Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026 · Neutral site

Navy def. UMES 3–1

Navy beat UMES 3-1 (20-25, 25-20, 25-21, 25-17) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026 at a neutral site. Navy's Ellen Gundlach led with 13 kills, and Amara Chambers added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set1234Sets
NAVY202525253
UMES252021171

Win probability

UMES above 50 · Navy below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.6% UMESrally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.6% to UMES — set 1, NAVY 17-20 UMES. Farrah Eike stuffed by Rayah Howell & Dynasty Andrews. UMES win probability 14% → 17%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NAVY 92.3%7.7% UMES

Navy wins

3-0
48.8%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
12.4%

UMES wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.3%
3-2
4.5%
NAVY break %
48.7% vs this opp
UMES break %
37.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Farrah Eike stuffed by Rayah Howell & Dynasty Andrews

    Set 1 · NAVY 17-20 UMES · UMES 14% → 17%

  2. 02

    Kill by Karielys Melendez (set by Arianna Warner Torres)

    Set 1 · NAVY 17-21 UMES · UMES 17% → 19%

  3. 03

    Grace Burgoyne stuffed by Dynasty Andrews & Shayla Henry

    Set 1 · NAVY 19-23 UMES · UMES 18% → 21%

  4. 04
    NavyService error+2.3%

    Navy service error

    Set 1 · NAVY 19-22 UMES · UMES 16% → 18%

  5. 05

    Siena Morgan stuffed by Kyra Bradford & Dynasty Andrews

    Set 1 · NAVY 15-18 UMES · UMES 13% → 16%

  6. 06
    Caroline BuffumAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Caroline Buffum

    Set 1 · NAVY 15-17 UMES · UMES 11% → 13%

  7. 07
    Shayla HenryKill+2.1%

    Kill by Shayla Henry (set by Kate - Linh Eden)

    Set 2 · NAVY 4-4 UMES · UMES 21% → 23%

  8. 08
    NavyAce+2.0%

    Navy ace

    Set 1 · NAVY 17-18 UMES · NAVY 86% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Navyaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412231.3232144200013
46212.33300010254.510.5
4729.55601330031.59.5
43310.000000000214
4001.0001912800001
4000–110500001
413223.47800020052.515.5
4111038.0260005000011
4000–3141310001
3000–2113700001
2001.00040120010.50.5
1102.500000000001
Team totals5321127.252506175032161095
UMEShome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48419.2110003014311
49215.46700000010.59.5
481029-.069111900009
44314.07100130174.58.5
4002.0002622110010.52.5
4000–001610000
411434.2060021002112
4011-1.0004001630000
3229.00000010010.52.5
3000–600200000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4226123.13037375262161083

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NAVY · UMES 4

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 2 NAVYUMES 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 3 NAVYUMES 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 NAVYUMES 4

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 4 NAVYUMES 2

Bars above the line = UMES leads, below = Navy leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Navy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%11/23
59%13/22
2
52%11/21
31%5/16
3
89%8/9
53%10/19
4
80%8/10
27%3/11
5
100%8/8
50%8/16
6
62%8/13
20%2/10
All
64%54/84
44%41/94

UMES

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
52%11/21
2
71%10/14
42%8/19
3
53%8/15
36%5/14
4
57%8/14
27%3/11
5
57%8/14
0%0/8
6
53%8/15
27%3/11
All
56%53/94
36%30/84

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

178 rallies

#NAVY-UMESSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UMESNAVYServe errUMES+0.6
22-0NAVYNAVYBlockedDynasty Andrewsblk Grace Burgoyne, Avery Maddux+0.7
32-1NAVYUMESServe errNavy+0.6
42-2UMESUMESKillDynasty Andrews+0.9
53-2UMESNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+0.6
64-2NAVYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+0.8
74-3NAVYUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden+0.6
85-3UMESNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Caroline Adams+0.6
95-4NAVYUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+0.6
105-5UMESUMESKillShayla Henryset Jocelyn Torres+1.0
116-5UMESNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+0.7
126-6NAVYUMESServe errNavy+0.8
137-6UMESNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Farrah Eike+0.7
148-6NAVYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+0.9
158-7NAVYUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Jocelyn Torres+0.7
169-7UMESNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+0.7
1710-7NAVYNAVYAttack errKyra Bradford+0.8
1810-8NAVYUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Jocelyn Torres+0.6
1910-9UMESUMESAceUMESaced Amara Chambers+1.0
2011-9UMESNAVYKillGrace Burgoyneset Isa Boyd+0.7
2111-10NAVYUMESServe errNavy+0.8
2212-10UMESNAVYAttack errArianna Warner Torres+0.8
2312-11NAVYUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+0.8
2413-11UMESNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Caroline Adams+0.8
2513-12NAVYUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+0.9
2613-13UMESUMESAttack errAvery Maddux+1.4
2714-13UMESNAVYAttack errKarielys Melendez+1.0
2814-14NAVYUMESKillKyra Bradfordset Jocelyn Torres+1.1
2915-14UMESNAVYServe errUMES+1.1
3015-15NAVYUMES×4KillKarielys Melendezset Jocelyn Torres+1.2
3115-16UMESUMES×4KillKarielys Melendez+1.9
3215-17UMESUMES×4Attack errCaroline Buffum+2.2
3315-18UMESUMES×4BlockedSiena Morganblk Kyra Bradford, Dynasty Andrews+2.3
3416-18UMESNAVYBlockedKarielys Melendezblk Siena Morgan, Caroline Adams+1.3
3517-18NAVYNAVYAceNavy+2.0
3617-19NAVYUMES×3KillKyra Bradfordset Karielys Melendez+2.0
3717-20UMESUMES×3BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Rayah Howell, Dynasty Andrews+2.6
3817-21UMESUMES×3KillKarielys Melendezset Arianna Warner Torres+2.3
3918-21UMESNAVYAttack errKarielys Melendez+1.1
4019-21NAVYNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Isa Boyd+1.9
4119-22NAVYUMES×3Serve errNavy+2.3
4219-23UMESUMES×3BlockedGrace Burgoyneblk Dynasty Andrews, Shayla Henry+2.3
4319-24UMESUMES×3BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Dynasty Andrews, Rayah Howell+1.3
4420-24UMESNAVYAttack errDynasty Andrews+0.2
4520-25NAVYUMESServe errNavy+0.6
Set 2
11-0NAVYNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Caroline Adams+1.8
22-0NAVYNAVY×3BlockedRayah Howellblk Siena Morgan+1.6
33-0NAVYNAVY×3BlockedRayah Howellblk Siena Morgan, Ellen Gundlach+1.3
43-1NAVYUMESServe errNavy+1.1
53-2UMESUMESAttack errEllen Gundlach+1.7
64-2UMESNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Kinamoni Jerome+1.2
74-3NAVYUMESKillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden+1.4
84-4UMESUMESKillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden+2.1
95-4UMESNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Kinamoni Jerome+1.5
106-4NAVYNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Isa Boyd+1.8
116-5NAVYUMESKillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden+1.5
127-5UMESNAVYBad setJocelyn Torres+1.4
137-6NAVYUMESAttack errGrace Burgoyne+1.5
148-6UMESNAVYAttack errShayla Henry+1.4
158-7NAVYUMESServe errNavy+1.6
169-7UMESNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+1.5
1710-7NAVYNAVYAttack errKyra Bradford+1.7
1810-8NAVYUMESServe errNavy+1.3
1911-8UMESNAVYKillSiena Morganset Kinamoni Jerome+1.3
2012-8NAVYNAVYBlockedRayah Howellblk Ellen Gundlach, Siena Morgan+1.4
2112-9NAVYUMESServe errNavy+1.0
2213-9UMESNAVYBlockedShayla Henryblk Ellen Gundlach, Siena Morgan+1.1
2313-10NAVYUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+1.0
2413-11UMESUMESKillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden+1.8
2514-11UMESNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Kinamoni Jerome+1.5
2615-11NAVYNAVYAceNavyaced Arianna Warner Torres+1.6
2715-12NAVYUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+1.1
2816-12UMESNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+1.2
2916-13NAVYUMESAttack errGrace Burgoyne+1.1
3017-13UMESNAVY×3Serve errUMES+1.2
3118-13NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Arianna Warner Torres+1.2
3219-13NAVYNAVY×3Attack errKarielys Melendez+0.7
3319-14NAVYUMESServe errNavy+0.4
3420-14UMESNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+0.5
3520-15NAVYUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Jocelyn Torres+0.3
3621-15UMESNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+0.5
3722-15NAVYNAVYAttack errKarielys Melendez+0.3
3822-16NAVYUMESServe errNavy+0.1
3922-17UMESUMESBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Rayah Howell+0.3
4023-17UMESNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+0.3
4124-17NAVYNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+0.1
4224-18NAVYUMES×3KillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden·
4324-19UMESUMES×3BlockedEllen Gundlachblk Malaysia Shaw, Shayla Henry+0.1
4424-20UMESUMES×3Attack errCaroline Buffum+0.2
4525-20UMESNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Farrah Eike+0.3
Set 3
11-0UMESNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+1.2
22-0NAVYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Kinamoni Jerome+1.4
32-1NAVYUMESServe errNavy+1.1
42-2UMESUMESBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Dynasty Andrews, Rayah Howell+1.8
53-2UMESNAVYBlockedShayla Henryblk Ellen Gundlach, Avery Maddux+1.3
64-2NAVYNAVYAttack errRayah Howell+1.5
74-3NAVYUMESServe errNavy+1.2
85-3UMESNAVYServe errUMES+1.1
95-4NAVYUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+1.3
106-4UMESNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.2
117-4NAVYNAVY×4KillGrace Burgoyneset Ally Alessio+1.4
128-4NAVYNAVY×4KillFarrah Eike+1.1
139-4NAVYNAVY×4KillSiena Morgan+0.9
149-5NAVYUMESKillShayla Henryset Isa Boyd+0.6
1510-5UMESNAVYAttack errKyra Bradford+0.7
1610-6NAVYUMESServe errNavy+0.6
1711-6UMESNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+0.7
1812-6NAVYNAVY×3BlockedKarielys Melendezblk Ellen Gundlach, Siena Morgan+0.7
1913-6NAVYNAVY×3KillSiena Morganset Kinamoni Jerome+0.5
2013-7NAVYUMES×4KillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden+0.3
2113-8UMESUMES×4KillKarielys Melendezset Arianna Warner Torres+0.6
2213-9UMESUMES×4Attack errCaroline Buffum+0.8
2313-10UMESUMES×4Attack errCaroline Buffum+1.2
2414-10UMESNAVYServe errUMES+1.0
2515-10NAVYNAVYAttack errDynasty Andrews+1.0
2615-11NAVYUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+0.7
2715-12UMESUMESAceUMESaced Farrah Eike+1.2
2816-12UMESNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Kinamoni Jerome+1.1
2917-12NAVYNAVYBad setKate - Linh Eden+1.0
3017-13NAVYUMESKillShayla Henryset Arianna Warner Torres+0.6
3118-13UMESNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+0.8
3218-14NAVYUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+0.6
3319-14UMESNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Isa Boyd+0.8
3419-15NAVYUMESKillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden+0.6
3520-15UMESNAVYServe errUMES+0.7
3620-16NAVYUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+0.5
3721-16UMESNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+0.7
3822-16NAVYNAVY×3Attack errKarielys Melendez+0.5
3923-16NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Lila Bryant+0.2
4023-17NAVYUMES×4Serve errNavy+0.1
4123-18UMESUMES×4AceUMESaced Farrah Eike+0.1
4223-19UMESUMES×4KillRayah Howellset Arianna Warner Torres+0.3
4323-20UMESUMES×4KillKarielys Melendezset Kate - Linh Eden+0.8
4424-20UMESNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Kinamoni Jerome+1.0
4524-21NAVYUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+0.3
4625-21UMESNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+0.7
Set 4
11-0NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.2
22-0NAVYNAVYAttack errShayla Henry+1.0
32-1NAVYUMESServe errNavy+0.8
42-2UMESUMESAttack errCaroline Buffum+1.3
53-2UMESNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+0.9
63-3NAVYUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+1.0
73-4UMESUMESKillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden+1.6
84-4UMESNAVY×4KillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+1.1
95-4NAVYNAVY×4KillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+1.3
106-4NAVYNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.2
117-4NAVYNAVY×4AceNavyaced Arianna Warner Torres+1.0
127-5NAVYUMESAttack errAvery Maddux+0.8
138-5UMESNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Isa Boyd+0.8
148-6NAVYUMESServe errNavy+0.8
159-6UMESNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+0.8
1610-6NAVYNAVYAttack errKarielys Melendez+0.9
1710-7NAVYUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Kate - Linh Eden+0.6
1811-7UMESNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Kinamoni Jerome+0.7
1911-8NAVYUMESAttack errCaroline Buffum+0.6
2011-9UMESUMESBlockedSiena Morganblk Dynasty Andrews+1.1
2112-9UMESNAVYServe errUMES+0.9
2212-10NAVYUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+0.9
2313-10UMESNAVYAttack errMalaysia Shaw+0.9
2413-11NAVYUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+0.9
2514-11UMESNAVY×3BlockedMalaysia Shawblk Siena Morgan+1.0
2615-11NAVYNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.0
2716-11NAVYNAVY×3KillAvery Maddux+0.7
2816-12NAVYUMESKillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden+0.5
2916-13UMESUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+0.9
3017-13UMESNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+0.8
3118-13NAVYNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+0.7
3219-13NAVYNAVY×4KillGrace Burgoyneset Kinamoni Jerome+0.5
3320-13NAVYNAVY×4AceNavy+0.3
3420-14NAVYUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+0.1
3521-14UMESNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+0.2
3622-14NAVYNAVY×3BlockedKarielys Melendezblk Avery Maddux, Grace Burgoyne+0.1
3723-14NAVYNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome·
3823-15NAVYUMESBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Dynasty Andrews, Kate - Linh Eden·
3924-15UMESNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome·
4024-16NAVYUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Kate - Linh Eden·
4124-17UMESUMESBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Dynasty Andrews, Rayah Howell·
4225-17UMESNAVYAttack errKarielys Melendez·

Score shown after each rally, Navy first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).