Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 1, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Eastern Wash. def. Montana 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Montana 64.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 1, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Eastern Wash. won at Montana 3-1 (17-25, 25-19, 25-17, 25-20) on Thu, Oct 1, 2026. Eastern Wash.'s Kalista Lukovich led with 22 kills.

Data through · final Oct 1

Set1234Sets
E WASH172525253
MONT251917201

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Eastern Wash. needed all of Kalista Lukovich's 22.5 points to get by Montana.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Eastern Wash.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Montana was RallyIQ's 65% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Eastern Wash. 2–2 Montana

    From 2–2, Eastern Wash. scored 5 straight to lead 7–2.

    Eastern Wash. 68% → 86%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Eastern Wash. 15–14 Montana

    Down 14–15, Montana scored 3 straight to lead 17–15.

    Eastern Wash. 74% → 58%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Eastern Wash. 15–17 Montana

    Eastern Wash. scored 7 straight to turn a 15–17 deficit into a 22–17 lead.

    Eastern Wash. 58% → 97%

Montana above 50Eastern Wash. belowMax swing 6.9%

Eastern Wash.Montana

Sideout %
Eastern Wash. 52.4·Montana 46.2
Break %
Eastern Wash. 53.8·Montana 47.6
Hitting
Eastern Wash. .168·Montana .087
Longest run
Eastern Wash. 7·Montana 7

Aspyn Reed
5 of her kills came in the stretches above. 16 K, .200, 16.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Montana above 50 · Eastern Wash. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.9% E WASHrally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.9% to Eastern Wash. — set 4, E WASH 19-17 MONT. Attack error by Mylee Blake. MONT win probability 25% → 18%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E WASH 32.8%67.2% MONT

Eastern Wash. wins

3-0
6.5%
3-1
11.7%
3-2
14.7%

Montana wins

3-0
21.4%
3-1
25.8%
3-2
20.0%
E WASH break %
42.6% vs this opp
MONT break %
46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Mylee BlakeAttack error+6.9%

    Attack error by Mylee Blake

    Set 4 · E WASH 19-17 MONT · E WASH 75% → 82%

  2. 02
    Aspyn ReedKill+6.7%

    Kill by Aspyn Reed (set by Jailyn Davenport)

    Set 4 · E WASH 18-17 MONT · E WASH 68% → 75%

  3. 03
    Judith BolomboyBlock+6.4%

    Kaylee Paulson stuffed by Judith Bolomboy

    Set 4 · E WASH 20-17 MONT · E WASH 82% → 88%

  4. 04

    Alex Stone stuffed by Judith Bolomboy & Jailyn Davenport

    Set 4 · E WASH 17-17 MONT · E WASH 62% → 68%

  5. 05
    Bria CarlisleAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Bria Carlisle

    Set 4 · E WASH 15-16 MONT · MONT 31% → 36%

  6. 06
    Mylee BlakeKill+5.4%

    Kill by Mylee Blake (set by Gracie Cagle)

    Set 4 · E WASH 15-17 MONT · MONT 36% → 42%

  7. 07
    Josie BlazinaAttack error+5.4%

    Attack error by Josie Blazina

    Set 4 · E WASH 14-13 MONT · E WASH 68% → 73%

  8. 08
    Kaylee PaulsonAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Kaylee Paulson

    Set 4 · E WASH 21-17 MONT · E WASH 88% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422862.226400211010.522.5
43513-.15400200233.56.5
45111.3643501210031.56.5
4229.00000000254.56.5
4003.000020210002
4013-.3330001040000
416745.20020151010.516.5
46221.19000140031.57.5
4000–9111610001
Team totals5426167.16850367984161292
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412945.067000101111.513.5
44310.1003072130010.511.5
45112.33300020111.56.5
43526-.077000101225
44525-.0403031220004
3217.143000100002
4000–3112800001
4001.0004001000000
38218.33300030010.58.5
2005.000000000000
13111.182000000003
Team totals4127160.087408680336681

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Eastern Wash. vs Montana

Season series · Eastern Wash. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 E WASH · MONT 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 E WASHMONT 7

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 6 E WASHMONT 3

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 E WASHMONT 3

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 7 E WASHMONT 3

Bars above the line = Montana leads, below = Eastern Wash. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Eastern Wash.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%8/21
63%10/16
2
53%8/15
56%10/18
3
53%8/15
50%8/16
4
57%8/14
38%5/13
5
55%6/11
53%8/15
6
83%5/6
62%8/13
All
52%43/82
54%49/91

Montana

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
65%11/17
2
42%8/19
33%4/12
3
47%8/17
53%9/17
4
50%8/16
38%5/13
5
46%6/13
42%5/12
6
40%4/10
45%5/11
All
46%42/91
48%39/82

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#E WASH-MONTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MONTMONT×3AceMontanaaced Carlyn Rapozo-Kamoku+2.2
20-2MONTMONT×3KillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+2.1
30-3MONTMONT×3Attack errKalista Lukovich+2.0
41-3MONTE WASHBad setSophia Vella+1.5
51-4E WASHMONTKillGracie Cagleset Delaney Russell+1.6
61-5MONTMONTKillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle+1.8
72-5MONTE WASHAttack errDelaney Russell+1.4
82-6E WASHMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+1.5
92-7MONTMONTKillSophia Vellaset Gracie Cagle+1.6
103-7MONTE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Elle Bruegman+1.2
113-8E WASHMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+1.3
124-8MONTE WASH×3KillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+1.2
135-8E WASHE WASH×3KillJailyn Davenportset Elle Bruegman+1.8
146-8E WASHE WASH×3KillAspyn Reedset Elle Bruegman+2.1
156-9E WASHMONTServe errEastern Wash.+1.8
167-9MONTE WASH×3Serve errMontana+1.7
178-9E WASHE WASH×3BlockedKaylee Paulsonblk Jailyn Davenport, Judith Bolomboy+2.4
189-9E WASHE WASH×3KillAspyn Reedset Judith Bolomboy+2.7
199-10E WASHMONTKillSydney Pierceset Gracie Cagle+2.2
209-11MONTMONTKillGracie Cagleset Delaney Russell+2.7
2110-11MONTE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.1
2210-12E WASHMONT×7KillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+2.2
2310-13MONTMONT×7AceMontanaaced Carlyn Rapozo-Kamoku+2.5
2410-14MONTMONT×7Attack errKalista Lukovich+2.2
2510-15MONTMONT×7BlockedJudith Bolomboyblk Kaylee Paulson+1.8
2610-16MONTMONT×7AceMontanaaced Elle Bruegman+1.4
2710-17MONTMONT×7AceMontanaaced Carlyn Rapozo-Kamoku+1.0
2810-18MONTMONT×7AceMontanaaced Reese Betschart+0.6
2911-18MONTE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.3
3011-19E WASHMONTServe errEastern Wash.+0.5
3112-19MONTE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.3
3213-19E WASHE WASH×3Attack errSophia Vella+0.5
3314-19E WASHE WASH×3KillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+0.8
3414-20E WASHMONT×4KillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+1.0
3514-21MONTMONT×4KillKaylee Paulsonset Delaney Russell+0.7
3614-22MONTMONT×4KillSydney Pierceset Gracie Cagle+0.3
3714-23MONTMONT×4Attack errSidney Gray+0.1
3815-23MONTE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport·
3915-24E WASHMONTAttack errAspyn Reed+0.1
4016-24MONTE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport·
4117-24E WASHE WASHAceEastern Wash.aced Delaney Russell·
4217-25E WASHMONTKillSydney Pierceset Annika Wright·
Set 2
11-0E WASHE WASH×3Attack errKaylee Paulson+2.0
22-0E WASHE WASH×3Attack errJosie Blazina+2.1
33-0E WASHE WASH×3KillBria Carlisleset Kalista Lukovich+2.1
43-1E WASHMONTAttack errKalista Lukovich+1.5
53-2MONTMONTAceMontanaaced Kalista Lukovich+2.0
64-2MONTE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+1.7
74-3E WASHMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+1.6
85-3MONTE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.8
95-4E WASHMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+1.7
106-4MONTE WASH×3KillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+1.8
117-4E WASHE WASH×3KillJudith Bolomboy+2.2
128-4E WASHE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.2
138-5E WASHMONTServe errEastern Wash.+1.5
148-6MONTMONTAttack errJudith Bolomboy+2.1
159-6MONTE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+1.9
169-7E WASHMONT×3Serve errEastern Wash.+1.7
179-8MONTMONT×3KillGracie Cagle+2.3
189-9MONTMONT×3BlockedKalista Lukovichblk Sydney Pierce+2.4
1910-9MONTE WASHServe errMontana+2.0
2010-10E WASHMONTAttack errAspyn Reed+2.0
2111-10MONTE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.1
2211-11E WASHMONTAttack errKalista Lukovich+2.0
2312-11MONTE WASH×6KillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+2.2
2413-11E WASHE WASH×6KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.8
2514-11E WASHE WASH×6Attack errDelaney Russell+2.7
2615-11E WASHE WASH×6Attack errDelaney Russell+2.5
2716-11E WASHE WASH×6KillAspyn Reedset Elle Bruegman+2.2
2817-11E WASHE WASH×6BlockedGracie Cagleblk Judith Bolomboy+1.7
2917-12E WASHMONTBlockedAspyn Reedblk Josie Blazina, Kaylee Paulson+1.0
3017-13MONTMONTAttack errKalista Lukovich+1.6
3118-13MONTE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.8
3218-14E WASHMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+1.3
3318-15MONTMONTAttack errAspyn Reed+2.1
3419-15MONTE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.2
3519-16E WASHMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+1.6
3619-17MONTMONTAttack errJailyn Davenport+2.7
3720-17MONTE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.8
3821-17E WASHE WASHAttack errDelaney Russell+2.9
3921-18E WASHMONTAttack errAspyn Reed+1.5
4021-19MONTMONTAttack errSidney Gray+2.7
4122-19MONTE WASH×4Serve errMontana+3.2
4223-19E WASHE WASH×4Attack errGracie Cagle+2.8
4324-19E WASHE WASH×4KillKalista Lukovichset Elle Bruegman+1.4
4425-19E WASHE WASH×4BlockedKaylee Paulsonblk Sidney Gray, Bria Carlisle+0.4
Set 3
11-0MONTE WASHServe errMontana+2.5
21-1E WASHMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+2.4
31-2MONTMONTAttack errBria Carlisle+3.0
42-2MONTE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.5
52-3E WASHMONTServe errEastern Wash.+2.5
63-3MONTE WASHKillJailyn Davenportset Kalista Lukovich+2.6
74-3E WASHE WASHBlockedDelaney Russellblk Judith Bolomboy, Jailyn Davenport+3.4
84-4E WASHMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+2.6
95-4MONTE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.8
106-4E WASHE WASHBlockedSydney Pierceblk Kalista Lukovich, Sidney Gray+3.5
116-5E WASHMONTKillDelaney Russellset Madeline Sanderson+2.7
126-6MONTMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+3.5
137-6MONTE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.9
147-7E WASHMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+2.8
158-7MONTE WASH×4BlockedJosie Blazinablk Sidney Gray+3.0
169-7E WASHE WASH×4BlockedJosie Blazinablk Aspyn Reed, Sidney Gray+3.9
1710-7E WASHE WASH×4BlockedKaylee Paulsonblk Sidney Gray, Bria Carlisle+3.8
1811-7E WASHE WASH×4BlockedJosie Blazinablk Sidney Gray+3.6
1911-8E WASHMONT×3KillGracie Cagleset Annika Wright+2.5
2011-9MONTMONT×3BlockedAspyn Reedblk Josie Blazina+3.5
2111-10MONTMONT×3KillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+3.8
2212-10MONTE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+3.4
2313-10E WASHE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Elle Bruegman+4.2
2413-11E WASHMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+2.9
2514-11MONTE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+3.5
2614-12E WASHMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+3.0
2715-12MONTE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+3.6
2816-12E WASHE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Sydney Pierce+4.1
2917-12E WASHE WASH×3Attack errMylee Blake+3.5
3017-13E WASHMONT×3KillSydney Pierceset Gracie Cagle+2.0
3117-14MONTMONT×3Attack errJudith Bolomboy+3.3
3217-15MONTMONT×3Attack errCarlyn Rapozo-Kamoku+4.1
3318-15MONTE WASH×3KillJailyn Davenportset Elle Bruegman+4.1
3419-15E WASHE WASH×3AceEastern Wash.aced Delaney Russell+4.4
3520-15E WASHE WASH×3AceEastern Wash.aced Kaylee Paulson+3.4
3620-16E WASHMONTAttack errKalista Lukovich+1.7
3721-16MONTE WASH×4KillKalista Lukovichset Aspyn Reed+2.7
3822-16E WASHE WASH×4Attack errKaylee Paulson+2.0
3923-16E WASHE WASH×4KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.0
4024-16E WASHE WASH×4Attack errKaylee Paulson+0.3
4124-17E WASHMONTServe errEastern Wash.·
4225-17MONTE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.1
Set 4
11-0E WASHE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+3.6
22-0E WASHE WASHBlockedKaylee Paulsonblk Sidney Gray, Bria Carlisle+3.7
32-1E WASHMONTAttack errAspyn Reed+2.8
42-2MONTMONTAceMontanaaced Aspyn Reed+3.6
53-2MONTE WASH×5Serve errMontana+3.1
64-2E WASHE WASH×5KillAspyn Reedset Elle Bruegman+3.9
75-2E WASHE WASH×5KillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+3.9
86-2E WASHE WASH×5KillAspyn Reedset Kalista Lukovich+3.8
97-2E WASHE WASH×5KillAspyn Reedset Elle Bruegman+3.6
107-3E WASHMONT×3Attack errJudith Bolomboy+2.4
117-4MONTMONT×3KillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+3.4
127-5MONTMONT×3KillAlex Stoneset Madeline Sanderson+3.7
138-5MONTE WASHKillJailyn Davenportset Aspyn Reed+3.4
148-6E WASHMONT×3BlockedJudith Bolomboyblk Josie Blazina, Mylee Blake+3.0
158-7MONTMONT×3KillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+4.1
168-8MONTMONT×3AceMontanaaced Carlyn Rapozo-Kamoku+4.2
179-8MONTE WASHServe errMontana+3.6
189-9E WASHMONTKillAlex Stoneset Gracie Cagle+3.5
199-10MONTMONTBlockedKalista Lukovichblk Gracie Cagle, Sydney Pierce+4.4
2010-10MONTE WASHKillJailyn Davenportset Kalista Lukovich+3.6
2110-11E WASHMONTKillSydney Pierceset Gracie Cagle+3.6
2210-12MONTMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Madeline Sanderson+4.4
2311-12MONTE WASHKillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+3.4
2411-13E WASHMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Annika Wright+3.6
2512-13MONTE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+3.5
2613-13E WASHE WASH×3Attack errGracie Cagle+4.9
2714-13E WASHE WASH×3Attack errJosie Blazina+5.4
2814-14E WASHMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Annika Wright+4.2
2915-14MONTE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+4.5
3015-15E WASHMONT×3KillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+4.4
3115-16MONTMONT×3Attack errBria Carlisle+5.6
3215-17MONTMONT×3KillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+5.4
3316-17MONTE WASH×7KillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+4.1
3417-17E WASHE WASH×7BlockedAlex Stoneblk Judith Bolomboy, Jailyn Davenport+6.0
3518-17E WASHE WASH×7KillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+6.7
3619-17E WASHE WASH×7Attack errMylee Blake+6.9
3720-17E WASHE WASH×7BlockedKaylee Paulsonblk Judith Bolomboy+6.4
3821-17E WASHE WASH×7Attack errKaylee Paulson+5.2
3922-17E WASHE WASH×7Bad setMylee Blake+3.6
4022-18E WASHMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+1.5
4123-18MONTE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.6
4223-19E WASHMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+1.1
4323-20MONTMONTKillAlex Stoneset Gracie Cagle+2.5
4424-20MONTE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+3.7
4525-20E WASHE WASHKillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+1.6

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Wash. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).