FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on NEC Front Row

Central Conn. St. def. Le Moyne 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Central Conn. St. 96.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Central Conn. St. beat visiting Le Moyne 3-0 (25-22, 25-13, 25-15) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Central Conn. St.'s Breanna Ginley led with 9 kills, and Anja Milosevic added 15 digs.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set123Sets
LEMOYN2213150
C CONN2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Central Conn. St. held Le Moyne to -.012 hitting.

Win probability never moved more than 1.6 points on one rally; Le Moyne topped out at 7% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Central Conn. St. at 96%.

Le MoyneCentral Conn. St.
  • Break %+22.6 pts
    30.853.4

    Points won on own serve: 39 of 73 vs 16 of 52. Le Moyne sided out 46.6% of the time.

  • Hitting+.292
    -.012.280

    40 kills, 14 errors vs 16 kills, 17 errors.

  • Longest run+-1
    65

    Up 20–13 in the second set, Central Conn. St. scored 5 straight to make it 25–13. The set finished 25–13.

Central Conn. St. above 50Le Moyne belowMax swing 1.6%

Le MoyneCentral Conn. St.

Aces
Le Moyne 4·Central Conn. St. 9
Serve err
Le Moyne 7·Central Conn. St. 15
Blocks
Le Moyne 3·Central Conn. St. 61 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Le Moyne 35·Central Conn. St. 47

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Central Conn. St. above 50 · Le Moyne below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.6% LEMOYNrally 125 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.6% to Le Moyne — set 1, LEMOYN 21-21 C CONN. Kill by Gabriella Schemidt (set by Katie Barbour). C CONN win probability 96% → 94%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LEMOYN 3.4%96.6% C CONN

Le Moyne wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
0.9%
3-2
2.1%

Central Conn. St. wins

3-0
60.6%
3-1
27.9%
3-2
8.0%
LEMOYN break %
38.2% vs this opp
C CONN break %
52.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Gabriella Schemidt (set by Katie Barbour)

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 21-21 C CONN · LEMOYN 4% → 6%

  2. 02
    Gabriella SchemidtAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Gabriella Schemidt

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 21-23 C CONN · C CONN 96% → 97%

  3. 03
    Katie BarbourService error+1.4%

    Service error by Katie Barbour

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 21-22 C CONN · C CONN 94% → 96%

  4. 04
    Hanley SchmidtAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Hanley Schmidt

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 18-17 C CONN · LEMOYN 5% → 7%

  5. 05
    Nina SalasService error+1.3%

    Service error by Nina Salas

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 22-24 C CONN · C CONN 96% → 97%

  6. 06

    Ace by Skylar Jehlen

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 16-15 C CONN · LEMOYN 5% → 6%

  7. 07

    Kill by Hanley Schmidt (set by Aubrey Kimball)

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 18-19 C CONN · C CONN 94% → 96%

  8. 08

    Branwyn Lupton stuffed by Adele Macer & Olivia Keckler

    Set 1 · LEMOYN 19-21 C CONN · C CONN 96% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
33312.000000001225
3338.000000200003
3109.111601500212
31312-.167000210001
3104.250000000001
22210.000021320004
34316.063000500004
3024-.500720200002
3000–001750000
3000–102700000
3000–000000000
1107.143001210001
1011-1.000000000000
1000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals161783-.012144735914350
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38224.25001461031.510.5
39217.4120001002110
3609.66710000132.58.5
37317.23510040010.57.5
31011.0002830150010.54.5
3000–011300001
38622.091100100008
3000–023200002
3001.000213410001
3000–4141000001
1112.000000100001
Team totals401493.28037915474110675

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Le Moyne vs Central Conn. St.

Season series · Central Conn. St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 LEMOYN · C CONN 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 6 LEMOYNC CONN 4

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 2 LEMOYNC CONN 5

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 4 LEMOYNC CONN 4

Bars above the line = Central Conn. St. leads, below = Le Moyne leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Le Moyne

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
33%3/9
2
75%6/8
42%5/12
3
60%6/10
14%1/7
4
43%6/14
45%5/11
5
29%5/17
25%2/8
6
36%4/11
0%0/5
All
47%34/73
31%16/52

Central Conn. St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
55%6/11
2
54%7/13
42%5/12
3
100%6/6
45%5/11
4
50%6/12
40%4/10
5
83%5/6
69%11/16
6
83%5/6
62%8/13
All
69%36/52
53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#LEMOYN-C CONNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LEMOYNC CONNKillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic+0.3
20-2C CONNC CONNAceGabriella Burdieraced Aubrey Kimball+0.4
31-2C CONNLEMOYN×6Serve errGabriella Burdier+0.3
42-2LEMOYNLEMOYN×6AceNina Salasaced Olivia Keckler+0.5
53-2LEMOYNLEMOYN×6AceNina Salas+0.6
64-2LEMOYNLEMOYN×6Attack errBreanna Ginley+0.7
75-2LEMOYNLEMOYN×6Attack errMadison Fulgencio+0.8
86-2LEMOYNLEMOYN×6Attack errMadison Fulgencio+0.9
96-3LEMOYNC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Gabriella Burdier+0.6
107-3C CONNLEMOYNKillNina Salasset Katie Barbour+0.8
117-4LEMOYNC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+0.6
128-4C CONNLEMOYNAttack errHanley Schmidt+0.8
138-5LEMOYNC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+0.6
148-6C CONNC CONNAceDanielle Caligiuriaced Aubrey Kimball+0.8
159-6C CONNLEMOYNServe errDanielle Caligiuri+0.8
169-7LEMOYNC CONN×4KillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic+0.7
179-8C CONNC CONN×4BlockedNina Salasblk Madison Fulgencio, Adele Macer+0.8
189-9C CONNC CONN×4AceAnja Milosevicaced Nina Salas+0.7
199-10C CONNC CONN×4AceAnja Milosevicaced Aubrey Kimball+0.6
2010-10C CONNLEMOYNKillBranwyn Luptonset Skylar Jehlen+0.6
2110-11LEMOYNC CONNAttack errSkylar Jehlen+0.5
2211-11C CONNLEMOYNKillBranwyn Luptonset Skylar Jehlen+0.6
2312-11LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errOlivia Keckler+0.9
2412-12LEMOYNC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.7
2513-12C CONNLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Katie Barbour+0.8
2613-13LEMOYNC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+0.7
2713-14C CONNC CONNBlockedGabriella Schemidtblk Breanna Ginley, Olivia Keckler+0.8
2814-14C CONNLEMOYNServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.7
2914-15LEMOYNC CONNServe errAubrey Kimball+0.7
3015-15C CONNLEMOYNServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.8
3116-15LEMOYNLEMOYNAceSkylar Jehlen+1.2
3216-16LEMOYNC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+0.9
3316-17C CONNC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+1.0
3417-17C CONNLEMOYNServe errDanielle Caligiuri+0.9
3518-17LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errHanley Schmidt+1.4
3618-18LEMOYNC CONNServe errCami Zajac+1.0
3718-19C CONNC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Aubrey Kimball+1.2
3819-19C CONNLEMOYNAttack errHanley Schmidt+1.1
3919-20LEMOYNC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+1.1
4019-21C CONNC CONNBlockedBranwyn Luptonblk Adele Macer, Olivia Keckler+1.1
4120-21C CONNLEMOYNKillNina Salasset Skylar Jehlen+0.9
4221-21LEMOYNLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Katie Barbour+1.6
4321-22LEMOYNC CONNServe errKatie Barbour+1.4
4421-23C CONNC CONNAttack errGabriella Schemidt+1.4
4522-23C CONNLEMOYNServe errGabriella Burdier+0.9
4622-24LEMOYNC CONNServe errNina Salas+1.3
4722-25C CONNC CONNAttack errJazmin Rodriguez+0.8
Set 2
10-1C CONNC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Gabriella Burdier+0.3
21-1C CONNLEMOYNServe errMeg Berkland+0.3
31-2LEMOYNC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.2
42-2C CONNLEMOYNServe errGabriella Burdier+0.3
53-2LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errMadison Fulgencio+0.4
63-3LEMOYNC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+0.3
73-4C CONNC CONNAceAnnabelle Denommeaced Jazmin Rodriguez+0.3
84-4C CONNLEMOYNServe errAnnabelle Denomme+0.3
94-5LEMOYNC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+0.3
105-5C CONNLEMOYNServe errOlivia Keckler+0.3
116-5LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errHanley Schmidt+0.4
126-6LEMOYNC CONN×3KillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+0.3
136-7C CONNC CONN×3Attack errAlise Evans+0.3
146-8C CONNC CONN×3KillHanley Schmidtset Adele Macer+0.3
157-8C CONNLEMOYNServe errDanielle Caligiuri+0.3
167-9LEMOYNC CONN×3Attack errBranwyn Lupton+0.3
177-10C CONNC CONN×3AceAnja Milosevicaced Nina Salas+0.3
187-11C CONNC CONN×3KillHanley Schmidtset Skylar Jehlen+0.2
198-11C CONNLEMOYNKillBranwyn Luptonset Skylar Jehlen+0.2
209-11LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errHanley Schmidt+0.3
219-12LEMOYNC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+0.2
2210-12C CONNLEMOYNKillEiley Schneiderset Katie Barbour+0.2
2310-13LEMOYNC CONNAttack errNina Salas+0.2
2411-13C CONNLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Katie Barbour+0.3
2511-14LEMOYNC CONN×3KillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+0.3
2611-15C CONNC CONN×3KillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+0.2
2711-16C CONNC CONN×3KillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+0.2
2812-16C CONNLEMOYNKillJazmin Rodriguezset Katie Barbour+0.1
2912-17LEMOYNC CONN×4KillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.1
3012-18C CONNC CONN×4AceOlivia Keckleraced Aubrey Kimball+0.1
3112-19C CONNC CONN×4KillAnja Milosevicset Branwyn Lupton+0.1
3212-20C CONNC CONN×4Attack errJazmin Rodriguez·
3313-20C CONNLEMOYNServe errOlivia Keckler·
3413-21LEMOYNC CONN×5Serve errPiper Hooey·
3513-22C CONNC CONN×5KillHanley Schmidtset Annabelle Denomme·
3613-23C CONNC CONN×5KillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic·
3713-24C CONNC CONN×5Attack errAmani Learry·
3813-25C CONNC CONN×5AceDanielle Caligiuriaced Aubrey Kimball·
Set 3
10-1LEMOYNC CONN×3KillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.1
20-2C CONNC CONN×3Bad setKatie Barbour+0.1
30-3C CONNC CONN×3KillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+0.1
41-3C CONNLEMOYNKillAvery Strombergset Cami Zajac+0.1
51-4LEMOYNC CONNBlockedGabriella Schemidtblk Breanna Ginley, Olivia Keckler+0.1
62-4C CONNLEMOYNServe errAnnabelle Denomme+0.1
72-5LEMOYNC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+0.1
82-6C CONNC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Gabriella Burdier+0.1
93-6C CONNLEMOYN×4KillBranwyn Luptonset Katie Barbour+0.1
104-6LEMOYNLEMOYN×4BlockedHanley Schmidtblk Alise Evans, Katie Barbour+0.1
115-6LEMOYNLEMOYN×4BlockedBreanna Ginleyblk Alise Evans+0.1
126-6LEMOYNLEMOYN×4AceSkylar Jehlenaced Annabelle Denomme+0.2
136-7LEMOYNC CONN×3Attack errAlise Evans+0.1
146-8C CONNC CONN×3Attack errBranwyn Lupton+0.1
156-9C CONNC CONN×3BlockedAlise Evansblk Anja Milosevic, Adele Macer+0.1
167-9C CONNLEMOYNKillAlise Evansset Skylar Jehlen+0.1
177-10LEMOYNC CONN×3BlockedSkylar Jehlenblk Adele Macer+0.1
187-11C CONNC CONN×3KillOlivia Kecklerset Hanley Schmidt+0.1
197-12C CONNC CONN×3KillMadison Fulgencio+0.1
208-12C CONNLEMOYNKillAlise Evansset Skylar Jehlen+0.1
218-13LEMOYNC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Madison Fulgencio+0.1
228-14C CONNC CONNAceMeg Berklandaced Avery Stromberg+0.1
239-14C CONNLEMOYNAttack errOlivia Keckler·
249-15LEMOYNC CONNKillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic·
259-16C CONNC CONNAttack errJazmin Rodriguez·
2610-16C CONNLEMOYNServe errGabriella Burdier·
2710-17LEMOYNC CONNServe errAvery Stromberg·
2811-17C CONNLEMOYNKillKatie Barbourset Katie Barbour·
2911-18LEMOYNC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic·
3012-18C CONNLEMOYNServe errOlivia Keckler·
3113-18LEMOYNLEMOYNBlockedAubrey Stitcherblk Katie Barbour, Alise Evans·
3213-19LEMOYNC CONNBad setKatie Barbour·
3313-20C CONNC CONNKillAubrey Stitcherset Anja Milosevic·
3414-20C CONNLEMOYNBad setAnja Milosevic·
3514-21LEMOYNC CONNServe errCami Zajac·
3615-21C CONNLEMOYNKillAlise Evansset Skylar Jehlen·
3715-22LEMOYNC CONN×4KillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic·
3815-23C CONNC CONN×4KillAdele Macerset Anja Milosevic·
3915-24C CONNC CONN×4KillMadison Fulgencio·
4015-25C CONNC CONN×4KillMadison Fulgencioset Gabriella Burdier·

Score shown after each rally, Le Moyne first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).