Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 10, 2026 · Neutral site

Toledo def. Lehigh 3–1

Toledo beat Lehigh 3-1 (25-17, 17-25, 25-22, 25-22) on Thu, Sep 10, 2026 at a neutral site. Toledo's Ava Siefke led with 14 kills, and Jessica Costlow added 22 digs.

Data through · final Sep 10

Set1234Sets
LEHIGH172522221
TOLEDO251725253

Win probability

Toledo above 50 · Lehigh below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.4% TOLEDOrally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.4% to Toledo — set 4, LEHIGH 21-23 TOLEDO. Bad set by Olivia Lasee. TOLEDO win probability 88% → 94%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LEHIGH 28.9%71.1% TOLEDO

Lehigh wins

3-0
5.4%
3-1
10.1%
3-2
13.4%

Toledo wins

3-0
24.0%
3-1
27.3%
3-2
19.8%
LEHIGH break %
38.8% vs this opp
TOLEDO break %
43.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Olivia LaseeBad set+6.4%

    Bad set by Olivia Lasee

    Set 4 · LEHIGH 21-23 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 88% → 94%

  2. 02
    Mary MassiasAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Mary Massias

    Set 4 · LEHIGH 19-20 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 82% → 87%

  3. 03
    ToledoAce+5.0%

    Toledo ace on Natalie Unkrich

    Set 4 · LEHIGH 18-18 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 77% → 82%

  4. 04
    Ava SiefkeKill+4.8%

    Kill by Ava Siefke (set by Madelyn Bach)

    Set 4 · LEHIGH 21-22 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 83% → 88%

  5. 05
    LehighAce+4.5%

    Lehigh ace on Grace Freiberger

    Set 4 · LEHIGH 18-15 TOLEDO · LEHIGH 26% → 30%

  6. 06
    Kayla OzanichKill+4.4%

    Kill by Kayla Ozanich (set by Janelle Green)

    Set 4 · LEHIGH 18-17 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 72% → 77%

  7. 07
    Ava SiefkeAttack error+4.3%

    Attack error by Ava Siefke

    Set 4 · LEHIGH 21-21 TOLEDO · LEHIGH 12% → 17%

  8. 08
    Kayla OzanichKill+4.3%

    Kill by Kayla Ozanich (set by Madelyn Bach)

    Set 4 · LEHIGH 20-21 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 83% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Lehighaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413133.3640002002114
48329.172012100031.510.5
47215.3331015022310
44616-.1250011220004
4012-.500191150010.51.5
1001.000000000000
411440.1750005010112
4235-.200000000213
41011.00015101600002
4000–11201620002
3000–000000000
26012.500000420006
Team totals5220154.2084655757310886
Toledohome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413128.42910010153.516.5
411334.23520022000011
45314.1430411002110
44420.000000201437
4213.33325001100002
4000–101830000
414946.1090004002115
48221.28600050010.58.5
4000–9311410003
4217.1432001500002
1000–001400000
Team totals5924173.2025875775214992

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 LEHIGH · TOLEDO 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 LEHIGHTOLEDO 5

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 7 LEHIGHTOLEDO 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 LEHIGHTOLEDO 4

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 4 LEHIGHTOLEDO 3

Bars above the line = Toledo leads, below = Lehigh leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Lehigh

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%10/20
53%10/19
2
71%10/14
33%5/15
3
63%10/16
33%5/15
4
57%8/14
44%8/18
5
67%8/12
11%1/9
6
47%7/15
36%4/11
All
58%53/91
38%33/87

Toledo

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%10/21
47%7/15
2
67%10/15
44%8/18
3
77%10/13
33%5/15
4
53%9/17
40%6/15
5
80%8/10
27%3/11
6
64%7/11
53%9/17
All
62%54/87
42%38/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

178 rallies

#LEHIGH-TOLEDOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TOLEDOLEHIGHBlockedKayla Ozanichblk Olivia Lasee+1.6
21-1LEHIGHTOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach+1.5
31-2TOLEDOTOLEDOBlockedMary Massiasblk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich+2.2
42-2TOLEDOLEHIGH×3Attack errAva Siefke+1.5
53-2LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+2.4
64-2LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillMary Massiasset Jessica Costlow+2.5
74-3LEHIGHTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+1.6
85-3TOLEDOLEHIGHBlockedSierra Pertzbornblk Ufuoma Omene+1.8
96-3LEHIGHLEHIGHAttack errAva Siefke+2.6
106-4LEHIGHTOLEDOBlockedOlivia Laseeblk Lilly Merk, Ava Siefke+1.6
116-5TOLEDOTOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Janelle Green+2.5
127-5TOLEDOLEHIGHAttack errAva Siefke+1.9
137-6LEHIGHTOLEDOKillJanelle Greenset Jessica Costlow+1.7
147-7TOLEDOTOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Janelle Green+2.6
158-7TOLEDOLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+1.9
169-7LEHIGHLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Janelle Green+2.9
179-8LEHIGHTOLEDO×5KillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green+1.8
189-9TOLEDOTOLEDO×5KillJessica Costlowset Janelle Green+2.7
199-10TOLEDOTOLEDO×5AceToledoaced Mary Massias+2.7
209-11TOLEDOTOLEDO×5AceToledoaced Sophia Bond+2.6
219-12TOLEDOTOLEDO×5KillKayla Ozanichset Janelle Green+2.3
2210-12TOLEDOLEHIGHServe errToledo+1.5
2310-13LEHIGHTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Janelle Green+1.6
2410-14TOLEDOTOLEDOBlockedMary Massiasblk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich+2.0
2511-14TOLEDOLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Madelyn Bach+1.2
2611-15LEHIGHTOLEDO×3KillJessica Costlowset Madelyn Bach+1.4
2711-16TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+1.5
2811-17TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillAva Siefkeset Grace Freiberger+1.1
2912-17TOLEDOLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.5
3013-17LEHIGHLEHIGHAttack errAva Siefke+1.1
3113-18LEHIGHTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+1.0
3213-19TOLEDOTOLEDOKillLilly Merk+1.0
3314-19TOLEDOLEHIGHAttack errMadelyn Bach+0.4
3414-20LEHIGHTOLEDO×3KillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+0.6
3514-21TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillJanelle Greenset Jessica Costlow+0.5
3614-22TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Attack errUfuoma Omene+0.2
3715-22TOLEDOLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+0.1
3815-23LEHIGHTOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Janelle Green+0.1
3916-23TOLEDOLEHIGHBlockedSophie Catalanoblk Alysia Fingall, Paighton Erb·
4016-24LEHIGHTOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Janelle Green+0.1
4117-24TOLEDOLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Grace Slovensky·
4217-25LEHIGHTOLEDOServe errLehigh·
Set 2
11-0LEHIGHLEHIGH×7KillPaighton Erbset Grace Slovensky+1.9
22-0LEHIGHLEHIGH×7AceLehighaced Avery Adamski+2.0
33-0LEHIGHLEHIGH×7KillNatalie Luscombset Grace Freiberger+2.0
44-0LEHIGHLEHIGH×7AceLehighaced Avery Adamski+2.0
55-0LEHIGHLEHIGH×7KillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+1.9
66-0LEHIGHLEHIGH×7KillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+1.7
77-0LEHIGHLEHIGH×7Attack errJessica Costlow+1.5
87-1LEHIGHTOLEDO×3KillMadelyn Bachset Kayla Ozanich+0.8
97-2TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+1.4
107-3TOLEDOTOLEDO×3BlockedOlivia Laseeblk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich+1.6
118-3TOLEDOLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+1.4
129-3LEHIGHLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Jessica Costlow+1.7
139-4LEHIGHTOLEDOBlockedUfuoma Omeneblk Ava Siefke, Kayla Ozanich+0.9
1410-4TOLEDOLEHIGH×3KillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+1.2
1511-4LEHIGHLEHIGH×3BlockedSierra Pertzbornblk Olivia Lasee, Alysia Fingall+1.5
1612-4LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillOlivia Lasee+1.2
1712-5LEHIGHTOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Madelyn Bach+0.5
1813-5TOLEDOLEHIGHAttack errLilly Merk+0.8
1913-6LEHIGHTOLEDO×3KillMadelyn Bachset Grace Freiberger+0.5
2013-7TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Attack errPaighton Erb+1.0
2113-8TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green+1.3
2214-8TOLEDOLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+1.2
2314-9LEHIGHTOLEDOBlockedAlysia Fingallblk Sophie Catalano, Lilly Merk+0.9
2414-10TOLEDOTOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Janelle Green+1.6
2515-10TOLEDOLEHIGHKillPaighton Erbset Grace Slovensky+1.5
2615-11LEHIGHTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Janelle Green+1.1
2716-11TOLEDOLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Grace Slovensky+1.5
2816-12LEHIGHTOLEDOBlockedMary Massiasblk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich+1.0
2917-12TOLEDOLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+1.5
3017-13LEHIGHTOLEDOAttack errMary Massias+1.0
3118-13TOLEDOLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+1.5
3218-14LEHIGHTOLEDOServe errLehigh+1.0
3319-14TOLEDOLEHIGH×5KillAlysia Fingallset Abby Felkai+1.5
3420-14LEHIGHLEHIGH×5KillUfuoma Omeneset Olivia Lasee+1.4
3521-14LEHIGHLEHIGH×5KillAlysia Fingallset Abby Felkai+0.8
3622-14LEHIGHLEHIGH×5BlockedSophie Catalanoblk Alysia Fingall, Paighton Erb+0.4
3723-14LEHIGHLEHIGH×5Attack errJanelle Green+0.1
3823-15LEHIGHTOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Janelle Green·
3924-15TOLEDOLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Abby Felkai+0.1
4024-16LEHIGHTOLEDOServe errLehigh·
4124-17TOLEDOTOLEDOAceToledo·
4225-17TOLEDOLEHIGHServe errToledo·
Set 3
10-1TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillJessica Costlowset Madelyn Bach+3.0
20-2TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillJessica Costlowset Madelyn Bach+2.8
30-3TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Attack errMary Massias+2.6
41-3TOLEDOLEHIGH×3KillOlivia Laseeset Grace Slovensky+1.7
52-3LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillAbby Felkaiset Sophia Bond+2.8
63-3LEHIGHLEHIGH×3AceLehighaced Avery Adamski+3.2
73-4LEHIGHTOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Madelyn Bach+2.2
84-4TOLEDOLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Sophia Bond+2.3
94-5LEHIGHTOLEDO×4KillAva Siefkeset Grace Freiberger+2.3
104-6TOLEDOTOLEDO×4KillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+3.1
114-7TOLEDOTOLEDO×4AceToledoaced Sophia Bond+2.8
124-8TOLEDOTOLEDO×4KillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+2.5
135-8TOLEDOLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Sophia Bond+1.6
145-9LEHIGHTOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Grace Freiberger+1.7
155-10TOLEDOTOLEDOBlockedAlysia Fingallblk Sierra Pertzborn+2.1
166-10TOLEDOLEHIGHAttack errAva Siefke+1.2
176-11LEHIGHTOLEDOAttack errGrace Slovensky+1.4
187-11TOLEDOLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+1.2
197-12LEHIGHTOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Janelle Green+1.5
207-13TOLEDOTOLEDOAceToledoaced Mary Massias+1.6
218-13TOLEDOLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.9
228-14LEHIGHTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Janelle Green+1.1
238-15TOLEDOTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Avery Adamski+1.1
249-15TOLEDOLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.6
259-16LEHIGHTOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Grace Freiberger+0.7
2610-16TOLEDOLEHIGHAttack errAva Siefke+0.5
2710-17LEHIGHTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Madelyn Bach+0.7
2811-17TOLEDOLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Sophia Bond+0.5
2911-18LEHIGHTOLEDOServe errLehigh+0.7
3012-18TOLEDOLEHIGHServe errToledo+0.4
3113-18LEHIGHLEHIGHAttack errLilly Merk+1.0
3213-19LEHIGHTOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Janelle Green+1.0
3314-19TOLEDOLEHIGHServe errToledo+0.6
3415-19LEHIGHLEHIGHAceLehigh+1.4
3515-20LEHIGHTOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Janelle Green+1.4
3615-21TOLEDOTOLEDOAceToledoaced Natalie Unkrich+1.2
3716-21TOLEDOLEHIGH×3KillNatalie Unkrichset Sophia Bond+0.4
3817-21LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillNatalie Luscombset Sophia Bond+1.1
3918-21LEHIGHLEHIGH×3BlockedJessica Costlowblk Natalie Luscomb, Grace Slovensky+1.9
4018-22LEHIGHTOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Janelle Green+2.1
4119-22TOLEDOLEHIGHKillNatalie Unkrichset Grace Slovensky+1.2
4220-22LEHIGHLEHIGHKillNatalie Unkrichset Abby Felkai+3.1
4320-23LEHIGHTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+3.3
4421-23TOLEDOLEHIGHKillNatalie Unkrichset Sophia Bond+1.9
4521-24LEHIGHTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Madelyn Bach+3.3
4622-24TOLEDOLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+1.3
4722-25LEHIGHTOLEDOAttack errAlysia Fingall+2.9
Set 4
10-1LEHIGHTOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Grace Freiberger+1.7
21-1TOLEDOLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+1.8
32-1LEHIGHLEHIGHKillNatalie Unkrichset Grace Slovensky+2.8
42-2LEHIGHTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+1.9
52-3TOLEDOTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Madelyn Bach+2.7
63-3TOLEDOLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Grace Slovensky+1.9
73-4LEHIGHTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+1.9
84-4TOLEDOLEHIGH×4KillUfuoma Omeneset Sophia Bond+2.0
95-4LEHIGHLEHIGH×4Attack errAva Siefke+3.0
106-4LEHIGHLEHIGH×4KillUfuoma Omeneset Sophia Bond+3.2
117-4LEHIGHLEHIGH×4Attack errLilly Merk+3.2
127-5LEHIGHTOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Madelyn Bach+2.0
138-5TOLEDOLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+2.3
148-6LEHIGHTOLEDOAttack errUfuoma Omene+2.0
159-6TOLEDOLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Abby Felkai+2.4
1610-6LEHIGHLEHIGHAttack errSierra Pertzborn+3.2
1710-7LEHIGHTOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Janelle Green+1.9
1811-7TOLEDOLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Sophia Bond+2.3
1912-7LEHIGHLEHIGHAttack errSierra Pertzborn+3.0
2012-8LEHIGHTOLEDO×3Serve errLehigh+1.6
2112-9TOLEDOTOLEDO×3BlockedPaighton Erbblk Kayla Ozanich+2.8
2212-10TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillJessica Costlowset Grace Freiberger+3.2
2313-10TOLEDOLEHIGHKillNatalie Unkrichset Grace Slovensky+2.7
2413-11LEHIGHTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+2.2
2514-11TOLEDOLEHIGHBlockedAva Siefkeblk Natalie Luscomb, Olivia Lasee+2.7
2614-12LEHIGHTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Grace Freiberger+2.3
2715-12TOLEDOLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+2.8
2815-13LEHIGHTOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+2.3
2916-13TOLEDOLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Sophia Bond+2.9
3016-14LEHIGHTOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Janelle Green+2.4
3116-15TOLEDOTOLEDOAttack errUfuoma Omene+4.1
3217-15TOLEDOLEHIGHServe errToledo+3.3
3318-15LEHIGHLEHIGHAceLehighaced Grace Freiberger+4.5
3418-16LEHIGHTOLEDO×3Attack errPaighton Erb+2.5
3518-17TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillKayla Ozanichset Janelle Green+4.4
3618-18TOLEDOTOLEDO×3AceToledoaced Natalie Unkrich+5.0
3719-18TOLEDOLEHIGHAttack errJessica Costlow+3.9
3819-19LEHIGHTOLEDOAttack errNatalie Luscomb+3.7
3919-20TOLEDOTOLEDOAttack errMary Massias+5.6
4020-20TOLEDOLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Grace Slovensky+3.9
4120-21LEHIGHTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+4.3
4221-21TOLEDOLEHIGHAttack errAva Siefke+4.3
4321-22LEHIGHTOLEDO×3KillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+4.8
4421-23TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Bad setOlivia Lasee+6.4
4521-24TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillSophie Catalanoset Madelyn Bach+4.1
4622-24TOLEDOLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+1.1
4722-25LEHIGHTOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Grace Freiberger+2.5

Score shown after each rally, Lehigh first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).