FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayPAC-12

0:3

HomeBIG-12

Colorado def. Oregon St. 3–0

(25-18, 25-19, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ORE ST	18	19	24	0
COLO	25	25	26	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

COLO above 50 · ORE ST below

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Oregon St. — set 1, ORE ST 18-18 COLO. Kill by Beatrice Spada (set by Jackie Matias). COLO win probability 88% → 85%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ORE ST 12.9%87.1% COLO

Oregon St. wins

3-0

1.8%

3-1

4.1%

3-2

7.0%

Colorado wins

3-0

39.9%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.6%

ORE ST break %: 40.5% vs this opp
COLO break %: 49.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Beatrice SpadaKill+2.5%
Kill by Beatrice Spada (set by Jackie Matias)
Set 1 · ORE ST 18-18 COLO · ORE ST 12% → 15%
02
COLO serverAce+2.3%
Colorado ace on Cheyenne Green
Set 1 · ORE ST 18-20 COLO · COLO 87% → 89%
03
Cayla PayneAttack error+2.2%
Cayla Payne stuffed by Alana Marrs
Set 3 · ORE ST 24-23 COLO · ORE ST 3% → 5%
04
Jenna YlivainioKill+2.1%
Kill by Jenna Ylivainio (set by Ana Burilovic)
Set 1 · ORE ST 18-19 COLO · COLO 85% → 87%
05
Beatrice SpadaKill+1.9%
Kill by Beatrice Spada (set by Jackie Matias)
Set 1 · ORE ST 17-18 COLO · ORE ST 10% → 12%
06
Ana BurilovicKill+1.9%
Kill by Ana Burilovic (set by Tinons Munar Galmes)
Set 3 · ORE ST 24-25 COLO · COLO 97% → 98%
07
Ana BurilovicKill+1.8%
Kill by Ana Burilovic (set by Jenna Ylivainio)
Set 3 · ORE ST 24-24 COLO · COLO 95% → 97%
08
Lily DwinellKill+1.8%
Kill by Lily Dwinell
Set 1 · ORE ST 18-21 COLO · COLO 89% → 91%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Oregon St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Cheyenne GreenOH	3	7	5	23	.087	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	8
1Alana MarrsMB	3	5	5	15	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
16Beatrice SpadaOPP	3	6	7	24	-.042	0	0	1	5	0	0	2	1	7
3AC FroehlichOH	3	6	4	18	.111	0	0	2	4	1	0	2	1	7
8Taray TelaMB	3	4	2	12	.167	0	1	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
14Jackie MatiasS	3	0	0	0	–	23	1	1	9	0	0	0	0	1
5Kama GoldsteinDS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	1
4Isabel BertelsenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	7	2	0	0	0	0
11Yasemin NarliogluL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
23Aly CoxS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Bridget GouldOPP	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Abby LesagoniczOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	24	94	.043	27	4	7	30	6	2	8	6	61

Coloradohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Ana BurilovicOH	3	11	5	28	.214	1	2	1	5	0	1	2	2	15
21Lily DwinellOH	3	9	3	17	.353	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	11.5
33Cayla PayneMB	3	7	2	12	.417	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	3	10
10Sydney JordanOH	3	5	3	17	.118	1	0	1	6	1	0	2	1	6
16Maria SplawskaMB	3	3	1	4	.500	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	2.5	5.5
2Jenna YlivainioS	3	1	1	4	.000	30	1	1	5	0	0	2	1	3
13Katie SalongaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
22Tinons Munar GalmesL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	2	6	2	0	0	0	0
9Avery BollesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
8Ines LosadaOH	2	1	1	5	.000	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	3
20Peyton NealL/DS	2	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		38	16	89	.247	34	6	11	30	4	1	22	12	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 ORE ST · COLO 7

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 6 ORE STCOLO 7

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 ORE STCOLO 4

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 4 ORE STCOLO 4

Bars above the line = Colorado leads, below = Oregon St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Oregon St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	39%7/18	45%5/11
2	54%7/13	22%2/9
3	60%6/10	46%6/13
4	67%6/9	14%1/7
5	75%6/8	40%4/10
6	29%5/17	50%6/12
All	49%37/75	39%24/62

Colorado

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	53%8/15
2	58%7/12	59%10/17
3	75%6/8	40%4/10
4	75%6/8	25%2/8
5	46%6/13	33%3/9
6	63%5/8	69%11/16
All	61%38/62	51%38/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

137 rallies

Rally log

#	ORE ST-COLO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	COLO	ORE ST	Attack err	Ana Burilovic		+1.1
2	2-0	ORE ST	ORE ST	Kill	Alana Marrs	set Jackie Matias	+1.5
3	2-1	ORE ST	COLO	Attack err	Alana Marrs		+1.1
4	2-2	COLO	COLO	Attack err	AC Froehlich		+1.3
5	3-2	COLO	ORE ST	Attack err	Ana Burilovic		+1.2
6	3-3	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.1
7	4-3	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	AC Froehlich	set Kama Goldstein	+1.2
8	4-4	ORE ST	COLO	Serve err	ORE ST server		+1.1
9	4-5	COLO	COLO	Ace	COLO server	aced Kama Goldstein	+1.3
10	5-5	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	Taray Tela	set Jackie Matias	+1.1
11	6-5	ORE ST	ORE ST	Kill	AC Froehlich	set Isabel Bertelsen	+1.6
12	6-6	ORE ST	COLO	Attack err	AC Froehlich		+1.2
13	7-6	COLO	ORE ST	Serve err	COLO server		+1.3
14	7-7	ORE ST	COLO×4	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.2
15	7-8	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Cheyenne Green		+1.4
16	7-9	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Beatrice Spada	blk Sydney Jordan, Maria Splawska	+1.3
17	7-10	COLO	COLO×4	Bad set	Jackie Matias		+1.1
18	8-10	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	Cheyenne Green	set Jackie Matias	+0.9
19	8-11	ORE ST	COLO×3	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.9
20	8-12	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Alana Marrs		+1.0
21	8-13	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Alana Marrs	blk Maria Splawska, Lily Dwinell	+0.8
22	9-13	COLO	ORE ST	Serve err	COLO server		+0.6
23	9-14	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.6
24	9-15	COLO	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.6
25	10-15	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	Beatrice Spada	set Jackie Matias	+0.4
26	10-16	ORE ST	COLO	Attack err	Alana Marrs		+0.5
27	11-16	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	AC Froehlich	set Jackie Matias	+0.4
28	11-17	ORE ST	COLO	Serve err	ORE ST server		+0.4
29	12-17	COLO	ORE ST	Attack err	Sydney Jordan		+0.4
30	12-18	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
31	13-18	COLO	ORE ST×6	Kill	Taray Tela	set Jackie Matias	+0.3
32	14-18	ORE ST	ORE ST×6	Kill	Cheyenne Green	set Isabel Bertelsen	+0.6
33	15-18	ORE ST	ORE ST×6	Attack err	Ana Burilovic		+1.0
34	16-18	ORE ST	ORE ST×6	Attack err	Ana Burilovic		+1.4
35	17-18	ORE ST	ORE ST×6	Kill	Beatrice Spada	set Jackie Matias	+1.9
36	18-18	ORE ST	ORE ST×6	Kill	Beatrice Spada	set Jackie Matias	+2.5
37	18-19	ORE ST	COLO×7	Kill	Jenna Ylivainio	set Ana Burilovic	+2.1
38	18-20	COLO	COLO×7	Ace	COLO server	aced Cheyenne Green	+2.3
39	18-21	COLO	COLO×7	Kill	Lily Dwinell		+1.8
40	18-22	COLO	COLO×7	Attack err	Cheyenne Green		+1.2
41	18-23	COLO	COLO×7	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+0.7
42	18-24	COLO	COLO×7	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
43	18-25	COLO	COLO×7	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	ORE ST	ORE ST	Attack err	Maria Splawska	blk Taray Tela	+1.0
2	1-1	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Maria Splawska	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.7
3	1-2	COLO	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.8
4	2-2	COLO	ORE ST	Serve err	COLO server		+0.7
5	2-3	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.7
6	3-3	COLO	ORE ST	Serve err	COLO server		+0.8
7	4-3	ORE ST	ORE ST	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Tinons Munar Galmes	+1.0
8	4-4	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.8
9	4-5	COLO	COLO	Ace	COLO server	aced AC Froehlich	+0.9
10	5-5	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	AC Froehlich	set Jackie Matias	+0.8
11	5-6	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.8
12	6-6	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	Alana Marrs	set Jackie Matias	+0.8
13	7-6	ORE ST	ORE ST	Attack err	Sydney Jordan		+1.1
14	7-7	ORE ST	COLO	Serve err	ORE ST server		+0.9
15	8-7	COLO	ORE ST	Bad set	Tinons Munar Galmes		+1.0
16	9-7	ORE ST	ORE ST	Kill	Taray Tela	set Jackie Matias	+1.3
17	9-8	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Sydney Jordan	+1.0
18	9-9	COLO	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.2
19	10-9	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	Cheyenne Green	set Jackie Matias	+1.1
20	10-10	ORE ST	COLO	Serve err	ORE ST server		+1.0
21	10-11	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Beatrice Spada	blk Lily Dwinell	+1.1
22	11-11	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	Cheyenne Green	set Yasemin Narlioglu	+1.0
23	11-12	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.0
24	11-13	COLO	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic		+1.1
25	12-13	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	Beatrice Spada	set Jackie Matias	+0.9
26	12-14	ORE ST	COLO	Attack err	Beatrice Spada	blk Ana Burilovic, Cayla Payne	+0.9
27	13-14	COLO	ORE ST	Attack err	Cayla Payne		+0.9
28	13-15	ORE ST	COLO×3	Serve err	ORE ST server		+0.9
29	13-16	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Alana Marrs	blk Maria Splawska, Sydney Jordan	+1.0
30	13-17	COLO	COLO×3	Ace	COLO server	aced Kama Goldstein	+0.8
31	14-17	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	Alana Marrs	set Jackie Matias	+0.6
32	15-17	ORE ST	ORE ST	Attack err	Sydney Jordan		+1.0
33	15-18	ORE ST	COLO	Attack err	Cheyenne Green	blk Jenna Ylivainio, Maria Splawska	+0.9
34	15-19	COLO	COLO	Attack err	AC Froehlich		+0.8
35	16-19	COLO	ORE ST	Serve err	COLO server		+0.6
36	16-20	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.7
37	16-21	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Cheyenne Green		+0.6
38	17-21	COLO	ORE ST×3	Kill	Beatrice Spada	set Jackie Matias	+0.3
39	18-21	ORE ST	ORE ST×3	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Sydney Jordan	+0.6
40	19-21	ORE ST	ORE ST×3	Attack err	Lily Dwinell		+1.0
41	19-22	ORE ST	COLO×4	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.1
42	19-23	COLO	COLO×4	Kill	Ana Burilovic		+0.8
43	19-24	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Beatrice Spada	blk Cayla Payne, Lily Dwinell	+0.4
44	19-25	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Taray Tela	blk Cayla Payne, Lily Dwinell	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	COLO	COLO	Ace	COLO server	aced Isabel Bertelsen	+0.4
2	1-1	COLO	ORE ST	Serve err	COLO server		+0.3
3	1-2	ORE ST	COLO×3	Kill	Peyton Neal		+0.3
4	1-3	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+0.4
5	1-4	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Beatrice Spada		+0.3
6	2-4	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	AC Froehlich	set Jackie Matias	+0.3
7	3-4	ORE ST	ORE ST	Attack err	Ana Burilovic	blk Alana Marrs, Beatrice Spada	+0.4
8	3-5	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
9	3-6	COLO	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
10	4-6	COLO	ORE ST	Serve err	COLO server		+0.3
11	4-7	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
12	5-7	COLO	ORE ST	Attack err	Jenna Ylivainio	blk AC Froehlich, Alana Marrs	+0.3
13	5-8	ORE ST	COLO	Attack err	Bridget Gould		+0.3
14	5-9	COLO	COLO	Kill	Maria Splawska	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
15	6-9	COLO	ORE ST	Serve err	COLO server		+0.2
16	6-10	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Maria Splawska	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
17	7-10	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	Taray Tela	set Jackie Matias	+0.2
18	8-10	ORE ST	ORE ST	Attack err	Lily Dwinell	blk Taray Tela, Beatrice Spada	+0.4
19	8-11	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
20	9-11	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	Cheyenne Green	set Jackie Matias	+0.3
21	9-12	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
22	10-12	COLO	ORE ST	Serve err	COLO server		+0.3
23	11-12	ORE ST	ORE ST	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Tinons Munar Galmes	+0.5
24	11-13	ORE ST	COLO	Serve err	ORE ST server		+0.4
25	12-13	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	Alana Marrs	set Jackie Matias	+0.4
26	13-13	ORE ST	ORE ST	Kill	Alana Marrs	set Jackie Matias	+0.6
27	13-14	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.5
28	14-14	COLO	ORE ST	Serve err	COLO server		+0.5
29	15-14	ORE ST	ORE ST	Kill	Cheyenne Green	set Jackie Matias	+0.8
30	15-15	ORE ST	COLO	Serve err	ORE ST server		+0.6
31	16-15	COLO	ORE ST	Kill	Cheyenne Green	set Jackie Matias	+0.7
32	16-16	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Ines Losada	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.6
33	16-17	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Beatrice Spada		+0.7
34	17-17	COLO	ORE ST	Bad set	Ines Losada		+0.7
35	18-17	ORE ST	ORE ST	Attack err	Ines Losada		+0.9
36	18-18	ORE ST	COLO×4	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.7
37	18-19	COLO	COLO×4	Ace	COLO server	aced Isabel Bertelsen	+0.9
38	18-20	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Cheyenne Green	blk Ana Burilovic	+0.8
39	18-21	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Beatrice Spada	blk Lily Dwinell, Maria Splawska	+0.6
40	19-21	COLO	ORE ST	Serve err	COLO server		+0.4
41	20-21	ORE ST	ORE ST	Ace	ORE ST server	aced Peyton Neal	+0.8
42	20-22	ORE ST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.8
43	20-23	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Taray Tela	blk Cayla Payne, Ana Burilovic	+0.7
44	21-23	COLO	ORE ST×4	Kill	Beatrice Spada	set Jackie Matias	+0.3
45	22-23	ORE ST	ORE ST×4	Kill	AC Froehlich	set Jackie Matias	+0.8
46	23-23	ORE ST	ORE ST×4	Attack err	Lily Dwinell	blk Alana Marrs, AC Froehlich	+1.5
47	24-23	ORE ST	ORE ST×4	Attack err	Cayla Payne	blk Alana Marrs	+2.2
48	24-24	ORE ST	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.8
49	24-25	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+1.9
50	24-26	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	AC Froehlich	blk Cayla Payne, Jenna Ylivainio	+1.6

Score shown after each rally, Oregon St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.