FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on SECN+

Texas def. Auburn 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Texas 88.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 6:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Texas beat visiting Auburn 3-0 (25-22, 25-22, 25-18) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Texas' Torrey Stafford led with 21 kills.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set123Sets
AUBURN2222180
TEXAS2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Torrey Stafford needed just 3 sets for 21 kills. Texas swept Auburn.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.2 points. Auburn peaked at 15% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. Texas went in as RallyIQ's 88% pick.

AuburnTexas
  • Break %+11.0 pts
    32.843.8

    32 of 73 on serve vs 21 of 64, so Auburn's sideout was 56.2%.

  • Hitting+.103
    .216.319

    55 K / 18 E against 27 K / 8 E.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    5 straight Texas points in the third set turned an 11–13 deficit into a 16–13 lead. The set finished 25–18.

Texas above 50Auburn belowMax swing 2.2%

AuburnTexas

Aces
Auburn 6·Texas 4
Serve err
Auburn 6·Texas 10
Blocks
Auburn 8·Texas 60 BS · 16 BA vs 0 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Auburn 29·Texas 49

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Texas above 50 · Auburn below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.2% AUBURNrally 137 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Auburn — set 1, AUBURN 20-21 TEXAS. Attack error by Torrey Stafford. TEXAS win probability 91% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AUBURN 10.3%89.7% TEXAS

Auburn wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.1%
3-2
5.7%

Texas wins

3-0
44.0%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.2%
AUBURN break %
36.4% vs this opp
TEXAS break %
46.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Torrey StaffordAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Torrey Stafford

    Set 1 · AUBURN 20-21 TEXAS · AUBURN 9% → 11%

  2. 02
    Rella BinneyBad set+2.0%

    Bad set by Rella Binney

    Set 1 · AUBURN 18-19 TEXAS · AUBURN 9% → 11%

  3. 03
    Cari SpearsKill+1.9%

    Kill by Cari Spears (set by Rella Binney)

    Set 1 · AUBURN 20-22 TEXAS · TEXAS 89% → 91%

  4. 04

    Kill by Torrey Stafford (set by Ramsey Gary)

    Set 1 · AUBURN 20-23 TEXAS · TEXAS 91% → 93%

  5. 05
    Cari SpearsAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Cari Spears

    Set 1 · AUBURN 10-9 TEXAS · AUBURN 13% → 15%

  6. 06

    Kill by Torrey Stafford (set by Henley Anderson)

    Set 1 · AUBURN 18-21 TEXAS · TEXAS 90% → 92%

  7. 07

    Anastasija Ivkovic stuffed by Taylor Harvey & Torrey Stafford

    Set 1 · AUBURN 11-12 TEXAS · TEXAS 86% → 88%

  8. 08

    Kill by Torrey Stafford (set by Henley Anderson)

    Set 1 · AUBURN 12-14 TEXAS · TEXAS 88% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Auburnaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39226.26900060031.510.5
35327.074032220008
37117.353000100007
3103.333011000424
31011.000000000423
3000–1401400000
34214.14300000052.56.5
3000–1011500001
3000–2001110000
2000–011000001
Team totals27888.2162666294016862
Texashome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
321643.3490224102124
310222.36440312302111
37419.15801330010.58.5
3709.77800000031.58.5
35512.00000010031.56.5
3001.00029011100000
35110.40010000010.55.5
3000–1211400001
3000–000100000
3000–7001210000
2000–000100000
Team totals5518116.31953410496012675

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 AUBURN · TEXAS 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 2 AUBURNTEXAS 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 AUBURNTEXAS 3

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 5 AUBURNTEXAS 5

Bars above the line = Texas leads, below = Auburn leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Auburn

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
36%4/11
2
53%8/15
20%2/10
3
53%8/15
33%4/12
4
64%7/11
38%5/13
5
63%5/8
46%6/13
6
56%5/9
0%0/5
All
56%41/73
33%21/64

Texas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
50%6/12
2
89%8/9
33%4/12
3
53%8/15
53%9/17
4
67%8/12
47%7/15
5
60%6/10
33%3/9
6
100%5/5
38%3/8
All
67%43/64
44%32/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#AUBURN-TEXASSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0AUBURNAUBURNAttack errCari Spears+1.4
22-0AUBURNAUBURNAttack errCari Spears+1.5
32-1AUBURNTEXAS×4KillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+1.0
42-2TEXASTEXAS×4KillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+1.4
52-3TEXASTEXAS×4Bad setShanelle Puetz+1.2
62-4TEXASTEXAS×4KillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+1.1
73-4TEXASAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Shanelle Puetz+0.8
83-5AUBURNTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+0.8
94-5TEXASAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Shanelle Puetz+0.8
104-6AUBURNTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.8
115-6TEXASAUBURNServe errTexas+0.9
125-7AUBURNTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.8
136-7TEXASAUBURNKillKate Mansfieldset Carson Eickenloff+0.9
147-7AUBURNAUBURNBlockedCari Spearsblk Emma Moore, Lauren Dreves+1.5
157-8AUBURNTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Rella Binney+1.0
168-8TEXASAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Carson Eickenloff+1.1
178-9AUBURNTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+1.0
189-9TEXASAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Shanelle Puetz+1.2
1910-9AUBURNAUBURNAttack errCari Spears+1.9
2010-10AUBURNTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+1.2
2111-10TEXASAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Shanelle Puetz+1.4
2211-11AUBURNTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+1.3
2311-12TEXASTEXASBlockedAnastasija Ivkovicblk Taylor Harvey, Torrey Stafford+1.7
2412-12TEXASAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Shanelle Puetz+1.3
2512-13AUBURNTEXAS×3KillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+1.2
2612-14TEXASTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Henley Anderson+1.6
2712-15TEXASTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Ramsey Gary+1.3
2813-15TEXASAUBURNServe errTexas+0.9
2913-16AUBURNTEXASKillAddy Gaidoset Genevieve Harris+1.0
3013-17TEXASTEXASKillAddy Gaidoset Genevieve Harris+1.1
3114-17TEXASAUBURNServe errTexas+0.6
3215-17AUBURNAUBURNBlockedTaylor Harveyblk Kate Mansfield, Emma Moore+1.3
3315-18AUBURNTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Ramsey Gary+1.0
3416-18TEXASAUBURNBlockedHenley Andersonblk Kate Mansfield, Emma Moore+0.9
3516-19AUBURNTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Genevieve Harris+1.1
3617-19TEXASAUBURNKillEmma Mooreset Shanelle Puetz+1.0
3718-19AUBURNAUBURNBad setRella Binney+2.0
3818-20AUBURNTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+1.6
3918-21TEXASTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Henley Anderson+1.8
4019-21TEXASAUBURNServe errTexas+0.9
4120-21AUBURNAUBURNAttack errTorrey Stafford+2.2
4220-22AUBURNTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+1.9
4320-23TEXASTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Ramsey Gary+1.9
4421-23TEXASAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Shanelle Puetz+0.8
4521-24AUBURNTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+1.3
4622-24TEXASAUBURNKillKate Mansfieldset Carson Eickenloff+0.5
4722-25AUBURNTEXASKillAddy Gaidoset Genevieve Harris+1.1
Set 2
11-0TEXASAUBURNServe errTexas+0.7
21-1AUBURNTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+0.6
32-1TEXASAUBURNKillGrace Havlicekset Shanelle Puetz+0.7
42-2AUBURNTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Rella Binney+0.6
53-2TEXASAUBURN×4Serve errTexas+0.7
64-2AUBURNAUBURN×4AceAuburnaced Henley Anderson+1.1
75-2AUBURNAUBURN×4KillKate Mansfieldset Carson Eickenloff+1.2
86-2AUBURNAUBURN×4AceAuburnaced Henley Anderson+1.3
96-3AUBURNTEXASServe errAuburn+0.7
107-3TEXASAUBURN×3KillBelle Patrickset Carson Eickenloff+0.9
118-3AUBURNAUBURN×3BlockedTaylor Harveyblk Emma Moore, Lauren Dreves+1.3
129-3AUBURNAUBURN×3Attack errHenley Anderson+1.2
139-4AUBURNTEXASServe errAuburn+0.7
1410-4TEXASAUBURNKillKate Mansfieldset Carson Eickenloff+0.9
1510-5AUBURNTEXASServe errAuburn+0.7
1611-5TEXASAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Shanelle Puetz+0.9
1711-6AUBURNTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.7
1811-7TEXASTEXASAttack errBelle Patrick+1.1
1912-7TEXASAUBURNAttack errTorrey Stafford+1.0
2012-8AUBURNTEXASServe errAuburn+0.7
2113-8TEXASAUBURNAttack errTorrey Stafford+1.0
2213-9AUBURNTEXAS×3Serve errAuburn+0.7
2313-10TEXASTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Genevieve Harris+1.2
2413-11TEXASTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Ramsey Gary+1.4
2514-11TEXASAUBURNAttack errTaylor Harvey+1.2
2614-12AUBURNTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Genevieve Harris+1.0
2714-13TEXASTEXAS×3KillHenley Andersonset Genevieve Harris+1.5
2814-14TEXASTEXAS×3AceTexasaced Belle Patrick+1.5
2915-14TEXASAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Carson Eickenloff+1.2
3015-15AUBURNTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Genevieve Harris+1.1
3115-16TEXASTEXASBlockedKate Mansfieldblk Nya Bunton, Henley Anderson+1.5
3216-16TEXASAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Carson Eickenloff+1.1
3316-17AUBURNTEXASKillNya Buntonset Genevieve Harris+1.1
3416-18TEXASTEXASAttack errLauren Dreves+1.4
3517-18TEXASAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Shanelle Puetz+0.9
3617-19AUBURNTEXAS×3KillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+1.0
3717-20TEXASTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+1.2
3817-21TEXASTEXAS×3BlockedBelle Patrickblk Nya Bunton, Cari Spears+0.8
3918-21TEXASAUBURNServe errTexas+0.4
4019-21AUBURNAUBURNAceAuburnaced Henley Anderson+0.9
4119-22AUBURNTEXASBad setShanelle Puetz+0.9
4220-22TEXASAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Shanelle Puetz+0.6
4320-23AUBURNTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.9
4421-23TEXASAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Carson Eickenloff+0.5
4521-24AUBURNTEXASServe errAuburn+0.9
4622-24TEXASAUBURNServe errTexas+0.4
4722-25AUBURNTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Genevieve Harris+0.8
Set 3
10-1AUBURNTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.3
21-1TEXASAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Shanelle Puetz+0.3
31-2AUBURNTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Rella Binney+0.3
41-3TEXASTEXASAceTexasaced Belle Patrick+0.4
52-3TEXASAUBURN×5Serve errTexas+0.3
63-3AUBURNAUBURN×5BlockedTorrey Staffordblk Grace Havlicek, Kate Mansfield+0.4
74-3AUBURNAUBURN×5AceAuburnaced Torrey Stafford+0.5
85-3AUBURNAUBURN×5KillBelle Patrickset Emily Keiran+0.6
96-3AUBURNAUBURN×5Attack errTorrey Stafford+0.6
106-4AUBURNTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Henley Anderson+0.4
117-4TEXASAUBURNAttack errTaylor Harvey+0.5
127-5AUBURNTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Rella Binney+0.4
138-5TEXASAUBURN×3KillBelle Patrickset Carson Eickenloff+0.5
149-5AUBURNAUBURN×3KillLauren Drevesset Carson Eickenloff+0.7
1510-5AUBURNAUBURN×3AceGrace Havlicek+0.7
1610-6AUBURNTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.4
1711-6TEXASAUBURNServe errRella Binney+0.5
1811-7AUBURNTEXAS×4KillCari Spearsset Henley Anderson+0.4
1911-8TEXASTEXAS×4KillTorrey Staffordset Ramsey Gary+0.6
2011-9TEXASTEXAS×4KillTorrey Staffordset Ramsey Gary+0.6
2111-10TEXASTEXAS×4KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.6
2212-10TEXASAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Emily Keiran+0.5
2312-11AUBURNTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.5
2413-11TEXASAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Shanelle Puetz+0.6
2513-12AUBURNTEXAS×5KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.5
2613-13TEXASTEXAS×5AceGenevieve Harrisaced Emily Keiran+0.7
2713-14TEXASTEXAS×5KillTaylor Harveyset Genevieve Harris+0.7
2813-15TEXASTEXAS×5KillHenley Andersonset Genevieve Harris+0.6
2913-16TEXASTEXAS×5KillAddy Gaidoset Genevieve Harris+0.5
3014-16TEXASAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Shanelle Puetz+0.3
3114-17AUBURNTEXAS×4BlockedBelle Patrickblk Taylor Harvey, Torrey Stafford+0.3
3214-18TEXASTEXAS×4KillHenley Andersonset Ramsey Gary+0.4
3314-19TEXASTEXAS×4AceTorrey Stafford+0.2
3414-20TEXASTEXAS×4KillAddy Gaidoset Genevieve Harris+0.1
3515-20TEXASAUBURN×3BlockedAddy Gaidoblk Grace Havlicek, Kate Mansfield+0.1
3616-20AUBURNAUBURN×3BlockedTaylor Harveyblk Grace Havlicek, Kate Mansfield+0.2
3717-20AUBURNAUBURN×3AceBelle Patrickaced Ramsey Gary+0.3
3817-21AUBURNTEXASBlockedKate Mansfieldblk Henley Anderson, Taylor Harvey+0.3
3917-22TEXASTEXASBlockedLauren Drevesblk Nya Bunton, Addy Gaido+0.2
4018-22TEXASAUBURNBlockedTorrey Staffordblk Grace Havlicek, Lauren Dreves+0.1
4118-23AUBURNTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Addy Gaido+0.1
4218-24TEXASTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.1
4318-25TEXASTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney·

Score shown after each rally, Auburn first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).