FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayBIG-SKY

3:0

HomeWCC

Montana def. Seattle U 3–0

(25-23, 26-24, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MONT	25	26	25	3
SEATTL	23	24	18	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SEATTL above 50 · MONT below

Biggest swing: 4.0% to Montana — set 1, MONT 25-23 SEATTL. Kill by Josie Blazina (set by Gracie Cagle). SEATTL win probability 11% → 7%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MONT 86.2%13.8% SEATTL

Montana wins

3-0

38.7%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

16.0%

Seattle U wins

3-0

2.0%

3-1

4.4%

3-2

7.4%

MONT break %: 49.4% vs this opp
SEATTL break %: 41.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Josie BlazinaKill+4.0%
Kill by Josie Blazina (set by Gracie Cagle)
Set 1 · MONT 25-23 SEATTL · MONT 89% → 93%
02
MONT serverAce+3.5%
Montana ace on Adee Butler
Set 2 · MONT 26-24 SEATTL · MONT 94% → 98%
03
Chloee LeslieAttack error+3.4%
Attack error by Chloee Leslie
Set 2 · MONT 24-23 SEATTL · MONT 91% → 94%
04
Adee ButlerKill+3.4%
Kill by Adee Butler (set by Grace Jones)
Set 2 · MONT 24-24 SEATTL · SEATTL 6% → 9%
05
Sydney PierceKill+3.4%
Kill by Sydney Pierce (set by Gracie Cagle)
Set 2 · MONT 25-24 SEATTL · MONT 91% → 94%
06
MONT serverAce+3.2%
Montana ace on Adee Butler
Set 2 · MONT 23-22 SEATTL · MONT 90% → 94%
07
Sydney PierceKill+3.0%
Kill by Sydney Pierce (set by Gracie Cagle)
Set 1 · MONT 19-19 SEATTL · MONT 80% → 83%
08
MONT serverAce+3.0%
Montana ace on Chloee Leslie
Set 1 · MONT 20-19 SEATTL · MONT 83% → 86%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Montanaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Delaney RussellOH	3	7	6	25	.040	0	5	0	3	0	0	0	0	12
4Josie BlazinaOH	3	9	1	15	.533	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	11
13Sydney PierceMB	3	9	1	16	.500	1	0	4	2	0	0	2	1	10
9Gracie CagleS	3	4	2	7	.286	32	1	1	10	0	0	2	1	6
11Sophia VellaMB	3	4	1	16	.188	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	5
14Isabel TaylorOH	3	0	0	2	.000	0	1	0	5	2	0	0	0	1
20Kaylee PaulsonOH	3	4	4	15	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	1	5
6Annika WrightS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	0	5	0	0	0	0	2
12Madeline SandersonDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	13	0	0	0	0	0
8Halle WalkerS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	15	96	.229	36	10	6	41	3	1	8	5	76

Seattle Uhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Adee ButlerOH	3	11	3	23	.348	1	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	11
6Teagan MeltonOH	3	10	2	20	.400	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	11
7Hailey McEllrathMB	3	6	0	9	.667	0	0	2	2	0	0	2	1	7
13Chloee LeslieOH	3	6	6	26	.000	0	0	3	13	2	0	1	0.5	6.5
10Grace JonesS	3	0	0	0	–	20	2	1	7	0	0	0	0	2
18Taniyah PruittMB	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Elaina DuongL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
12Janae DemantL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	7	2	0	0	0	0
4Lexi JonesMB	2	3	3	7	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
14Linnaea MooreOH	2	2	3	8	-.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
1Bella JonesS	2	0	0	1	.000	8	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
8Orinayo OlukanmiOH	1	3	0	4	.750	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
9Mikayla LiljenquistS	1	0	0	1	.000	5	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	1
3Clara GarciaL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Tamara UngaOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	17	101	.238	38	3	10	40	10	1	8	5	65

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 MONT · SEATTL 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 6 MONTSEATTL 4

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 4 MONTSEATTL 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 MONTSEATTL 3

Bars above the line = Seattle U leads, below = Montana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Montana

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%9/16	22%2/9
2	67%8/12	43%6/14
3	64%7/11	36%4/11
4	60%6/10	57%8/14
5	86%6/7	25%2/8
6	55%6/11	67%12/18
All	63%42/67	46%34/74

Seattle U

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	50%8/16
2	50%7/14	38%5/13
3	54%7/13	30%3/10
4	55%6/11	46%6/13
5	40%6/15	0%0/6
6	55%6/11	33%3/9
All	54%40/74	37%25/67

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

141 rallies

Rally log

#	MONT-SEATTL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Attack err	Josie Blazina		+1.4
2	0-2	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+1.6
3	0-3	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Janae Demant	+1.7
4	0-4	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+1.7
5	1-4	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Gracie Cagle	+1.2
6	1-5	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+1.5
7	2-5	SEATTL	MONT	Attack err	Teagan Melton		+1.2
8	2-6	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+1.5
9	3-6	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Sophia Vella	set Gracie Cagle	+1.3
10	3-7	MONT	SEATTL×3	Kill	Adee Butler	set Bella Jones	+1.6
11	3-8	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Madeline Sanderson	+1.9
12	3-9	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Attack err	Sophia Vella		+1.8
13	4-9	SEATTL	MONT×3	Serve err	SEATTL server		+1.2
14	5-9	MONT	MONT×3	Kill	Sydney Pierce	set Gracie Cagle	+1.6
15	6-9	MONT	MONT×3	Attack err	Linnaea Moore	blk Kaylee Paulson, Sydney Pierce	+1.7
16	6-10	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Bella Jones	+1.7
17	7-10	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Gracie Cagle	set Annika Wright	+1.4
18	7-11	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Linnaea Moore	set Janae Demant	+1.7
19	7-12	SEATTL	SEATTL	Ace	SEATTL server	aced Isabel Taylor	+2.0
20	8-12	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Gracie Cagle	+1.3
21	9-12	MONT	MONT	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+1.8
22	9-13	MONT	SEATTL	Serve err	MONT server		+1.9
23	10-13	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Gracie Cagle	set Madeline Sanderson	+1.5
24	11-13	MONT	MONT	Ace	MONT server	aced Janae Demant	+2.0
25	11-14	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+2.0
26	12-14	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Gracie Cagle	+1.6
27	12-15	MONT	SEATTL×3	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+2.1
28	12-16	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Ace	SEATTL server	aced Kaylee Paulson	+2.4
29	12-17	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Attack err	Delaney Russell		+2.2
30	13-17	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Gracie Cagle	+1.3
31	14-17	MONT	MONT	Bad set	Hailey McEllrath		+1.9
32	14-18	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Bella Jones	+2.2
33	15-18	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Kaylee Paulson	set Gracie Cagle	+1.6
34	15-19	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Isabel Taylor	+2.2
35	16-19	SEATTL	MONT×6	Serve err	SEATTL server		+1.6
36	17-19	MONT	MONT×6	Attack err	Linnaea Moore		+2.4
37	18-19	MONT	MONT×6	Attack err	Linnaea Moore		+2.7
38	19-19	MONT	MONT×6	Kill	Sydney Pierce	set Gracie Cagle	+3.0
39	20-19	MONT	MONT×6	Ace	MONT server	aced Chloee Leslie	+3.0
40	21-19	MONT	MONT×6	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Gracie Cagle	+2.6
41	21-20	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Bella Jones	+2.0
42	22-20	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Sydney Pierce	+2.4
43	22-21	MONT	SEATTL	Serve err	MONT server		+2.1
44	23-21	SEATTL	MONT	Serve err	SEATTL server		+2.7
45	24-21	MONT	MONT	Attack err	Adee Butler		+2.2
46	24-22	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Janae Demant	+0.8
47	24-23	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Delaney Russell	blk Hailey McEllrath, Teagan Melton	+2.3
48	25-23	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+4.0
Set 2
1	0-1	MONT	SEATTL×3	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.8
2	0-2	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Attack err	Delaney Russell		+1.1
3	0-3	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Attack err	Delaney Russell	blk Lexi Jones, Teagan Melton	+1.2
4	1-3	SEATTL	MONT×4	Serve err	SEATTL server		+0.9
5	2-3	MONT	MONT×4	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+1.0
6	3-3	MONT	MONT×4	Ace	MONT server	aced Adee Butler	+1.0
7	4-3	MONT	MONT×4	Ace	MONT server	aced Chloee Leslie	+0.9
8	4-4	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.8
9	5-4	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+0.8
10	6-4	MONT	MONT	Bad set	Grace Jones		+0.9
11	6-5	MONT	SEATTL×3	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+0.8
12	6-6	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Adee Butler	+1.1
13	6-7	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Attack err	Kaylee Paulson		+1.2
14	7-7	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Kaylee Paulson	set Gracie Cagle	+0.9
15	7-8	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Bella Jones	+1.0
16	8-8	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Sydney Pierce	set Gracie Cagle	+0.9
17	8-9	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Bella Jones	+1.1
18	8-10	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Linnaea Moore	set Elaina Duong	+1.4
19	9-10	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Sydney Pierce	set Gracie Cagle	+1.0
20	10-10	MONT	MONT	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+1.3
21	10-11	MONT	SEATTL×4	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Bella Jones	+1.2
22	10-12	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Ace	SEATTL server	aced Isabel Taylor	+1.5
23	10-13	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Attack err	Delaney Russell		+1.6
24	10-14	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+1.6
25	11-14	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Gracie Cagle	set Annika Wright	+1.1
26	11-15	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+1.4
27	12-15	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Sophia Vella	set Gracie Cagle	+1.1
28	12-16	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+1.4
29	12-17	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Kaylee Paulson		+1.6
30	13-17	SEATTL	MONT	Attack err	Teagan Melton	blk Kaylee Paulson, Josie Blazina	+0.9
31	13-18	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+1.3
32	14-18	SEATTL	MONT×3	Kill	Kaylee Paulson	set Gracie Cagle	+0.9
33	15-18	MONT	MONT×3	Attack err	Adee Butler		+1.4
34	16-18	MONT	MONT×3	Ace	MONT server	aced Adee Butler	+1.6
35	16-19	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Bella Jones	+1.8
36	17-19	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Sydney Pierce	set Gracie Cagle	+1.4
37	17-20	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Bella Jones	+1.9
38	18-20	SEATTL	MONT×3	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+1.4
39	19-20	MONT	MONT×3	Attack err	Lexi Jones		+2.1
40	20-20	MONT	MONT×3	Attack err	Lexi Jones	blk Gracie Cagle, Josie Blazina	+2.3
41	20-21	MONT	SEATTL	Serve err	MONT server		+2.3
42	21-21	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+2.1
43	21-22	MONT	SEATTL	Attack err	Gracie Cagle		+2.6
44	22-22	SEATTL	MONT	Serve err	SEATTL server		+2.4
45	23-22	MONT	MONT	Ace	MONT server	aced Adee Butler	+3.2
46	23-23	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Grace Jones	+2.7
47	24-23	SEATTL	MONT	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+3.4
48	24-24	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+3.4
49	25-24	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Sydney Pierce	set Gracie Cagle	+3.4
50	26-24	MONT	MONT	Ace	MONT server	aced Adee Butler	+3.5
Set 3
1	1-0	SEATTL	MONT	Serve err	SEATTL server		+0.3
2	1-1	MONT	SEATTL	Serve err	MONT server		+0.4
3	1-2	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Delaney Russell		+0.5
4	2-2	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+0.4
5	2-3	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.4
6	3-3	SEATTL	MONT×5	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+0.4
7	4-3	MONT	MONT×5	Ace	MONT server	aced Team	+0.5
8	5-3	MONT	MONT×5	Attack err	Adee Butler		+0.4
9	6-3	MONT	MONT×5	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+0.4
10	7-3	MONT	MONT×5	Ace	MONT server	aced Janae Demant	+0.3
11	7-4	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+0.3
12	8-4	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+0.3
13	8-5	MONT	SEATTL	Attack err	Kaylee Paulson	blk Mikayla Liljenquist	+0.3
14	9-5	SEATTL	MONT	Serve err	SEATTL server		+0.3
15	9-6	MONT	SEATTL	Attack err	Gracie Cagle	blk Hailey McEllrath, Chloee Leslie	+0.3
16	9-7	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Kaylee Paulson	blk Lexi Jones, Orinayo Olukanmi	+0.4
17	10-7	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Sydney Pierce	set Gracie Cagle	+0.3
18	11-7	MONT	MONT	Attack err	Chloee Leslie	blk Sydney Pierce, Gracie Cagle	+0.4
19	11-8	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Mikayla Liljenquist	+0.3
20	12-8	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Sydney Pierce	set Gracie Cagle	+0.3
21	12-9	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Grace Jones	+0.3
22	12-10	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.4
23	13-10	SEATTL	MONT×4	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+0.4
24	14-10	MONT	MONT×4	Ace	MONT server	aced Adee Butler	+0.4
25	15-10	MONT	MONT×4	Attack err	Lexi Jones	blk Josie Blazina	+0.3
26	16-10	MONT	MONT×4	Kill	Sophia Vella	set Gracie Cagle	+0.2
27	16-11	MONT	SEATTL	Serve err	MONT server		+0.1
28	17-11	SEATTL	MONT	Serve err	SEATTL server		+0.2
29	17-12	MONT	SEATTL×3	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.1
30	17-13	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Mikayla Liljenquist	+0.2
31	17-14	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Mikayla Liljenquist	+0.4
32	18-14	SEATTL	MONT	Serve err	SEATTL server		+0.3
33	18-15	MONT	SEATTL	Serve err	MONT server		+0.3
34	19-15	SEATTL	MONT×5	Kill	Sophia Vella	set Gracie Cagle	+0.4
35	20-15	MONT	MONT×5	Kill	Gracie Cagle		+0.3
36	21-15	MONT	MONT×5	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+0.2
37	22-15	MONT	MONT×5	Kill	Kaylee Paulson	set Gracie Cagle	+0.1
38	23-15	MONT	MONT×5	Kill	Sydney Pierce	set Gracie Cagle	+0.0
39	23-16	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Mikayla Liljenquist	+0.0
40	24-16	SEATTL	MONT	Serve err	SEATTL server		+0.0
41	24-17	MONT	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Mikayla Liljenquist	+0.0
42	24-18	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Sydney Pierce		+0.0
43	25-18	SEATTL	MONT	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Gracie Cagle	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Montana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.