Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026

Coastal Carolina def. Jacksonville 3–1

Coastal Carolina won at Jacksonville 3-1 (25-16, 30-28, 20-25, 25-23) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026. Coastal Carolina's Anzley Rinard led with 14 kills, and Jonna Spohn added 14 digs.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set1234Sets
CO CAR253020253
JVILLE162825231

Win probability

Jacksonville above 50 · Coastal Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.0% CO CARrally 192 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Coastal Carolina — set 4, CO CAR 25-23 JVILLE. Jacksonville service error. JVILLE win probability 10% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CO CAR 51.9%48.1% JVILLE

Coastal Carolina wins

3-0
13.3%
3-1
19.6%
3-2
19.1%

Jacksonville wins

3-0
11.7%
3-1
17.9%
3-2
18.4%
CO CAR break %
44.0% vs this opp
JVILLE break %
43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    JacksonvilleService error+10.0%

    Jacksonville service error

    Set 4 · CO CAR 25-23 JVILLE · CO CAR 90% → 100%

  2. 02
    JacksonvilleAce+9.7%

    Jacksonville ace

    Set 2 · CO CAR 24-25 JVILLE · JVILLE 29% → 39%

  3. 03

    Kill by Natalie Hughes (set by Kaylee Musick)

    Set 2 · CO CAR 26-25 JVILLE · CO CAR 69% → 79%

  4. 04

    Kill by Jaylyn Tuiasosopo (set by Ana Nastase)

    Set 2 · CO CAR 24-24 JVILLE · JVILLE 19% → 29%

  5. 05

    Kill by Hatteras Welker (set by Kaylee Musick)

    Set 2 · CO CAR 30-28 JVILLE · CO CAR 79% → 88%

  6. 06

    Claire Mrukowski stuffed by Natalie Hughes & Isabele Filardo

    Set 4 · CO CAR 23-21 JVILLE · CO CAR 83% → 92%

  7. 07
    Natalie HughesBlock+7.6%

    Jaylyn Tuiasosopo stuffed by Natalie Hughes

    Set 2 · CO CAR 25-25 JVILLE · CO CAR 61% → 69%

  8. 08

    Kill by Natalie Hughes (set by Kaylee Musick)

    Set 4 · CO CAR 24-22 JVILLE · CO CAR 87% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412217.5880331004217
414634.2350241100016
44120.15000020254.58.5
46927-.111113910218
4438.125000100426
4304.750330040031.54.5
4000–140420004
4000–1131440001
4000–100110000
2103.333000000001
1000–300000000
Team totals4421113.204401113371221811100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411827.111132121010.514.5
49013.6920121004212
48524.12500010052.510.5
4317.286000001436
32713-.385001230002
1001.000400100000
49323.26100010111.510.5
4000–631620003
4000–1715500001
3218.12501051010.53.5
15Ana TobarL/DS
3000–030010003
3002.0001402500000
Team totals4425118.16142121339112161092

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CO CAR · JVILLE 9

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 6 CO CARJVILLE 3

Set 2

30-28

Longest run 4 CO CARJVILLE 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 CO CARJVILLE 9

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 4 CO CARJVILLE 5

Bars above the line = Jacksonville leads, below = Coastal Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Coastal Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
43%6/14
2
70%7/10
56%9/16
3
58%7/12
59%10/17
4
86%6/7
45%5/11
5
43%6/14
50%6/12
6
50%6/12
33%3/9
All
60%41/68
49%39/79

Jacksonville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
53%8/15
2
35%7/20
20%2/10
3
70%7/10
30%3/10
4
46%6/13
42%5/12
5
60%6/10
33%3/9
6
67%6/9
50%6/12
All
51%40/79
40%27/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

192 rallies

#CO CAR-JVILLESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0JVILLECO CARAttack errKathryn Adler+1.9
21-1CO CARJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Emersen Strain+1.9
32-1JVILLECO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+1.9
43-1CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errKathryn Adler+2.5
54-1CO CARCO CAR×3KillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+2.4
64-2CO CARJVILLEServe errCoastal Carolina+1.7
75-2JVILLECO CARAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.9
85-3CO CARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Emersen Strain+1.8
96-3JVILLECO CARAttack errAbbie Tuyo+1.9
107-3CO CARCO CARAttack errClaire Mrukowski+2.3
117-4CO CARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+1.6
127-5JVILLEJVILLEAceJacksonville+2.3
138-5JVILLECO CARAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.0
148-6CO CARJVILLEServe errCoastal Carolina+1.9
159-6JVILLECO CARBad setJaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.1
169-7CO CARJVILLEServe errCoastal Carolina+1.9
1710-7JVILLECO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+2.1
1811-7CO CARCO CARBlockedAbbie Tuyoblk Amarah Johnson, Natalie Hughes+2.5
1911-8CO CARJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Elle Kennedy+1.7
2012-8JVILLECO CAR×6Serve errJacksonville+2.0
2113-8CO CARCO CAR×6Bad setEmersen Strain+2.2
2214-8CO CARCO CAR×6Attack errAddison Krieger+1.8
2315-8CO CARCO CAR×6AceCoastal Carolina+1.3
2416-8CO CARCO CAR×6Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.0
2517-8CO CARCO CAR×6AceCoastal Carolina+0.6
2617-9CO CARJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Emersen Strain+0.3
2718-9JVILLECO CARKillAmarah Johnsonset Kaylee Musick+0.4
2818-10CO CARJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Emersen Strain+0.2
2919-10JVILLECO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+0.4
3020-10CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolinaaced Abbie Tuyo+0.3
3120-11CO CARJVILLEAttack errHatteras Welker+0.1
3220-12JVILLEJVILLEBlockedIsabele Filardoblk Haley Yount, Claire Mrukowski+0.2
3321-12JVILLECO CARServe errJacksonville+0.3
3421-13CO CARJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Ana Nastase+0.1
3522-13JVILLECO CARAttack errAbbie Tuyo+0.2
3622-14CO CARJVILLE×3KillClaire Mrukowskiset Ana Nastase+0.1
3722-15JVILLEJVILLE×3BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Addison Krieger, Kathryn Adler+0.2
3822-16JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errIsabele Filardo+0.3
3923-16JVILLECO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+0.4
4024-16CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+0.2
4125-16CO CARCO CAR×3Bad setAddison Krieger·
Set 2
10-1CO CARJVILLE×3KillKathryn Adler+1.9
20-2JVILLEJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+2.4
30-3JVILLEJVILLE×3KillKathryn Adlerset Elle Kennedy+2.3
41-3JVILLECO CARServe errJacksonville+1.7
51-4CO CARJVILLEBlockedIsabele Filardoblk Addison Krieger+1.9
62-4JVILLECO CAR×3Serve errJacksonville+1.7
73-4CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedAbbie Tuyoblk Kaylee Musick, Hatteras Welker+2.4
84-4CO CARCO CAR×3AceCoastal Carolinaaced Abbie Tuyo+2.5
94-5CO CARJVILLE×4KillAbbie Tuyoset Elle Kennedy+2.0
104-6JVILLEJVILLE×4AceJacksonvilleaced Jonna Spohn+2.6
114-7JVILLEJVILLE×4AceJacksonvilleaced Abby Bucey+2.5
124-8JVILLEJVILLE×4Attack errIsabele Filardo+2.4
135-8JVILLECO CARServe errJacksonville+1.6
146-8CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolinaaced Abbie Tuyo+2.4
156-9CO CARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.1
167-9JVILLECO CAR×3KillKaylee Musickset Jonna Spohn+1.9
178-9CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedAbbie Tuyoblk Kaylee Musick, Amarah Johnson+2.7
189-9CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+2.9
199-10CO CARJVILLEServe errCoastal Carolina+2.3
209-11JVILLEJVILLEBlockedAmarah Johnsonblk Haley Yount, Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+3.0
2110-11JVILLECO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+2.2
2211-11CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+3.1
2312-11CO CARCO CAR×3Bad setElle Kennedy+3.2
2412-12CO CARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+2.5
2513-12JVILLECO CARServe errJacksonville+2.6
2613-13CO CARJVILLEServe errCoastal Carolina+2.6
2714-13JVILLECO CAR×4KillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+2.7
2815-13CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes+3.4
2916-13CO CARCO CAR×4KillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+3.2
3017-13CO CARCO CAR×4KillNatalie Hughesset Addison Krieger+2.8
3117-14CO CARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+1.7
3217-15JVILLEJVILLEBlockedNatalie Hughesblk Addison Krieger, Daiangelie Gonzalez+2.8
3318-15JVILLECO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+2.7
3419-15CO CARCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+2.9
3519-16CO CARJVILLEBlockedIsabele Filardoblk Addison Krieger, Kathryn Adler+1.7
3619-17JVILLEJVILLEBlockedIsabele Filardoblk Haley Yount, Kathryn Adler+2.9
3720-17JVILLECO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+2.9
3820-18CO CARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.3
3921-18JVILLECO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+3.1
4022-18CO CARCO CAR×3KillKaylee Musick+2.9
4123-18CO CARCO CAR×3AceCoastal Carolinaaced Ana Tobar+1.7
4223-19CO CARJVILLE×4Serve errCoastal Carolina+0.6
4323-20JVILLEJVILLE×4Attack errIsabele Filardo+1.4
4423-21JVILLEJVILLE×4Attack errAnzley Rinard+2.6
4523-22JVILLEJVILLE×4KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+4.5
4624-22JVILLECO CARAttack errClaire Mrukowski+5.7
4724-23CO CARJVILLE×3KillClaire Mrukowskiset Ana Nastase+3.3
4824-24JVILLEJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+9.7
4924-25JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonville+9.7
5025-25JVILLECO CARBlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Natalie Hughes+7.6
5126-25CO CARCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Kaylee Musick+9.7
5226-26CO CARJVILLEServe errCoastal Carolina+7.6
5327-26JVILLECO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabele Filardo+7.6
5427-27CO CARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+7.6
5528-27JVILLECO CARBlockedKathryn Adlerblk Isabele Filardo, Hatteras Welker+7.6
5628-28CO CARJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Jade Cuya Cobos+7.6
5729-28JVILLECO CARBad setJade Cuya Cobos+7.6
5830-28CO CARCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+9.6
Set 3
11-0JVILLECO CAR×3BlockedAbbie Tuyoblk Natalie Hughes, Amarah Johnson+1.2
22-0CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+1.6
33-0CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+1.5
43-1CO CARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+1.1
54-1JVILLECO CARAttack errAnzley Rinard+1.2
64-2CO CARJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+1.1
75-2JVILLECO CARServe errJacksonville+1.2
85-3CO CARJVILLEServe errCoastal Carolina+1.2
95-4JVILLEJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+1.6
106-4JVILLECO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+1.3
117-4CO CARCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+1.6
127-5CO CARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+1.2
138-5JVILLECO CARAttack errAbbie Tuyo+1.3
148-6CO CARJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.2
159-6JVILLECO CARKillKaylee Musickset Abby Bucey+1.3
169-7CO CARJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.2
1710-7JVILLECO CARServe errJacksonville+1.4
1811-7CO CARCO CARKillAmarah Johnson+1.6
1911-8CO CARJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+1.1
2012-8JVILLECO CARBad setAna Nastase+1.3
2113-8CO CARCO CARBlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Amarah Johnson, Natalie Hughes+1.4
2213-9CO CARJVILLE×9KillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+0.9
2313-10JVILLEJVILLE×9Attack errAmarah Johnson+1.4
2413-11JVILLEJVILLE×9Attack errIsabele Filardo+1.7
2513-12JVILLEJVILLE×9AceJacksonvilleaced Jonna Spohn+2.0
2613-13JVILLEJVILLE×9AceJacksonvilleaced Jonna Spohn+2.2
2713-14JVILLEJVILLE×9Bad setIsabele Filardo+2.3
2813-15JVILLEJVILLE×9AceJacksonvilleaced Julia Rivera+2.3
2913-16JVILLEJVILLE×9Attack errTalia Johnson+2.2
3013-17JVILLEJVILLE×9KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+1.9
3114-17JVILLECO CARKillAmarah Johnsonset Kaylee Musick+1.2
3215-17CO CARCO CARAttack errKathryn Adler+1.9
3315-18CO CARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+1.8
3416-18JVILLECO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+1.5
3516-19CO CARJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.9
3616-20JVILLEJVILLEAceJacksonvilleaced Jonna Spohn+2.0
3717-20JVILLECO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.1
3817-21CO CARJVILLEAttack errHatteras Welker+1.6
3918-21JVILLECO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.0
4019-21CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.0
4119-22CO CARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.2
42–4320-23CO CAR · JVILLE
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
4420-24CO CARJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+1.4
4520-25JVILLEJVILLEBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Haley Yount, Kathryn Adler+0.6
Set 4
11-0CO CARCO CAR×3KillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+3.2
22-0CO CARCO CAR×3KillNatalie Hughesset Ana Nastase+3.1
33-0CO CARCO CAR×3KillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+3.0
43-1CO CARJVILLEKillDaiangelie Gonzalezset Ana Nastase+2.2
54-1JVILLECO CAR×4Serve errJacksonville+2.4
65-1CO CARCO CAR×4AceCoastal Carolinaaced Elle Kennedy+2.9
76-1CO CARCO CAR×4KillIsabele Filardoset Julia Rivera+2.6
87-1CO CARCO CAR×4AceCoastal Carolinaaced Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.3
97-2CO CARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+1.5
108-2JVILLECO CARBlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Kaylee Musick, Hatteras Welker+1.8
118-3CO CARJVILLEServe errCoastal Carolina+1.5
128-4JVILLEJVILLEBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Kathryn Adler, Addison Krieger+2.3
139-4JVILLECO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+2.1
1410-4CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolina+2.3
1510-5CO CARJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Ana Nastase+1.5
1611-5JVILLECO CARKillAmarah Johnsonset Kaylee Musick+1.8
1711-6CO CARJVILLE×3KillClaire Mrukowskiset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.5
1811-7JVILLEJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+2.3
1911-8JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonvilleaced Anzley Rinard+2.8
2012-8JVILLECO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+2.6
2112-9CO CARJVILLE×5Attack errIsabele Filardo+2.2
2212-10JVILLEJVILLE×5AceJacksonvilleaced Isabele Filardo+3.4
2312-11JVILLEJVILLE×5KillClaire Mrukowskiset Elle Kennedy+3.9
2412-12JVILLEJVILLE×5Attack errAmarah Johnson+4.3
2512-13JVILLEJVILLE×5KillClaire Mrukowskiset Elle Kennedy+4.5
2613-13JVILLECO CAR×3KillTalia Johnsonset Kaylee Musick+3.5
2714-13CO CARCO CAR×3AceCoastal Carolinaaced Elle Kennedy+4.6
2815-13CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedDaiangelie Gonzalezblk Natalie Hughes+4.6
2915-14CO CARJVILLEServe errCoastal Carolina+3.4
3016-14JVILLECO CARServe errJacksonville+3.8
3116-15CO CARJVILLE×3KillDaiangelie Gonzalezset Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+3.5
3216-16JVILLEJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Elle Kennedy+5.1
3316-17JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonvilleaced Abby Bucey+5.5
3417-17JVILLECO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+4.2
3517-18CO CARJVILLEServe errCoastal Carolina+4.5
3618-18JVILLECO CAR×3KillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+4.5
3719-18CO CARCO CAR×3AceCoastal Carolinaaced Daiangelie Gonzalez+6.2
3820-18CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errKathryn Adler+6.1
3920-19CO CARJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+4.2
4020-20JVILLEJVILLEAttack errAnzley Rinard+6.7
4121-20JVILLECO CARServe errJacksonville+5.9
4221-21CO CARJVILLEBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Claire Mrukowski+5.8
4322-21JVILLECO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+6.7
4423-21CO CARCO CARBlockedClaire Mrukowskiblk Natalie Hughes, Isabele Filardo+8.3
4523-22CO CARJVILLEServe errCoastal Carolina+4.7
4624-22JVILLECO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Kaylee Musick+7.6
4724-23CO CARJVILLEServe errCoastal Carolina+4.4
4825-23JVILLECO CARServe errJacksonville+10.0

Score shown after each rally, Coastal Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).