FinalThu, Sep 3, 2026

Missouri St. def. Little Rock 3–0

Missouri St. beat visiting Little Rock 3-0 (25-20, 25-18, 26-24) on Thu, Sep 3, 2026. Missouri St.'s Rilynn Finley led with 14 kills, and Brooke Eslinger added 11 digs.

Data through · final Sep 3

Set123Sets
UALR2018240
MO ST2525263

Win probability

Missouri St. above 50 · Little Rock below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.3% MO STrally 138 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.3% to Missouri St. — set 1, UALR 17-18 MO ST. Avery Fearnley stuffed by Hannah Gardner. MO ST win probability 87% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UALR 10.7%89.3% MO ST

Little Rock wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
6.0%

Missouri St. wins

3-0
43.2%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.4%
UALR break %
36.9% vs this opp
MO ST break %
46.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Hannah GardnerBlock+2.3%

    Avery Fearnley stuffed by Hannah Gardner

    Set 1 · UALR 17-18 MO ST · MO ST 87% → 89%

  2. 02

    Rilynn Finley stuffed by Alyssa Boyte & Bella Cherry

    Set 1 · UALR 15-14 MO ST · UALR 12% → 14%

  3. 03
    Lorena KeseljBlock+2.1%

    Hannah Gardner stuffed by Lorena Keselj

    Set 1 · UALR 12-9 MO ST · UALR 15% → 17%

  4. 04
    Missouri St.Ace+2.0%

    Missouri St. ace

    Set 1 · UALR 17-19 MO ST · MO ST 89% → 91%

  5. 05
    Lovina TeelKill+2.0%

    Kill by Lovina Teel (set by Lily King)

    Set 1 · UALR 11-9 MO ST · UALR 13% → 15%

  6. 06
    Lorena KeseljAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Lorena Keselj

    Set 1 · UALR 12-11 MO ST · MO ST 84% → 86%

  7. 07

    Kill by Avery Fearnley (set by Alayna Vaeth)

    Set 1 · UALR 17-16 MO ST · UALR 13% → 15%

  8. 08
    Ashlyn BlazerKill+1.8%

    Kill by Ashlyn Blazer (set by Hannah Gardner)

    Set 1 · UALR 12-12 MO ST · MO ST 86% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314528.3211016100014
313530.2670024100013
35312.16700100031.56.5
32315-.067000101224
3014-.25000120111.51.5
31011.0001601400001
39421.2381000002110
3011-1.0001901400000
3000–5002200000
3000–100500000
Team totals4422112.196430748328662
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38122.31818123010110
35111.364100001438
36110.50000210010.56.5
34319.05300140010.54.5
3000–120800002
3102.5001500600001
314128.46410020132.516.5
35114.28600020111.56.5
3000–2021100000
3000–201600000
1013-.333000000000
Team totals439109.3124038430410976

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 UALR · MO ST 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 UALRMO ST 5

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 2 UALRMO ST 3

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 2 UALRMO ST 2

Bars above the line = Missouri St. leads, below = Little Rock leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Little Rock

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%6/13
38%3/8
2
56%5/9
45%5/11
3
44%4/9
0%0/5
4
57%4/7
20%1/5
5
100%4/4
20%1/5
6
57%4/7
20%1/5
All
55%27/49
28%11/39

Missouri St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%6/7
50%5/10
2
55%6/11
45%5/11
3
100%4/4
64%7/11
4
67%4/6
43%3/7
5
80%4/5
20%1/5
6
67%4/6
20%1/5
All
72%28/39
45%22/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#UALR-MO STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UALRMO STServe errLittle Rock+0.7
21-1MO STUALR×3Serve errMissouri St.+0.8
32-1UALRUALR×3BlockedAshlyn Blazerblk Morgan Creer, Lorena Keselj+1.3
43-1UALRUALR×3KillLovina Teelset Lily King+1.5
53-2UALRMO STServe errLittle Rock+0.9
64-2MO STUALRServe errMissouri St.+1.1
74-3UALRMO STServe errLittle Rock+1.0
84-4MO STMO STAttack errMorgan Creer+1.3
95-4MO STUALRServe errMissouri St.+1.1
105-5UALRMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+1.0
115-6MO STMO STBlockedBella Cherryblk Chloe Judd, Lexi Weinberg+1.3
126-6MO STUALRBlockedLexi Weinbergblk Bella Cherry, Alyssa Boyte+1.0
136-7UALRMO STAttack errAvery Fearnley+0.9
147-7MO STUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+1.0
157-8UALRMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+0.9
168-8MO STUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+1.1
179-8UALRUALRAttack errAshlyn Blazer+1.7
189-9UALRMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Kya Johnson+1.1
1910-9MO STUALR×3KillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+1.3
2011-9UALRUALR×3KillLovina Teelset Lily King+2.0
2112-9UALRUALR×3BlockedHannah Gardnerblk Lorena Keselj+2.1
2212-10UALRMO ST×4KillAshlyn Blazerset Halle Rillie+1.2
2312-11MO STMO ST×4Attack errLorena Keselj+1.9
2412-12MO STMO ST×4KillAshlyn Blazerset Hannah Gardner+1.8
2512-13MO STMO ST×4Attack errLovina Teel+1.7
2613-13MO STUALRKillLovina Teelset Lily King+1.3
2713-14UALRMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+1.2
2814-14MO STUALRKillLily Kingset Avery Fearnley+1.4
2915-14UALRUALRBlockedRilynn Finleyblk Alyssa Boyte, Bella Cherry+2.2
3015-15UALRMO STAttack errLovina Teel+1.5
3116-15MO STUALRServe errMissouri St.+1.7
3216-16UALRMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+1.6
3317-16MO STUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+1.9
3417-17UALRMO ST×3KillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+1.7
3517-18MO STMO ST×3BlockedAvery Fearnleyblk Hannah Gardner+2.3
3617-19MO STMO ST×3AceMissouri St.+2.0
3718-19MO STUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+1.4
3818-20UALRMO ST×5KillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+1.5
3918-21MO STMO ST×5Attack errAvery Fearnley+1.6
4018-22MO STMO ST×5KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+1.0
4118-23MO STMO ST×5KillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+0.5
4218-24MO STMO ST×5KillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+0.2
4319-24MO STUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Skyler Perez·
4420-24UALRUALRKillMorgan Creerset Lily King+0.1
4520-25UALRMO STKillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+0.1
Set 2
10-1MO STMO STBlockedLovina Teelblk Hannah Redrow, Rilynn Finley+0.7
20-2MO STMO STBlockedLovina Teelblk Rilynn Finley, Hannah Redrow+0.7
31-2MO STUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.5
41-3UALRMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Rilynn Finley+0.5
52-3MO STUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+0.5
62-4UALRMO ST×3KillChloe Juddset Hannah Gardner+0.5
72-5MO STMO ST×3KillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+0.6
82-6MO STMO ST×3KillRilynn Finleyset Riley Ourth+0.5
93-6MO STUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.3
103-7UALRMO ST×3KillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+0.4
113-8MO STMO ST×3AceMissouri St.aced Avery Fearnley+0.4
123-9MO STMO ST×3KillAshlyn Blazer+0.3
134-9MO STUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+0.2
144-10UALRMO STKillHalle Rillieset Halle Rillie+0.2
155-10MO STUALRKillLovina Teelset Lily King+0.2
165-11UALRMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+0.2
175-12MO STMO STKillAshlyn Blazerset Hannah Gardner+0.2
186-12MO STUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Lily King+0.1
197-12UALRUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+0.3
207-13UALRMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+0.2
217-14MO STMO STBlockedAlyssa Boyteblk Hannah Redrow, Rilynn Finley+0.2
228-14MO STUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+0.1
238-15UALRMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+0.1
248-16MO STMO STAttack errAlyssa Boyte+0.1
259-16MO STUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.1
269-17UALRMO STKillChloe Juddset Hannah Gardner+0.1
279-18MO STMO STAttack errAlayna Vaeth+0.1
2810-18MO STUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth·
2910-19UALRMO STKillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie·
3011-19MO STUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King·
3112-19UALRUALRKillLovina Teelset Lily King+0.1
3212-20UALRMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Brooke Eslinger+0.1
3313-20MO STUALRKillLovina Teelset Skyler Perez·
3414-20UALRUALRBlockedAshlyn Blazerblk Alyssa Boyte, Morgan Creer+0.1
3514-21UALRMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+0.1
3615-21MO STUALRServe errMissouri St.·
3716-21UALRUALRBad setHannah Gardner+0.1
3816-22UALRMO STServe errLittle Rock+0.1
3917-22MO STUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.1
4017-23UALRMO STAttack errBella Cherry+0.1
4118-23MO STUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Bella Cherry·
4218-24UALRMO STBlockedAvery Fearnleyblk Lexi Weinberg+0.1
4318-25MO STMO STAttack errBella Cherry·
Set 3
10-1UALRMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Riley Ourth+0.3
21-1MO STUALRServe errMissouri St.+0.3
31-2UALRMO STServe errLittle Rock+0.3
42-2MO STUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+0.3
52-3UALRMO STKillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+0.3
63-3MO STUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+0.3
73-4UALRMO STAttack errAvery Fearnley+0.3
84-4MO STUALRServe errMissouri St.+0.3
95-4UALRUALRKillLovina Teelset Skyler Perez+0.5
105-5UALRMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Hannah Redrow+0.3
116-5MO STUALRKillLovina Teelset Lily King+0.4
127-5UALRUALRKillLovina Teelset Lily King+0.6
137-6UALRMO STServe errLittle Rock+0.4
147-7MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+0.5
158-7MO STUALRKillLovina Teelset Victoria Fontenot+0.4
168-8UALRMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+0.4
179-8MO STUALRKillBella Cherryset Skyler Perez+0.4
189-9UALRMO STKillChloe Juddset Hannah Gardner+0.4
199-10MO STMO STBlockedBella Cherryblk Rilynn Finley+0.5
2010-10MO STUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+0.4
2111-10UALRUALRAttack errChloe Judd+0.6
2211-11UALRMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+0.4
2312-11UALR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
2412-12UALRMO STAttack errMorgan Creer+0.4
2513-12MO STUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+0.5
2614-12UALRUALRBlockedJenna Waltersblk Morgan Creer+0.8
2714-13UALRMO STBad setSkyler Perez+0.5
2814-14MO STMO STAceMissouri St.aced Lovina Teel+0.7
2915-14MO STUALRKillMorgan Creerset Lily King+0.5
3015-15UALRMO STBlockedAlyssa Boyteblk Hannah Redrow+0.5
3115-16MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+0.7
3216-16MO STUALRAttack errHannah Redrow+0.5
3317-16UALRUALRKillLovina Teelset Skyler Perez+0.8
3417-17UALRMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+0.6
3518-17MO STUALRKillLovina Teelset Alayna Vaeth+0.7
3618-18UALRMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+0.6
3719-18MO STUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+0.7
3819-19UALRMO STAttack errLovina Teel+0.6
3920-19MO STUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+0.8
4020-20UALRMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+0.7
4121-20MO STUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Skyler Perez+0.9
4221-21UALRMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Brooke Eslinger+0.8
4321-22MO STMO STBlockedMorgan Creerblk Hannah Redrow, Ashlyn Blazer+1.2
4422-22MO STUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+0.9
4522-23UALRMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+1.0
4623-23MO STUALRServe errMissouri St.+1.0
4723-24UALRMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+1.2
4824-24MO STUALRKillLovina Teelset Lily King+1.2
4924-25UALRMO STServe errLittle Rock+1.2
5024-26MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+1.4

Score shown after each rally, Little Rock first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).