FinalThu, Sep 3, 2026

AwayBIG-WEST

0:3

HomePAC-12

Gonzaga def. Cal St. Fullerton 3–0

(25-16, 25-20, 25-14)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CSFULL	16	20	14	0
GONZ	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

GONZ above 50 · CSFULL below

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Cal St. Fullerton — set 1, CSFULL 13-15 GONZ. Attack error by Veronica Kjaer Sorensen. GONZ win probability 82% → 80%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CSFULL 24.5%75.5% GONZ

Cal St. Fullerton wins

3-0

4.3%

3-1

8.4%

3-2

11.8%

Gonzaga wins

3-0

27.4%

3-1

28.8%

3-2

19.2%

CSFULL break %: 40.8% vs this opp
GONZ break %: 46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Veronica Kjaer SorensenAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Veronica Kjaer Sorensen
Set 1 · CSFULL 13-15 GONZ · CSFULL 18% → 20%
02
Sofia ShineAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Sofia Shine
Set 1 · CSFULL 13-17 GONZ · GONZ 81% → 83%
03
Emilia GrahamAttack error+1.8%
Attack error by Emilia Graham
Set 1 · CSFULL 1-3 GONZ · GONZ 77% → 79%
04
Nikita ClausenKill+1.7%
Kill by Nikita Clausen (set by Daniele Clewis)
Set 1 · CSFULL 13-16 GONZ · GONZ 80% → 81%
05
Marisa NakataKill+1.7%
Kill by Marisa Nakata (set by Kaia Herweg)
Set 1 · CSFULL 5-7 GONZ · CSFULL 19% → 21%
06
GONZ serverAce+1.6%
Gonzaga ace on Marisa Nakata
Set 1 · CSFULL 1-4 GONZ · GONZ 79% → 80%
07
Claire WagstaffKill+1.6%
Kill by Claire Wagstaff (set by Daniele Clewis)
Set 1 · CSFULL 7-11 GONZ · GONZ 81% → 82%
08
Veronica Kjaer SorensenAttack error+1.5%
Veronica Kjaer Sorensen stuffed by Emilia Graham & Sofia Shine
Set 1 · CSFULL 12-15 GONZ · CSFULL 17% → 18%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Cal St. Fullertonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
17Marisa NakataL/DS	3	6	4	19	.105	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	6
9Hannah HassMB	3	5	2	8	.375	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
3Sofia ShineOH	3	4	2	15	.133	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
12Italia BernalS	3	0	1	2	-.500	10	2	1	3	0	0	0	2
5Bella RislingOH	2	5	3	14	.143	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
13Emilia GrahamMB	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
8Kaia HerwegL/DS	3	4	6	15	-.133	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	4
18Zariah CrosbyMB	3	2	1	4	.250	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
14Arianna EllisOH	3	1	0	10	.100	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
7Jaiden MojicaS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
15Kaieva ChristensenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	16	2	0	0	0
11Mia FeldhausL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		27	20	90	.078	26	2	5	33	5	4	2	50

Gonzagahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Claire WagstaffOH	3	10	1	21	.429	1	0	0	6	0	0	5	2.5	12.5
4Megan DeveauxOH	3	9	4	19	.263	1	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	10
20Taylor WalshMB	3	8	1	14	.500	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	1	9
7Nikita ClausenMB	3	5	0	6	.833	2	1	2	3	0	1	4	3	9
9Veronica Kjaer SorensenOH	3	8	4	26	.154	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	8
8Daniele ClewisS	3	3	1	5	.400	28	2	1	8	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
15Maggie RickertL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	1
18Raechelle DykstraOH	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
14Lydia FisherMB	1	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
11Carina ZaldivarL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Aurie DuncanOPP	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
13Lucy SlavikMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Nia DamuniS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	12	99	.333	39	5	9	40	2	1	12	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 CSFULL · GONZ 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 4 CSFULLGONZ 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 CSFULLGONZ 4

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 3 CSFULLGONZ 6

Bars above the line = Gonzaga leads, below = Cal St. Fullerton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Cal St. Fullerton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	33%3/9
2	32%6/19	33%3/9
3	38%6/16	14%1/7
4	67%6/9	33%3/9
5	83%5/6	14%1/7
6	31%4/13	55%6/11
All	45%33/73	33%17/52

Gonzaga

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	86%6/7	75%12/16
2	67%6/9	45%5/11
3	75%6/8	70%14/20
4	67%6/9	50%6/12
5	60%6/10	25%2/8
6	56%5/9	17%1/6
All	67%35/52	55%40/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

125 rallies

Rally log

#	CSFULL-GONZ	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Megan Deveaux	set Daniele Clewis	+1.4
2	1-1	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+1.5
3	1-2	CSFULL	GONZ×3	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Daniele Clewis	+1.4
4	1-3	GONZ	GONZ×3	Attack err	Emilia Graham		+1.8
5	1-4	GONZ	GONZ×3	Ace	GONZ server	aced Marisa Nakata	+1.6
6	2-4	GONZ	CSFULL	Attack err	Megan Deveaux		+1.2
7	2-5	CSFULL	GONZ×3	Serve err	CSFULL server		+1.2
8	2-6	GONZ	GONZ×3	Kill	Taylor Walsh	set Daniele Clewis	+1.5
9	2-7	GONZ	GONZ×3	Attack err	Bella Risling		+1.2
10	3-7	GONZ	CSFULL×3	Serve err	GONZ server		+0.9
11	4-7	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Attack err	Taylor Walsh		+1.4
12	5-7	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Kill	Marisa Nakata	set Kaia Herweg	+1.7
13	5-8	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Daniele Clewis		+1.3
14	6-8	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Marisa Nakata	set Jaiden Mojica	+1.3
15	6-9	CSFULL	GONZ	Serve err	CSFULL server		+1.4
16	7-9	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Daniele Clewis	+1.3
17	7-10	CSFULL	GONZ×5	Kill	Megan Deveaux	set Daniele Clewis	+1.4
18	7-11	GONZ	GONZ×5	Kill	Claire Wagstaff	set Daniele Clewis	+1.6
19	7-12	GONZ	GONZ×5	Attack err	Marisa Nakata	blk Nikita Clausen	+1.3
20	7-13	GONZ	GONZ×5	Kill	Megan Deveaux	set Raechelle Dykstra	+1.0
21	7-14	GONZ	GONZ×5	Kill	Megan Deveaux	set Daniele Clewis	+0.7
22	8-14	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Kaia Herweg	set Italia Bernal	+0.4
23	9-14	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Claire Wagstaff		+0.8
24	9-15	CSFULL	GONZ	Attack err	Sofia Shine	blk Claire Wagstaff, Nikita Clausen	+0.8
25	10-15	GONZ	CSFULL×4	Serve err	GONZ server		+0.6
26	11-15	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Kill	Bella Risling	set Sofia Shine	+1.1
27	12-15	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Attack err	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	blk Emilia Graham, Sofia Shine	+1.5
28	13-15	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Attack err	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen		+2.0
29	13-16	CSFULL	GONZ×4	Kill	Nikita Clausen	set Daniele Clewis	+1.7
30	13-17	GONZ	GONZ×4	Attack err	Sofia Shine		+1.9
31	13-18	GONZ	GONZ×4	Attack err	Bella Risling	blk Claire Wagstaff, Taylor Walsh	+1.4
32	13-19	GONZ	GONZ×4	Attack err	Italia Bernal		+0.9
33	14-19	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Kaieva Christensen	+0.5
34	14-20	CSFULL	GONZ×4	Serve err	CSFULL server		+0.7
35	14-21	GONZ	GONZ×4	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Daniele Clewis	+0.5
36	14-22	GONZ	GONZ×4	Kill	Daniele Clewis	set Daniele Clewis	+0.2
37	14-23	GONZ	GONZ×4	Attack err	Bella Risling		+0.1
38	15-23	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.0
39	15-24	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Taylor Walsh	set Daniele Clewis	+0.0
40	16-24	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Marisa Nakata	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.0
41	16-25	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Taylor Walsh	set Daniele Clewis	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Italia Bernal	+1.2
2	1-1	CSFULL	GONZ×3	Kill	Claire Wagstaff	set Daniele Clewis	+1.2
3	1-2	GONZ	GONZ×3	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Raechelle Dykstra	+1.5
4	1-3	GONZ	GONZ×3	Attack err	Kaia Herweg		+1.4
5	2-3	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Kaia Herweg	set Kaieva Christensen	+1.1
6	2-4	CSFULL	GONZ×4	Kill	Claire Wagstaff	set Daniele Clewis	+1.1
7	2-5	GONZ	GONZ×4	Attack err	Kaia Herweg		+1.3
8	2-6	GONZ	GONZ×4	Kill	Claire Wagstaff	set Nikita Clausen	+1.1
9	2-7	GONZ	GONZ×4	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Claire Wagstaff	+1.0
10	3-7	GONZ	CSFULL	Serve err	GONZ server		+0.7
11	3-8	CSFULL	GONZ	Attack err	Marisa Nakata		+0.7
12	4-8	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Zariah Crosby	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.7
13	4-9	CSFULL	GONZ	Serve err	CSFULL server		+0.8
14	5-9	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Marisa Nakata	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.7
15	6-9	CSFULL	CSFULL	Ace	CSFULL server	aced Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	+1.1
16	6-10	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Taylor Walsh	set Daniele Clewis	+0.9
17	7-10	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Italia Bernal	+0.9
18	8-10	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Kaia Herweg	set Italia Bernal	+1.4
19	8-11	CSFULL	GONZ×4	Kill	Megan Deveaux	set Daniele Clewis	+1.1
20	8-12	GONZ	GONZ×4	Attack err	Kaia Herweg		+1.3
21	8-13	GONZ	GONZ×4	Attack err	Kaia Herweg	blk Claire Wagstaff, Nikita Clausen	+1.0
22	8-14	GONZ	GONZ×4	Attack err	Hannah Hass		+0.8
23	9-14	GONZ	CSFULL	Serve err	GONZ server		+0.5
24	9-15	CSFULL	GONZ×3	Kill	Nikita Clausen	set Daniele Clewis	+0.6
25	9-16	GONZ	GONZ×3	Ace	GONZ server	aced Marisa Nakata	+0.6
26	9-17	GONZ	GONZ×3	Attack err	Kaia Herweg	blk Claire Wagstaff, Nikita Clausen	+0.4
27	10-17	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Kaia Herweg	set Italia Bernal	+0.2
28	10-18	CSFULL	GONZ×3	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Daniele Clewis	+0.2
29	10-19	GONZ	GONZ×3	Attack err	Kaia Herweg		+0.2
30	10-20	GONZ	GONZ×3	Kill	Claire Wagstaff	set Daniele Clewis	+0.1
31	11-20	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Zariah Crosby	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.0
32	12-20	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	blk Zariah Crosby, Arianna Ellis	+0.1
33	12-21	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Claire Wagstaff	set Daniele Clewis	+0.1
34	12-22	GONZ	GONZ	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Nia Damuni	+0.0
35	13-22	GONZ	CSFULL	Serve err	GONZ server		+0.0
36	14-22	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Megan Deveaux		+0.0
37	14-23	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Lydia Fisher	set Nia Damuni	+0.0
38	15-23	GONZ	CSFULL×4	Serve err	GONZ server		+0.0
39	16-23	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Attack err	Lydia Fisher		+0.0
40	17-23	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Ace	CSFULL server	aced Aurie Duncan	+0.1
41	18-23	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Italia Bernal	+0.2
42	18-24	CSFULL	GONZ	Serve err	CSFULL server		+0.2
43	19-24	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Italia Bernal	+0.1
44	20-24	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Megan Deveaux		+0.2
45	20-25	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Nikita Clausen	set Nia Damuni	+0.3
Set 3
1	0-1	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Claire Wagstaff	set Daniele Clewis	+0.6
2	0-2	GONZ	GONZ	Kill	Nikita Clausen		+0.7
3	1-2	GONZ	CSFULL	Serve err	GONZ server		+0.6
4	1-3	CSFULL	GONZ×5	Kill	Daniele Clewis	set Raechelle Dykstra	+0.6
5	1-4	GONZ	GONZ×5	Attack err	Hannah Hass		+0.7
6	1-5	GONZ	GONZ×5	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Daniele Clewis	+0.6
7	1-6	GONZ	GONZ×5	Kill	Taylor Walsh	set Sofia Shine	+0.5
8	1-7	GONZ	GONZ×5	Kill	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen	set Megan Deveaux	+0.4
9	2-7	GONZ	CSFULL	Serve err	GONZ server		+0.3
10	3-7	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.5
11	3-8	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Claire Wagstaff	set Daniele Clewis	+0.4
12	4-8	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.4
13	4-9	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Taylor Walsh	set Daniele Clewis	+0.4
14	5-9	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Marisa Nakata	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.4
15	5-10	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Megan Deveaux	set Daniele Clewis	+0.4
16	6-10	GONZ	CSFULL×3	Serve err	GONZ server		+0.4
17	7-10	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Attack err	Daniele Clewis		+0.6
18	8-10	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Attack err	Megan Deveaux		+0.8
19	8-11	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Nikita Clausen	set Daniele Clewis	+0.6
20	9-11	GONZ	CSFULL	Attack err	Veronica Kjaer Sorensen		+0.6
21	9-12	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Claire Wagstaff	set Daniele Clewis	+0.6
22	10-12	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Arianna Ellis	set Italia Bernal	+0.6
23	10-13	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Megan Deveaux	set Daniele Clewis	+0.7
24	11-13	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Italia Bernal	+0.6
25	11-14	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Taylor Walsh	set Daniele Clewis	+0.7
26	12-14	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.6
27	12-15	CSFULL	GONZ×3	Attack err	Marisa Nakata	blk Taylor Walsh, Daniele Clewis	+0.7
28	12-16	GONZ	GONZ×3	Kill	Maggie Rickert	set Daniele Clewis	+0.8
29	12-17	GONZ	GONZ×3	Ace	GONZ server	aced Kaieva Christensen	+0.6
30	13-17	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Marisa Nakata	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.4
31	13-18	CSFULL	GONZ	Kill	Taylor Walsh	set Daniele Clewis	+0.4
32	13-19	GONZ	GONZ	Attack err	Zariah Crosby		+0.4
33	14-19	GONZ	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.2
34	14-20	CSFULL	GONZ×6	Kill	Megan Deveaux	set Daniele Clewis	+0.3
35	14-21	GONZ	GONZ×6	Ace	GONZ server	aced Kaia Herweg	+0.2
36	14-22	GONZ	GONZ×6	Attack err	Marisa Nakata	blk Claire Wagstaff, Nikita Clausen	+0.1
37	14-23	GONZ	GONZ×6	Ace	GONZ server	aced Kaieva Christensen	+0.0
38	14-24	GONZ	GONZ×6	Kill	Claire Wagstaff	set Nikita Clausen	+0.0
39	14-25	GONZ	GONZ×6	Kill	Megan Deveaux	set Raechelle Dykstra	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Cal St. Fullerton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.