Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 17, 2026 · Neutral site

North Dakota St. def. Montana 3–1

North Dakota St. beat Montana 3-1 (25-17, 20-25, 25-23, 27-25) on Thu, Sep 17, 2026 at a neutral site. North Dakota St.'s Lauren Jansen led with 15 kills, and Rya Borer added 18 digs.

Data through · final Sep 17

Set1234Sets
MONT172523251
ND ST252025273

Win probability

North Dakota St. above 50 · Montana below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.2% MONTrally 187 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.2% to Montana — set 4, MONT 24-23 ND ST. Kill by Kaylee Paulson (set by Gracie Cagle). ND ST win probability 87% → 78%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MONT 15.5%84.5% ND ST

Montana wins

3-0
2.3%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
8.2%

North Dakota St. wins

3-0
36.5%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
16.8%
MONT break %
39.0% vs this opp
ND ST break %
46.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Kaylee Paulson (set by Gracie Cagle)

    Set 4 · MONT 24-23 ND ST · MONT 13% → 22%

  2. 02
    Lauren JansenKill+8.8%

    Kill by Lauren Jansen (set by Rya Borer)

    Set 3 · MONT 23-25 ND ST · ND ST 82% → 90%

  3. 03

    Kill by Courtney Peters (set by Sarah Pfiffner)

    Set 4 · MONT 25-26 ND ST · ND ST 85% → 93%

  4. 04

    Kill by Courtney Peters (set by Sarah Pfiffner)

    Set 3 · MONT 23-24 ND ST · ND ST 74% → 82%

  5. 05
    Lauren JansenKill+7.1%

    Kill by Lauren Jansen (set by Rya Borer)

    Set 4 · MONT 24-24 ND ST · ND ST 78% → 85%

  6. 06
    Mylee BlakeKill+7.1%

    Kill by Mylee Blake (set by Gracie Cagle)

    Set 4 · MONT 25-24 ND ST · MONT 15% → 22%

  7. 07
    MontanaService error+7.1%

    Montana service error

    Set 4 · MONT 25-25 ND ST · ND ST 78% → 85%

  8. 08
    MontanaAce+6.9%

    Montana ace on Lauren Jansen

    Set 3 · MONT 22-22 ND ST · MONT 19% → 26%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411742.095022101111.514.5
48321.2380231012212
410122.40900010010.510.5
46114.35700000212.58.5
4128-.125020900003
4014-.250400360111.51.5
49526.154000000009
4000–2211600002
4000–211900001
1000–001000000
Team totals4520137.1824491152156890
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415437.2971024500015
412121.5243117002114
411424.2920002002112
4508.62540021401227
44715-.20000010132.56.5
4000–000200000
44418.000100310004
41011.0003021200001
4001.0006021800000
311728.14300000010.511.5
2001.000000001011
2000–400100000
Team totals6327154.2345819649310897

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MONT · ND ST 8

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 MONTND ST 8

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 3 MONTND ST 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 MONTND ST 7

Set 4

25-27

Longest run 3 MONTND ST 3

Bars above the line = North Dakota St. leads, below = Montana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Montana

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%10/12
47%7/15
2
77%10/13
38%6/16
3
33%9/27
25%3/12
4
35%7/20
40%6/15
5
58%7/12
59%10/17
6
50%6/12
56%9/16
All
51%49/96
45%41/91

North Dakota St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
38%5/13
2
69%9/13
17%2/12
3
100%9/9
40%6/15
4
44%8/18
68%17/25
5
37%7/19
63%12/19
6
54%7/13
42%5/12
All
55%50/91
49%47/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

187 rallies

#MONT-ND STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MONTMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+1.6
22-0MONTMONTBlockedEmma Tallmanblk Sophia Vella+1.7
32-1MONTND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+1.2
43-1ND STMONTServe errNorth Dakota St.+1.4
53-2MONTND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+1.2
64-2ND STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Madeline Sanderson+1.4
74-3MONTND ST×7Serve errMontana+1.2
84-4ND STND ST×7BlockedJosie Blazinablk Sarah Pfiffner, Arianna Blohm+1.6
94-5ND STND ST×7KillSarah Pfiffnerset Zoe John+1.6
104-6ND STND ST×7KillZoe Johnset Arianna Blohm+1.4
114-7ND STND ST×7KillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+1.2
124-8ND STND ST×7Attack errMylee Blake+1.0
134-9ND STND ST×7KillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+0.9
145-9ND STMONT×3KillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+0.6
156-9MONTMONT×3Attack errZoe John+1.0
167-9MONTMONT×3KillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+1.3
177-10MONTND ST×8Attack errIsabel Taylor+1.0
187-11ND STND ST×8Attack errJosie Blazina+1.1
197-12ND STND ST×8AceArianna Blohmaced Delaney Russell+0.9
207-13ND STND ST×8Attack errIsabel Taylor+0.7
217-14ND STND ST×8KillSarah Pfiffnerset Maddy Dombeck+0.5
227-15ND STND ST×8KillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+0.3
237-16ND STND ST×8Attack errGracie Cagle+0.2
247-17ND STND ST×8KillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+0.1
258-17ND STMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Annika Wright·
268-18MONTND ST×3KillKendall Worwaset Sarah Pfiffner+0.1
278-19ND STND ST×3KillEmma Tallmanset Rya Borer·
288-20ND STND ST×3KillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner·
299-20ND STMONT×3KillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle·
3010-20MONTMONT×3AceMontana·
3111-20MONTMONT×3AceMontanaaced Zoe John·
3211-21MONTND STServe errMontana·
3312-21ND STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle·
3413-21MONTMONTKillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle·
3513-22MONTND STKillKendall Worwaset Sarah Pfiffner·
3614-22ND STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle·
3714-23MONTND STKillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner·
3815-23ND STMONTServe errNorth Dakota St.·
3915-24MONTND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner·
4016-24ND STMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle·
4117-24MONTMONTAttack errZoe John·
4217-25MONTND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner·
Set 2
11-0ND STMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+0.9
22-0MONTMONTBlockedLauren Jansenblk Josie Blazina, Mylee Blake+1.2
32-1MONTND STKillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+0.9
43-1ND STMONTAttack errLauren Jansen+1.0
53-2MONTND ST×3KillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+0.9
63-3ND STND ST×3KillArianna Blohm+1.2
73-4ND STND ST×3KillArianna Blohm+1.1
84-4ND STMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+0.9
94-5MONTND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+0.8
105-5ND STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+0.9
116-5MONTMONTKillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle+1.3
126-6MONTND STServe errMontana+0.9
137-6ND STMONT×3KillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+1.0
148-6MONTMONT×3Attack errZoe John+1.5
159-6MONTMONT×3KillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+1.6
169-7MONTND STKillMaddy Dombeck+1.0
1710-7ND STMONTKillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle+1.2
1810-8MONTND STKillLauren Jansenset Rya Borer+1.0
1910-9ND STND STBlockedDelaney Russellblk Emma Tallman, Kendall Worwa+1.5
2011-9ND STMONTBlockedLauren Jansenblk Josie Blazina+1.3
2112-9MONTMONTAttack errKendall Worwa+1.7
2212-10MONTND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+1.1
2313-10ND STMONTAttack errArianna Blohm+1.4
2414-10MONTMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+1.8
2514-11MONTND STServe errMontana+1.0
2614-12ND STND STAttack errDelaney Russell+1.6
2715-12ND STMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+1.5
2815-13MONTND ST×3KillSarah Pfiffnerset Maddy Dombeck+1.2
2915-14ND STND ST×3Attack errDelaney Russell+1.8
3015-15ND STND ST×3KillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+1.8
3116-15ND STMONTServe errNorth Dakota St.+1.5
3217-15MONTMONTAttack errZoe John+2.2
3317-16MONTND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+1.4
3417-17ND STND STKillSarah Pfiffnerset Arianna Blohm+2.0
3518-17ND STMONT×3Attack errKendall Worwa+1.8
3619-17MONTMONT×3AceMontanaaced Lauren Jansen+2.5
3720-17MONTMONT×3KillIsabel Taylorset Gracie Cagle+2.5
3820-18MONTND STKillCourtney Petersset Sarah Pfiffner+1.4
3921-18ND STMONTKillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle+2.0
4022-18MONTMONTAceMontanaaced Lauren Jansen+2.1
4122-19MONTND STKillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+0.9
4223-19ND STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+1.6
4323-20MONTND STServe errMontana+0.7
4424-20ND STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+1.4
4525-20MONTMONTAceMontana+0.6
Set 3
10-1MONTND STServe errMontana+1.7
21-1ND STMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+1.8
32-1MONTMONTAceMontana+2.7
42-2MONTND STServe errMontana+1.9
53-2ND STMONTServe errNorth Dakota St.+2.1
63-3MONTND STBad setGracie Cagle+1.9
73-4ND STND STKillCourtney Petersset Sarah Pfiffner+2.5
84-4ND STMONT×4Serve errNorth Dakota St.+2.0
95-4MONTMONT×4KillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+2.9
106-4MONTMONT×4AceMontanaaced Lauren Jansen+3.2
117-4MONTMONT×4KillKaylee Paulson+3.4
127-5MONTND ST×3KillArianna Blohmset Cathy Porter+2.2
137-6ND STND ST×3BlockedKaylee Paulsonblk Malayna Syverson+3.0
147-7ND STND ST×3KillKendall Worwaset Cathy Porter+3.0
158-7ND STMONT×4Serve errNorth Dakota St.+2.5
169-7MONTMONT×4BlockedCourtney Petersblk Sophia Vella+3.5
1710-7MONTMONT×4Attack errKendall Worwa+3.7
1811-7MONTMONT×4Attack errKendall Worwa+3.7
1911-8MONTND STAttack errDelaney Russell+2.3
2012-8ND STMONTServe errNorth Dakota St.+2.9
2113-8MONTMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+3.6
2213-9MONTND ST×3KillCourtney Petersset Lauren Jansen+2.1
2313-10ND STND ST×3Attack errDelaney Russell+3.2
2413-11ND STND ST×3KillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+3.5
2514-11ND STMONTAttack errEmma Tallman+3.3
2615-11MONTMONTAttack errEmma Tallman+4.1
2715-12MONTND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+2.4
2816-12ND STMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+3.3
2916-13MONTND STKillLauren Jansenset Rya Borer+2.4
3016-14ND STND STKillArianna Blohm+3.8
3117-14ND STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+3.7
3217-15MONTND ST×7KillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+2.9
3317-16ND STND ST×7Attack errKaylee Paulson+4.4
3417-17ND STND ST×7KillCourtney Petersset Sarah Pfiffner+4.7
3517-18ND STND ST×7KillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+4.6
3617-19ND STND ST×7KillCourtney Petersset Maddy Dombeck+4.1
3717-20ND STND ST×7KillCourtney Petersset Sarah Pfiffner+3.3
3817-21ND STND ST×7KillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+2.3
3918-21ND STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+1.2
4018-22MONTND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+1.7
4119-22ND STMONT×4KillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle+1.0
4220-22MONTMONT×4Attack errKendall Worwa+2.5
4321-22MONTMONT×4Attack errCourtney Peters+4.3
4422-22MONTMONT×4AceMontanaaced Lauren Jansen+6.9
4522-23MONTND STKillKendall Worwaset Cathy Porter+6.0
4623-23ND STMONTBlockedKendall Worwablk Delaney Russell+6.1
4723-24MONTND STKillCourtney Petersset Sarah Pfiffner+7.7
4823-25ND STND STKillLauren Jansenset Rya Borer+8.8
Set 4
10-1ND STND STBad setIsabel Taylor+1.7
21-1ND STMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+1.4
32-1MONTMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+2.0
42-2MONTND STServe errMontana+1.4
52-3ND STND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+1.8
63-3ND STMONTServe errNorth Dakota St.+1.5
73-4MONTND ST×3KillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+1.4
83-5ND STND ST×3Attack errKaylee Paulson+1.7
93-6ND STND ST×3KillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+1.5
104-6ND STMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+1.1
114-7MONTND STServe errMontana+1.1
125-7ND STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+1.1
136-7MONTMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+1.8
146-8MONTND STBlockedKaylee Paulsonblk Sarah Pfiffner+1.4
157-8ND STMONTBlockedCourtney Petersblk Gracie Cagle+1.4
167-9MONTND ST×3BlockedDelaney Russellblk Kendall Worwa+1.4
177-10ND STND ST×3KillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+1.7
187-11ND STND ST×3BlockedSophia Vellablk Courtney Peters, Kendall Worwa+1.4
198-11ND STMONTServe errNorth Dakota St.+1.0
209-11MONTMONTAceMontanaaced Lauren Jansen+1.7
219-12MONTND STKillCourtney Petersset Sarah Pfiffner+1.3
2210-12ND STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Madeline Sanderson+1.3
2311-12MONTMONTAttack errLauren Jansen+2.1
2411-13MONTND STKillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+1.7
2511-14ND STND STAttack errJosie Blazina+1.9
2612-14ND STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+1.4
2712-15MONTND STKillLauren Jansenset Rya Borer+1.5
2813-15ND STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+1.4
2913-16MONTND STServe errMontana+1.5
3014-16ND STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+1.4
3115-16MONTMONTAttack errCourtney Peters+2.5
3215-17MONTND ST×3BlockedKaylee Paulsonblk Arianna Blohm, Sarah Pfiffner+2.0
3315-18ND STND ST×3KillSarah Pfiffnerset Arianna Blohm+2.3
3415-19ND STND ST×3KillCourtney Petersset Sarah Pfiffner+1.7
3516-19ND STMONT×3KillSophia Vellaset Annika Wright+1.0
3617-19MONTMONT×3Attack errKendall Worwa+2.0
3718-19MONTMONT×3BlockedCourtney Petersblk Sophia Vella, Gracie Cagle+2.9
3818-20MONTND STKillCourtney Petersset Cathy Porter+2.5
3918-21ND STND STBlockedDelaney Russellblk Kendall Worwa, Emma Tallman+2.6
4019-21ND STMONTAttack errCourtney Peters+1.5
4120-21MONTMONTBlockedCourtney Petersblk Josie Blazina, Delaney Russell+3.2
4220-22MONTND STKillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+3.0
4321-22ND STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+2.5
4422-22MONTMONTAttack errEmma Tallman+5.2
4522-23MONTND STKillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+4.6
4623-23ND STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+4.7
4724-23MONTMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+9.2
4824-24MONTND STKillLauren Jansenset Rya Borer+7.1
4925-24ND STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+7.1
5025-25MONTND ST×3Serve errMontana+7.1
5125-26ND STND ST×3KillCourtney Petersset Sarah Pfiffner+8.0
5225-27ND STND ST×3KillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+6.7

Score shown after each rally, Montana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).