New Mexico vs UC Davis Volleyball: New Mexico Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026MW+

3:1

RallyIQ pre-match: UC Davis 87.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 2:06 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

New Mexico won at UC Davis 3-1 (20-25, 25-15, 25-13, 25-16) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. New Mexico's Mina Stanojevic led with 14 kills, and Camila Canedo added 18 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:10 PM CT · final Oct 10

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
N MEX	20	25	25	25	3
UC DAV	25	15	13	16	1

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave New Mexico 13%. New Mexico won anyway.

The match turned twice. Numbers are New Mexico's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. UC Davis went in at 87% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 4 · New Mexico 1–4 UC Davis
6 straight New Mexico points turned a 1–4 deficit into a 7–4 lead. The match swung to New Mexico.
New Mexico 40% → 65%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · New Mexico 15–13 UC Davis
New Mexico had 3 straight kills to stretch a 15–13 lead to 18–13.
New Mexico 69% → 88%

UC Davis above 50New Mexico belowMax swing 7.4%

New MexicoUC Davis

Sideout %: New Mexico 58.6·UC Davis 42.6
Break %: New Mexico 57.4·UC Davis 41.4
Hitting: New Mexico .293·UC Davis .159
Longest run: New Mexico 6·UC Davis 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UC Davis above 50 · New Mexico below

Biggest swing: 7.4% to New Mexico — set 4, N MEX 17-13 UC DAV. Kill by Madeleine Miller. UC DAV win probability 26% → 18%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N MEX 14.7%85.3% UC DAV

New Mexico wins

3-0

2.2%

3-1

4.7%

3-2

7.8%

UC Davis wins

3-0

37.4%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

16.5%

N MEX break %: 37.2% vs this opp
UC DAV break %: 45.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Madeleine MillerKill+7.4%
Kill by Madeleine Miller
Set 4 · N MEX 17-13 UC DAV · N MEX 74% → 82%
02
New MexicoAce+7.0%
New Mexico ace on Laela Burgess
Set 4 · N MEX 15-11 UC DAV · N MEX 72% → 79%
03
Madeleine MillerKill+6.8%
Kill by Madeleine Miller (set by Addison France)
Set 4 · N MEX 13-10 UC DAV · N MEX 64% → 71%
04
Reagan MillerKill+6.4%
Kill by Reagan Miller
Set 4 · N MEX 18-13 UC DAV · N MEX 82% → 88%
05
Reagan MillerKill+6.3%
Kill by Reagan Miller (set by Madeleine Miller)
Set 4 · N MEX 20-15 UC DAV · N MEX 85% → 92%
06
Brooke HibinoAttack error+6.2%
Attack error by Brooke Hibino
Set 4 · N MEX 11-9 UC DAV · N MEX 57% → 63%
07
Isabella UmpierreKill+6.2%
Kill by Isabella Umpierre (set by Mia Starr)
Set 4 · N MEX 15-13 UC DAV · UC DAV 25% → 31%
08
Uliana YastrubKill+5.8%
Kill by Uliana Yastrub (set by Camila Canedo)
Set 4 · N MEX 9-7 UC DAV · N MEX 56% → 61%

Box score

Official NCAA box

New Mexicoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Mina StanojevicOH	4	14	3	42	.262	0	2	1	8	0	0	1	0.5	16.5
1Reagan MillerMB	4	9	3	16	.375	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	11
15Addison FranceOPP	4	5	1	16	.250	3	0	0	10	0	2	3	3.5	8.5
16Madeleine MillerS	4	3	1	12	.167	35	1	1	9	0	0	0	0	4
2Ella JoestingL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	9	1	0	0	0	1
4Campbell HollisterMB	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Uliana YastrubOH	4	7	1	15	.400	0	2	0	4	1	0	0	0	9
14Camila CanedoL/DS	4	1	0	1	1.000	4	2	1	18	2	0	0	0	3
13Zoe LeonardMB	3	8	2	17	.353	1	1	0	1	0	1	2	2	11
Team totals		48	12	123	.293	43	9	5	59	8	4	8	8	95

UC Davishome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Isabella UmpierreOPP	4	12	4	29	.276	1	2	0	8	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
13Ally ChandlerMB	4	11	4	18	.389	0	2	3	3	0	0	3	1.5	14.5
16Brooke HibinoOH	4	5	7	25	-.080	0	0	3	8	2	0	0	0	5
2Mia StarrS	4	1	0	2	.500	39	1	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
7Gianna BoganOH	3	8	3	30	.167	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
10Allie CaldwellMB	3	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	5
18Khloe WongDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	2	2	9	2	0	0	0	2
5Rachel DunaganOH	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	14	2	0	0	0	1
21Reese DiersbockOH	3	2	2	14	.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
3Laela BurgessS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
9Demi ColeMB	2	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
12Ana StojanovicOH	2	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	22	132	.159	43	8	9	52	9	3	8	7	69

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

New Mexico vs UC Davis

Season series · New Mexico leads 2-0

Thu, Oct 8, 2026New Mexico at UC Davis · New Mexico won 3-2Result →
Sat, Oct 10, 2026New Mexico at UC Davis · New Mexico won 3-1This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 N MEX · UC DAV 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 N MEXUC DAV 5

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 6 N MEXUC DAV 3

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 5 N MEXUC DAV 2

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 6 N MEXUC DAV 4

Bars above the line = UC Davis leads, below = New Mexico leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Mexico

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%8/17	54%7/13
2	57%8/14	71%20/28
3	70%7/10	46%6/13
4	78%7/9	61%11/18
5	86%6/7	50%6/12
6	38%5/13	40%4/10
All	59%41/70	57%54/94

UC Davis

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	33%8/24	40%4/10
2	40%8/20	50%8/16
3	39%7/18	38%5/13
4	44%7/16	36%4/11
5	60%6/10	13%1/8
6	67%4/6	58%7/12
All	43%40/94	41%29/70

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

164 rallies

#	N MEX-UC DAV	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UC DAV	UC DAV	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Mia Starr	+1.2
2	0-2	UC DAV	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+1.1
3	1-2	UC DAV	N MEX×3	Kill	Campbell Hollister	set Madeleine Miller	+0.8
4	2-2	N MEX	N MEX×3	Attack err	Ally Chandler		+1.3
5	3-2	N MEX	N MEX×3	Attack err	Ally Chandler		+1.5
6	3-3	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Mia Starr	+1.0
7	3-4	UC DAV	UC DAV	Kill	Brooke Hibino	set Mia Starr	+1.3
8	4-4	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+1.0
9	4-5	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+0.9
10	5-5	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+1.0
11	5-6	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Allie Caldwell	set Mia Starr	+1.0
12	6-6	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Uliana Yastrub	set Madeleine Miller	+1.1
13	7-6	N MEX	N MEX	Attack err	Brooke Hibino		+1.7
14	7-7	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Allie Caldwell	set Mia Starr	+1.1
15	8-7	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+1.3
16	8-8	N MEX	UC DAV×4	Kill	Brooke Hibino	set Mia Starr	+1.2
17	8-9	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Ace	UC Davis	aced Camila Canedo	+1.6
18	8-10	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+1.4
19	8-11	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Attack err	Campbell Hollister		+1.2
20	9-11	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+0.8
21	9-12	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Mia Starr	+0.9
22	10-12	UC DAV	N MEX×4	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+0.8
23	11-12	N MEX	N MEX×4	Attack err	Isabella Umpierre		+1.5
24	12-12	N MEX	N MEX×4	Attack err	Ally Chandler		+1.9
25	13-12	N MEX	N MEX×4	Blocked	Gianna Bogan	blk Addison France	+2.2
26	13-13	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+1.4
27	14-13	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+1.7
28	14-14	N MEX	UC DAV	Serve err	New Mexico		+1.5
29	14-15	UC DAV	UC DAV	Ace	UC Davis		+2.1
30	15-15	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+1.6
31	15-16	N MEX	UC DAV×3	Kill	Brooke Hibino	set Mia Starr	+1.5
32	15-17	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+2.0
33	15-18	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Ace	UC Davis		+1.6
34	16-18	UC DAV	N MEX×4	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+1.0
35	17-18	N MEX	N MEX×4	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+1.9
36	18-18	N MEX	N MEX×4	Attack err	Brooke Hibino		+2.6
37	19-18	N MEX	N MEX×4	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+3.2
38	19-19	N MEX	UC DAV	Serve err	New Mexico		+2.1
39	19-20	UC DAV	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+3.0
40	20-20	UC DAV	N MEX	Serve err	UC Davis		+2.2
41	20-21	N MEX	UC DAV×5	Blocked	Mina Stanojevic	blk Allie Caldwell	+2.3
42	20-22	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+2.9
43	20-23	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Mia Starr	+2.0
44	20-24	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Blocked	Mina Stanojevic	blk Ally Chandler, Isabella Umpierre	+1.0
45	20-25	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Blocked	Madeleine Miller	blk Gianna Bogan	+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	N MEX	N MEX×4	Bad set	Brooke Hibino		+1.0
2	2-0	N MEX	N MEX×4	Attack err	Gianna Bogan		+1.1
3	3-0	N MEX	N MEX×4	Ace	New Mexico	aced Brooke Hibino	+1.2
4	4-0	N MEX	N MEX×4	Attack err	Ally Chandler		+1.3
5	4-1	N MEX	UC DAV×3	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+0.8
6	4-2	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Mia Starr	+1.1
7	4-3	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+1.1
8	5-3	UC DAV	N MEX×6	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+0.9
9	6-3	N MEX	N MEX×6	Blocked	Brooke Hibino	blk Reagan Miller	+1.3
10	7-3	N MEX	N MEX×6	Bad set	Mia Starr		+1.4
11	8-3	N MEX	N MEX×6	Attack err	Brooke Hibino		+1.3
12	9-3	N MEX	N MEX×6	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+1.3
13	10-3	N MEX	N MEX×6	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+1.2
14	10-4	N MEX	UC DAV×3	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Laela Burgess	+0.6
15	10-5	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Blocked	Addison France	blk Reese Diersbock, Ally Chandler	+1.0
16	10-6	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Bad set	Reagan Miller		+1.1
17	11-6	UC DAV	N MEX	Serve err	UC Davis		+1.0
18	11-7	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Reese Diersbock	set Laela Burgess	+0.8
19	11-8	UC DAV	UC DAV	Blocked	Reagan Miller	blk Allie Caldwell	+1.3
20	12-8	UC DAV	N MEX	Serve err	UC Davis		+1.1
21	12-9	N MEX	UC DAV	Attack err	Mina Stanojevic		+0.9
22	13-9	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+1.2
23	14-9	N MEX	N MEX	Kill	Zoe Leonard		+1.5
24	14-10	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+0.8
25	15-10	UC DAV	N MEX	Serve err	UC Davis		+1.1
26	16-10	N MEX	N MEX	Ace	New Mexico	aced Rachel Dunagan	+1.3
27	16-11	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Mia Starr	+0.6
28	17-11	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Zoe Leonard	set Madeleine Miller	+0.9
29	17-12	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+0.6
30	18-12	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Madeleine Miller	set Addison France	+0.9
31	18-13	N MEX	UC DAV	Serve err	New Mexico		+0.5
32	19-13	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+0.9
33	19-14	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Mia Starr	set Isabella Umpierre	+0.5
34	20-14	UC DAV	N MEX×5	Serve err	UC Davis		+0.8
35	21-14	N MEX	N MEX×5	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+0.7
36	22-14	N MEX	N MEX×5	Kill	Uliana Yastrub	set Camila Canedo	+0.4
37	23-14	N MEX	N MEX×5	Ace	New Mexico	aced Brooke Hibino	+0.1
38	24-14	N MEX	N MEX×5	Kill	Zoe Leonard		·
39	24-15	N MEX	UC DAV	Attack err	Uliana Yastrub		·
40	25-15	UC DAV	N MEX	Serve err	UC Davis		·
Set 3
1	0-1	UC DAV	UC DAV	Blocked	Reagan Miller	blk Ally Chandler, Mia Starr	+2.1
2	1-1	UC DAV	N MEX×5	Attack err	Isabella Umpierre		+1.6
3	2-1	N MEX	N MEX×5	Bad set	Mia Starr		+2.5
4	3-1	N MEX	N MEX×5	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Camila Canedo	+2.8
5	4-1	N MEX	N MEX×5	Kill	Camila Canedo	set Addison France	+3.0
6	5-1	N MEX	N MEX×5	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+3.1
7	5-2	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+1.9
8	6-2	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+2.3
9	6-3	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+1.9
10	7-3	UC DAV	N MEX×4	Kill	Addison France	set Madeleine Miller	+2.4
11	8-3	N MEX	N MEX×4	Blocked	Brooke Hibino	blk Zoe Leonard, Addison France	+3.3
12	9-3	N MEX	N MEX×4	Blocked	Reese Diersbock	blk Zoe Leonard	+3.1
13	10-3	N MEX	N MEX×4	Bad set	Mia Starr		+2.8
14	10-4	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Demi Cole	set Mia Starr	+1.4
15	11-4	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Zoe Leonard	set Madeleine Miller	+2.0
16	11-5	N MEX	UC DAV	Attack err	Zoe Leonard		+1.4
17	12-5	UC DAV	N MEX×3	Kill	Zoe Leonard	set Madeleine Miller	+2.0
18	13-5	N MEX	N MEX×3	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+2.3
19	14-5	N MEX	N MEX×3	Attack err	Gianna Bogan		+1.8
20	14-6	N MEX	UC DAV	Blocked	Zoe Leonard	blk Gianna Bogan, Demi Cole	+0.8
21	15-6	UC DAV	N MEX	Attack err	Brooke Hibino		+1.2
22	15-7	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+0.7
23	16-7	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+1.1
24	16-8	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+0.6
25	16-9	UC DAV	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+1.2
26	17-9	UC DAV	N MEX	Blocked	Isabella Umpierre	blk Reagan Miller, Mina Stanojevic	+1.4
27	18-9	N MEX	N MEX	Ace	New Mexico		+1.3
28	18-10	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+0.5
29	19-10	UC DAV	N MEX×4	Serve err	UC Davis		+0.8
30	20-10	N MEX	N MEX×4	Blocked	Demi Cole	blk Zoe Leonard, Addison France	+0.6
31	21-10	N MEX	N MEX×4	Bad set	Brooke Hibino		+0.3
32	22-10	N MEX	N MEX×4	Ace	New Mexico	aced Khloe Wong	+0.1
33	22-11	N MEX	UC DAV	Serve err	New Mexico		·
34	23-11	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Uliana Yastrub	set Zoe Leonard	·
35	23-12	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Brooke Hibino	set Mia Starr	·
36	24-12	UC DAV	N MEX	Serve err	UC Davis		·
37	24-13	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Mia Starr	·
38	25-13	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	·
Set 4
1	1-0	N MEX	N MEX	Kill	Zoe Leonard	set Madeleine Miller	+4.1
2	1-1	N MEX	UC DAV×4	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+2.7
3	1-2	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Attack err	Reagan Miller		+3.7
4	1-3	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Ace	UC Davis	aced Camila Canedo	+3.3
5	1-4	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+2.9
6	2-4	UC DAV	N MEX×6	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+2.0
7	3-4	N MEX	N MEX×6	Attack err	Mina Stanojevic		+3.4
8	4-4	N MEX	N MEX×6	Bad set	Laela Burgess		+4.1
9	5-4	N MEX	N MEX×6	Attack err	Isabella Umpierre		+4.7
10	6-4	N MEX	N MEX×6	Ace	New Mexico		+5.2
11	7-4	N MEX	N MEX×6	Blocked	Reese Diersbock	blk Addison France	+5.6
12	7-5	N MEX	UC DAV×3	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+3.4
13	7-6	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Ace	UC Davis		+5.0
14	7-7	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Ace	UC Davis	aced Ella Joesting	+4.8
15	8-7	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+3.8
16	9-7	N MEX	N MEX	Kill	Uliana Yastrub	set Camila Canedo	+5.8
17	9-8	N MEX	UC DAV	Serve err	New Mexico		+3.6
18	9-9	UC DAV	UC DAV	Ace	UC Davis	aced Uliana Yastrub	+5.2
19	10-9	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Uliana Yastrub	set Madeleine Miller	+4.1
20	11-9	N MEX	N MEX	Attack err	Brooke Hibino		+6.2
21	11-10	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Allie Caldwell	set Mia Starr	+3.9
22	12-10	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Zoe Leonard	set Madeleine Miller	+4.7
23	13-10	N MEX	N MEX	Kill	Madeleine Miller	set Addison France	+6.8
24	13-11	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Brooke Hibino	set Mia Starr	+4.0
25	14-11	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Uliana Yastrub	set Camila Canedo	+5.2
26	15-11	N MEX	N MEX	Ace	New Mexico	aced Laela Burgess	+7.0
27	15-12	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Rachel Dunagan	+3.8
28	15-13	UC DAV	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+6.2
29	16-13	UC DAV	N MEX×3	Kill	Zoe Leonard	set Madeleine Miller	+5.6
30	17-13	N MEX	N MEX×3	Kill	Madeleine Miller		+7.4
31	18-13	N MEX	N MEX×3	Kill	Reagan Miller		+6.4
32	18-14	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+3.0
33	18-15	UC DAV	UC DAV	Ace	UC Davis		+5.5
34	19-15	UC DAV	N MEX	Kill	Mina Stanojevic	set Madeleine Miller	+5.7
35	20-15	N MEX	N MEX	Kill	Reagan Miller	set Madeleine Miller	+6.3
36	20-16	N MEX	UC DAV	Kill	Reese Diersbock	set Mia Starr	+2.6
37	21-16	UC DAV	N MEX×5	Serve err	UC Davis		+4.4
38	22-16	N MEX	N MEX×5	Ace	New Mexico	aced Rachel Dunagan	+3.8
39	23-16	N MEX	N MEX×5	Kill	Uliana Yastrub	set Madeleine Miller	+1.9
40	24-16	N MEX	N MEX×5	Blocked	Ana Stojanovic	blk Addison France, Reagan Miller	+0.6
41	25-16	N MEX	N MEX×5	Ace	New Mexico	aced Khloe Wong	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, New Mexico first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

New Mexico def. UC Davis 3–1

RallyIQ gave New Mexico 13%. New Mexico won anyway.