Toledo def. Lehigh 3–1
(25-17, 17-25, 25-22, 25-22)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEHIGH | 17 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 1 |
| TOLEDO | 25 | 17 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 5.6% to Toledo — set 4, LEHIGH 21-23 TOLEDO. Bad set by Olivia Lasee. TOLEDO win probability 90% → 95%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Lehigh wins
Toledo wins
- LEHIGH break %
- 39.1% vs this opp
- TOLEDO break %
- 44.8% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01
- 02Mary MassiasAttack error+5.0%
Attack error by Mary Massias
Set 4 · LEHIGH 19-20 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 84% → 89%
- 03TOLEDO serverAce+4.5%
Toledo ace on Natalie Unkrich
Set 4 · LEHIGH 18-18 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 80% → 84%
- 04Ava SiefkeKill+4.5%
Kill by Ava Siefke (set by Madelyn Bach)
Set 4 · LEHIGH 21-22 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 85% → 90%
- 05LEHIGH serverAce+4.3%
Lehigh ace on Grace Freiberger
Set 4 · LEHIGH 18-15 TOLEDO · LEHIGH 23% → 27%
- 06Kayla OzanichKill+4.1%
Kill by Kayla Ozanich (set by Janelle Green)
Set 4 · LEHIGH 18-17 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 76% → 80%
- 07
- 08Kayla OzanichKill+3.9%
Kill by Kayla Ozanich (set by Madelyn Bach)
Set 4 · LEHIGH 20-21 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 85% → 89%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 1 | 33 | .364 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | |
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 29 | .172 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 15 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -.125 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 40 | .175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -.200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 11 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 6 | 0 | 12 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Team totals | 52 | 20 | 154 | .208 | 46 | 5 | 5 | 75 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 86 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 1 | 28 | .429 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 3 | 34 | .235 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 14 | .143 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | .333 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 14 | 9 | 46 | .109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | |
| 4 | 8 | 2 | 21 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 9 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | .143 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 59 | 24 | 173 | .202 | 58 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 92 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
17-25
Set 2
25-17
Set 3
22-25
Set 4
22-25
Bars above the line = Toledo leads, below = Lehigh leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Lehigh
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%10/20 | 53%10/19 |
| 2 | 71%10/14 | 33%5/15 |
| 3 | 63%10/16 | 33%5/15 |
| 4 | 57%8/14 | 44%8/18 |
| 5 | 67%8/12 | 11%1/9 |
| 6 | 47%7/15 | 36%4/11 |
| All | 58%53/91 | 38%33/87 |
Toledo
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 48%10/21 | 47%7/15 |
| 2 | 67%10/15 | 44%8/18 |
| 3 | 77%10/13 | 33%5/15 |
| 4 | 53%9/17 | 40%6/15 |
| 5 | 80%8/10 | 27%3/11 |
| 6 | 64%7/11 | 53%9/17 |
| All | 62%54/87 | 42%38/91 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
178 rallies
Rally log
| # | LEHIGH-TOLEDO | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Attack err | Kayla Ozanich | blk Olivia Lasee | +1.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Sierra Pertzborn | set Madelyn Bach | +1.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Attack err | Mary Massias | blk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich | +1.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH×3 | Attack err | Ava Siefke | +1.4 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×3 | Kill | Olivia Lasee | set Abby Felkai | +2.1 |
| 6 | 4-2 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×3 | Kill | Mary Massias | set Jessica Costlow | +2.2 |
| 7 | 4-3 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Madelyn Bach | +1.5 |
| 8 | 5-3 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Attack err | Sierra Pertzborn | blk Ufuoma Omene | +1.7 |
| 9 | 6-3 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH | Attack err | Ava Siefke | +2.4 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Attack err | Olivia Lasee | blk Lilly Merk, Ava Siefke | +1.5 |
| 11 | 6-5 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Janelle Green | +2.2 |
| 12 | 7-5 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Attack err | Ava Siefke | +1.8 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Janelle Green | set Jessica Costlow | +1.6 |
| 14 | 7-7 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Kill | Lilly Merk | set Janelle Green | +2.3 |
| 15 | 8-7 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Ufuoma Omene | set Abby Felkai | +1.8 |
| 16 | 9-7 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH | Kill | Natalie Luscomb | set Janelle Green | +2.6 |
| 17 | 9-8 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO×5 | Kill | Sophie Catalano | set Janelle Green | +1.7 |
| 18 | 9-9 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×5 | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Janelle Green | +2.4 |
| 19 | 9-10 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×5 | Ace | TOLEDO server | aced Mary Massias | +2.3 |
| 20 | 9-11 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×5 | Ace | TOLEDO server | aced Sophia Bond | +2.2 |
| 21 | 9-12 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×5 | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Janelle Green | +1.9 |
| 22 | 10-12 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Serve err | TOLEDO server | +1.3 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Janelle Green | +1.4 |
| 24 | 10-14 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Attack err | Mary Massias | blk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich | +1.6 |
| 25 | 11-14 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Natalie Luscomb | set Madelyn Bach | +1.0 |
| 26 | 11-15 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Madelyn Bach | +1.2 |
| 27 | 11-16 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Madelyn Bach | +1.3 |
| 28 | 11-17 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Grace Freiberger | +0.9 |
| 29 | 12-17 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Natalie Luscomb | set Grace Slovensky | +0.5 |
| 30 | 13-17 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH | Attack err | Ava Siefke | +1.0 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Madelyn Bach | +0.9 |
| 32 | 13-19 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Kill | Lilly Merk | +0.8 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Attack err | Madelyn Bach | +0.4 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Madelyn Bach | +0.5 |
| 35 | 14-21 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Janelle Green | set Jessica Costlow | +0.4 |
| 36 | 14-22 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Attack err | Ufuoma Omene | +0.2 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Olivia Lasee | set Abby Felkai | +0.0 |
| 38 | 15-23 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Lilly Merk | set Janelle Green | +0.1 |
| 39 | 16-23 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Attack err | Sophie Catalano | blk Alysia Fingall, Paighton Erb | +0.0 |
| 40 | 16-24 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Janelle Green | +0.0 |
| 41 | 17-24 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Alysia Fingall | set Grace Slovensky | +0.0 |
| 42 | 17-25 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Serve err | LEHIGH server | +0.0 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×7 | Kill | Paighton Erb | set Grace Slovensky | +1.6 |
| 2 | 2-0 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×7 | Ace | LEHIGH server | aced Avery Adamski | +1.7 |
| 3 | 3-0 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×7 | Kill | Natalie Luscomb | set Grace Freiberger | +1.7 |
| 4 | 4-0 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×7 | Ace | LEHIGH server | aced Avery Adamski | +1.7 |
| 5 | 5-0 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×7 | Kill | Natalie Luscomb | set Grace Slovensky | +1.7 |
| 6 | 6-0 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×7 | Kill | Natalie Luscomb | set Grace Slovensky | +1.6 |
| 7 | 7-0 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×7 | Attack err | Jessica Costlow | +1.4 | |
| 8 | 7-1 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Madelyn Bach | set Kayla Ozanich | +0.8 |
| 9 | 7-2 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Madelyn Bach | +1.3 |
| 10 | 7-3 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Attack err | Olivia Lasee | blk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich | +1.5 |
| 11 | 8-3 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Natalie Luscomb | set Grace Slovensky | +1.3 |
| 12 | 9-3 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH | Kill | Ufuoma Omene | set Jessica Costlow | +1.6 |
| 13 | 9-4 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Attack err | Ufuoma Omene | blk Ava Siefke, Kayla Ozanich | +0.9 |
| 14 | 10-4 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH×3 | Kill | Ufuoma Omene | set Abby Felkai | +1.2 |
| 15 | 11-4 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×3 | Attack err | Sierra Pertzborn | blk Olivia Lasee, Alysia Fingall | +1.4 |
| 16 | 12-4 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×3 | Kill | Olivia Lasee | +1.1 | |
| 17 | 12-5 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Lilly Merk | set Madelyn Bach | +0.6 |
| 18 | 13-5 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Attack err | Lilly Merk | +0.8 | |
| 19 | 13-6 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Madelyn Bach | set Grace Freiberger | +0.5 |
| 20 | 13-7 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Attack err | Paighton Erb | +1.0 | |
| 21 | 13-8 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Sophie Catalano | set Janelle Green | +1.2 |
| 22 | 14-8 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Ufuoma Omene | set Abby Felkai | +1.2 |
| 23 | 14-9 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Attack err | Alysia Fingall | blk Sophie Catalano, Lilly Merk | +0.8 |
| 24 | 14-10 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Janelle Green | +1.5 |
| 25 | 15-10 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Paighton Erb | set Grace Slovensky | +1.4 |
| 26 | 15-11 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Janelle Green | +1.0 |
| 27 | 16-11 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Mary Massias | set Grace Slovensky | +1.4 |
| 28 | 16-12 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Attack err | Mary Massias | blk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich | +1.0 |
| 29 | 17-12 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Natalie Luscomb | set Grace Slovensky | +1.4 |
| 30 | 17-13 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Attack err | Mary Massias | +1.0 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Ufuoma Omene | set Abby Felkai | +1.4 |
| 32 | 18-14 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Serve err | LEHIGH server | +0.9 | |
| 33 | 19-14 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH×5 | Kill | Alysia Fingall | set Abby Felkai | +1.4 |
| 34 | 20-14 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×5 | Kill | Ufuoma Omene | set Olivia Lasee | +1.4 |
| 35 | 21-14 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×5 | Kill | Alysia Fingall | set Abby Felkai | +0.8 |
| 36 | 22-14 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×5 | Attack err | Sophie Catalano | blk Alysia Fingall, Paighton Erb | +0.4 |
| 37 | 23-14 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×5 | Attack err | Janelle Green | +0.2 | |
| 38 | 23-15 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Janelle Green | +0.0 |
| 39 | 24-15 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Alysia Fingall | set Abby Felkai | +0.1 |
| 40 | 24-16 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Serve err | LEHIGH server | +0.0 | |
| 41 | 24-17 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Ace | TOLEDO server | aced Team | +0.0 |
| 42 | 25-17 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Serve err | TOLEDO server | +0.0 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Madelyn Bach | +2.7 |
| 2 | 0-2 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Madelyn Bach | +2.5 |
| 3 | 0-3 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Attack err | Mary Massias | +2.3 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH×3 | Kill | Olivia Lasee | set Grace Slovensky | +1.6 |
| 5 | 2-3 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×3 | Kill | Abby Felkai | set Sophia Bond | +2.5 |
| 6 | 3-3 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×3 | Ace | LEHIGH server | aced Avery Adamski | +2.9 |
| 7 | 3-4 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Madelyn Bach | +2.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Mary Massias | set Sophia Bond | +2.2 |
| 9 | 4-5 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO×4 | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Grace Freiberger | +2.1 |
| 10 | 4-6 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×4 | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Madelyn Bach | +2.8 |
| 11 | 4-7 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×4 | Ace | TOLEDO server | aced Sophia Bond | +2.5 |
| 12 | 4-8 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×4 | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Madelyn Bach | +2.1 |
| 13 | 5-8 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Ufuoma Omene | set Sophia Bond | +1.4 |
| 14 | 5-9 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Grace Freiberger | +1.5 |
| 15 | 5-10 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Attack err | Alysia Fingall | blk Sierra Pertzborn | +1.8 |
| 16 | 6-10 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Attack err | Ava Siefke | +1.1 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Attack err | Grace Slovensky | +1.3 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Natalie Luscomb | set Grace Slovensky | +1.1 |
| 19 | 7-12 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Sierra Pertzborn | set Janelle Green | +1.3 |
| 20 | 7-13 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Ace | TOLEDO server | aced Mary Massias | +1.4 |
| 21 | 8-13 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Natalie Luscomb | set Grace Slovensky | +0.8 |
| 22 | 8-14 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Janelle Green | +1.0 |
| 23 | 8-15 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Kill | Sophie Catalano | set Avery Adamski | +1.0 |
| 24 | 9-15 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Natalie Luscomb | set Grace Slovensky | +0.5 |
| 25 | 9-16 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Grace Freiberger | +0.7 |
| 26 | 10-16 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Attack err | Ava Siefke | +0.5 | |
| 27 | 10-17 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Sophie Catalano | set Madelyn Bach | +0.6 |
| 28 | 11-17 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Alysia Fingall | set Sophia Bond | +0.4 |
| 29 | 11-18 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Serve err | LEHIGH server | +0.6 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Serve err | TOLEDO server | +0.4 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH | Attack err | Lilly Merk | +0.9 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Janelle Green | +0.9 |
| 33 | 14-19 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Serve err | TOLEDO server | +0.6 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH | Ace | LEHIGH server | aced Team | +1.3 |
| 35 | 15-20 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Janelle Green | +1.3 |
| 36 | 15-21 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Ace | TOLEDO server | aced Natalie Unkrich | +1.1 |
| 37 | 16-21 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH×3 | Kill | Natalie Unkrich | set Sophia Bond | +0.4 |
| 38 | 17-21 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×3 | Kill | Natalie Luscomb | set Sophia Bond | +1.0 |
| 39 | 18-21 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×3 | Attack err | Jessica Costlow | blk Natalie Luscomb, Grace Slovensky | +1.8 |
| 40 | 18-22 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Sierra Pertzborn | set Janelle Green | +1.9 |
| 41 | 19-22 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Natalie Unkrich | set Grace Slovensky | +1.1 |
| 42 | 20-22 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH | Kill | Natalie Unkrich | set Abby Felkai | +2.8 |
| 43 | 20-23 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Madelyn Bach | +3.1 |
| 44 | 21-23 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Natalie Unkrich | set Sophia Bond | +1.8 |
| 45 | 21-24 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Sophie Catalano | set Madelyn Bach | +3.1 |
| 46 | 22-24 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Ufuoma Omene | set Abby Felkai | +1.3 |
| 47 | 22-25 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Attack err | Alysia Fingall | +2.8 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Grace Freiberger | +1.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Natalie Luscomb | set Grace Slovensky | +1.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH | Kill | Natalie Unkrich | set Grace Slovensky | +2.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Madelyn Bach | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Kill | Sophie Catalano | set Madelyn Bach | +2.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Olivia Lasee | set Grace Slovensky | +1.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Madelyn Bach | +1.7 |
| 8 | 4-4 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH×4 | Kill | Ufuoma Omene | set Sophia Bond | +1.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×4 | Attack err | Ava Siefke | +2.7 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×4 | Kill | Ufuoma Omene | set Sophia Bond | +2.9 |
| 11 | 7-4 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH×4 | Attack err | Lilly Merk | +2.9 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Lilly Merk | set Madelyn Bach | +1.9 |
| 13 | 8-5 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Olivia Lasee | set Abby Felkai | +2.2 |
| 14 | 8-6 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Attack err | Ufuoma Omene | +1.9 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Alysia Fingall | set Abby Felkai | +2.3 |
| 16 | 10-6 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH | Attack err | Sierra Pertzborn | +3.1 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Sierra Pertzborn | set Janelle Green | +1.8 |
| 18 | 11-7 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Alysia Fingall | set Sophia Bond | +2.3 |
| 19 | 12-7 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH | Attack err | Sierra Pertzborn | +2.9 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO×3 | Serve err | LEHIGH server | +1.6 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Attack err | Paighton Erb | blk Kayla Ozanich | +2.7 |
| 22 | 12-10 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Jessica Costlow | set Grace Freiberger | +3.0 |
| 23 | 13-10 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Natalie Unkrich | set Grace Slovensky | +2.6 |
| 24 | 13-11 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Madelyn Bach | +2.2 |
| 25 | 14-11 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Attack err | Ava Siefke | blk Natalie Luscomb, Olivia Lasee | +2.7 |
| 26 | 14-12 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Sophie Catalano | set Grace Freiberger | +2.2 |
| 27 | 15-12 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Olivia Lasee | set Abby Felkai | +2.8 |
| 28 | 15-13 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Madelyn Bach | +2.3 |
| 29 | 16-13 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Alysia Fingall | set Sophia Bond | +2.9 |
| 30 | 16-14 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Janelle Green | +2.3 |
| 31 | 16-15 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Attack err | Ufuoma Omene | +3.7 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Serve err | TOLEDO server | +3.2 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | LEHIGH | LEHIGH | Ace | LEHIGH server | aced Grace Freiberger | +4.3 |
| 34 | 18-16 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO×3 | Attack err | Paighton Erb | +2.4 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Janelle Green | +4.1 |
| 36 | 18-18 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Ace | TOLEDO server | aced Natalie Unkrich | +4.5 |
| 37 | 19-18 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Attack err | Jessica Costlow | +3.7 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Attack err | Natalie Luscomb | +3.4 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO | Attack err | Mary Massias | +5.0 | |
| 40 | 20-20 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Mary Massias | set Grace Slovensky | +3.7 |
| 41 | 20-21 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Kayla Ozanich | set Madelyn Bach | +3.9 |
| 42 | 21-21 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Attack err | Ava Siefke | +4.0 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Madelyn Bach | +4.5 |
| 44 | 21-23 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Bad set | Olivia Lasee | +5.6 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | TOLEDO | TOLEDO×3 | Kill | Sophie Catalano | set Madelyn Bach | +3.6 |
| 46 | 22-24 | TOLEDO | LEHIGH | Kill | Ufuoma Omene | set Abby Felkai | +1.0 |
| 47 | 22-25 | LEHIGH | TOLEDO | Kill | Ava Siefke | set Grace Freiberger | +2.3 |
Score shown after each rally, Lehigh first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.