Missouri St. def. Little Rock 3–0
Missouri St. beat visiting Little Rock 3-0 (25-20, 25-18, 26-24) on Thu, Sep 3, 2026. Missouri St.'s Rilynn Finley led with 14 kills, and Brooke Eslinger added 11 digs.
Data through · final Sep 3
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UALR | 20 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| MO ST | 25 | 25 | 26 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 2.3% to Missouri St. — set 1, UALR 17-18 MO ST. Avery Fearnley stuffed by Hannah Gardner. MO ST win probability 87% → 89%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Little Rock wins
Missouri St. wins
- UALR break %
- 36.9% vs this opp
- MO ST break %
- 46.3% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Hannah GardnerBlock+2.3%
Avery Fearnley stuffed by Hannah Gardner
Set 1 · UALR 17-18 MO ST · MO ST 87% → 89%
- 02Alyssa Boyte&Bella CherryBlock+2.2%
Rilynn Finley stuffed by Alyssa Boyte & Bella Cherry
Set 1 · UALR 15-14 MO ST · UALR 12% → 14%
- 03Lorena KeseljBlock+2.1%
Hannah Gardner stuffed by Lorena Keselj
Set 1 · UALR 12-9 MO ST · UALR 15% → 17%
- 04Missouri St.Ace+2.0%
Missouri St. ace
Set 1 · UALR 17-19 MO ST · MO ST 89% → 91%
- 05
- 06Lorena KeseljAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Lorena Keselj
Set 1 · UALR 12-11 MO ST · MO ST 84% → 86%
- 07Avery FearnleyKill+1.9%
Kill by Avery Fearnley (set by Alayna Vaeth)
Set 1 · UALR 17-16 MO ST · UALR 13% → 15%
- 08Ashlyn BlazerKill+1.8%
Kill by Ashlyn Blazer (set by Hannah Gardner)
Set 1 · UALR 12-12 MO ST · MO ST 86% → 88%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 14 | 5 | 28 | .321 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 3 | 13 | 5 | 30 | .267 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | -.067 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 21 | .238 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 44 | 22 | 112 | .196 | 43 | 0 | 7 | 48 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 62 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 8 | 1 | 22 | .318 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | |
| 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | .364 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | .053 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 14 | 1 | 28 | .464 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 16.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 43 | 9 | 109 | .312 | 40 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 76 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
20-25
Set 2
18-25
Set 3
24-26
Bars above the line = Missouri St. leads, below = Little Rock leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Little Rock
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46%6/13 | 38%3/8 |
| 2 | 56%5/9 | 45%5/11 |
| 3 | 44%4/9 | 0%0/5 |
| 4 | 57%4/7 | 20%1/5 |
| 5 | 100%4/4 | 20%1/5 |
| 6 | 57%4/7 | 20%1/5 |
| All | 55%27/49 | 28%11/39 |
Missouri St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 86%6/7 | 50%5/10 |
| 2 | 55%6/11 | 45%5/11 |
| 3 | 100%4/4 | 64%7/11 |
| 4 | 67%4/6 | 43%3/7 |
| 5 | 80%4/5 | 20%1/5 |
| 6 | 67%4/6 | 20%1/5 |
| All | 72%28/39 | 45%22/49 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
138 rallies
| # | UALR-MO ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UALR | MO ST | Serve err | Little Rock | +0.7 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | MO ST | UALR×3 | Serve err | Missouri St. | +0.8 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | UALR | UALR×3 | Blocked | Ashlyn Blazer | blk Morgan Creer, Lorena Keselj | +1.3 |
| 4 | 3-1 | UALR | UALR×3 | Kill | Lovina Teel | set Lily King | +1.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | UALR | MO ST | Serve err | Little Rock | +0.9 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | MO ST | UALR | Serve err | Missouri St. | +1.1 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | UALR | MO ST | Serve err | Little Rock | +1.0 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | MO ST | MO ST | Attack err | Morgan Creer | +1.3 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | MO ST | UALR | Serve err | Missouri St. | +1.1 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Lexi Weinberg | set Hannah Gardner | +1.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MO ST | MO ST | Blocked | Bella Cherry | blk Chloe Judd, Lexi Weinberg | +1.3 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MO ST | UALR | Blocked | Lexi Weinberg | blk Bella Cherry, Alyssa Boyte | +1.0 |
| 13 | 6-7 | UALR | MO ST | Attack err | Avery Fearnley | +0.9 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Bella Cherry | set Alayna Vaeth | +1.0 |
| 15 | 7-8 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Halle Rillie | +0.9 |
| 16 | 8-8 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Bella Cherry | set Alayna Vaeth | +1.1 |
| 17 | 9-8 | UALR | UALR | Attack err | Ashlyn Blazer | +1.7 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Kya Johnson | +1.1 |
| 19 | 10-9 | MO ST | UALR×3 | Kill | Avery Fearnley | set Lily King | +1.3 |
| 20 | 11-9 | UALR | UALR×3 | Kill | Lovina Teel | set Lily King | +2.0 |
| 21 | 12-9 | UALR | UALR×3 | Blocked | Hannah Gardner | blk Lorena Keselj | +2.1 |
| 22 | 12-10 | UALR | MO ST×4 | Kill | Ashlyn Blazer | set Halle Rillie | +1.2 |
| 23 | 12-11 | MO ST | MO ST×4 | Attack err | Lorena Keselj | +1.9 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | MO ST | MO ST×4 | Kill | Ashlyn Blazer | set Hannah Gardner | +1.8 |
| 25 | 12-13 | MO ST | MO ST×4 | Attack err | Lovina Teel | +1.7 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Lovina Teel | set Lily King | +1.3 |
| 27 | 13-14 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Lexi Weinberg | set Hannah Gardner | +1.2 |
| 28 | 14-14 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Lily King | set Avery Fearnley | +1.4 |
| 29 | 15-14 | UALR | UALR | Blocked | Rilynn Finley | blk Alyssa Boyte, Bella Cherry | +2.2 |
| 30 | 15-15 | UALR | MO ST | Attack err | Lovina Teel | +1.5 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | MO ST | UALR | Serve err | Missouri St. | +1.7 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Lexi Weinberg | set Hannah Gardner | +1.6 |
| 33 | 17-16 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Avery Fearnley | set Alayna Vaeth | +1.9 |
| 34 | 17-17 | UALR | MO ST×3 | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Halle Rillie | +1.7 |
| 35 | 17-18 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Blocked | Avery Fearnley | blk Hannah Gardner | +2.3 |
| 36 | 17-19 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Ace | Missouri St. | +2.0 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Bella Cherry | set Alayna Vaeth | +1.4 |
| 38 | 18-20 | UALR | MO ST×5 | Kill | Chloe Judd | set Halle Rillie | +1.5 |
| 39 | 18-21 | MO ST | MO ST×5 | Attack err | Avery Fearnley | +1.6 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | MO ST | MO ST×5 | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +1.0 |
| 41 | 18-23 | MO ST | MO ST×5 | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Halle Rillie | +0.5 |
| 42 | 18-24 | MO ST | MO ST×5 | Kill | Hannah Redrow | set Halle Rillie | +0.2 |
| 43 | 19-24 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Avery Fearnley | set Skyler Perez | · |
| 44 | 20-24 | UALR | UALR | Kill | Morgan Creer | set Lily King | +0.1 |
| 45 | 20-25 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Redrow | set Halle Rillie | +0.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MO ST | MO ST | Blocked | Lovina Teel | blk Hannah Redrow, Rilynn Finley | +0.7 |
| 2 | 0-2 | MO ST | MO ST | Blocked | Lovina Teel | blk Rilynn Finley, Hannah Redrow | +0.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Bella Cherry | set Alayna Vaeth | +0.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Lexi Weinberg | set Rilynn Finley | +0.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Alyssa Boyte | set Alayna Vaeth | +0.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UALR | MO ST×3 | Kill | Chloe Judd | set Hannah Gardner | +0.5 |
| 7 | 2-5 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Halle Rillie | +0.6 |
| 8 | 2-6 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Riley Ourth | +0.5 |
| 9 | 3-6 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Bella Cherry | set Alayna Vaeth | +0.3 |
| 10 | 3-7 | UALR | MO ST×3 | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Halle Rillie | +0.4 |
| 11 | 3-8 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Ace | Missouri St. | aced Avery Fearnley | +0.4 |
| 12 | 3-9 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Kill | Ashlyn Blazer | +0.3 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Avery Fearnley | set Lily King | +0.2 |
| 14 | 4-10 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Halle Rillie | set Halle Rillie | +0.2 |
| 15 | 5-10 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Lovina Teel | set Lily King | +0.2 |
| 16 | 5-11 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +0.2 |
| 17 | 5-12 | MO ST | MO ST | Kill | Ashlyn Blazer | set Hannah Gardner | +0.2 |
| 18 | 6-12 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Alyssa Boyte | set Lily King | +0.1 |
| 19 | 7-12 | UALR | UALR | Kill | Alyssa Boyte | set Alayna Vaeth | +0.3 |
| 20 | 7-13 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Redrow | set Hannah Gardner | +0.2 |
| 21 | 7-14 | MO ST | MO ST | Blocked | Alyssa Boyte | blk Hannah Redrow, Rilynn Finley | +0.2 |
| 22 | 8-14 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Avery Fearnley | set Alayna Vaeth | +0.1 |
| 23 | 8-15 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Redrow | set Hannah Gardner | +0.1 |
| 24 | 8-16 | MO ST | MO ST | Attack err | Alyssa Boyte | +0.1 | |
| 25 | 9-16 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Bella Cherry | set Alayna Vaeth | +0.1 |
| 26 | 9-17 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Chloe Judd | set Hannah Gardner | +0.1 |
| 27 | 9-18 | MO ST | MO ST | Attack err | Alayna Vaeth | +0.1 | |
| 28 | 10-18 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Bella Cherry | set Alayna Vaeth | · |
| 29 | 10-19 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Chloe Judd | set Halle Rillie | · |
| 30 | 11-19 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Avery Fearnley | set Lily King | · |
| 31 | 12-19 | UALR | UALR | Kill | Lovina Teel | set Lily King | +0.1 |
| 32 | 12-20 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Brooke Eslinger | +0.1 |
| 33 | 13-20 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Lovina Teel | set Skyler Perez | · |
| 34 | 14-20 | UALR | UALR | Blocked | Ashlyn Blazer | blk Alyssa Boyte, Morgan Creer | +0.1 |
| 35 | 14-21 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +0.1 |
| 36 | 15-21 | MO ST | UALR | Serve err | Missouri St. | · | |
| 37 | 16-21 | UALR | UALR | Bad set | Hannah Gardner | +0.1 | |
| 38 | 16-22 | UALR | MO ST | Serve err | Little Rock | +0.1 | |
| 39 | 17-22 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Bella Cherry | set Alayna Vaeth | +0.1 |
| 40 | 17-23 | UALR | MO ST | Attack err | Bella Cherry | +0.1 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Avery Fearnley | set Bella Cherry | · |
| 42 | 18-24 | UALR | MO ST | Blocked | Avery Fearnley | blk Lexi Weinberg | +0.1 |
| 43 | 18-25 | MO ST | MO ST | Attack err | Bella Cherry | · | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Riley Ourth | +0.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MO ST | UALR | Serve err | Missouri St. | +0.3 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UALR | MO ST | Serve err | Little Rock | +0.3 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Alyssa Boyte | set Alayna Vaeth | +0.3 |
| 5 | 2-3 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Chloe Judd | set Halle Rillie | +0.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Avery Fearnley | set Alayna Vaeth | +0.3 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UALR | MO ST | Attack err | Avery Fearnley | +0.3 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | MO ST | UALR | Serve err | Missouri St. | +0.3 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | UALR | UALR | Kill | Lovina Teel | set Skyler Perez | +0.5 |
| 10 | 5-5 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Hannah Redrow | +0.3 |
| 11 | 6-5 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Lovina Teel | set Lily King | +0.4 |
| 12 | 7-5 | UALR | UALR | Kill | Lovina Teel | set Lily King | +0.6 |
| 13 | 7-6 | UALR | MO ST | Serve err | Little Rock | +0.4 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | MO ST | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Hannah Gardner | +0.5 |
| 15 | 8-7 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Lovina Teel | set Victoria Fontenot | +0.4 |
| 16 | 8-8 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Hannah Gardner | +0.4 |
| 17 | 9-8 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Bella Cherry | set Skyler Perez | +0.4 |
| 18 | 9-9 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Chloe Judd | set Hannah Gardner | +0.4 |
| 19 | 9-10 | MO ST | MO ST | Blocked | Bella Cherry | blk Rilynn Finley | +0.5 |
| 20 | 10-10 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Avery Fearnley | set Alayna Vaeth | +0.4 |
| 21 | 11-10 | UALR | UALR | Attack err | Chloe Judd | +0.6 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Halle Rillie | +0.4 |
| 23 | 12-11 | UALR | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.5 | |||
| 24 | 12-12 | UALR | MO ST | Attack err | Morgan Creer | +0.4 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Avery Fearnley | set Lily King | +0.5 |
| 26 | 14-12 | UALR | UALR | Blocked | Jenna Walters | blk Morgan Creer | +0.8 |
| 27 | 14-13 | UALR | MO ST | Bad set | Skyler Perez | +0.5 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | MO ST | MO ST | Ace | Missouri St. | aced Lovina Teel | +0.7 |
| 29 | 15-14 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Morgan Creer | set Lily King | +0.5 |
| 30 | 15-15 | UALR | MO ST | Blocked | Alyssa Boyte | blk Hannah Redrow | +0.5 |
| 31 | 15-16 | MO ST | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Hannah Gardner | +0.7 |
| 32 | 16-16 | MO ST | UALR | Attack err | Hannah Redrow | +0.5 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | UALR | UALR | Kill | Lovina Teel | set Skyler Perez | +0.8 |
| 34 | 17-17 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Hannah Gardner | +0.6 |
| 35 | 18-17 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Lovina Teel | set Alayna Vaeth | +0.7 |
| 36 | 18-18 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Lexi Weinberg | set Hannah Gardner | +0.6 |
| 37 | 19-18 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Alyssa Boyte | set Alayna Vaeth | +0.7 |
| 38 | 19-19 | UALR | MO ST | Attack err | Lovina Teel | +0.6 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Avery Fearnley | set Alayna Vaeth | +0.8 |
| 40 | 20-20 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +0.7 |
| 41 | 21-20 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Avery Fearnley | set Skyler Perez | +0.9 |
| 42 | 21-21 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Brooke Eslinger | +0.8 |
| 43 | 21-22 | MO ST | MO ST | Blocked | Morgan Creer | blk Hannah Redrow, Ashlyn Blazer | +1.2 |
| 44 | 22-22 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Avery Fearnley | set Lily King | +0.9 |
| 45 | 22-23 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Redrow | set Hannah Gardner | +1.0 |
| 46 | 23-23 | MO ST | UALR | Serve err | Missouri St. | +1.0 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | UALR | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Hannah Gardner | +1.2 |
| 48 | 24-24 | MO ST | UALR | Kill | Lovina Teel | set Lily King | +1.2 |
| 49 | 24-25 | UALR | MO ST | Serve err | Little Rock | +1.2 | |
| 50 | 24-26 | MO ST | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Hannah Gardner | +1.4 |
Score shown after each rally, Little Rock first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).