikita Clausen, Claire Wagstaff	+0.2
6	3-3	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.2
7	4-3	UTSA	GONZ	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.2
8	4-4	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.2
9	5-4	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Raechelle Dykstra	set Daniele Clewis	+0.2
10	6-4	GONZ	GONZ	Kill	Claire Wagstaff	set Daniele Clewis	+0.3
11	6-5	GONZ	UTSA	Attack err	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen		+0.2
12	7-5	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Daniele Clewis	+0.3
13	7-6	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.2
14	8-6	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Daniele Clewis	+0.3
15	8-7	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.2
16	9-7	UTSA	GONZ	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.3
17	9-8	GONZ	UTSA×3	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.3
18	9-9	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Claire Wagstaff	blk Ledisi Kpea, Sydney Bryant	+0.3
19	9-10	UTSA	UTSA×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.3
20	10-10	UTSA	GONZ	Attack err	Nikita Clausen		+0.2
21	10-11	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.2
22	10-12	UTSA	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.3
23	11-12	UTSA	GONZ×3	Attack err	Gigi Mason	blk Raechelle Dykstra, Taylor Walsh	+0.2
24	12-12	GONZ	GONZ×3	Kill	Raechelle Dykstra		+0.3
25	13-12	GONZ	GONZ×3	Kill	Daniele Clewis	set Maggie Rickert	+0.4
26	13-13	GONZ	UTSA	Serve err	GONZ server		+0.3
27	14-13	UTSA	GONZ	Bad set	Gigi Mason		+0.3
28	14-14	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Ledisi Kpea	set Megan Hawkins	+0.3
29	15-14	UTSA	GONZ×3	Kill	Taylor Walsh	set Daniele Clewis	+0.4
30	16-14	GONZ	GONZ×3	Kill	Claire Wagstaff	set Daniele Clewis	+0.6
31	17-14	GONZ	GONZ×3	Attack err	Caroline Tredwell	blk Daniele Clewis, Nikita Clausen	+0.6
32	17-15	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.3
33	18-15	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Daniele Clewis	+0.5
34	18-16	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.4
35	19-16	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Hazel Murphy	set Daniele Clewis	+0.5
36	19-17	GONZ	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.4
37	19-18	UTSA	UTSA	Ace	UTSA server	aced Nikita Clausen	+0.6
38	20-18	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Raechelle Dykstra	set Daniele Clewis	+0.6
39	20-19	GONZ	UTSA×6	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.4
40	20-20	UTSA	UTSA×6	Attack err	Taylor Walsh		+0.7
41	20-21	UTSA	UTSA×6	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.7
42	20-22	UTSA	UTSA×6	Kill	Ledisi Kpea		+0.5
43	20-23	UTSA	UTSA×6	Attack err	Raechelle Dykstra	blk Ledisi Kpea, Gigi Mason	+0.4
44	20-24	UTSA	UTSA×6	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.2
45	21-24	UTSA	GONZ	Kill	Raechelle Dykstra	set Daniele Clewis	+0.0
46	21-25	GONZ	UTSA	Attack err	Raechelle Dykstra		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Gonzaga first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.