FinalThu, Sep 17, 2026

AwayCUSA

3:0

HomeSUMMIT-LEAGUE

Missouri St. def. Kansas City 3–0

(25-20, 25-17, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MO ST	25	25	25	3
KC	20	17	23	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

KC above 50 · MO ST below

Biggest swing: 2.6% to Missouri St. — set 1, MO ST 22-20 KC. Kill by Rilynn Finley (set by Halle Rillie). KC win probability 11% → 8%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MO ST 89.2%10.8% KC

Missouri St. wins

3-0

43.0%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.5%

Kansas City wins

3-0

1.5%

3-1

3.3%

3-2

6.0%

MO ST break %: 46.3% vs this opp
KC break %: 36.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Rilynn FinleyKill+2.6%
Kill by Rilynn Finley (set by Halle Rillie)
Set 1 · MO ST 22-20 KC · MO ST 89% → 92%
02
Emry BrownAttack error+2.6%
Attack error by Emry Brown
Set 1 · MO ST 18-18 KC · MO ST 84% → 87%
03
Hannah RedrowKill+2.5%
Kill by Hannah Redrow (set by Hannah Gardner)
Set 1 · MO ST 19-18 KC · MO ST 87% → 89%
04
Lexi WeinbergKill+2.1%
Kill by Lexi Weinberg (set by Hannah Gardner)
Set 1 · MO ST 21-20 KC · MO ST 87% → 89%
05
Hannah GardnerAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Hannah Gardner
Set 1 · MO ST 16-18 KC · KC 15% → 18%
06
Rilynn FinleyAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Rilynn Finley
Set 1 · MO ST 20-20 KC · KC 11% → 13%
07
Natalie PtacekAttack error+2.0%
Natalie Ptacek stuffed by Chloe Judd & Rilynn Finley
Set 1 · MO ST 13-14 KC · MO ST 83% → 85%
08
Mia WeaverKill+1.9%
Kill by Mia Weaver (set by Chloe Kaminski)
Set 1 · MO ST 15-17 KC · KC 15% → 17%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Missouri St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Hannah GardnerS	3	15	1	28	.500	13	0	1	15	0	0	2	1	16
16Rilynn FinleyOH	3	11	6	32	.156	1	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
7Lexi WeinbergOPP	3	11	1	28	.357	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	11
1Chloe JuddMB	3	1	2	10	-.100	2	1	1	4	0	1	4	3	5
12Hannah RedrowMB	3	3	2	9	.111	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3
10Riley OurthDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
4Jenna WaltersOH	3	9	4	23	.217	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
2Halle RillieS	3	1	0	2	.500	21	1	0	10	0	0	0	0	2
8Brooke EslingerDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	0
3Kya JohnsonDS	3	0	0	0	–	6	0	1	9	2	0	0	0	0
13Ashlyn BlazerOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	16	132	.265	48	2	4	66	3	1	8	5	75

Kansas Cityhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Stella SmithMB	3	9	1	23	.348	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	11.5
15Ryanne WattreeOH	3	7	1	21	.286	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
14Mila ZoricMB	3	5	0	12	.417	0	0	3	1	1	1	1	1.5	6.5
20Mia WeaverOH	3	5	3	24	.083	1	0	0	9	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
9Emry BrownOH	3	5	5	24	.000	1	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	5
10Coco BuschhornS	3	0	0	2	.000	15	1	0	8	0	0	0	0	1
4Natalie PtacekOH	3	4	5	12	-.083	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	5
12Chloe KaminskiL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	5	2	0	15	0	0	0	0	2
22Savy RepinskiS	3	1	0	3	.333	13	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
6Megan LawsonDS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
13Clarke HenryOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	15	122	.172	36	3	3	55	2	1	12	7	60

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 MO ST · KC 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 MO STKC 5

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 5 MO STKC 2

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 MO STKC 4

Bars above the line = Kansas City leads, below = Missouri St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Missouri St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	43%6/14
2	62%8/13	11%1/9
3	88%7/8	53%8/15
4	46%6/13	57%8/14
5	67%6/9	54%7/13
6	86%6/7	33%3/9
All	69%42/61	45%33/74

Kansas City

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%9/15	22%2/9
2	80%8/10	25%3/12
3	33%6/18	27%3/11
4	55%6/11	14%1/7
5	46%6/13	54%7/13
6	86%6/7	33%3/9
All	55%41/74	31%19/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	MO ST-KC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MO ST	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.9
2	1-1	KC	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Hannah Gardner	+0.8
3	1-2	MO ST	KC×3	Kill	Stella Smith	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.0
4	1-3	KC	KC×3	Kill	Natalie Ptacek	set Savy Repinski	+1.5
5	1-4	KC	KC×3	Attack err	Rilynn Finley	blk Natalie Ptacek, Stella Smith	+1.6
6	2-4	KC	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Chloe Judd	+1.0
7	2-5	MO ST	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Savy Repinski	+1.2
8	3-5	KC	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Chloe Judd	+1.0
9	3-6	MO ST	KC×5	Kill	Natalie Ptacek	set Emry Brown	+1.2
10	3-7	KC	KC×5	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Savy Repinski	+1.8
11	3-8	KC	KC×5	Kill	Natalie Ptacek	set Savy Repinski	+1.8
12	3-9	KC	KC×5	Kill	Natalie Ptacek	set Chloe Kaminski	+1.7
13	3-10	KC	KC×5	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Savy Repinski	+1.6
14	4-10	KC	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Kya Johnson	+0.8
15	5-10	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+1.3
16	5-11	MO ST	KC	Serve err	MO ST server		+1.3
17	6-11	KC	MO ST	Kill	Halle Rillie	set Kya Johnson	+0.9
18	7-11	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Brooke Eslinger	+1.5
19	7-12	MO ST	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.4
20	8-12	KC	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Hannah Gardner	+1.0
21	8-13	MO ST	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Chloe Kaminski	+1.4
22	9-13	KC	MO ST	Serve err	KC server		+1.0
23	10-13	MO ST	MO ST	Attack err	Emry Brown		+1.7
24	10-14	MO ST	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.6
25	11-14	KC	MO ST×3	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Lexi Weinberg	+1.2
26	12-14	MO ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Emry Brown	blk Hannah Gardner, Chloe Judd	+1.9
27	13-14	MO ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Natalie Ptacek	blk Chloe Judd, Rilynn Finley	+2.0
28	13-15	MO ST	KC	Kill	Savy Repinski	set Mia Weaver	+1.7
29	14-15	KC	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+1.4
30	14-16	MO ST	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Savy Repinski	+1.8
31	15-16	KC	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+1.5
32	15-17	MO ST	KC	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Chloe Kaminski	+1.9
33	16-17	KC	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+1.6
34	16-18	MO ST	KC	Attack err	Hannah Gardner		+2.0
35	17-18	KC	MO ST×3	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+1.7
36	18-18	MO ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Emry Brown		+2.6
37	19-18	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Hannah Gardner	+2.5
38	19-19	MO ST	KC	Kill	Mila Zoric	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.8
39	20-19	KC	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Lexi Weinberg	+1.9
40	20-20	MO ST	KC	Attack err	Rilynn Finley		+2.0
41	21-20	KC	MO ST×5	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+2.1
42	22-20	MO ST	MO ST×5	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Halle Rillie	+2.6
43	23-20	MO ST	MO ST×5	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Riley Ourth	+1.8
44	24-20	MO ST	MO ST×5	Serve err	MO ST server		+0.8
45	25-20	MO ST	MO ST×5	Attack err	Emry Brown		+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	KC	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+0.5
2	1-1	MO ST	KC	Kill	Mila Zoric	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.6
3	1-2	KC	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.9
4	2-2	KC	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+0.6
5	2-3	MO ST	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.7
6	3-3	KC	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Halle Rillie	+0.6
7	4-3	MO ST	MO ST	Attack err	Natalie Ptacek		+0.8
8	4-4	MO ST	KC	Serve err	MO ST server		+0.6
9	5-4	KC	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+0.6
10	6-4	MO ST	MO ST	Bad set	Stella Smith		+0.8
11	6-5	MO ST	KC	Attack err	Hannah Redrow		+0.6
12	7-5	KC	MO ST×3	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+0.5
13	8-5	MO ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Mia Weaver		+0.7
14	9-5	MO ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Natalie Ptacek		+0.5
15	9-6	MO ST	KC	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Chloe Kaminski	+0.4
16	10-6	KC	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Kya Johnson	+0.4
17	10-7	MO ST	KC	Attack err	Rilynn Finley	blk Ryanne Wattree, Mila Zoric	+0.4
18	10-8	KC	KC	Kill	Mila Zoric	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.7
19	11-8	KC	MO ST	Attack err	Emry Brown		+0.5
20	11-9	MO ST	KC	Serve err	MO ST server		+0.5
21	11-10	KC	KC	Attack err	Rilynn Finley	blk Ryanne Wattree, Stella Smith	+0.9
22	12-10	KC	MO ST	Serve err	KC server		+0.6
23	12-11	MO ST	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.7
24	13-11	KC	MO ST×5	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Halle Rillie	+0.7
25	14-11	MO ST	MO ST×5	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+0.8
26	15-11	MO ST	MO ST×5	Attack err	Natalie Ptacek		+0.6
27	16-11	MO ST	MO ST×5	Bad set	Savy Repinski		+0.5
28	17-11	MO ST	MO ST×5	Attack err	Natalie Ptacek	blk Chloe Judd, Jenna Walters	+0.3
29	17-12	MO ST	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Savy Repinski	+0.2
30	18-12	KC	MO ST	Kill	Chloe Judd	set Halle Rillie	+0.2
31	19-12	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+0.2
32	19-13	MO ST	KC	Attack err	Hannah Gardner	blk Mia Weaver, Stella Smith	+0.1
33	20-13	KC	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+0.1
34	20-14	MO ST	KC	Kill	Mila Zoric	set Savy Repinski	+0.1
35	21-14	KC	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Hannah Gardner	+0.1
36	21-15	MO ST	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.0
37	22-15	KC	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Hannah Gardner	+0.1
38	22-16	MO ST	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Chloe Kaminski	+0.0
39	23-16	KC	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+0.1
40	24-16	MO ST	MO ST	Ace	MO ST server	aced Mia Weaver	+0.0
41	24-17	MO ST	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.0
42	25-17	KC	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Halle Rillie	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+0.3
2	2-0	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.3
3	3-0	MO ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Ryanne Wattree		+0.3
4	3-1	MO ST	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.2
5	3-2	KC	KC	Attack err	Hannah Redrow		+0.3
6	4-2	KC	MO ST	Serve err	KC server		+0.2
7	4-3	MO ST	KC	Attack err	Rilynn Finley	blk Stella Smith, Ryanne Wattree	+0.2
8	5-3	KC	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Hannah Gardner	+0.2
9	5-4	MO ST	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Savy Repinski	+0.2
10	6-4	KC	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Halle Rillie	+0.2
11	7-4	MO ST	MO ST	Attack err	Mia Weaver	blk Hannah Gardner, Chloe Judd	+0.3
12	7-5	MO ST	KC×4	Attack err	Jenna Walters		+0.2
13	7-6	KC	KC×4	Ace	KC server	aced Team	+0.4
14	7-7	KC	KC×4	Attack err	Chloe Judd	blk Mila Zoric	+0.4
15	7-8	KC	KC×4	Ace	KC server	aced Kya Johnson	+0.5
16	8-8	KC	MO ST×4	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+0.3
17	9-8	MO ST	MO ST×4	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Kya Johnson	+0.5
18	10-8	MO ST	MO ST×4	Bad set	Savy Repinski		+0.4
19	11-8	MO ST	MO ST×4	Ace	MO ST server	aced Mila Zoric	+0.3
20	11-9	MO ST	KC	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Savy Repinski	+0.2
21	11-10	KC	KC	Attack err	Jenna Walters		+0.4
22	12-10	KC	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+0.3
23	12-11	MO ST	KC	Serve err	MO ST server		+0.3
24	12-12	KC	KC	Attack err	Jenna Walters		+0.5
25	13-12	KC	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Kya Johnson	+0.4
26	14-12	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Riley Ourth	+0.5
27	14-13	MO ST	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.3
28	15-13	KC	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Hannah Gardner	+0.3
29	15-14	MO ST	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.4
30	15-15	KC	KC	Attack err	Lexi Weinberg		+0.6
31	16-15	KC	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+0.4
32	17-15	MO ST	MO ST	Attack err	Stella Smith	blk Chloe Judd	+0.6
33	17-16	MO ST	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Savy Repinski	+0.4
34	17-17	KC	KC	Attack err	Chloe Judd	blk Stella Smith, Natalie Ptacek	+0.7
35	18-17	KC	MO ST×3	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+0.5
36	19-17	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Kya Johnson	+0.6
37	20-17	MO ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Mia Weaver		+0.5
38	20-18	MO ST	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Savy Repinski	+0.3
39	21-18	KC	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+0.4
40	22-18	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+0.3
41	22-19	MO ST	KC×3	Kill	Mila Zoric	set Savy Repinski	+0.1
42	22-20	KC	KC×3	Attack err	Jenna Walters		+0.4
43	22-21	KC	KC×3	Ace	KC server	aced Kya Johnson	+0.7
44	23-21	KC	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+0.6
45	23-22	MO ST	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Megan Lawson	+0.5
46	24-22	KC	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Hannah Gardner	+0.7
47	24-23	MO ST	KC	Attack err	Rilynn Finley		+0.4
48	25-23	KC	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+0.9

Score shown after each rally, Missouri St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.