CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026
UC Davis logo

AwayMOUNTAIN-WEST

1:3

Southern California def. UC Davis 31

(25-16, 26-24, 30-32, 28-26)
Set1*234*Sets
UC DAV162432261
USC252630283
  • * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
  • * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

USC above 50 · UC DAV below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100USCUC DAVBiggest swing +10.6% UC DAV · S4 24-23rally 207 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.6% to UC Davis — set 4, UC DAV 24-23 USC. Attack error by Mia Tvrdy. USC win probability 85%75%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UC DAV 23.1%76.9% USC

UC Davis wins

3-0
4.0%
3-1
7.8%
3-2
11.3%

Southern California wins

3-0
28.6%
3-1
29.3%
3-2
19.0%
UC DAV break %
37.2% vs this opp
USC break %
42.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Mia TvrdyAttack error+10.6%

    Attack error by Mia Tvrdy

    Set 4 · UC DAV 24-23 USC · UC DAV 15%25%

  2. 02
    Brooke HibinoAttack error+9.6%

    Brooke Hibino stuffed by Milly Mcgee & Mia Tvrdy

    Set 4 · UC DAV 25-26 USC · USC 82%92%

  3. 03
    Layli OstovarKill+8.4%

    Kill by Layli Ostovar (set by Milly Mcgee)

    Set 4 · UC DAV 26-28 USC · USC 92%100%

  4. 04
    Brooke HibinoKill+7.2%

    Kill by Brooke Hibino (set by Ximena Cordero barr)

    Set 4 · UC DAV 23-23 USC · UC DAV 7%15%

  5. 05
    Ally ChandlerAttack error+7.2%

    Attack error by Ally Chandler

    Set 4 · UC DAV 24-24 USC · USC 75%82%

  6. 06
    USC serverService error+7.2%

    Southern California service error

    Set 4 · UC DAV 25-24 USC · UC DAV 18%25%

  7. 07
    Brooke HibinoAttack error+7.2%

    Attack error by Brooke Hibino

    Set 4 · UC DAV 25-25 USC · USC 75%82%

  8. 08
    Brooke HibinoKill+6.2%

    Kill by Brooke Hibino (set by Mia Starr)

    Set 4 · UC DAV 26-26 USC · UC DAV 8%15%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411843.07020580010.511.5
49421.2380050012211
47322.182000010007
4218.1253827110010.54.5
4123-.33300000010.51.5
40001021930000
417961.13110472254.521.5
43210.100000101436
40003112000001
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000101000000
4000000000000
Team totals5029168.125463256664141198
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414741.171001160010.514.5
410318.3890011004212
48340.12501114002110
46210.40000230031.57.5
43518-.111011300426
4114.00039121600213
45112.333123520007
4102.500011000213
400020000010.50.5
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000003100000
4000000000000
4000006910000
Team totals4822145.179426216830199.5109

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 UC DAV · USC 4

Set 1*

16-25

Longest run 2 UC DAVUSC 4

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 3 UC DAVUSC 3

Set 3

32-30

Longest run 3 UC DAVUSC 3

Set 4*

26-28

Longest run 4 UC DAVUSC 3

Bars above the line = Southern California leads, below = UC Davis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UC Davis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
40%4/10
2
64%7/11
36%4/11
3
55%6/11
40%4/10
4
75%6/8
40%4/10
5
50%5/10
33%3/9
6
71%5/7
17%1/6
All
64%36/56
36%20/56

Southern California

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
40%4/10
2
70%7/10
30%3/10
3
43%6/14
22%2/9
4
75%6/8
50%6/12
5
83%5/6
29%2/7
6
71%5/7
38%3/8
All
64%36/56
36%20/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

207 rallies

Rally log

#UC DAV-USCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+1.2
21-1USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+1.3
31-2UC DAVUSC×4KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.3
41-3USCUSC×4Attack errAlly Chandler+1.8
51-4USCUSC×4KillLeah Ford+1.6
61-5USCUSC×4AceUSC serveraced Rachel Dunagan+1.4
72-5USCUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.9
82-6UC DAVUSC×3Serve errUC DAV server+0.9
92-7USCUSC×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre+1.2
102-8USCUSC×3Attack errAlly Chandler+0.9
113-8USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+0.5
123-9UC DAVUSCKillAdonia Faumuina+0.6
134-9USCUC DAVKillMia Starrset Adonia Faumuina+0.5
144-10UC DAVUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.6
154-11USCUSCKillQuinn Loperset London Wijay+0.7
165-11USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+0.4
175-12UC DAVUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+0.4
186-12USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+0.3
196-13UC DAVUSCKillQuinn Loperset Lilli Etter+0.4
206-14USCUSCAttack errIsabella Umpierreblk Leah Ford, Quinn Loper+0.4
217-14USCUC DAVKillDemi Coleset Mia Starr+0.2
228-14UC DAVUC DAVAttack errAdonia Faumuina+0.5
238-15UC DAVUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+0.4
249-15USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+0.3
259-16UC DAVUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.4
2610-16USCUC DAVKillMia Starrset Rachel Dunagan+0.3
2711-16UC DAVUC DAVAttack errAdonia Faumuinablk Brooke Hibino, Ally Chandler+0.6
2811-17UC DAVUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.6
2911-18USCUSCAttack errBrooke Hibino+0.5
3012-18USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+0.2
3112-19UC DAVUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.3
3213-19USCUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Isabella Umpierre+0.2
3313-20UC DAVUSCKillQuinn Loperset Lilli Etter+0.3
3413-21USCUSCAttack errDemi Cole+0.2
3514-21USCUC DAVAttack errQuinn Loperblk Brooke Hibino, Demi Cole+0.1
3615-21UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.2
3715-22UC DAVUSC×3KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+0.2
3815-23USCUSC×3Attack errDemi Coleblk Quinn Loper, Leah Ford+0.1
3915-24USCUSC×3Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.0
4016-24USCUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Laela Burgess+0.0
4116-25UC DAVUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+0.0
Set 2
10-1USCUSCAttack errBrooke Hibino+1.5
21-1USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+1.0
31-2UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+1.0
42-2USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+1.0
52-3UC DAVUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.0
63-3USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+1.1
74-3UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.8
84-4UC DAVUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.1
94-5USCUSCAttack errBrooke Hibino+1.6
105-5USCUC DAVAttack errLilli Etterblk Brooke Hibino+1.1
116-5UC DAVUC DAVAceUC DAV serveraced Layli Ostovar+1.9
126-6UC DAVUSCAttack errMia Starrset Rachel Dunagan+1.2
137-6USCUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.3
147-7UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+1.2
158-7USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+1.3
169-7UC DAVUC DAVAttack errLeah Ford+2.1
179-8UC DAVUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.3
189-9USCUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+2.0
1910-9USCUC DAVAttack errLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.4
2010-10UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+1.3
2110-11USCUSCAceUSC serveraced Brooke Hibino+2.0
2211-11USCUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.4
2311-12UC DAVUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.3
2412-12USCUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.4
2513-12UC DAVUC DAVAttack errAdonia Faumuinablk Brooke Hibino, Allie Caldwell+2.4
2613-13UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+1.5
2714-13USCUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.7
2815-13UC DAVUC DAVAceUC DAV serveraced Taylor Deckert+2.6
2915-14UC DAVUSCKillLayli Ostovar+1.5
3015-15USCUSCAttack errBrooke Hibino+2.5
3116-15USCUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.9
3216-16UC DAVUSCAttack errIsabella Umpierreblk Quinn Loper, Mia Tvrdy+1.7
3317-16USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+2.0
3417-17UC DAVUSCAttack errGianna Boganblk Lilli Etter, Quinn Loper, Leah Ford+1.8
3518-17USCUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+2.1
3619-17UC DAVUC DAVAttack errAdonia Faumuina+3.3
3719-18UC DAVUSC×3KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.8
3819-19USCUSC×3Attack errAlly Chandler+3.2
3919-20USCUSC×3KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+3.3
4020-20USCUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+2.2
4120-21UC DAVUSCBad setMia Starr+2.4
4220-22USCUSCAttack errIsabella Umpierre+3.3
4321-22USCUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.7
4422-22UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errMia Tvrdyblk Allie Caldwell+4.1
4523-22UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errLayli Ostovar+5.5
4623-23UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+3.4
4723-24USCUSCAttack errBrooke Hibinoblk Lilli Etter, Mia Tvrdy+6.2
4824-24USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+4.0
4924-25UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+4.0
5024-26USCUSCAceUSC serveraced Rachel Dunagan+5.4
Set 3
10-1UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+0.5
21-1USCUC DAVAttack errQuinn Loperblk Brooke Hibino, Allie Caldwell+0.6
32-1UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero barr+0.9
42-2UC DAVUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+0.6
53-2USCUC DAV×3KillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+0.6
64-2UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.0
75-2UC DAVUC DAV×3AceUC DAV serveraced Layli Ostovar+1.0
85-3UC DAVUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+0.6
95-4USCUSCKillAdonia Faumuina+1.0
106-4USCUC DAVKillBrooke Hibino+0.7
116-5UC DAVUSCAttack errGianna Boganset Isabella Umpierre+0.6
127-5USCUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+0.7
138-5UC DAVUC DAVAttack errLondon Wijayblk Ally Chandler, Mia Starr+1.1
148-6UC DAVUSC×3KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.6
158-7USCUSC×3KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+1.0
168-8USCUSC×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre+1.0
179-8USCUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.8
189-9UC DAVUSC×3Attack errAllie Caldwellset Quinn Loper+0.7
199-10USCUSC×3KillQuinn Loperset Lilli Etter+1.0
209-11USCUSC×3KillLilli Etterset Mia Starr+1.0
2110-11USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+0.6
2211-11UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.1
2311-12UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+0.7
2412-12USCUC DAVAttack errQuinn Loperblk Brooke Hibino, Allie Caldwell+0.8
2512-13UC DAVUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+0.8
2613-13USCUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.8
2714-13UC DAVUC DAVAttack errLeah Fordblk Ally Chandler+1.4
2814-14UC DAVUSC×3Serve errUC DAV server+0.9
2914-15USCUSC×3KillMia Tvrdy+1.3
3014-16USCUSC×3KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+1.2
3115-16USCUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.7
3215-17UC DAVUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+0.8
3316-17USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+0.8
3416-18UC DAVUSCKillLondon Wijayset Layli Ostovar+0.9
3516-19USCUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.1
3617-19USCUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.6
3718-19UC DAVUC DAVAttack errMia Tvrdyblk Brooke Hibino+1.2
3818-20UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+1.0
3919-20USCUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.9
4020-20UC DAVUC DAVAttack errLondon Wijay+1.8
4120-21UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+1.3
4221-21USCUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierre+1.3
4322-21UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errAdonia Faumuinablk Isabella Umpierre, Allie Caldwell+2.5
4423-21UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errQuinn Loper+2.6
4523-22UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+1.2
4623-23USCUSCAceUSC serveraced Brooke Hibino+2.8
4724-23USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+2.5
4824-24UC DAVUSCAttack errIsabella Umpierreblk London Wijay, Taliyah Hanks+2.5
4924-25USCUSCAceUSC serveraced Gianna Bogan+3.4
5025-25USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+2.2
5125-26UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+2.2
5226-26USCUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+2.2
5326-27UC DAVUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.2
5427-27USCUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.2
5527-28UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+2.2
5628-28USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+2.2
5729-28UC DAVUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+3.7
5829-29UC DAVUSCKillLayli Ostovarset Lilli Etter+2.5
5930-29USCUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.5
6030-30UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+2.5
6131-30USCUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.5
6232-30UC DAVUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+4.3
Set 4
10-1USCUSCAttack errIsabella Umpierre+2.3
21-1USCUC DAVKillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+1.6
31-2UC DAVUSC×3Serve errUC DAV server+1.5
41-3USCUSC×3Attack errAllie Caldwellblk London Wijay, Taliyah Hanks+2.2
51-4USCUSC×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre+2.0
62-4USCUC DAVAttack errAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.3
72-5UC DAVUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.3
83-5USCUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.3
93-6UC DAVUSCAttack errGianna Boganblk Mia Tvrdy, Adonia Faumuina+1.3
104-6USCUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.3
115-6UC DAVUC DAV×3KillBrooke Hibino+2.3
126-6UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errAdonia Faumuina+2.7
136-7UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+1.8
147-7USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+1.9
157-8UC DAVUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.8
167-9USCUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+2.6
178-9USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+1.7
188-10UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+1.7
199-10USCUC DAVAttack errAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.7
209-11UC DAVUSC×3KillLayli Ostovarset Lilli Etter+1.8
219-12USCUSC×3Attack errBrooke Hibino+2.4
229-13USCUSC×3KillTaliyah Hanks+2.0
2310-13USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+1.1
2410-14UC DAVUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.3
2511-14USCUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Isabella Umpierre+1.1
2612-14UC DAVUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+2.3
2712-15UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+1.7
2813-15USCUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.6
2913-16UC DAVUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+1.8
3013-17USCUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+2.2
3114-17USCUC DAVKillBrooke Hibino+1.1
3215-17UC DAVUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.4
3315-18UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+1.9
3416-18USCUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Brooke Hibino+1.7
3517-18UC DAVUC DAV×3Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+3.4
3618-18UC DAVUC DAV×3KillBrooke Hibinoset Ximena Cordero barr+4.4
3718-19UC DAVUSC×3Serve errUC DAV server+3.1
3818-20USCUSC×3AceUSC serveraced Rachel Dunagan+4.3
3918-21USCUSC×3KillBrooke Hibino+3.4
4019-21USCUC DAVKillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+1.6
4119-22UC DAVUSCServe errUC DAV server+2.3
4220-22USCUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.5
4320-23UC DAVUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+2.3
4421-23USCUC DAV×4Serve errUSC server+1.3
4522-23UC DAVUC DAV×4KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+3.9
4623-23UC DAVUC DAV×4KillBrooke Hibinoset Ximena Cordero barr+7.2
4724-23UC DAVUC DAV×4Attack errMia Tvrdy+10.6
4824-24UC DAVUSCAttack errAlly Chandlerset Gianna Bogan+7.2
4925-24USCUC DAVServe errUSC server+7.2
5025-25UC DAVUSCAttack errBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+7.2
5125-26USCUSCAttack errBrooke Hibinoblk Milly Mcgee, Mia Tvrdy+9.6
5226-26USCUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+6.2
5326-27UC DAVUSCKillLayli Ostovarset Milly Mcgee+6.2
5426-28USCUSCKillLayli Ostovarset Milly Mcgee+8.4

Score shown after each rally, UC Davis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.