FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayPATRIOT

0:3

HomeSUN-BELT

Old Dominion def. Navy 3–0

(29-27, 25-21, 25-21)

Set	1*	2	3*	Sets
NAVY	27	21	21	0
ODU	29	25	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ODU above 50 · NAVY below

Biggest swing: 9.6% to Old Dominion — set 1, NAVY 23-24 ODU. Kill by Emma Schelah (set by Wiktoria Zagumny). ODU win probability 57% → 66%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NAVY 41.4%58.6% ODU

Navy wins

3-0

9.2%

3-1

15.2%

3-2

17.0%

Old Dominion wins

3-0

16.5%

3-1

22.3%

3-2

19.8%

NAVY break %: 42.8% vs this opp
ODU break %: 44.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Emma SchelahKill+9.6%
Kill by Emma Schelah (set by Wiktoria Zagumny)
Set 1 · NAVY 23-24 ODU · ODU 57% → 66%
02
Elisa MaggiKill+9.2%
Kill by Elisa Maggi (set by Wiktoria Zagumny)
Set 1 · NAVY 27-29 ODU · ODU 66% → 76%
03
Leilani LawrenceAttack error+7.8%
Attack error by Leilani Lawrence
Set 1 · NAVY 23-22 ODU · NAVY 41% → 49%
04
Ellen GundlachKill+7.4%
Kill by Ellen Gundlach (set by Caroline Adams)
Set 1 · NAVY 24-24 ODU · NAVY 34% → 41%
05
Leilani LawrenceKill+7.4%
Kill by Leilani Lawrence (set by Wiktoria Zagumny)
Set 1 · NAVY 24-25 ODU · ODU 59% → 66%
06
Caroline BuffumKill+7.4%
Kill by Caroline Buffum (set by Isa Boyd)
Set 1 · NAVY 25-25 ODU · NAVY 34% → 41%
07
Leilani LawrenceKill+7.4%
Kill by Leilani Lawrence (set by Wiktoria Zagumny)
Set 1 · NAVY 25-26 ODU · ODU 59% → 66%
08
Farrah EikeKill+7.4%
Kill by Farrah Eike (set by Amara Chambers)
Set 1 · NAVY 26-26 ODU · NAVY 34% → 41%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Navyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
4Farrah EikeOH	3	17	4	40	.325	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	17
24Siena MorganMB	3	4	2	9	.222	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	5
17Avery MadduxMB	3	3	1	6	.333	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
22Grace BurgoyneMB	3	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	4
2Ally AlessioL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0
6Isa BoydS	3	0	0	0	–	16	0	1	12	0	0	0	0
9Caroline BuffumOH	3	6	1	14	.357	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.5	6.5
13Caroline AdamsS	3	1	0	1	1.000	13	4	1	1	0	0	0	5
12Ellen GundlachMB	3	4	6	13	-.154	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4
21Amara ChambersL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	3	2	4	0	0	0	3
18Izzy PicardOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Lillian SchultheisS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	15	90	.256	36	8	7	29	5	6	3	69

Old Dominionhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Leilani LawrenceOH	3	19	5	34	.412	0	2	3	6	4	0	1	0.5	21.5
4Elisa MaggiOH	3	11	1	23	.435	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	12
11Emma SchelahMB	3	7	0	9	.778	0	1	2	1	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
8Katie RakoskiOH	3	8	4	17	.235	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
14Emma DiRoccoMB	3	4	2	9	.222	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
5Wiktoria ZagumnyS	3	1	0	1	1.000	43	1	2	6	0	1	2	2	4
0Adrienne PejiL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	2	5	0	0	0	0	1
13Ashlyn GentL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	9	2	0	0	0	0
17Rita BenidioOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	12	94	.415	47	5	9	31	8	1	8	5	79

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 NAVY · ODU 8

Set 1*

27-29

Longest run 5 NAVYODU 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 NAVYODU 8

Set 3*

21-25

Longest run 2 NAVYODU 3

Bars above the line = Old Dominion leads, below = Navy leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Navy

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%3/5	50%3/6
2	100%2/2	25%1/4
3	22%2/9	50%2/4
4	67%2/3	0%0/2
5	100%2/2	33%1/3
6	67%2/3	33%1/3
All	54%13/24	36%8/22

Old Dominion

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%3/6	33%1/3
2	75%3/4	40%2/5
3	50%2/4	0%0/2
4	100%2/2	78%7/9
5	67%2/3	33%1/3
6	67%2/3	0%0/2
All	64%14/22	46%11/24

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

148 rallies

Rally log

#	NAVY-ODU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	ODU	ODU×3	Attack err	Grace Burgoyne		+2.3
2	0-2	ODU	ODU×3	Kill	Leilani Lawrence		+2.3
3	0-3	ODU	ODU×3	Attack err	Farrah Eike		+2.2
4	1-3	ODU	NAVY×5	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Isa Boyd	+1.6
5	2-3	NAVY	NAVY×5	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Isa Boyd	+2.3
6	3-3	NAVY	NAVY×5	Ace	NAVY server	aced Elisa Maggi	+2.5
7	4-3	NAVY	NAVY×5	Ace	NAVY server	aced Leilani Lawrence	+2.6
8	5-3	NAVY	NAVY×5	Kill	Grace Burgoyne	set Isa Boyd	+2.6
9	5-4	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Ashlyn Gent	+1.9
10	6-4	ODU	NAVY×3	Serve err	ODU server		+2.1
11	7-4	NAVY	NAVY×3	Ace	NAVY server	aced Leilani Lawrence	+2.6
12	8-4	NAVY	NAVY×3	Kill	Farrah Eike		+2.5
13	8-5	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Emma DiRocco	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.7
14	9-5	ODU	NAVY	Attack err	Katie Rakoski		+2.0
15	10-5	NAVY	NAVY	Attack err	Katie Rakoski	blk Caroline Buffum, Avery Maddux	+2.3
16	10-6	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Katie Rakoski	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.5
17	11-6	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Ellen Gundlach	set Caroline Adams	+1.8
18	11-7	NAVY	ODU	Attack err	Ellen Gundlach		+1.5
19	11-8	ODU	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+2.3
20	12-8	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Siena Morgan	set Caroline Adams	+2.1
21	12-9	NAVY	ODU	Serve err	NAVY server		+1.8
22	12-10	ODU	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+2.7
23	13-10	ODU	NAVY	Serve err	ODU server		+2.4
24	13-11	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Elisa Maggi	+2.1
25	13-12	ODU	ODU	Attack err	Siena Morgan	blk Leilani Lawrence, Emma DiRocco	+3.1
26	14-12	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Isa Boyd	+2.7
27	15-12	NAVY	NAVY	Ace	NAVY server	aced Leilani Lawrence	+3.3
28	15-13	NAVY	ODU×5	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+2.2
29	15-14	ODU	ODU×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.3
30	15-15	ODU	ODU×5	Kill	Elisa Maggi	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+3.7
31	15-16	ODU	ODU×5	Ace	ODU server	aced Farrah Eike	+3.8
32	15-17	ODU	ODU×5	Attack err	Farrah Eike		+3.7
33	16-17	ODU	NAVY×5	Serve err	ODU server		+2.7
34	17-17	NAVY	NAVY×5	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Caroline Adams	+4.0
35	18-17	NAVY	NAVY×5	Attack err	Emma DiRocco		+4.4
36	19-17	NAVY	NAVY×5	Ace	NAVY server	aced Ashlyn Gent	+4.5
37	20-17	NAVY	NAVY×5	Ace	NAVY server	aced Leilani Lawrence	+4.1
38	20-18	NAVY	ODU	Serve err	NAVY server		+2.4
39	21-18	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Caroline Adams	+3.3
40	21-19	NAVY	ODU×4	Kill	Katie Rakoski	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+2.4
41	21-20	ODU	ODU×4	Kill	Wiktoria Zagumny	set Adrienne Peji	+4.4
42	21-21	ODU	ODU×4	Kill	Elisa Maggi	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+5.6
43	21-22	ODU	ODU×4	Attack err	Ellen Gundlach		+6.3
44	22-22	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Ellen Gundlach	set Amara Chambers	+4.8
45	23-22	NAVY	NAVY	Attack err	Leilani Lawrence		+7.8
46	23-23	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Elisa Maggi	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+5.7
47	23-24	ODU	ODU	Kill	Emma Schelah	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+9.6
48	24-24	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Ellen Gundlach	set Caroline Adams	+7.4
49	24-25	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+7.4
50	25-25	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Caroline Buffum	set Isa Boyd	+7.4
51	25-26	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+7.4
52	26-26	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Amara Chambers	+7.4
53	26-27	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+7.4
54	27-27	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Isa Boyd	+7.4
55	27-28	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Elisa Maggi	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+7.4
56	27-29	ODU	ODU	Kill	Elisa Maggi	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+9.2
Set 2
1	0-1	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.7
2	1-1	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Grace Burgoyne	set Isa Boyd	+1.7
3	1-2	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.7
4	2-2	ODU	NAVY	Serve err	ODU server		+1.7
5	3-2	NAVY	NAVY	Ace	NAVY server	aced Elisa Maggi	+2.3
6	3-3	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Katie Rakoski	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.8
7	4-3	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Caroline Adams	set Farrah Eike	+1.8
8	4-4	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Emma Schelah	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.8
9	4-5	ODU	ODU	Kill	Emma Schelah		+2.4
10	5-5	ODU	NAVY	Serve err	ODU server		+1.8
11	5-6	NAVY	ODU	Attack err	Caroline Buffum	blk Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.9
12	6-6	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Ellen Gundlach	set Caroline Adams	+1.9
13	7-6	NAVY	NAVY	Attack err	Leilani Lawrence	blk Grace Burgoyne, Siena Morgan	+2.6
14	7-7	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Adrienne Peji	+1.9
15	7-8	ODU	ODU	Ace	ODU server	aced Caroline Buffum	+2.6
16	8-8	ODU	NAVY×4	Kill	Caroline Buffum	set Isa Boyd	+2.0
17	9-8	NAVY	NAVY×4	Kill	Grace Burgoyne	set Amara Chambers	+2.7
18	10-8	NAVY	NAVY×4	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Amara Chambers	+2.8
19	11-8	NAVY	NAVY×4	Serve err	NAVY server		+2.7
20	11-9	NAVY	ODU	Serve err	NAVY server		+1.9
21	11-10	ODU	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+2.7
22	12-10	ODU	NAVY	Serve err	ODU server		+2.3
23	12-11	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Emma DiRocco	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+2.1
24	13-11	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Isa Boyd	+2.4
25	14-11	NAVY	NAVY	Attack err	Katie Rakoski		+2.9
26	14-12	NAVY	ODU×8	Kill	Katie Rakoski	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+2.0
27	14-13	ODU	ODU×8	Kill	Katie Rakoski		+2.9
28	14-14	ODU	ODU×8	Attack err	Farrah Eike		+3.2
29	14-15	ODU	ODU×8	Kill	Emma Schelah	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+3.3
30	14-16	ODU	ODU×8	Attack err	Farrah Eike	blk Emma Schelah, Katie Rakoski	+3.2
31	14-17	ODU	ODU×8	Kill	Elisa Maggi	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+2.9
32	14-18	ODU	ODU×8	Kill	Katie Rakoski	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+2.4
33	14-19	ODU	ODU×8	Kill	Emma Schelah	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.8
34	15-19	ODU	NAVY	Attack err	Katie Rakoski		+1.0
35	15-20	NAVY	ODU	Serve err	NAVY server		+1.4
36	16-20	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Avery Maddux	set Caroline Adams	+0.9
37	17-20	NAVY	NAVY	Ace	NAVY server	aced Ashlyn Gent	+1.8
38	17-21	NAVY	ODU	Serve err	NAVY server		+2.0
39	18-21	ODU	NAVY	Attack err	Leilani Lawrence		+1.3
40	18-22	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Emma Schelah	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.9
41	19-22	ODU	NAVY	Serve err	ODU server		+1.2
42	19-23	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.9
43	19-24	ODU	ODU	Kill	Katie Rakoski	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.1
44	20-24	ODU	NAVY	Serve err	ODU server		+0.2
45	21-24	NAVY	NAVY	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Isa Boyd	+0.7
46	21-25	NAVY	ODU	Serve err	NAVY server		+1.2
Set 3
1	0-1	ODU	ODU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.3
2	1-1	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Siena Morgan	set Isa Boyd	+1.0
3	1-2	NAVY	ODU	Serve err	NAVY server		+1.0
4	1-3	ODU	ODU	Attack err	Avery Maddux		+1.3
5	2-3	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Isa Boyd	+1.0
6	2-4	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Elisa Maggi	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.0
7	3-4	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Caroline Adams	+1.0
8	4-4	NAVY	NAVY	Bad set	Wiktoria Zagumny		+1.4
9	4-5	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Katie Rakoski	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.1
10	5-5	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Caroline Buffum	set Amara Chambers	+1.1
11	5-6	NAVY	ODU×3	Attack err	Ellen Gundlach		+1.1
12	5-7	ODU	ODU×3	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.4
13	5-8	ODU	ODU×3	Ace	ODU server	aced Farrah Eike	+1.4
14	6-8	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Siena Morgan	set Caroline Adams	+1.0
15	7-8	NAVY	NAVY	Attack err	Leilani Lawrence	blk Siena Morgan, Grace Burgoyne	+1.4
16	7-9	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.2
17	8-9	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Caroline Buffum	set Isa Boyd	+1.1
18	8-10	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Elisa Maggi	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.2
19	9-10	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Isa Boyd	+1.2
20	10-10	NAVY	NAVY	Kill	Farrah Eike		+1.7
21	10-11	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.3
22	11-11	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Isa Boyd	+1.3
23	11-12	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Emma DiRocco	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.4
24	12-12	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Avery Maddux	set Caroline Adams	+1.4
25	13-12	NAVY	NAVY	Kill	Avery Maddux	set Caroline Adams	+1.9
26	13-13	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Elisa Maggi	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.4
27	13-14	ODU	ODU	Bad set	Caroline Adams		+1.9
28	14-14	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Caroline Buffum	set Caroline Adams	+1.5
29	14-15	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Elisa Maggi	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.5
30	14-16	ODU	ODU	Attack err	Siena Morgan		+2.0
31	15-16	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Caroline Buffum	set Caroline Adams	+1.4
32	15-17	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Adrienne Peji		+1.6
33	16-17	ODU	NAVY	Serve err	ODU server		+1.5
34	16-18	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.7
35	17-18	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Siena Morgan	set Isa Boyd	+1.5
36	18-18	NAVY	NAVY	Attack err	Leilani Lawrence		+2.4
37	18-19	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Leilani Lawrence	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+2.0
38	19-19	ODU	NAVY	Kill	Farrah Eike	set Amara Chambers	+2.0
39	19-20	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Emma DiRocco	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+2.2
40	20-20	ODU	NAVY	Attack err	Elisa Maggi		+2.2
41	20-21	NAVY	ODU×3	Kill	Elisa Maggi	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+2.4
42	20-22	ODU	ODU×3	Attack err	Ellen Gundlach	blk Emma Schelah, Wiktoria Zagumny	+3.0
43	20-23	ODU	ODU×3	Attack err	Ellen Gundlach		+2.3
44	21-23	ODU	NAVY	Serve err	ODU server		+1.1
45	21-24	NAVY	ODU	Kill	Emma Schelah	set Wiktoria Zagumny	+1.8
46	21-25	ODU	ODU	Attack err	Ellen Gundlach	blk Emma Schelah, Wiktoria Zagumny	+0.9

Score shown after each rally, Navy first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.