Southern California def. UC Davis 3–1
Southern California beat visiting UC Davis 3-1 (25-16, 26-24, 30-32, 28-26) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Adonia Faumuina led Southern California with 14 kills; UC Davis' Brooke Hibino had a match-high 17.
Data through · final Sep 18
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC DAV | 16 | 24 | 32 | 26 | 1 |
| USC | 25 | 26 | 30 | 28 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 11.7% to UC Davis — set 4, UC DAV 24-23 USC. Attack error by Mia Tvrdy. USC win probability 83% → 71%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
UC Davis wins
Southern California wins
- UC DAV break %
- 38.1% vs this opp
- USC break %
- 41.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01
- 02Mia Tvrdy&Milly McGeeBlock+11.1%
Brooke Hibino stuffed by Mia Tvrdy & Milly McGee
Set 4 · UC DAV 25-26 USC · USC 79% → 90%
- 03Layli OstovarKill+10.1%
Kill by Layli Ostovar (set by Milly McGee)
Set 4 · UC DAV 26-28 USC · USC 90% → 100%
- 04Brooke HibinoKill+8.4%
Kill by Brooke Hibino (set by Ximena Cordero Barr)
Set 4 · UC DAV 23-23 USC · UC DAV 9% → 17%
- 05
- 06Southern CaliforniaService error+7.9%
Southern California service error
Set 4 · UC DAV 25-24 USC · UC DAV 21% → 29%
- 07
- 08Mia Tvrdy&Lilli EtterBlock+7.7%
Brooke Hibino stuffed by Mia Tvrdy & Lilli Etter
Set 2 · UC DAV 23-24 USC · USC 79% → 86%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 11 | 8 | 43 | .070 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 21 | .238 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 22 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | .125 | 38 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 61 | .131 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4.5 | 21.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 50 | 29 | 168 | .125 | 46 | 3 | 25 | 66 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 98 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 41 | .171 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 3 | 18 | .389 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 40 | .125 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | .000 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 10 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | -.111 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 12 | .333 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 48 | 22 | 145 | .179 | 42 | 6 | 21 | 68 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 9.5 | 109 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
16-25
Set 2
24-26
Set 3
32-30
Set 4
26-28
Bars above the line = Southern California leads, below = UC Davis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
UC Davis
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 62%13/21 | 39%7/18 |
| 2 | 52%12/23 | 28%5/18 |
| 3 | 61%11/18 | 27%4/15 |
| 4 | 79%11/14 | 45%9/20 |
| 5 | 59%10/17 | 31%5/16 |
| 6 | 60%9/15 | 17%2/12 |
| All | 61%66/108 | 32%32/99 |
Southern California
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 72%13/18 | 45%9/20 |
| 2 | 76%13/17 | 43%10/23 |
| 3 | 48%11/23 | 29%5/17 |
| 4 | 69%11/16 | 42%8/19 |
| 5 | 83%10/12 | 33%5/15 |
| 6 | 69%9/13 | 36%5/14 |
| All | 68%67/99 | 39%42/108 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
207 rallies
| # | UC DAV-USC | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +1.5 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +1.6 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UC DAV | USC×4 | Kill | London Wijay | set Lilli Etter | +1.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | USC | USC×4 | Attack err | Ally Chandler | +2.2 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | USC | USC×4 | Kill | Leah Ford | +2.1 | |
| 6 | 1-5 | USC | USC×4 | Ace | Southern California | aced Rachel Dunagan | +1.8 |
| 7 | 2-5 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Isabella Umpierre | set Mia Starr | +1.1 |
| 8 | 2-6 | UC DAV | USC×3 | Serve err | UC Davis | +1.2 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | USC | USC×3 | Attack err | Isabella Umpierre | +1.6 | |
| 10 | 2-8 | USC | USC×3 | Attack err | Ally Chandler | +1.3 | |
| 11 | 3-8 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +0.7 | |
| 12 | 3-9 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +0.8 |
| 13 | 4-9 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Mia Starr | set Adonia Faumuina | +0.7 |
| 14 | 4-10 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | set Lilli Etter | +0.8 |
| 15 | 5-10 | USC | UC DAV | Attack err | Quinn Loper | +0.7 | |
| 16 | 5-11 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +0.8 | |
| 17 | 5-12 | USC | USC | Kill | Leah Ford | set Lilli Etter | +0.9 |
| 18 | 6-12 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +0.5 | |
| 19 | 6-13 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Quinn Loper | set Lilli Etter | +0.6 |
| 20 | 6-14 | USC | USC | Blocked | Isabella Umpierre | blk Quinn Loper, Leah Ford | +0.6 |
| 21 | 7-14 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Demi Cole | set Mia Starr | +0.3 |
| 22 | 8-14 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Bad set | Lilli Etter | +0.6 | |
| 23 | 8-15 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +0.6 |
| 24 | 9-15 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +0.4 | |
| 25 | 9-16 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | London Wijay | set Lilli Etter | +0.5 |
| 26 | 10-16 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Mia Starr | set Rachel Dunagan | +0.4 |
| 27 | 11-16 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Blocked | Adonia Faumuina | blk Ally Chandler, Brooke Hibino | +0.8 |
| 28 | 11-17 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | set Lilli Etter | +0.8 |
| 29 | 11-18 | USC | USC | Attack err | Brooke Hibino | +0.7 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +0.3 | |
| 31 | 12-19 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | set Lilli Etter | +0.4 |
| 32 | 13-19 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Isabella Umpierre | +0.2 |
| 33 | 13-20 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Quinn Loper | set Lilli Etter | +0.4 |
| 34 | 13-21 | USC | USC | Attack err | Demi Cole | +0.3 | |
| 35 | 14-21 | USC | UC DAV | Blocked | Quinn Loper | blk Demi Cole, Brooke Hibino | +0.1 |
| 36 | 15-21 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Kill | Isabella Umpierre | set Mia Starr | +0.2 |
| 37 | 15-22 | UC DAV | USC×3 | Kill | Leah Ford | set Lilli Etter | +0.3 |
| 38 | 15-23 | USC | USC×3 | Blocked | Demi Cole | blk Leah Ford, Quinn Loper | +0.1 |
| 39 | 15-24 | USC | USC×3 | Bad set | Mia Starr | · | |
| 40 | 16-24 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Gianna Bogan | set Laela Burgess | · |
| 41 | 16-25 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | USC | USC | Attack err | Brooke Hibino | +1.9 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +1.3 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +1.3 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +1.3 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Leah Ford | set Lilli Etter | +1.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +1.4 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Kill | Isabella Umpierre | set Mia Starr | +2.2 |
| 8 | 4-4 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | London Wijay | set Lilli Etter | +1.4 |
| 9 | 4-5 | USC | USC | Attack err | Brooke Hibino | +2.1 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | USC | UC DAV | Blocked | Lilli Etter | blk Brooke Hibino | +1.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Ace | UC Davis | aced Layli Ostovar | +2.3 |
| 12 | 6-6 | UC DAV | USC | Attack err | Mia Starr | +1.5 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Mia Starr | +1.6 |
| 14 | 7-7 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +1.5 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +1.6 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Attack err | Leah Ford | +2.5 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +1.6 |
| 18 | 9-9 | USC | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +2.5 |
| 19 | 10-9 | USC | UC DAV | Attack err | London Wijay | +1.8 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +1.7 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | USC | USC | Ace | Southern California | aced Brooke Hibino | +2.5 |
| 22 | 11-11 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Ally Chandler | set Mia Starr | +1.7 |
| 23 | 11-12 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +1.7 |
| 24 | 12-12 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Ally Chandler | set Mia Starr | +1.8 |
| 25 | 13-12 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Blocked | Adonia Faumuina | blk Allie Caldwell, Brooke Hibino | +2.9 |
| 26 | 13-13 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +1.9 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Mia Starr | +2.0 |
| 28 | 15-13 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Ace | UC Davis | aced Taylor Deckert | +3.2 |
| 29 | 15-14 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | set Lilli Etter | +1.9 |
| 30 | 15-15 | USC | USC | Attack err | Brooke Hibino | +3.1 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Mia Starr | +2.3 |
| 32 | 16-16 | UC DAV | USC | Blocked | Isabella Umpierre | blk Mia Tvrdy, Quinn Loper | +2.1 |
| 33 | 17-16 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +2.4 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | UC DAV | USC | Blocked | Gianna Bogan | blk Leah Ford, Quinn Loper, Lilli Etter | +2.3 |
| 35 | 18-17 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Gianna Bogan | set Mia Starr | +2.6 |
| 36 | 19-17 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Attack err | Adonia Faumuina | +3.9 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | UC DAV | USC×3 | Kill | London Wijay | set Lilli Etter | +2.2 |
| 38 | 19-19 | USC | USC×3 | Attack err | Ally Chandler | +4.0 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | USC | USC×3 | Kill | London Wijay | set Lilli Etter | +4.2 |
| 40 | 20-20 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Ally Chandler | set Mia Starr | +2.8 |
| 41 | 20-21 | UC DAV | USC | Attack err | London Wijay | +3.0 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | USC | USC | Attack err | Isabella Umpierre | +4.3 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | USC | UC DAV×3 | Kill | Ally Chandler | set Mia Starr | +2.2 |
| 44 | 22-22 | UC DAV | UC DAV×3 | Blocked | Mia Tvrdy | blk Allie Caldwell | +5.1 |
| 45 | 23-22 | UC DAV | UC DAV×3 | Attack err | Layli Ostovar | +6.6 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +4.1 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | USC | USC | Blocked | Brooke Hibino | blk Mia Tvrdy, Lilli Etter | +7.7 |
| 48 | 24-24 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +5.0 | |
| 49 | 24-25 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +5.0 | |
| 50 | 24-26 | USC | USC | Ace | Southern California | aced Rachel Dunagan | +7.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +0.7 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | USC | UC DAV | Blocked | Quinn Loper | blk Allie Caldwell, Brooke Hibino | +0.8 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Kill | Isabella Umpierre | set Ximena Cordero Barr | +1.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Leah Ford | set Lilli Etter | +0.8 |
| 5 | 3-2 | USC | UC DAV×3 | Kill | Allie Caldwell | set Mia Starr | +0.8 |
| 6 | 4-2 | UC DAV | UC DAV×3 | Kill | Isabella Umpierre | set Mia Starr | +1.3 |
| 7 | 5-2 | UC DAV | UC DAV×3 | Ace | UC Davis | aced Layli Ostovar | +1.3 |
| 8 | 5-3 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +0.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | USC | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | +1.3 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Ally Chandler | set Mia Starr | +0.9 |
| 11 | 6-5 | UC DAV | USC | Attack err | Gianna Bogan | +0.8 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Gianna Bogan | set Mia Starr | +0.9 |
| 13 | 8-5 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Blocked | London Wijay | blk Mia Starr, Ally Chandler | +1.4 |
| 14 | 8-6 | UC DAV | USC×3 | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | set Lilli Etter | +0.8 |
| 15 | 8-7 | USC | USC×3 | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | set Lilli Etter | +1.4 |
| 16 | 8-8 | USC | USC×3 | Attack err | Isabella Umpierre | +1.4 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Mia Starr | +1.0 |
| 18 | 9-9 | UC DAV | USC×3 | Attack err | Allie Caldwell | +0.9 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | USC | USC×3 | Kill | Quinn Loper | set Lilli Etter | +1.4 |
| 20 | 9-11 | USC | USC×3 | Kill | Lilli Etter | set Mia Starr | +1.4 |
| 21 | 10-11 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +0.9 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Kill | Isabella Umpierre | set Mia Starr | +1.5 |
| 23 | 11-12 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +1.0 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | USC | UC DAV | Blocked | Quinn Loper | blk Allie Caldwell, Brooke Hibino | +1.0 |
| 25 | 12-13 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Leah Ford | set Lilli Etter | +1.1 |
| 26 | 13-13 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Mia Starr | +1.1 |
| 27 | 14-13 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Blocked | Leah Ford | blk Ally Chandler | +1.8 |
| 28 | 14-14 | UC DAV | USC×3 | Serve err | UC Davis | +1.1 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | USC | USC×3 | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | +1.8 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | USC | USC×3 | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | set Lilli Etter | +1.7 |
| 31 | 15-16 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Ally Chandler | set Mia Starr | +1.0 |
| 32 | 15-17 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +1.1 |
| 33 | 16-17 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +1.1 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | London Wijay | set Layli Ostovar | +1.2 |
| 35 | 16-19 | USC | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +1.6 |
| 36 | 17-19 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Ally Chandler | set Mia Starr | +0.8 |
| 37 | 18-19 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Blocked | Mia Tvrdy | blk Brooke Hibino | +1.7 |
| 38 | 18-20 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +1.4 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Mia Starr | +1.2 |
| 40 | 20-20 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Attack err | London Wijay | +2.4 | |
| 41 | 20-21 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +1.8 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | USC | UC DAV×3 | Kill | Isabella Umpierre | set Mia Starr | +1.8 |
| 43 | 22-21 | UC DAV | UC DAV×3 | Blocked | Adonia Faumuina | blk Allie Caldwell, Isabella Umpierre | +3.3 |
| 44 | 23-21 | UC DAV | UC DAV×3 | Attack err | Quinn Loper | +3.3 | |
| 45 | 23-22 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +1.5 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | USC | USC | Ace | Southern California | aced Brooke Hibino | +3.7 |
| 47 | 24-23 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +3.2 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | UC DAV | USC | Blocked | Isabella Umpierre | blk Taliyah Hanks, London Wijay | +3.2 |
| 49 | 24-25 | USC | USC | Ace | Southern California | aced Gianna Bogan | +4.5 |
| 50 | 25-25 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +3.0 | |
| 51 | 25-26 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +3.0 | |
| 52 | 26-26 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Gianna Bogan | set Mia Starr | +3.0 |
| 53 | 26-27 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | set Lilli Etter | +3.0 |
| 54 | 27-27 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Mia Starr | +3.0 |
| 55 | 27-28 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +3.0 | |
| 56 | 28-28 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +3.0 | |
| 57 | 29-28 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Mia Starr | +4.8 |
| 58 | 29-29 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Layli Ostovar | set Lilli Etter | +3.2 |
| 59 | 30-29 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Mia Starr | +3.2 |
| 60 | 30-30 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +3.2 | |
| 61 | 31-30 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Isabella Umpierre | set Mia Starr | +3.2 |
| 62 | 32-30 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Kill | Gianna Bogan | set Mia Starr | +5.2 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | USC | USC | Attack err | Isabella Umpierre | +2.8 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Allie Caldwell | set Mia Starr | +1.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | UC DAV | USC×3 | Serve err | UC Davis | +1.8 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | USC | USC×3 | Blocked | Allie Caldwell | blk Taliyah Hanks, London Wijay | +2.7 |
| 5 | 1-4 | USC | USC×3 | Attack err | Isabella Umpierre | +2.5 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | USC | UC DAV | Attack err | Adonia Faumuina | +1.6 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | London Wijay | set Lilli Etter | +1.6 |
| 8 | 3-5 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Mia Starr | +1.6 |
| 9 | 3-6 | UC DAV | USC | Blocked | Gianna Bogan | blk Adonia Faumuina, Mia Tvrdy | +1.7 |
| 10 | 4-6 | USC | UC DAV×3 | Kill | Ally Chandler | set Mia Starr | +1.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | UC DAV | UC DAV×3 | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Mia Starr | +2.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | UC DAV | UC DAV×3 | Attack err | Adonia Faumuina | +3.1 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +2.1 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +2.2 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +2.2 |
| 16 | 7-9 | USC | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +3.1 |
| 17 | 8-9 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +2.0 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +2.1 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | USC | UC DAV | Attack err | Adonia Faumuina | +2.1 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | UC DAV | USC×3 | Kill | Layli Ostovar | set Lilli Etter | +2.2 |
| 21 | 9-12 | USC | USC×3 | Attack err | Brooke Hibino | +3.0 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | USC | USC×3 | Kill | Taliyah Hanks | set Lilli Etter | +2.5 |
| 23 | 10-13 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +1.4 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | London Wijay | set Lilli Etter | +1.7 |
| 25 | 11-14 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Gianna Bogan | set Isabella Umpierre | +1.4 |
| 26 | 12-14 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Kill | Gianna Bogan | set Mia Starr | +2.8 |
| 27 | 12-15 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +2.1 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Isabella Umpierre | set Mia Starr | +1.9 |
| 29 | 13-16 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | set Lilli Etter | +2.2 |
| 30 | 13-17 | USC | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +2.7 |
| 31 | 14-17 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Brooke Hibino | +1.4 |
| 32 | 15-17 | UC DAV | UC DAV | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Mia Starr | +2.9 |
| 33 | 15-18 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +2.4 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | USC | UC DAV×3 | Kill | Isabella Umpierre | set Brooke Hibino | +2.0 |
| 35 | 17-18 | UC DAV | UC DAV×3 | Bad set | Lilli Etter | +4.0 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | UC DAV | UC DAV×3 | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Ximena Cordero Barr | +5.1 |
| 37 | 18-19 | UC DAV | USC×3 | Serve err | UC Davis | +3.6 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | USC | USC×3 | Ace | Southern California | aced Rachel Dunagan | +5.1 |
| 39 | 18-21 | USC | USC×3 | Kill | Layli Ostovar | set Mia Starr | +4.1 |
| 40 | 19-21 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Allie Caldwell | set Mia Starr | +1.9 |
| 41 | 19-22 | UC DAV | USC | Serve err | UC Davis | +2.8 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Isabella Umpierre | set Mia Starr | +1.8 |
| 43 | 20-23 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +2.9 |
| 44 | 21-23 | USC | UC DAV×4 | Serve err | Southern California | +1.6 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | UC DAV | UC DAV×4 | Kill | Ally Chandler | set Mia Starr | +4.7 |
| 46 | 23-23 | UC DAV | UC DAV×4 | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Ximena Cordero Barr | +8.4 |
| 47 | 24-23 | UC DAV | UC DAV×4 | Attack err | Mia Tvrdy | +11.7 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | UC DAV | USC | Attack err | Ally Chandler | +7.9 | |
| 49 | 25-24 | USC | UC DAV | Serve err | Southern California | +7.9 | |
| 50 | 25-25 | UC DAV | USC | Attack err | Brooke Hibino | +7.9 | |
| 51 | 25-26 | USC | USC | Blocked | Brooke Hibino | blk Mia Tvrdy, Milly McGee | +11.1 |
| 52 | 26-26 | USC | UC DAV | Kill | Brooke Hibino | set Mia Starr | +7.2 |
| 53 | 26-27 | UC DAV | USC | Kill | Layli Ostovar | set Milly McGee | +7.2 |
| 54 | 26-28 | USC | USC | Kill | Layli Ostovar | set Milly McGee | +10.1 |
Score shown after each rally, UC Davis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).