Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Weber St. def. Montana 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Weber St. 70.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 2:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Weber St. won at Montana 3-2 (23-25, 25-23, 21-25, 25-14, 15-13) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Weber St.'s Rose Moore led with 24 kills, and Marly Pratt added 30 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set12345Sets
WEB ST23252125153
MONT25232514132

Match story · written from the play-by-play

30 digs from Marly Pratt kept Weber St. alive against Montana.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Weber St.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Weber St. at 71%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Weber St. 4–4 Montana

    Weber St. scored 10 straight to go from 4–4 to a 14–4 lead. The match swung to Weber St.

    Weber St. 37% → 59%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Weber St. 0–0 Montana

    Montana opened the set with 6 straight points for a 6–0 lead. The match swung to Montana.

    Weber St. 60% → 12%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Weber St. 0–6 Montana

    From here Weber St. won 15 of 22 rallies to take the set 15–13, and with it the match.

    Weber St. 12% → >99%

Montana above 50Weber St. belowMax swing 18.1%

Weber St.Montana

Sideout %
Weber St. 67.3·Montana 62.0
Break %
Weber St. 38.0·Montana 32.7
Hitting
Weber St. .246·Montana .191
Longest run
Weber St. 10·Montana 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Montana above 50 · Weber St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+18.1% WEB STrally 209 · set 5

Biggest swing: 18.1% to Weber St. — set 5, WEB ST 15-13 MONT. Kill by Lexie Carlson (set by Morgan Pratt). MONT win probability 18% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WEB ST 71.8%28.2% MONT

Weber St. wins

3-0
24.5%
3-1
27.5%
3-2
19.7%

Montana wins

3-0
5.2%
3-1
9.8%
3-2
13.2%
WEB ST break %
45.2% vs this opp
MONT break %
40.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lexie CarlsonKill+18.1%

    Kill by Lexie Carlson (set by Morgan Pratt)

    Set 5 · WEB ST 15-13 MONT · WEB ST 82% → 100%

  2. 02
    Maggie LarsenAce+13.4%

    Ace by Maggie Larsen on Madeline Sanderson

    Set 5 · WEB ST 12-10 MONT · WEB ST 69% → 82%

  3. 03
    Mylee BlakeAttack error+13.0%

    Attack error by Mylee Blake

    Set 5 · WEB ST 10-9 MONT · WEB ST 55% → 68%

  4. 04
    Mylee BlakeAttack error+12.4%

    Attack error by Mylee Blake

    Set 5 · WEB ST 9-9 MONT · WEB ST 43% → 55%

  5. 05
    Delaney RussellAttack error+12.0%

    Attack error by Delaney Russell

    Set 5 · WEB ST 13-11 MONT · WEB ST 73% → 85%

  6. 06
    MontanaService error+11.4%

    Montana service error

    Set 5 · WEB ST 11-10 MONT · WEB ST 57% → 69%

  7. 07
    Mylee BlakeKill+10.6%

    Kill by Mylee Blake (set by Annika Wright)

    Set 5 · WEB ST 10-10 MONT · MONT 32% → 43%

  8. 08
    Lexie CarlsonKill+10.5%

    Kill by Lexie Carlson (set by Morgan Pratt)

    Set 5 · WEB ST 14-11 MONT · WEB ST 85% → 96%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
524846.348012110031.526.5
522866.2120006200022
510219.4210019004212
53010.30000030010.53.5
5114.00048121300213
45028.179012500217
5000–5103000001
5000–0011010000
5000–1000600000
5000–100300000
3002.000000100211
22212.000001300002
2000–000000000
Team totals6721187.246644910060147109
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516948.14611411010118
515858.12121027100016
513330.3330003002114
59227.259291112010111
54012.33302150010.56.5
54221.09500010010.54.5
5102.5002602700001
5000–3102130001
2000–000000000
2000–000200000
1106.167001200001
Team totals6324204.1916169914244100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 10 WEB ST · MONT 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 2 WEB STMONT 2

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 3 WEB STMONT 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 WEB STMONT 4

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 10 WEB STMONT 2

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 4 WEB STMONT 6

Bars above the line = Montana leads, below = Weber St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Weber St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%7/15
44%4/9
2
67%6/9
33%3/9
3
75%6/8
0%0/6
4
67%6/9
70%14/20
5
100%6/6
45%5/11
6
67%4/6
29%2/7
All
66%35/53
45%28/62

Montana

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
57%8/14
2
86%6/7
25%2/8
3
55%6/11
33%3/9
4
33%6/18
14%1/7
5
67%6/9
25%2/8
6
50%4/8
29%2/7
All
55%34/62
34%18/53

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

209 rallies

#WEB ST-MONTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MONTMONTAttack errAddison Eastwood+2.1
21-1MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+1.6
31-2WEB STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+1.8
41-3MONTMONTKillMylee Blake+2.3
52-3MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+1.7
62-4WEB STMONTKillAlex Stoneset Gracie Cagle+1.9
72-5MONTMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+2.4
83-5MONTWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+1.7
93-6WEB STMONTKillAlex Stoneset Gracie Cagle+2.0
104-6MONTWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+1.8
115-6WEB STWEB STAttack errMylee Blake+2.3
125-7WEB STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Annika Wright+2.1
136-7MONTWEB STServe errMontana+1.9
146-8WEB STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Annika Wright+2.1
156-9MONTMONTAceMontanaaced Lexie Carlson+2.6
167-9MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+1.9
178-9WEB STWEB STAttack errDelaney Russell+2.5
188-10WEB STMONTKillSydney Pierceset Annika Wright+2.2
199-10MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+2.1
2010-10WEB STWEB STAttack errAlex Stone+2.7
2110-11WEB STMONTServe errAddison Eastwood+2.3
2210-12MONTMONTAceMontana+3.0
2311-12MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.2
2411-13WEB STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+2.5
2512-13MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.3
2613-13WEB STWEB STAttack errDelaney Russell+3.0
2713-14WEB STMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Gracie Cagle+2.6
2814-14MONTWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+2.5
2914-15WEB STMONTBlockedRose Mooreblk Mylee Blake+2.7
3015-15MONTWEB STServe errMontana+2.6
3115-16WEB STMONTServe errMaggie Larsen+2.9
3215-17MONTMONTAttack errLexie Carlson+3.7
3316-17MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+2.6
3417-17WEB STWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+3.7
3517-18WEB STMONTKillGracie Cagleset Annika Wright+3.2
3618-18MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+3.1
3718-19WEB STMONTKillGracie Cagleset Mylee Blake+3.5
3819-19MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+3.3
3919-20WEB STMONTServe errKatelynn Albano+3.8
4019-21MONTMONTAceMontanaaced Katelynn Albano+4.9
4120-21MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+3.3
4221-21WEB STWEB STAttack errDelaney Russell+5.1
4321-22WEB STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Delaney Russell+4.8
4421-23MONTMONTKillMylee Blakeset Annika Wright+6.2
4522-23MONTWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+3.6
4622-24WEB STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Annika Wright+6.0
4723-24MONTWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+3.4
4823-25WEB STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Annika Wright+8.1
Set 2
10-1WEB STMONTAttack errLexie Carlson+2.2
21-1MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.1
31-2WEB STMONTKillAlex Stoneset Madeline Sanderson+2.3
42-2MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.2
52-3WEB STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+2.3
63-3MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.2
74-3WEB STWEB STBlockedMylee Blakeblk Addison Eastwood, Ziya Munyer+2.8
84-4WEB STMONTServe errWeber St.+2.3
95-4MONTWEB STKillHailey Spencerset Addison Eastwood+2.2
105-5WEB STMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Annika Wright+2.3
116-5MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+2.3
127-5WEB STWEB STAttack errJosie Blazina+2.8
137-6WEB STMONTServe errWeber St.+2.2
147-7MONTMONTKillGracie Cagleset Annika Wright+3.1
158-7MONTWEB STAttack errDelaney Russell+2.4
168-8WEB STMONTKillSydney Pierceset Annika Wright+2.5
179-8MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+2.5
189-9WEB STMONTAttack errRose Moore+2.6
1910-9MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.6
2010-10WEB STMONTAttack errHailey Spencer+2.7
2111-10MONTWEB STBad setSydney Pierce+2.7
2211-11WEB STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+2.8
2312-11MONTWEB STServe errMontana+2.8
2413-11WEB STWEB STKillZiya Munyer+3.4
2513-12WEB STMONTServe errHailey Spencer+2.6
2614-12MONTWEB STServe errMontana+2.8
2714-13WEB STMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Annika Wright+2.7
2815-13MONTWEB ST×3KillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+2.9
2916-13WEB STWEB ST×3KillRose Mooreset Marly Pratt+3.2
3017-13WEB STWEB ST×3KillLexie Carlson+2.7
3117-14WEB STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Annika Wright+1.8
3218-14MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.2
3318-15WEB STMONTKillAlex Stoneset Gracie Cagle+1.8
3419-15MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.2
3520-15WEB STWEB STAceMarly Prattaced Madeline Sanderson+2.0
3620-16WEB STMONTKillAlex Stoneset Gracie Cagle+1.1
3721-16MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+1.5
3821-17WEB STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+0.9
3921-18MONTMONTKillMylee Blakeset Annika Wright+2.0
4022-18MONTWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+2.3
4123-18WEB STWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+1.6
4223-19WEB STMONT×4KillMylee Blakeset Annika Wright+0.6
4323-20MONTMONT×4KillGracie Cagleset Annika Wright+1.4
4423-21MONTMONT×4KillDelaney Russellset Annika Wright+2.7
4523-22MONT
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.9
4624-22MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+6.1
4724-23WEB STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+3.7
4825-23MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+7.9
Set 3
10-1MONTMONTKillAlex Stoneset Gracie Cagle+3.0
20-2MONTMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+3.2
31-2MONTWEB STBad setGracie Cagle+2.4
41-3WEB STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+2.6
52-3MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+2.4
63-3WEB STWEB STAceAddison Eastwoodaced Delaney Russell+3.1
73-4WEB STMONT×4Serve errAddison Eastwood+2.6
83-5MONTMONT×4AceMontana+3.4
93-6MONTMONT×4Attack errLexie Carlson+3.5
103-7MONTMONT×4BlockedRose Mooreblk Alex Stone, Josie Blazina+3.4
114-7MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+2.4
124-8WEB STMONT×3KillAlex Stoneset Gracie Cagle+2.8
134-9MONTMONT×3KillMylee Blakeset Madeline Sanderson+3.3
144-10MONTMONT×3KillGracie Cagleset Annika Wright+3.0
155-10MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+1.9
165-11WEB STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Annika Wright+2.4
176-11MONTWEB ST×3KillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+1.9
187-11WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errGracie Cagle+2.8
198-11WEB STWEB ST×3KillHailey Spencerset Addison Eastwood+3.2
208-12WEB STMONT×3BlockedHailey Spencerblk Gracie Cagle+3.1
218-13MONTMONT×3Attack errZiya Munyer+3.5
228-14MONTMONT×3Attack errRose Moore+3.0
239-14MONTWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+1.8
2410-14WEB STWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+2.8
2510-15WEB STMONTKillSydney Pierceset Annika Wright+2.9
2610-16MONTMONTAttack errAddison Eastwood+3.0
2711-16MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+1.7
2811-17WEB STMONTKillAlex Stoneset Gracie Cagle+2.4
2912-17MONTWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+1.6
3012-18WEB STMONTKillAlex Stoneset Gracie Cagle+2.3
3113-18MONTWEB ST×3KillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+1.5
3214-18WEB STWEB ST×3BlockedMylee Blakeblk Rose Moore, Sophia Sparrow+2.6
3315-18WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errDelaney Russell+3.3
3415-19WEB STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+3.6
3516-19MONTWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+2.6
3616-20WEB STMONTAttack errRose Moore+3.7
3717-20MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.5
3817-21WEB STMONTKillJosie Blazinaset Annika Wright+3.8
3918-21MONTWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Morgan Pratt+2.4
4018-22WEB STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Annika Wright+3.8
4119-22MONTWEB STServe errMontana+2.2
4219-23WEB STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+3.7
4320-23MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Reagan Williams+1.7
44–4521-24WEB ST · MONT
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
4621-25WEB STMONTKillAlex Stoneset Gracie Cagle+2.5
Set 4
11-0WEB STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+3.5
21-1WEB STMONTAttack errLexie Carlson+2.9
32-1MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.8
43-1WEB STWEB STBlockedDelaney Russellblk Maggie Larsen, Stacia Barker+3.4
53-2WEB STMONTAttack errRose Moore+2.7
63-3MONTMONTKillAlex Stoneset Madeline Sanderson+3.8
74-3MONTWEB STBlockedMylee Blakeblk Rose Moore, Stacia Barker+3.0
84-4WEB STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+3.1
95-4MONTWEB ST×10Attack errGracie Cagle+3.0
106-4WEB STWEB ST×10KillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+3.7
117-4WEB STWEB ST×10BlockedMylee Blakeblk Ziya Munyer, Addison Eastwood+3.4
128-4WEB STWEB ST×10Attack errAlex Stone+3.0
139-4WEB STWEB ST×10KillAddison Eastwoodset Marly Pratt+2.6
1410-4WEB STWEB ST×10Attack errJosie Blazina+2.1
1511-4WEB STWEB ST×10KillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+1.6
1612-4WEB STWEB ST×10KillMaggie Larsenset Marly Pratt+1.2
1713-4WEB STWEB ST×10AceRose Mooreaced Madeline Sanderson+0.9
1814-4WEB STWEB ST×10KillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+0.6
1914-5WEB STMONTServe errRose Moore+0.3
2014-6MONTMONTAttack errZiya Munyer+0.6
2115-6MONTWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Marly Pratt+0.6
2216-6WEB STWEB STBad setAnnika Wright+0.5
2316-7WEB STMONTKillAnnika Wrightset Delaney Russell+0.2
2417-7MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+0.3
2517-8WEB STMONTKillGracie Cagleset Annika Wright+0.2
2618-8MONTWEB STBad setAnnika Wright+0.3
2718-9WEB STMONTKillGracie Cagleset Annika Wright+0.2
2819-9MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Marly Pratt+0.3
2919-10WEB STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+0.1
3020-10MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+0.2
3120-11WEB STMONTKillKaylee Paulsonset Gracie Cagle+0.1
3221-11MONTWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+0.2
3321-12WEB STMONTKillAlex Stoneset Gracie Cagle+0.1
3421-13MONTMONTKillGracie Cagleset Annika Wright+0.2
3522-13MONTWEB STServe errMontana+0.2
3623-13WEB STWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+0.1
3723-14WEB STMONTServe errMaggie Larsen·
3824-14MONTWEB STServe errMontana·
3925-14WEB STWEB STBad setAnnika Wright+0.8
Set 5
10-1MONTMONT×6AceMontanaaced Lexie Carlson+8.4
20-2MONTMONT×6Attack errLexie Carlson+8.8
30-3MONTMONT×6KillDelaney Russellset Gracie Cagle+8.8
40-4MONTMONT×6KillMylee Blakeset Gracie Cagle+8.3
50-5MONTMONT×6BlockedLexie Carlsonblk Alex Stone, Sydney Pierce+7.4
60-6MONTMONT×6KillSydney Pierceset Gracie Cagle+6.2
71-6MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+3.5
82-6WEB STWEB STAttack errDelaney Russell+5.7
92-7WEB STMONTAttack errRose Moore+6.1
103-7MONTWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+4.4
113-8WEB STMONTAttack errRose Moore+6.1
124-8MONTWEB ST×4KillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+4.2
135-8WEB STWEB ST×4BlockedMylee Blakeblk Rose Moore, Ziya Munyer+7.0
146-8WEB STWEB ST×4BlockedAlex Stoneblk Maggie Larsen, Ziya Munyer+8.7
157-8WEB STWEB ST×4Attack errMylee Blake+10.4
167-9WEB STMONTKillAlex Stoneset Gracie Cagle+10.0
178-9MONTWEB ST×3KillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+8.6
189-9WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errMylee Blake+12.4
1910-9WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errMylee Blake+13.0
2010-10WEB STMONTKillMylee Blakeset Annika Wright+10.6
2111-10MONTWEB STServe errMontana+11.4
2212-10WEB STWEB STAceMaggie Larsenaced Madeline Sanderson+13.4
2312-11WEB STMONTKillGracie Cagleset Annika Wright+8.9
2413-11MONTWEB STAttack errDelaney Russell+12.0
2514-11WEB STWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+10.5
2614-12WEB STMONTKillDelaney Russellset Annika Wright+3.6
2714-13MONTMONTAttack errLexie Carlson+10.5
2815-13MONTWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+18.1

Score shown after each rally, Weber St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).