Final · 5 setsThu, Oct 22, 2026Watch on Pac-12 YouTube, YouTube

Gonzaga def. Texas St. 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Texas St. 66.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 22, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Gonzaga beat visiting Texas St. 3-2 (25-15, 21-25, 25-14, 20-25, 16-14) on Thu, Oct 22, 2026. Gonzaga's Claire Wagstaff led with 25 kills, and Raechelle Dykstra added 22 digs.

Data through · final Oct 22

Set12345Sets
TX ST15251425142
GONZ25212520163

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Claire Wagstaff, and Gonzaga needed each of them.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Gonzaga's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Texas St. went in at 67% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Texas St. 1–1 Gonzaga

    From 1–1, Gonzaga scored 7 straight to lead 8–1. The match swung to Gonzaga.

    Gonzaga 37% → 58%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Texas St. 13–13 Gonzaga

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Gonzaga, enough to take the set 16–14 and win the match 3–2.

    Gonzaga 50% → >99%

Gonzaga above 50Texas St. belowMax swing 29.7%

Texas St.Gonzaga

Sideout %
Texas St. 56.1·Gonzaga 64.5
Break %
Texas St. 35.5·Gonzaga 43.9
Hitting
Texas St. .214·Gonzaga .324
Longest run
Texas St. 5·Gonzaga 7

Claire Wagstaff
5 of her kills came in the stretches above. 25 K, .400, 30 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Gonzaga above 50 · Texas St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+29.7% GONZrally 200 · set 5

Biggest swing: 29.7% to Gonzaga — set 5, TX ST 14-16 GONZ. Kill by Maggie Rickert (set by Daniele Clewis). GONZ win probability 70% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TX ST 57.5%42.5% GONZ

Texas St. wins

3-0
15.9%
3-1
21.9%
3-2
19.7%

Gonzaga wins

3-0
9.6%
3-1
15.6%
3-2
17.3%
TX ST break %
42.7% vs this opp
GONZ break %
41.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Maggie RickertKill+29.7%

    Kill by Maggie Rickert (set by Daniele Clewis)

    Set 5 · TX ST 14-16 GONZ · GONZ 70% → 100%

  2. 02
    Claire WagstaffKill+27.5%

    Kill by Claire Wagstaff (set by Daniele Clewis)

    Set 5 · TX ST 14-15 GONZ · GONZ 43% → 70%

  3. 03
    Brooke BentkeKill+25.9%

    Kill by Brooke Bentke (set by Anna Blaine)

    Set 5 · TX ST 14-13 GONZ · TX ST 50% → 76%

  4. 04
    Claire WagstaffKill+21.7%

    Kill by Claire Wagstaff (set by Daniele Clewis)

    Set 5 · TX ST 12-13 GONZ · GONZ 43% → 65%

  5. 05
    Claire WagstaffKill+18.9%

    Kill by Claire Wagstaff (set by Daniele Clewis)

    Set 5 · TX ST 14-14 GONZ · GONZ 24% → 43%

  6. 06
    Brooke BentkeKill+15.1%

    Kill by Brooke Bentke (set by Anna Blaine)

    Set 5 · TX ST 13-13 GONZ · TX ST 35% → 50%

  7. 07
    Claire WagstaffKill+15.0%

    Kill by Claire Wagstaff (set by Raechelle Dykstra)

    Set 5 · TX ST 11-11 GONZ · GONZ 28% → 43%

  8. 08
    Peyton McKeeKill+12.6%

    Kill by Peyton McKee (set by Anna Blaine)

    Set 5 · TX ST 12-11 GONZ · TX ST 57% → 69%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519549.28614090010.523.5
516737.2430007200016
510125.36001000031.512.5
33516-.125000000003
31011.0001410500002
2227.000100000002
5103.33337021000212
5001.0004122230001
5000–001000000
34114.21400010010.54.5
33211.09100000010.53.5
3218.125000000002
2001.000200300000
2000–000400000
Team totals6124173.214597561508493
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
525550.4000427102130
516541.26800100010.516.5
59119.4211004014312
55210.30056011300427
5304.750112810004
4439.111200110215
59234.206000120009
5001.0006002220000
5000–100400000
4000–0001100000
22021.00000000010.52.5
Team totals7318170.32467567171148107

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Texas St. vs Gonzaga

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TX ST · GONZ 7

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 2 TX STGONZ 4

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 TX STGONZ 3

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 2 TX STGONZ 7

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 TX STGONZ 4

Set 5

14-16

Longest run 5 TX STGONZ 3

Bars above the line = Gonzaga leads, below = Texas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Texas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
9%1/11
2
47%9/19
44%7/16
3
56%9/16
44%7/16
4
57%8/14
43%6/14
5
67%8/12
33%4/12
6
57%8/14
20%2/10
All
57%52/91
34%27/79

Gonzaga

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
29%4/14
2
56%9/16
36%5/14
3
57%8/14
59%13/22
4
67%8/12
33%4/12
5
73%8/11
50%8/16
6
100%8/8
38%5/13
All
66%52/79
43%39/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

200 rallies

#TX ST-GONZSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TX STTX STAceDylan Gilkeyaced Maggie Rickert+2.2
21-1TX STGONZ×3KillGabby Vandalset Daniele Clewis+1.7
31-2GONZGONZ×3KillGabby Vandal+2.4
41-3GONZGONZ×3KillGabby Vandal+2.5
52-3GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+1.7
63-3TX STTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Jasmine Purakal+2.4
73-4TX STGONZAttack errIndia Bennett+1.9
83-5GONZGONZAttack errCaelyn Robel+2.6
94-5GONZTX STKillIndia Bennettset Dylan Gilkey+1.8
104-6TX STGONZ×3KillNikita Clausenset Caelyn Robel+2.0
114-7GONZGONZ×3Attack errBrooke Bentke+2.7
124-8GONZGONZ×3AceGonzagaaced Peyton McKee+2.6
135-8GONZTX STKillAshley Eustonset Dylan Gilkey+1.6
145-9TX STGONZ×4KillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+1.9
155-10GONZGONZ×4KillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+2.4
165-11GONZGONZ×4AceGonzagaaced Peyton McKee+2.1
175-12GONZGONZ×4KillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+1.7
186-12GONZTX STKillIsabella Andrewsset Anna Blaine+0.9
196-13TX STGONZKillNikita Clausenset Daniele Clewis+1.3
207-13GONZTX STKillAshley Eustonset Anna Blaine+0.9
217-14TX STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+1.2
227-15GONZGONZAttack errPeyton McKee+1.3
238-15GONZTX STServe errGonzaga+0.6
248-16TX STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+0.9
258-17GONZGONZBlockedCaelyn Robelblk Claire Wagstaff, Gabby Vandal+0.8
269-17GONZTX STServe errGonzaga+0.3
279-18TX STGONZKillTaylor Walshset Daniele Clewis+0.5
289-19GONZGONZAttack errBrooke Bentke+0.4
2910-19GONZTX STKillCaelyn Robelset Dylan Gilkey+0.1
3010-20TX STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+0.2
3110-21GONZGONZKillNikita Clausenset Daniele Clewis+0.1
3211-21GONZTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey·
3311-22TX STGONZKillTaylor Walshset Daniele Clewis+0.1
3412-22GONZTX STServe errGonzaga·
3513-22TX STTX STKillAshley Eustonset Anna Blaine+0.1
3613-23TX STGONZKillNikita Clausenset Daniele Clewis+0.1
3714-23GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine·
3814-24TX STGONZKillDaniele Clewisset Gabby Vandal·
3915-24GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine·
4015-25TX STGONZAttack errCaelyn Robel·
Set 2
11-0GONZTX ST×4KillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+2.0
22-0TX STTX ST×4Bad setDaniele Clewis+2.6
33-0TX STTX ST×4Attack errVeronica Kjaer Sorensen+2.4
44-0TX STTX ST×4BlockedClaire Wagstaffblk Ashley Euston, Brooke Bentke+2.2
54-1TX STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+1.5
65-1GONZTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+1.6
76-1TX STTX STAttack errClaire Wagstaff+1.9
86-2TX STGONZServe errAnna Blaine+1.3
97-2GONZTX STKillAshley Eustonset Anna Blaine+1.4
107-3TX STGONZKillTaylor Walshset Raechelle Dykstra+1.3
117-4GONZGONZAceClaire Wagstaffaced Jasmine Purakal+2.1
128-4GONZTX STKillIsabella Andrewsset Jasmine Purakal+1.7
138-5TX STGONZKillDaniele Clewisset Raechelle Dykstra+1.6
148-6GONZGONZAttack errIndia Bennett+2.5
159-6GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine+2.0
169-7TX STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+1.9
1710-7GONZTX STAttack errDaniele Clewis+2.1
1810-8TX STGONZKillDaniele Clewisset Brianna Martin+1.9
1911-8GONZTX STKillCaelyn Robelset India Bennett+2.1
2011-9TX STGONZServe errJasmine Purakal+2.0
2112-9GONZTX STKillCaelyn Robelset Dylan Gilkey+2.2
2212-10TX STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+2.0
2312-11GONZGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+3.2
2413-11GONZTX ST×3KillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+2.6
2514-11TX STTX ST×3AceBrooke Bentkeaced Taylor Walsh+3.2
2615-11TX STTX ST×3AceBrooke Bentkeaced Taylor Walsh+2.7
2715-12TX STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+1.7
2816-12GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine+2.0
2917-12TX STTX STAceAshley Eustonaced Claire Wagstaff+2.1
3017-13TX STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+1.2
3117-14GONZGONZKillNikita Clausen+2.2
3218-14GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine+2.1
3318-15TX STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+1.6
3419-15GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+2.1
3519-16TX STGONZ×3KillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Maggie Rickert+1.6
3619-17GONZGONZ×3KillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Gabby Vandal+3.1
3719-18GONZGONZ×3Attack errCaelyn Robel+4.2
3820-18GONZTX ST×3KillIndia Bennettset Dylan Gilkey+3.7
3921-18TX STTX ST×3AceJasmine Purakalaced Gabby Vandal+4.2
4022-18TX STTX ST×3Attack errGabby Vandal+2.9
4122-19TX STGONZBlockedBrooke Bentkeblk Gabby Vandal, Claire Wagstaff+1.2
4223-19GONZTX STKillAshley Eustonset Dylan Gilkey+2.0
4323-20TX STGONZKillDaniele Clewisset Raechelle Dykstra+1.0
4423-21GONZGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+2.6
4524-21GONZTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+3.4
4625-21TX STTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Brooke Bentke+1.7
Set 3
10-1TX STGONZKillNikita Clausenset Daniele Clewis+2.4
21-1GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+2.3
31-2TX STGONZ×7KillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+2.5
41-3GONZGONZ×7KillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+3.4
51-4GONZGONZ×7KillMaggie Rickertset Daniele Clewis+3.4
61-5GONZGONZ×7KillGabby Vandalset Daniele Clewis+3.4
71-6GONZGONZ×7Attack errAlly Adair+3.2
81-7GONZGONZ×7KillClaire Wagstaffset Raechelle Dykstra+2.9
91-8GONZGONZ×7KillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+2.5
102-8GONZTX STKillDylan Gilkeyset Jasmine Purakal+1.4
113-8TX STTX STAttack errGabby Vandal+2.3
123-9TX STGONZAttack errAshley Euston+2.1
134-9GONZTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+1.7
144-10TX STGONZ×3KillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+2.2
154-11GONZGONZ×3Attack errIsabella Andrews+2.4
164-12GONZGONZ×3BlockedPeyton McKeeblk Nikita Clausen+1.9
175-12GONZTX STKillAshley Eustonset Anna Blaine+1.0
185-13TX STGONZKillNikita Clausenset Daniele Clewis+1.4
196-13GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine+0.9
206-14TX STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+1.4
216-15GONZGONZAttack errPeyton McKee+1.3
227-15GONZTX STKillAlly Adairset Anna Blaine+0.6
237-16TX STGONZKillNikita Clausenset Daniele Clewis+0.9
247-17GONZGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+0.8
258-17GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+0.3
268-18TX STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+0.5
278-19GONZGONZAttack errCaelyn Robel+0.4
289-19GONZTX STKillJanet Onuorahset Dylan Gilkey+0.1
299-20TX STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+0.2
3010-20GONZTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+0.1
3111-20TX STTX STKillAshley Eustonset Anna Blaine+0.2
3211-21TX STGONZServe errAnna Blaine+0.3
3312-21GONZTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+0.1
3412-22TX STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+0.2
3512-23GONZGONZAceClaire Wagstaffaced Jasmine Purakal+0.1
3613-23GONZTX STAttack errTaylor Walsh·
3713-24TX STGONZBlockedPeyton McKeeblk Nikita Clausen, Daniele Clewis·
3814-24GONZTX STServe errGonzaga·
3914-25TX STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis·
Set 4
11-0GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine+2.6
21-1TX STGONZBlockedBrooke Bentkeblk Veronica Kjaer Sorensen, Nikita Clausen+2.7
31-2GONZGONZKillDaniele Clewisset Nikita Clausen+3.9
42-2GONZTX ST×4KillAlly Adairset Anna Blaine+2.8
53-2TX STTX ST×4Attack errDaniele Clewis+3.8
64-2TX STTX ST×4Attack errVeronica Kjaer Sorensen+3.6
75-2TX STTX ST×4KillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+3.4
85-3TX STGONZKillMaggie Rickertset Daniele Clewis+2.4
95-4GONZGONZAttack errBrooke Bentke+3.6
106-4GONZTX ST×3KillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+2.8
117-4TX STTX ST×3KillBrooke Bentkeset Jasmine Purakal+3.5
128-4TX STTX ST×3Attack errClaire Wagstaff+3.1
138-5TX STGONZServe errJasmine Purakal+2.1
149-5GONZTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+2.3
159-6TX STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+2.1
1610-6GONZTX ST×3KillJanet Onuorahset Anna Blaine+2.4
1711-6TX STTX ST×3Attack errNikita Clausen+2.7
1812-6TX STTX ST×3BlockedTaylor Walshblk Anna Blaine, Ashley Euston+2.2
1912-7TX STGONZ×4KillTaylor Walshset Daniele Clewis+1.3
2012-8GONZGONZ×4KillNikita Clausen+2.3
2112-9GONZGONZ×4KillTaylor Walshset Daniele Clewis+2.9
2212-10GONZGONZ×4BlockedPeyton McKeeblk Nikita Clausen, Daniele Clewis+3.7
2313-10GONZTX STKillAshley Eustonset Anna Blaine+3.0
2413-11TX STGONZServe errKaris Carpenter+2.8
2514-11GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine+3.1
2615-11TX STTX STAttack errVeronica Kjaer Sorensen+3.6
2715-12TX STGONZBlockedPeyton McKeeblk Nikita Clausen, Daniele Clewis+2.2
2816-12GONZTX ST×3KillAlly Adairset Anna Blaine+2.7
2917-12TX STTX ST×3Attack errVeronica Kjaer Sorensen+2.8
3018-12TX STTX ST×3BlockedGabby Vandalblk Janet Onuorah, Ally Adair+2.0
3118-13TX STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+1.0
3218-14GONZGONZAttack errJanet Onuorah+2.0
3319-14GONZTX STKillAlly Adairset Anna Blaine+2.0
3419-15TX STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+1.4
3520-15GONZTX ST×3KillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+2.0
3621-15TX STTX ST×3Attack errClaire Wagstaff+1.6
3722-15TX STTX ST×3KillJanet Onuorahset Anna Blaine+0.8
3822-16TX STGONZKillTaylor Walshset Daniele Clewis+0.2
3922-17GONZGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Raechelle Dykstra+0.6
4023-17GONZTX STKillAshley Eustonset Anna Blaine+0.8
4123-18TX STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+0.3
4223-19GONZGONZAceClaire Wagstaffaced Jasmine Purakal+0.8
4324-19GONZTX STServe errGonzaga+1.2
4424-20TX STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Anna Blaine+0.3
4525-20GONZTX STKillAnna Blaineset Ameena Campbell+1.8
Set 5
10-1GONZGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+8.8
20-2GONZGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+9.1
31-2GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine+6.2
41-3TX STGONZKillLucy Slavikset Daniele Clewis+7.0
52-3GONZTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Ameena Campbell+6.4
63-3TX STTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+9.3
73-4TX STGONZKillTaylor Walshset Daniele Clewis+7.4
83-5GONZGONZAttack errJanet Onuorah+10.2
94-5GONZTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+6.8
104-6TX STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+8.0
114-7GONZGONZKillTaylor Walshset Daniele Clewis+10.3
125-7GONZTX ST×5Serve errGonzaga+6.2
136-7TX STTX ST×5AceBrooke Bentkeaced Raechelle Dykstra+10.1
147-7TX STTX ST×5AceBrooke Bentkeaced Raechelle Dykstra+11.3
158-7TX ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+11.7
169-7TX STTX ST×5KillAshley Eustonset Anna Blaine+11.0
179-8TX STGONZKillTaylor Walshset Daniele Clewis+7.4
1810-8GONZTX STBlockedVeronica Kjaer Sorensenblk Ashley Euston, Anna Blaine+8.6
1910-9TX STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+7.7
2011-9GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine+9.4
2111-10TX STGONZBlockedPeyton McKeeblk Daniele Clewis, Lucy Slavik+8.1
2211-11GONZGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Raechelle Dykstra+15.0
2312-11GONZTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine+12.6
2412-12TX STGONZKillLucy Slavikset Daniele Clewis+12.6
2512-13GONZGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+21.7
2613-13GONZTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+15.1
2714-13TX STTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+25.9
2814-14TX STGONZ×3KillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+18.9
2914-15GONZGONZ×3KillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+27.5
3014-16GONZGONZ×3KillMaggie Rickertset Daniele Clewis+29.7

Score shown after each rally, Texas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).