FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayNEC

0:3

HomePATRIOT

Bucknell def. Le Moyne 3–0

(25-20, 25-18, 25-11)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LEMOYN	20	18	11	0
BUCKNL	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BUCKNL above 50 · LEMOYN below

Biggest swing: 0.3% to Le Moyne — set 1, LEMOYN 7-7 BUCKNL. Kill by Payton Horan (set by Katie Barbour). BUCKNL win probability 98% → 98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LEMOYN 1.8%98.2% BUCKNL

Le Moyne wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.4%

3-2

1.2%

Bucknell wins

3-0

68.3%

3-1

24.4%

3-2

5.4%

LEMOYN break %: 35.8% vs this opp
BUCKNL break %: 51.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Payton HoranKill+0.3%
Kill by Payton Horan (set by Katie Barbour)
Set 1 · LEMOYN 7-7 BUCKNL · LEMOYN 2% → 2%
02
LEMOYN serverAce+0.3%
Le Moyne ace on Team
Set 1 · LEMOYN 14-16 BUCKNL · LEMOYN 1% → 2%
03
Cameron LloydKill+0.3%
Kill by Cameron Lloyd (set by Kaitlyn Taylor)
Set 1 · LEMOYN 7-9 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 98% → 98%
04
Kaitlyn TaylorKill+0.2%
Kill by Kaitlyn Taylor (set by Peyton McGee)
Set 1 · LEMOYN 7-8 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 98% → 98%
05
Sidney ShafferKill+0.2%
Kill by Sidney Shaffer (set by Peyton McGee)
Set 1 · LEMOYN 14-17 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 98% → 99%
06
Jazmin RodriguezKill+0.2%
Kill by Jazmin Rodriguez (set by Katie Barbour)
Set 1 · LEMOYN 4-5 BUCKNL · LEMOYN 1% → 2%
07
BUCKNL serverAce+0.2%
Bucknell ace on Team
Set 1 · LEMOYN 14-18 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 99% → 99%
08
BUCKNL serverAce+0.2%
Bucknell ace on Nina Salas
Set 1 · LEMOYN 7-10 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 98% → 99%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Le Moyneaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Alise EvansMB	3	6	1	10	.500	0	1	0	1	0	2	1	8
2Branwyn LuptonOH	3	5	5	24	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
19Payton HoranOH	3	4	3	12	.083	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4
8Nina SalasOH	3	1	1	4	.000	0	3	0	3	1	0	0	4
11Eiley SchneiderMB	3	2	0	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
4Katie Barbour	3	1	1	5	.000	24	1	1	5	0	1	0.5	2.5
9Jazmin RodriguezOH	3	6	3	17	.176	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	6
15Piper HooeyOH	3	1	1	8	.000	0	2	1	2	2	0	0	3
1Aubrey Kimball	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	3	2	0	0	0	2
16Sadie Lupton	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	1
10Haley BuescherL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	13	0	0	0	0
7Avery Stromberg	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Cami ZajacL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Gabriella Schemidt	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		26	15	88	.125	25	10	7	30	10	6	3	49

Bucknellhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
1Sidney ShafferMB	3	9	1	18	.444	1	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
22Cameron LloydOH	3	9	1	18	.444	1	0	0	6	1	1	0.5	9.5
2Kaitlyn TaylorOH	3	6	3	12	.250	2	2	2	4	0	0	0	8
15Marion HaskellOPP	3	5	0	9	.556	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
4Peyton McGeeS	3	4	0	6	.667	20	1	1	6	0	0	0	5
17Stephanie ErohMB	1	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
33Katie O'SullivanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	5	1	18	2	0	0	5
5Isabella CharltonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	1
8Emily KearneyDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Lily LufkinMB	2	3	2	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
12Emerson SpringsOH	1	1	0	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
23Klea TarjaOH	1	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
9Sarah HilliardOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
6Sarah WilliamsOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
11Emerson BoydOPP	1	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	8	83	.398	35	10	5	36	10	8	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 LEMOYN · BUCKNL 10

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 2 LEMOYNBUCKNL 5

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 LEMOYNBUCKNL 6

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 3 LEMOYNBUCKNL 10

Bars above the line = Bucknell leads, below = Le Moyne leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Le Moyne

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	27%7/26	30%3/10
2	55%6/11	22%2/9
3	63%5/8	25%2/8
4	56%5/9	38%3/8
5	71%5/7	44%4/9
6	42%5/12	29%2/7
All	45%33/73	31%16/51

Bucknell

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	72%13/18
2	70%7/10	63%12/19
3	75%6/8	45%5/11
4	56%5/9	38%3/8
5	71%5/7	38%3/8
6	56%5/9	44%4/9
All	69%35/51	55%40/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

124 rallies

Rally log

#	LEMOYN-BUCKNL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Peyton McGee	+0.2
2	1-1	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Katie Barbour	+0.2
3	1-2	LEMOYN	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Peyton McGee	+0.2
4	1-3	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.2
5	1-4	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Ace	BUCKNL server	aced Piper Hooey	+0.2
6	2-4	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
7	2-5	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Peyton McGee	set Cameron Lloyd	+0.1
8	3-5	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Alise Evans	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
9	4-5	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	+0.2
10	4-6	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Serve err	LEMOYN server		+0.2
11	5-6	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Haley Buescher	+0.2
12	5-7	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Peyton McGee	+0.2
13	6-7	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Alise Evans	set Katie Barbour	+0.2
14	7-7	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Kill	Payton Horan	set Katie Barbour	+0.3
15	7-8	LEMOYN	BUCKNL×5	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Peyton McGee	+0.2
16	7-9	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×5	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Kaitlyn Taylor	+0.3
17	7-10	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×5	Ace	BUCKNL server	aced Nina Salas	+0.2
18	7-11	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×5	Ace	BUCKNL server	aced Team	+0.2
19	7-12	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×5	Attack err	Katie Barbour		+0.1
20	8-12	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+0.1
21	9-12	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Attack err	Cameron Lloyd	blk Eiley Schneider, Branwyn Lupton	+0.2
22	9-13	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Stephanie Eroh	set Peyton McGee	+0.1
23	10-13	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Eiley Schneider	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
24	10-14	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Peyton McGee	set Isabella Charlton	+0.1
25	10-15	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.1
26	11-15	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
27	12-15	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	+0.2
28	12-16	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.2
29	13-16	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Alise Evans	set Katie Barbour	+0.2
30	14-16	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Team	+0.3
31	14-17	LEMOYN	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.2
32	14-18	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Ace	BUCKNL server	aced Team	+0.2
33	14-19	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Attack err	Jazmin Rodriguez		+0.1
34	15-19	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
35	15-20	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Klea Tarja	set Peyton McGee	+0.1
36	16-20	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Attack err	Stephanie Eroh		+0.1
37	16-21	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Attack err	Payton Horan		+0.1
38	17-21	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Payton Horan	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
39	17-22	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Attack err	Payton Horan		+0.1
40	18-22	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
41	19-22	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Team	+0.2
42	19-23	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Serve err	LEMOYN server		+0.2
43	20-23	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Nina Salas	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
44	20-24	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Serve err	LEMOYN server		+0.2
45	20-25	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Bad set	Branwyn Lupton		+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×6	Attack err	Branwyn Lupton	blk Marion Haskell, Sidney Shaffer	+0.1
2	0-2	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×6	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.1
3	0-3	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×6	Ace	BUCKNL server	aced Team	+0.1
4	0-4	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×6	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Peyton McGee	+0.1
5	0-5	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×6	Ace	BUCKNL server	aced Team	+0.1
6	0-6	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×6	Attack err	Branwyn Lupton		+0.0
7	1-6	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Piper Hooey	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
8	1-7	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Sidney Shaffer	+0.0
9	1-8	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Katie O'Sullivan	+0.0
10	2-8	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
11	2-9	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.0
12	3-9	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Alise Evans	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
13	3-10	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Serve err	LEMOYN server		+0.0
14	3-11	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Attack err	Jazmin Rodriguez		+0.0
15	4-11	BUCKNL	LEMOYN×3	Kill	Alise Evans	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
16	5-11	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Kill	Payton Horan	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
17	6-11	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Katie O'Sullivan	+0.0
18	6-12	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Peyton McGee	+0.0
19	7-12	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Attack err	Kaitlyn Taylor		+0.0
20	7-13	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Lily Lufkin	set Kaitlyn Taylor	+0.0
21	8-13	BUCKNL	LEMOYN×3	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+0.0
22	9-13	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Attack err	Lily Lufkin		+0.1
23	10-13	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Team	+0.1
24	10-14	LEMOYN	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Peyton McGee		+0.1
25	10-15	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Peyton McGee	+0.1
26	10-16	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Attack err	Branwyn Lupton		+0.1
27	11-16	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Payton Horan	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
28	11-17	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.0
29	12-17	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Attack err	Sidney Shaffer		+0.0
30	13-17	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Isabella Charlton	+0.1
31	13-18	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Peyton McGee		+0.1
32	13-19	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Peyton McGee	+0.1
33	14-19	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Attack err	Kaitlyn Taylor	blk Branwyn Lupton, Alise Evans	+0.0
34	15-19	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Isabella Charlton	+0.1
35	15-20	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Katie O'Sullivan	+0.1
36	16-20	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Alise Evans	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
37	16-21	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Bad set	Katie Barbour		+0.1
38	17-21	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+0.0
39	17-22	LEMOYN	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Peyton McGee	+0.1
40	17-23	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Emily Kearney	+0.0
41	17-24	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Attack err	Nina Salas		+0.0
42	18-24	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Eiley Schneider	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
43	18-25	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Serve err	LEMOYN server		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	LEMOYN	BUCKNL×10	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Peyton McGee	+0.0
2	0-2	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×10	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Katie O'Sullivan	+0.1
3	0-3	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×10	Attack err	Branwyn Lupton	blk Sidney Shaffer, Marion Haskell	+0.0
4	0-4	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×10	Ace	BUCKNL server	aced Team	+0.0
5	0-5	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×10	Ace	BUCKNL server	aced Piper Hooey	+0.0
6	0-6	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×10	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Katie O'Sullivan	+0.0
7	0-7	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×10	Attack err	Branwyn Lupton		+0.0
8	0-8	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×10	Attack err	Piper Hooey	blk Sidney Shaffer, Cameron Lloyd	+0.0
9	0-9	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×10	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Katie O'Sullivan	+0.0
10	0-10	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×10	Kill	Sidney Shaffer		+0.0
11	1-10	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Attack err	Kaitlyn Taylor		+0.0
12	2-10	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Katie O'Sullivan	+0.0
13	2-11	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.0
14	3-11	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
15	3-12	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Serve err	LEMOYN server		+0.0
16	3-13	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Kill	Emerson Springs		+0.0
17	4-13	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
18	4-14	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Serve err	LEMOYN server		+0.0
19	4-15	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Attack err	Jazmin Rodriguez		+0.0
20	5-15	BUCKNL	LEMOYN×3	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+0.0
21	6-15	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Team	+0.0
22	7-15	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Cameron Lloyd	+0.0
23	7-16	LEMOYN	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Lily Lufkin	set Peyton McGee	+0.0
24	7-17	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Ace	BUCKNL server	aced Team	+0.0
25	7-18	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Attack err	Alise Evans		+0.0
26	8-18	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Attack err	Lily Lufkin	blk Alise Evans, Katie Barbour	+0.0
27	9-18	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Team	+0.0
28	9-19	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Attack err	Payton Horan	blk Lily Lufkin, Marion Haskell	+0.0
29	9-20	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Kill	Lily Lufkin		+0.0
30	10-20	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Kill	Katie Barbour		+0.0
31	10-21	LEMOYN	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Emerson Boyd	+0.0
32	10-22	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Sarah Hilliard	set Emerson Boyd	+0.0
33	10-23	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Ace	BUCKNL server	aced Team	+0.0
34	11-23	BUCKNL	LEMOYN	Serve err	BUCKNL server		+0.0
35	11-24	LEMOYN	BUCKNL	Kill	Sarah Williams	set Emerson Boyd	+0.0
36	11-25	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Emerson Boyd	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Le Moyne first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.