FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayWCC

0:3

HomePAC-12

Oregon St. def. Seattle U 3–0

(25-10, 25-18, 25-9)

Set	1	2*	3*	Sets
SEATTL	10	18	9	0
ORE ST	25	25	25	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ORE ST above 50 · SEATTL below

Biggest swing: 0.1% to Seattle U — set 2, SEATTL 4-2 ORE ST. Kill by Adee Butler (set by Janae Demant). ORE ST win probability 100% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SEATTL 0.7%99.3% ORE ST

Seattle U wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.5%

Oregon St. wins

3-0

77.4%

3-1

19.0%

3-2

2.9%

SEATTL break %: 36.5% vs this opp
ORE ST break %: 55.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Adee ButlerKill+0.1%
Kill by Adee Butler (set by Janae Demant)
Set 2 · SEATTL 4-2 ORE ST · SEATTL 0% → 1%
02
SEATTL serverAce+0.1%
Seattle U ace on Yasemin Narlioglu
Set 2 · SEATTL 3-2 ORE ST · SEATTL 0% → 0%
03
Ac FroehlichAttack error+0.1%
Ac Froehlich stuffed by Orinayo Olukanmi
Set 2 · SEATTL 5-4 ORE ST · SEATTL 0% → 0%
04
Ac FroehlichKill+0.1%
Kill by Ac Froehlich (set by Isabel Bertelsen)
Set 2 · SEATTL 4-4 ORE ST · ORE ST 100% → 100%
05
SEATTL serverService error+0.1%
Seattle U service error
Set 2 · SEATTL 4-3 ORE ST · ORE ST 99% → 100%
06
Hailey McellrathAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Hailey Mcellrath
Set 1 · SEATTL 0-1 ORE ST · ORE ST 99% → 99%
07
ORE ST serverAce+0.1%
Oregon St. ace on Chloee Leslie
Set 1 · SEATTL 0-2 ORE ST · ORE ST 99% → 99%
08
Adee ButlerKill+0.1%
Kill by Adee Butler (set by Grace Jones)
Set 2 · SEATTL 6-6 ORE ST · SEATTL 0% → 0%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Seattle Uaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Adee ButlerOH	3	6	4	24	.083	0	1	0	2	3	0	0	0	7
13Chloee LeslieOH	3	4	3	21	.048	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0.5	4.5
10Grace JonesS	3	1	0	2	.500	5	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
14Linnaea MooreOH	3	0	2	10	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Taniyah PruittMB	3	0	4	7	-.571	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Hailey McellrathMB	3	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
8Orinayo OlukanmiOH	3	2	0	7	.286	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
4Lexi JonesMB	3	1	0	7	.143	1	0	0	3	0	1	2	2	3
12Janae DemantL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	3	2	10	1	0	0	0	3
1Bella JonesS	3	0	0	3	.000	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
11Tamara UngaOH	3	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Clara GarciaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
2Elaina DuongL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	2	0	0	0	0
9Mikayla LiljenquistS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Teagan MeltonOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Tierney ErvinDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		14	15	85	-.012	13	5	4	30	13	2	4	4	37

Oregon St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Ac FroehlichOH	3	15	5	32	.313	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	15
29Taylor TreahyOH	3	11	1	21	.476	0	0	0	6	1	0	3	1.5	12.5
1Alana MarrsMB	3	6	1	10	.500	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2.5	8.5
8Taray TelaMB	3	7	3	13	.308	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	8
14Jackie MatiasS	3	0	0	2	.000	29	3	0	5	0	0	0	0	3
5Kama GoldsteinDS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	0	9	1	0	0	0	1
4Isabel BertelsenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	8	2	13	0	0	0	0	8
16Beatrice SpadaOPP	3	3	1	11	.182	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
6Bridget GouldOPP	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
15Cheyenne GreenOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
11Yasemin NarliogluL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
13Abby LesagoniczOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
23Aly CoxS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
19Ivana CvetkovicMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	11	93	.333	37	13	7	47	5	2	6	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 SEATTL · ORE ST 10

Set 1

10-25

Longest run 4 SEATTLORE ST 6

Set 2*

18-25

Longest run 4 SEATTLORE ST 5

Set 3*

9-25

Longest run 2 SEATTLORE ST 10

Bars above the line = Oregon St. leads, below = Seattle U leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Seattle U

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	10%1/10	0%0/2
2	20%1/5	0%0/1
3	50%1/2	0%0/1
4	50%1/2	50%1/2
5	50%1/2	0%0/1
6	33%1/3	75%3/4
All	25%6/24	36%4/11

Oregon St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%2/2	67%2/3
2	100%1/1	90%9/10
3	100%1/1	80%4/5
4	50%1/2	50%1/2
5	100%1/1	50%1/2
6	25%1/4	50%1/2
All	64%7/11	75%18/24

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

112 rallies

Rally log

#	SEATTL-ORE ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SEATTL	ORE ST×5	Attack err	Hailey Mcellrath	set Chloee Leslie	+0.1
2	0-2	ORE ST	ORE ST×5	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Chloee Leslie	+0.1
3	0-3	ORE ST	ORE ST×5	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Chloee Leslie	+0.1
4	0-4	ORE ST	ORE ST×5	Ace	ORE ST server	aced TEAM	+0.0
5	0-5	ORE ST	ORE ST×5	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Chloee Leslie	+0.0
6	1-5	ORE ST	SEATTL	Serve err	ORE ST server		+0.0
7	1-6	SEATTL	ORE ST×5	Kill	Taylor Treahy	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
8	1-7	ORE ST	ORE ST×5	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Elaina Duong	+0.0
9	1-8	ORE ST	ORE ST×5	Kill	Ac Froehlich	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
10	1-9	ORE ST	ORE ST×5	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Elaina Duong	+0.0
11	1-10	ORE ST	ORE ST×5	Kill	Taray Tela	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
12	2-10	ORE ST	SEATTL	Attack err	Taray Tela	set Kama Goldstein	+0.0
13	2-11	SEATTL	ORE ST	Kill	Taylor Treahy	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
14	2-12	ORE ST	ORE ST	Attack err	Taniyah Pruitt		+0.0
15	3-12	ORE ST	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.0
16	4-12	SEATTL	SEATTL	Ace	SEATTL server	aced Yasemin Narlioglu	+0.0
17	4-13	SEATTL	ORE ST	Kill	Taray Tela	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
18	4-14	ORE ST	ORE ST	Kill	Taylor Treahy	set Orinayo Olukanmi	+0.0
19	5-14	ORE ST	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Taniyah Pruitt	+0.0
20	5-15	SEATTL	ORE ST	Kill	Taylor Treahy	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
21	5-16	ORE ST	ORE ST	Kill	Alana Marrs		+0.0
22	6-16	ORE ST	SEATTL×4	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Bella Jones	+0.0
23	7-16	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Ace	SEATTL server	aced TEAM	+0.0
24	8-16	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Bella Jones	+0.0
25	9-16	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Adee Butler	set Orinayo Olukanmi	+0.0
26	9-17	SEATTL	ORE ST×3	Kill	Alana Marrs	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
27	9-18	ORE ST	ORE ST×3	Kill	Taylor Treahy	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
28	9-19	ORE ST	ORE ST×3	Kill	Ac Froehlich	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
29	10-19	ORE ST	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Janae Demant	+0.0
30	10-20	SEATTL	ORE ST×6	Kill	Alana Marrs	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
31	10-21	ORE ST	ORE ST×6	Kill	Ac Froehlich		+0.0
32	10-22	ORE ST	ORE ST×6	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Adee Butler	+0.0
33	10-23	ORE ST	ORE ST×6	Kill	Taray Tela	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
34	10-24	ORE ST	ORE ST×6	Attack err	Linnaea Moore		+0.0
35	10-25	ORE ST	ORE ST×6	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Chloee Leslie	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	ORE ST	ORE ST	Kill	Ac Froehlich	set Jackie Matias	+0.1
2	0-2	ORE ST	ORE ST	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Adee Butler	+0.0
3	1-2	ORE ST	SEATTL×4	Attack err	Alana Marrs	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
4	2-2	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Ace	SEATTL server	aced Taylor Treahy	+0.1
5	3-2	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Ace	SEATTL server	aced Yasemin Narlioglu	+0.1
6	4-2	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Adee Butler	set Janae Demant	+0.1
7	4-3	SEATTL	ORE ST	Serve err	SEATTL server		+0.1
8	4-4	ORE ST	ORE ST	Kill	Ac Froehlich	set Isabel Bertelsen	+0.1
9	5-4	ORE ST	SEATTL	Attack err	Ac Froehlich	blk Orinayo Olukanmi	+0.1
10	5-5	SEATTL	ORE ST	Attack err	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+0.1
11	5-6	ORE ST	ORE ST	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Chloee Leslie	+0.1
12	6-6	ORE ST	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+0.1
13	6-7	SEATTL	ORE ST×5	Kill	Ac Froehlich	set Jackie Matias	+0.1
14	6-8	ORE ST	ORE ST×5	Attack err	Chloee Leslie	blk Taylor Treahy, Taray Tela	+0.1
15	6-9	ORE ST	ORE ST×5	Kill	Taray Tela		+0.0
16	6-10	ORE ST	ORE ST×5	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+0.0
17	6-11	ORE ST	ORE ST×5	Kill	Taray Tela	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
18	7-11	ORE ST	SEATTL	Attack err	Taylor Treahy	blk Lexi Jones, Chloee Leslie	+0.0
19	7-12	SEATTL	ORE ST	Kill	Taray Tela	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
20	7-13	ORE ST	ORE ST	Attack err	Taniyah Pruitt	blk Alana Marrs	+0.0
21	8-13	ORE ST	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.0
22	8-14	SEATTL	ORE ST	Kill	Beatrice Spada	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
23	9-14	ORE ST	SEATTL	Serve err	ORE ST server		+0.0
24	9-15	SEATTL	ORE ST	Kill	Beatrice Spada	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
25	9-16	ORE ST	ORE ST	Kill	Alana Marrs	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
26	10-16	ORE ST	SEATTL	Attack err	Ac Froehlich	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
27	11-16	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Ac Froehlich		+0.0
28	11-17	SEATTL	ORE ST	Serve err	SEATTL server		+0.0
29	12-17	ORE ST	SEATTL	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
30	12-18	SEATTL	ORE ST×3	Kill	Ac Froehlich	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
31	12-19	ORE ST	ORE ST×3	Kill	Taray Tela	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
32	12-20	ORE ST	ORE ST×3	Kill	Taylor Treahy	set Isabel Bertelsen	+0.0
33	13-20	ORE ST	SEATTL	Attack err	Ac Froehlich	blk Lexi Jones	+0.0
34	14-20	SEATTL	SEATTL	Ace	SEATTL server	aced Kama Goldstein	+0.0
35	14-21	SEATTL	ORE ST	Kill	Ac Froehlich		+0.0
36	14-22	ORE ST	ORE ST	Attack err	Chloee Leslie	blk Taylor Treahy, Taray Tela	+0.0
37	15-22	ORE ST	SEATTL×4	Serve err	ORE ST server		+0.0
38	16-22	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Attack err	Beatrice Spada		+0.0
39	17-22	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Grace Jones	set Lexi Jones	+0.0
40	18-22	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Attack err	Taray Tela		+0.0
41	18-23	SEATTL	ORE ST×3	Kill	Taylor Treahy	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
42	18-24	ORE ST	ORE ST×3	Kill	Beatrice Spada		+0.0
43	18-25	ORE ST	ORE ST×3	Attack err	Taniyah Pruitt	blk Alana Marrs	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler		+0.0
2	2-0	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Taray Tela		+0.0
3	2-1	SEATTL	ORE ST	Kill	Ac Froehlich	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
4	3-1	ORE ST	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Bella Jones	+0.0
5	4-1	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Taray Tela		+0.1
6	4-2	SEATTL	ORE ST×4	Kill	Taylor Treahy	set Yasemin Narlioglu	+0.0
7	4-3	ORE ST	ORE ST×4	Kill	Taylor Treahy	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
8	4-4	ORE ST	ORE ST×4	Attack err	Taniyah Pruitt		+0.0
9	4-5	ORE ST	ORE ST×4	Attack err	Adee Butler	blk Alana Marrs, Taylor Treahy	+0.0
10	5-5	ORE ST	SEATTL	Serve err	ORE ST server		+0.0
11	5-6	SEATTL	ORE ST×10	Serve err	SEATTL server		+0.0
12	5-7	ORE ST	ORE ST×10	Attack err	Adee Butler		+0.0
13	5-8	ORE ST	ORE ST×10	Attack err	Adee Butler		+0.0
14	5-9	ORE ST	ORE ST×10	Kill	Alana Marrs	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
15	5-10	ORE ST	ORE ST×10	Kill	Taylor Treahy	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
16	5-11	ORE ST	ORE ST×10	Kill	Alana Marrs	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
17	5-12	ORE ST	ORE ST×10	Kill	Ac Froehlich	set Isabel Bertelsen	+0.0
18	5-13	ORE ST	ORE ST×10	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Janae Demant	+0.0
19	5-14	ORE ST	ORE ST×10	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
20	5-15	ORE ST	ORE ST×10	Kill	Ac Froehlich	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
21	6-15	ORE ST	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.0
22	6-16	SEATTL	ORE ST×8	Kill	Ac Froehlich	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
23	6-17	ORE ST	ORE ST×8	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Adee Butler	+0.0
24	6-18	ORE ST	ORE ST×8	Kill	Taylor Treahy	set Jackie Matias	+0.0
25	6-19	ORE ST	ORE ST×8	Attack err	Tamara Unga		+0.0
26	6-20	ORE ST	ORE ST×8	Kill	Ac Froehlich	set Grace Jones	+0.0
27	6-21	ORE ST	ORE ST×8	Kill	Ac Froehlich	set Aly Cox	+0.0
28	6-22	ORE ST	ORE ST×8	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Clara Garcia	+0.0
29	6-23	ORE ST	ORE ST×8	Ball handling	Tamara Unga		+0.0
30	7-23	ORE ST	SEATTL	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Grace Jones	+0.0
31	7-24	SEATTL	ORE ST	Serve err	SEATTL server		+0.0
32	8-24	ORE ST	SEATTL	Serve err	ORE ST server		+0.0
33	9-24	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Ac Froehlich	blk Orinayo Olukanmi, Lexi Jones	+0.0
34	9-25	SEATTL	ORE ST	Kill	Ac Froehlich	set Aly Cox	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Seattle U first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.