FinalSun, Oct 11, 2026Watch on ESPN+, Patriot League TV

Lehigh def. Navy 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Lehigh 88.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Lehigh won at Navy 3-0 (26-24, 25-21, 25-22) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Lehigh's Olivia Lasee led with 12 kills.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set123Sets
LEHIGH2625253
NAVY2421220

Match story · written from the play-by-play

All three sets were decided by four or fewer, and Lehigh won each one.

The biggest single-rally swing was 5.1 points, and Navy's high was 22% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. Lehigh went in as RallyIQ's 89% pick.

LehighNavy
  • Longest run+3
    74

    7 straight Lehigh points in the first set turned a 14–18 deficit into a 21–18 lead. That set ended 26–24.

Navy above 50Lehigh belowMax swing 5.1%

LehighNavy

Hitting
Lehigh .198·Navy .177
Aces
Lehigh 7·Navy 1
Serve err
Lehigh 10·Navy 8
Blocks
Lehigh 10·Navy 101 BS · 18 BA vs 1 BS · 18 BA
Digs
Lehigh 38·Navy 34

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Navy above 50 · Lehigh below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.1% NAVYrally 143 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.1% to Navy — set 1, LEHIGH 24-24 NAVY. Mary Massias stuffed by Avery Maddux & Grace Burgoyne. NAVY win probability 9% → 14%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LEHIGH 89.2%10.8% NAVY

Lehigh wins

3-0
43.1%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.5%

Navy wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
6.0%
LEHIGH break %
47.1% vs this opp
NAVY break %
37.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Mary Massias stuffed by Avery Maddux & Grace Burgoyne

    Set 1 · LEHIGH 24-24 NAVY · NAVY 9% → 14%

  2. 02
    Ufuoma OmeneKill+4.3%

    Kill by Ufuoma Omene (set by Abby Felkai)

    Set 1 · LEHIGH 26-24 NAVY · LEHIGH 90% → 94%

  3. 03
    NavyService error+3.8%

    Navy service error

    Set 1 · LEHIGH 25-24 NAVY · LEHIGH 86% → 90%

  4. 04
    LehighAce+2.6%

    Lehigh ace on Caroline Buffum

    Set 1 · LEHIGH 18-18 NAVY · LEHIGH 84% → 86%

  5. 05
    LehighAce+2.5%

    Lehigh ace on Caroline Buffum

    Set 1 · LEHIGH 19-18 NAVY · LEHIGH 86% → 89%

  6. 06
    Mary MassiasAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Mary Massias

    Set 1 · LEHIGH 14-18 NAVY · NAVY 20% → 22%

  7. 07
    Ufuoma OmeneKill+2.5%

    Kill by Ufuoma Omene (set by Abby Felkai)

    Set 1 · LEHIGH 24-22 NAVY · LEHIGH 90% → 93%

  8. 08
    Paighton ErbKill+2.4%

    Kill by Paighton Erb

    Set 1 · LEHIGH 17-18 NAVY · LEHIGH 81% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Lehighaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312118.61102400153.517.5
39322.27310030031.510.5
37620.05012151010.59.5
35424.04200190031.56.5
3438.12500000031.55.5
3000–1901600000
37519.10500020031.58.5
3000–322900002
3000–1711300001
3000–000100000
Team totals4422111.198417103811181076
Navyhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38326.19200111010.58.5
37215.333100000218
36827-.074002640217
3306.500011000637
3318.25000000132.55.5
31011.0001801700001
31011.000201900001
3000–801900000
2316.333000100214
2015-.200000000211
2000–000010000
11011.000000000001
1000–001000000
1000–000100000
Team totals331696.17729183471181067

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Lehigh vs Navy

Season series · Lehigh leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 LEHIGH · NAVY 4

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 7 LEHIGHNAVY 2

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 5 LEHIGHNAVY 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 LEHIGHNAVY 4

Bars above the line = Navy leads, below = Lehigh leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Lehigh

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
68%15/22
2
60%9/15
18%2/11
3
78%7/9
50%7/14
4
58%7/12
13%1/8
5
67%6/9
45%5/11
6
55%6/11
25%2/8
All
64%44/69
43%32/74

Navy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
38%5/13
2
62%8/13
31%4/13
3
78%7/9
20%2/10
4
55%6/11
46%6/13
5
67%6/9
33%3/9
6
43%6/14
45%5/11
All
57%42/74
36%25/69

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

143 rallies

#LEHIGH-NAVYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NAVYNAVYAttack errPaighton Erb+1.3
21-1NAVYLEHIGHKillPaighton Erbset Grace Slovensky+0.9
31-2LEHIGHNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.0
42-2NAVYLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.9
52-3LEHIGHNAVYAttack errOlivia Lasee+1.0
63-3NAVYLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+0.9
73-4LEHIGHNAVYServe errLehigh+1.1
83-5NAVYNAVYKillAmara Chambersset Abby Felkai+1.6
94-5NAVYLEHIGHBlockedFarrah Eikeblk Olivia Lasee, Ufuoma Omene+1.0
105-5LEHIGHLEHIGHAceLehighaced Caroline Buffum+1.4
115-6LEHIGHNAVYServe errLehigh+1.1
125-7NAVYNAVYAttack errUfuoma Omene+1.7
136-7NAVYLEHIGHServe errNavy+1.1
146-8LEHIGHNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+1.3
156-9NAVYNAVYBad setSophia Bond+1.9
167-9NAVYLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+1.2
178-9LEHIGHLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Sophia Bond+1.7
188-10LEHIGHNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Amara Chambers+1.4
199-10NAVYLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+1.2
2010-10LEHIGHLEHIGHKillOlivia Lasee+1.7
2110-11LEHIGHNAVYServe errLehigh+1.4
2210-12NAVYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.0
2311-12NAVYLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Grace Slovensky+1.3
2411-13LEHIGHNAVYAttack errAlysia Fingall+1.6
2512-13NAVYLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+1.4
2612-14LEHIGHNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.7
2712-15NAVYNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Amara Chambers+2.4
2813-15NAVYLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+1.4
2913-16LEHIGHNAVYServe errLehigh+1.9
3014-16NAVYLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+1.5
3114-17LEHIGHNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Kinamoni Jerome+2.0
3214-18NAVYNAVYAttack errMary Massias+2.5
3315-18NAVYLEHIGH×7KillPaighton Erbset Grace Slovensky+1.3
3416-18LEHIGHLEHIGH×7KillNatalie Luscombset Sophia Bond+2.2
3517-18LEHIGHLEHIGH×7KillPaighton Erb+2.4
3618-18LEHIGHLEHIGH×7AceLehighaced Caroline Buffum+2.6
3719-18LEHIGHLEHIGH×7AceLehighaced Caroline Buffum+2.5
3820-18LEHIGHLEHIGH×7Attack errCaroline Buffum+2.2
3921-18LEHIGHLEHIGH×7Attack errCaroline Buffum+1.7
4021-19LEHIGHNAVYKillPaige Buzzerioset Kinamoni Jerome+1.0
4122-19NAVYLEHIGHServe errNavy+1.3
4222-20LEHIGHNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+0.9
4322-21NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.1
4423-21NAVYLEHIGHServe errNavy+2.1
4523-22LEHIGHNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.6
4624-22NAVYLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+2.5
4724-23LEHIGHNAVYKillIsa Boydset Ellen Gundlach+1.4
4824-24NAVYNAVYBlockedMary Massiasblk Avery Maddux, Grace Burgoyne+5.1
4925-24NAVYLEHIGHServe errNavy+3.8
5026-24LEHIGHLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+4.3
Set 2
11-0LEHIGHLEHIGH×5BlockedSiena Morganblk Olivia Lasee+0.7
22-0LEHIGHLEHIGH×5Attack errCaroline Buffum+0.7
33-0LEHIGHLEHIGH×5AceLehighaced Caroline Buffum+0.6
44-0LEHIGHLEHIGH×5KillAlysia Fingallset Grace Slovensky+0.5
55-0LEHIGHLEHIGH×5AceLehigh+0.4
65-1LEHIGHNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+0.3
76-1NAVYLEHIGHBlockedEllen Gundlachblk Alysia Fingall, Olivia Lasee+0.3
86-2LEHIGHNAVYServe errLehigh+0.3
97-2NAVYLEHIGHAttack errUfuoma Omene+0.3
108-2LEHIGHLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+0.3
118-3LEHIGHNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+0.2
128-4NAVYNAVY×3BlockedUfuoma Omeneblk Farrah Eike, Avery Maddux+0.4
138-5NAVYNAVY×3Attack errUfuoma Omene+0.5
149-5NAVYLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Sophia Bond+0.4
159-6LEHIGHNAVYServe errLehigh+0.4
1610-6NAVYLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Abby Felkai+0.4
1710-7LEHIGHNAVYServe errLehigh+0.4
1811-7NAVYLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.4
1911-8LEHIGHNAVYServe errLehigh+0.4
2012-8NAVYLEHIGH×3KillAlysia Fingallset Grace Slovensky+0.4
2113-8LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillOlivia Laseeset Grace Slovensky+0.5
2214-8LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.3
2314-9LEHIGHNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+0.2
2415-9NAVYLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Grace Slovensky+0.2
2515-10LEHIGHNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+0.2
2615-11NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eike+0.4
2716-11NAVYLEHIGHServe errNavy+0.3
2816-12LEHIGHNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+0.3
2917-12NAVYLEHIGHAttack errFarrah Eike+0.3
3018-12LEHIGHLEHIGHAttack errGrace Burgoyne+0.3
3118-13LEHIGHNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Kinamoni Jerome+0.2
3218-14NAVYNAVYBlockedMary Massiasblk Avery Maddux, Grace Burgoyne+0.4
3319-14NAVYLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Abby Felkai+0.3
3420-14LEHIGHLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Grace Slovensky+0.3
3520-15LEHIGHNAVYAttack errMary Massias+0.1
3620-16NAVYNAVYBlockedNatalie Luscombblk Siena Morgan, Izzy Picard+0.3
3721-16NAVYLEHIGHServe errNavy+0.3
3821-17LEHIGHNAVYAttack errAlysia Fingall+0.2
3921-18NAVYNAVYAttack errNatalie Luscomb+0.5
4022-18NAVYLEHIGHBad setIsa Boyd+0.5
4122-19LEHIGHNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+0.3
4223-19NAVYLEHIGHServe errNavy+0.5
4323-20LEHIGHNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+0.3
4423-21NAVYNAVYBlockedUfuoma Omeneblk Ellen Gundlach, Avery Maddux+0.7
4524-21NAVYLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+0.9
4625-21LEHIGHLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+0.4
Set 3
11-0NAVYLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Grace Slovensky+0.3
21-1LEHIGHNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+0.3
32-1NAVYLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Mary Massias+0.3
43-1LEHIGHLEHIGHBlockedEllen Gundlachblk Olivia Lasee, Alysia Fingall+0.3
53-2LEHIGHNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+0.3
64-2NAVYLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+0.2
74-3LEHIGHNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+0.3
84-4NAVYNAVYKillIzzy Picardset Kinamoni Jerome+0.4
95-4NAVYLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Abby Felkai+0.3
106-4LEHIGHLEHIGHAceLehighaced Baylee Doolan+0.4
116-5LEHIGHNAVYServe errLehigh+0.3
126-6NAVYNAVYBlockedUfuoma Omeneblk Caroline Buffum, Avery Maddux+0.5
137-6NAVYLEHIGHAttack errCaroline Buffum+0.3
147-7LEHIGHNAVYBlockedMary Massiasblk Avery Maddux, Izzy Picard+0.4
158-7NAVYLEHIGHServe errNavy+0.3
168-8LEHIGHNAVY×4KillIzzy Picardset Kinamoni Jerome+0.4
178-9NAVYNAVY×4Attack errPaighton Erb+0.6
188-10NAVYNAVY×4BlockedNatalie Luscombblk Caroline Buffum, Siena Morgan+0.6
198-11NAVYNAVY×4Attack errAlysia Fingall+0.7
209-11NAVYLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Grace Slovensky+0.4
2110-11LEHIGHLEHIGHBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Olivia Lasee, Natalie Luscomb+0.6
2210-12LEHIGHNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+0.5
2310-13NAVYNAVYBlockedAlysia Fingallblk Ellen Gundlach, Siena Morgan+0.7
2411-13NAVYLEHIGH×5KillOlivia Laseeset Grace Slovensky+0.4
2512-13LEHIGHLEHIGH×5AceAbby Felkaiaced Farrah Eike+0.6
2613-13LEHIGHLEHIGH×5KillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+0.6
2714-13LEHIGHLEHIGH×5BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Olivia Lasee, Ufuoma Omene+0.6
2815-13LEHIGHLEHIGH×5KillOlivia Laseeset Natalie Luscomb+0.5
2915-14LEHIGHNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+0.4
3016-14NAVYLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+0.4
3116-15LEHIGHNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+0.4
3217-15NAVYLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+0.4
3318-15LEHIGHLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Abby Felkai+0.5
3418-16LEHIGHNAVYKillIzzy Picardset Kinamoni Jerome+0.3
3519-16NAVYLEHIGH×3KillMary Massiasset Abby Felkai+0.4
3620-16LEHIGHLEHIGH×3BlockedIzzy Picardblk Paighton Erb, Mary Massias+0.4
3721-16LEHIGHLEHIGH×3BlockedCaroline Buffumblk Natalie Luscomb, Paighton Erb+0.2
3821-17LEHIGHNAVY×3Attack errMary Massias+0.1
3921-18NAVYNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+0.2
4021-19NAVYNAVY×3AceAvery Madduxaced Mary Massias+0.4
4122-19NAVYLEHIGHKillPaighton Erbset Grace Slovensky+0.4
4223-19LEHIGHLEHIGHBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Paighton Erb, Natalie Luscomb+0.3
4323-20LEHIGHNAVYBlockedPaighton Erbblk Siena Morgan+0.1
4424-20NAVYLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.2
4524-21LEHIGHNAVYServe errSophia Bond+0.1
4624-22NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+0.2
4725-22NAVYLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Grace Slovensky+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Lehigh first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).