Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 4, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Rice def. Fla. Atlantic 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Fla. Atlantic 61.3% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Rice won at Fla. Atlantic 3-1 (26-24, 16-25, 25-18, 25-18) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. Rice's Sydnee Peterson led with 17 kills.

Data through · final Oct 4

Set1234Sets
RICE261625253
FAU242518181

Match story · written from the play-by-play

6 of the last 8 rallies went to Rice, closing out Fla. Atlantic.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Rice's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Fla. Atlantic was RallyIQ's 61% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Rice 10–13 Fla. Atlantic

    Rice scored 6 straight to turn a 10–13 deficit into a 16–13 lead.

    Rice 30% → 50%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 1 · Rice 23–23 Fla. Atlantic

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Rice, enough to take the set 26–24 and lead 1–0. The match swung to Rice.

    Rice 41% → 59%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Rice 0–3 Fla. Atlantic

    Down 0–3, Rice scored 5 straight to lead 5–3.

    Rice 59% → 77%

Fla. Atlantic above 50Rice belowMax swing 10.7%

RiceFla. Atlantic

Sideout %
Rice 59.3·Fla. Atlantic 54.9
Break %
Rice 45.1·Fla. Atlantic 40.7
Hitting
Rice .235·Fla. Atlantic .224
Longest run
Rice 6·Fla. Atlantic 4

Sydnee Peterson
17 kills on .325, 19 points; 7 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Fla. Atlantic above 50 · Rice below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.7% RICErally 177 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.7% to Rice — set 1, RICE 26-24 FAU. Kill by Sydnee Peterson (set by Savannah Skopal). FAU win probability 52% → 41%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

RICE 48.2%51.8% FAU

Rice wins

3-0
11.8%
3-1
18.0%
3-2
18.4%

Fla. Atlantic wins

3-0
13.3%
3-1
19.5%
3-2
19.0%
RICE break %
39.6% vs this opp
FAU break %
39.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sydnee PetersonKill+10.7%

    Kill by Sydnee Peterson (set by Savannah Skopal)

    Set 1 · RICE 26-24 FAU · RICE 48% → 59%

  2. 02
    Olivia HartAttack error+10.1%

    Attack error by Olivia Hart

    Set 1 · RICE 25-24 FAU · RICE 38% → 48%

  3. 03
    Sequoia LayneKill+9.8%

    Kill by Sequoia Layne (set by Maya Van Heyst)

    Set 1 · RICE 23-24 FAU · FAU 59% → 68%

  4. 04
    RiceAce+8.3%

    Rice ace on Sara Gamboa

    Set 1 · RICE 23-22 FAU · RICE 38% → 46%

  5. 05

    Anna Hartman stuffed by Arissa Smith & Sydnee Peterson

    Set 1 · RICE 22-22 FAU · RICE 32% → 38%

  6. 06

    Kill by Sydnee Peterson (set by Savannah Skopal)

    Set 1 · RICE 24-24 FAU · RICE 32% → 38%

  7. 07

    Amalia Simmons stuffed by Sequoia Layne & Sara Gamboa

    Set 1 · RICE 20-21 FAU · FAU 60% → 65%

  8. 08
    Sequoia LayneKill+5.6%

    Kill by Sequoia Layne

    Set 1 · RICE 20-22 FAU · FAU 65% → 71%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Riceaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417440.32501112202119
47318.22200010334.511.5
4115.0004110500213
4000–211600001
25214.214000200005
2216.167011100003
414633.24200031010.514.5
4000–6101000001
4000–0011200000
34210.200000201015
24310.100300300215
1000–000000000
1000–100000000
Team totals5422136.2355354573410992
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415234.38221011102117
47416.18800000153.510.5
47216.31300000010.57.5
4516.667340260031.56.5
43214.071100501436
35417.059200300005
49431.16100022111.510.5
4001.000311510001
4000–3141710001
34310.10000000031.55.5
2000–401000000
2000–002400000
1002.00000000010.50.5
Team totals5522147.224493105353201385

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 RICE · FAU 4

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 6 RICEFAU 3

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 RICEFAU 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 4 RICEFAU 2

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 5 RICEFAU 3

Bars above the line = Fla. Atlantic leads, below = Rice leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rice

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
20%2/10
2
67%10/15
55%12/22
3
60%9/15
50%9/18
4
56%9/16
53%10/19
5
50%7/14
47%7/15
6
60%6/10
14%1/7
All
59%51/86
45%41/91

Fla. Atlantic

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
38%5/13
2
39%9/23
41%7/17
3
53%9/17
25%3/12
4
62%8/13
47%8/17
5
57%8/14
50%8/16
6
67%6/9
36%4/11
All
55%50/91
41%35/86

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

177 rallies

#RICE-FAUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FAURICEKillMaggie Croftset Savannah Skopal+1.7
21-1RICEFAUKillLuye Marquez-Morenoset Zoe Winford+1.6
31-2FAUFAUBlockedArissa Smithblk Sequoia Layne+2.6
42-2FAURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.7
53-2RICERICEBlockedSequoia Layneblk Arissa Smith+2.7
63-3RICEFAUKillAnna Hartmanset Maya Van Heyst+1.7
73-4FAUFAUKillOlivia Hartset Luye Marquez-Moreno+2.7
84-4FAURICEServe errFla. Atlantic+1.7
95-4RICERICEBlockedLibby Ashlineblk Arissa Smith+2.9
105-5RICEFAUKillAnna Hartmanset Maya Van Heyst+1.8
115-6FAUFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+2.8
126-6FAURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.8
136-7RICEFAU×3KillMaya Van Heystset Kierstin Bevelle+1.8
146-8FAUFAU×3AceFla. Atlanticaced Sydnee Peterson+2.8
156-9FAUFAU×3BlockedAshlyn Seayblk Maya Van Heyst, Libby Ashline+2.6
167-9FAURICEAttack errLibby Ashline+1.5
177-10RICEFAUKillSara Gamboaset Kierstin Bevelle+1.7
188-10FAURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Jordan Hummel+1.5
198-11RICEFAUKillSara Gamboaset Maya Van Heyst+1.7
209-11FAURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Mari Furoyama+1.6
219-12RICEFAUKillAnna Hartmanset Maya Van Heyst+1.8
2210-12FAURICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.6
2310-13RICEFAUServe errRice+1.8
2411-13FAURICE×6KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.6
2512-13RICERICE×6KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+3.1
2613-13RICERICE×6KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+3.5
2714-13RICERICE×6Attack errAnna Hartman+3.8
2815-13RICERICE×6Attack errLuye Marquez-Moreno+3.9
2916-13RICERICE×6BlockedMaya Van Heystblk Arissa Smith+3.7
3016-14RICEFAUKillAnna Hartmanset Maya Van Heyst+1.9
3116-15FAUFAUBlockedArissa Smithblk Olivia Hart, Libby Ashline+3.7
3217-15FAURICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.8
3318-15RICERICEAceRiceaced Kierstin Bevelle+4.0
3418-16RICEFAU×3KillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+2.0
3518-17FAUFAU×3Attack errSavannah Skopal+4.0
3618-18FAUFAU×3KillMaya Van Heyst+4.7
3719-18FAURICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+3.3
3819-19RICEFAUKillSara Gamboaset Maya Van Heyst+3.1
3920-19FAURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Jordan Hummel+3.6
4020-20RICEFAU×3KillSequoia Layneset Maya Van Heyst+3.4
4120-21FAUFAU×3BlockedAmalia Simmonsblk Sequoia Layne, Sara Gamboa+6.0
4220-22FAUFAU×3KillSequoia Layne+5.6
4321-22FAURICE×3Serve errFla. Atlantic+2.7
4422-22RICERICE×3BlockedAnna Hartmanblk Arissa Smith, Sydnee Peterson+6.4
4523-22RICERICE×3AceRiceaced Sara Gamboa+8.3
4623-23RICEFAUAttack errOlivia Hart+4.9
4723-24FAUFAUKillSequoia Layneset Maya Van Heyst+9.8
4824-24FAURICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+6.2
4925-24RICERICE×3Attack errOlivia Hart+10.1
5026-24RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+10.7
Set 2
10-1RICEFAU×3Attack errMaggie Croft+1.8
20-2FAUFAU×3KillSequoia Layne+2.8
30-3FAUFAU×3KillMaya Van Heystset Libby Ashline+2.6
41-3FAURICE×3KillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+1.6
52-3RICERICE×3Attack errSara Gamboa+2.7
63-3RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+3.0
73-4RICEFAUServe errRice+1.9
84-4FAURICEKillSydnee Peterson+2.0
95-4RICERICEAttack errSequoia Layne+3.3
105-5RICEFAUKillSara Gamboaset Zoe Winford+2.0
115-6FAUFAUBlockedSydnee Petersonblk Anna Hartman, Sequoia Layne+3.2
126-6FAURICEServe errFla. Atlantic+2.1
137-6RICERICEBlockedLuye Marquez-Morenoblk Arissa Smith, Savannah Skopal+3.4
147-7RICEFAUServe errRice+2.1
158-7FAURICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.3
169-7RICERICEKillSavannah Skopalset Jordan Hummel+3.6
179-8RICEFAUAttack errSydnee Peterson+2.1
189-9FAUFAUAceFla. Atlanticaced Sydnee Peterson+3.6
1910-9FAURICEKillMaggie Croftset Savannah Skopal+2.4
2010-10RICEFAU×3KillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+2.3
2110-11FAUFAU×3BlockedAmalia Simmonsblk Maya Van Heyst, Libby Ashline+3.8
2210-12FAUFAU×3KillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+3.6
2311-12FAURICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.2
2411-13RICEFAUKillMaya Van Heystset Olivia Hart+2.4
2512-13FAURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+2.2
2613-13RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+4.0
2713-14RICEFAUKillSara Gamboaset Zoe Winford+2.7
2813-15FAUFAUKillSequoia Layneset Maya Van Heyst+4.1
2914-15FAURICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+2.4
3014-16RICEFAU×3KillSequoia Layneset Maya Van Heyst+2.7
3114-17FAUFAU×3BlockedSydnee Petersonblk Natalie Depaula, Sequoia Layne+3.7
3214-18FAUFAU×3KillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+2.9
3315-18FAURICEServe errFla. Atlantic+1.4
3415-19RICEFAU×4KillNatalie Depaulaset Maya Van Heyst+1.9
3515-20FAUFAU×4KillNatalie Depaulaset Maya Van Heyst+2.0
3615-21FAUFAU×4AceFla. Atlanticaced Ashlyn Seay+1.1
3715-22FAUFAU×4Attack errAshlyn Seay+0.5
3816-22FAURICEKillKellen Dorotikset Zora Bello+0.1
3916-23RICEFAU×3KillLibby Ashlineset Maya Van Heyst+0.2
4016-24FAUFAU×3KillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+0.1
4116-25FAUFAU×3KillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst·
Set 3
11-0FAURICE×3KillKellen Dorotikset Stephanie Gutierrez+2.3
22-0RICERICE×3KillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+3.6
33-0RICERICE×3Attack errSara Gamboa+3.6
43-1RICEFAUKillSara Gamboaset Maya Van Heyst+2.1
54-1FAURICEKillKellen Dorotikset Stephanie Gutierrez+2.3
64-2RICEFAUBlockedStephanie Gutierrezblk Sara Gamboa+2.1
75-2FAURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.4
85-3RICEFAUKillSara Gamboaset Maya Van Heyst+2.1
96-3FAURICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.4
106-4RICEFAUAttack errSydnee Peterson+2.2
117-4FAURICEKillAshlyn Seayset Stephanie Gutierrez+2.5
127-5RICEFAUKillNatalie Depaulaset Maya Van Heyst+2.2
137-6FAUFAUKillMaya Van Heystset Kierstin Bevelle+3.8
148-6FAURICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Jordan Hummel+2.7
159-6RICERICE×3Bad setMaya Van Heyst+4.1
1610-6RICERICE×3AceRiceaced Zoe Winford+3.8
1710-7RICEFAUBlockedKellen Dorotikblk Olivia Hart, Libby Ashline+2.0
1811-7FAURICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+2.5
1912-7RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+3.3
2012-8RICEFAUKillLibby Ashlineset Emsley Venard+1.7
2113-8FAURICEAttack errOlivia Hart+2.2
2214-8RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.7
2314-9RICEFAUKillSara Gamboaset Emsley Venard+1.2
2415-9FAURICEServe errFla. Atlantic+1.7
2515-10RICEFAUKillNatalie Depaulaset Maya Van Heyst+1.2
2615-11FAUFAUBlockedAshlyn Seayblk Natalie Depaula, Sequoia Layne+2.5
2716-11FAURICEAttack errSequoia Layne+2.2
2816-12RICEFAUKillSequoia Layneset Maya Van Heyst+1.5
2917-12FAURICEServe errFla. Atlantic+2.2
3017-13RICEFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+1.5
3118-13FAURICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+2.1
3218-14RICEFAUKillLibby Ashlineset Emsley Venard+1.4
3319-14FAURICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+2.1
3419-15RICEFAUKillAnna Hartmanset Emsley Venard+1.3
3519-16FAUFAUAttack errKellen Dorotik+3.0
3620-16FAURICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.8
3721-16RICERICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Jordan Hummel+3.0
3822-16RICERICE×4KillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.6
3923-16RICERICE×4KillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+0.7
4023-17RICEFAUKillSara Gamboaset Maya Van Heyst+0.1
4124-17FAURICEAttack errSara Gamboa+0.2
4224-18RICEFAUBlockedAshlyn Seayblk Natalie Depaula, Sequoia Layne·
4325-18FAURICEServe errFla. Atlantic+0.1
Set 4
10-1RICEFAU×3Serve errRice+2.4
20-2FAUFAU×3KillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+3.7
30-3FAUFAU×3KillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+3.4
41-3FAURICE×5KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.1
52-3RICERICE×5BlockedSequoia Layneblk Kellen Dorotik+3.6
63-3RICERICE×5KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+4.0
74-3RICERICE×5KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+4.2
85-3RICERICE×5Attack errNatalie Depaula+4.3
95-4RICEFAUKillLuye Marquez-Morenoset Maya Van Heyst+2.6
105-5FAUFAUBlockedStephanie Gutierrezblk Libby Ashline+4.3
116-5FAURICEServe errFla. Atlantic+2.9
127-5RICERICEBlockedNatalie Depaulablk Sydnee Peterson, Stephanie Gutierrez+4.5
137-6RICEFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+2.7
147-7FAUFAUKillLuye Marquez-Morenoset Maya Van Heyst+4.5
158-7FAURICEServe errFla. Atlantic+3.0
169-7RICERICEBlockedLuye Marquez-Morenoblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Ashlyn Seay+4.8
179-8RICEFAUKillLuye Marquez-Morenoset Olivia Hart+2.8
189-9FAUFAUBlockedStephanie Gutierrezblk Maggie Allred, Maya Van Heyst+4.8
1910-9FAURICE×4KillAshlyn Seayset Jordan Hummel+3.2
2011-9RICERICE×4Attack errSara Gamboa+5.1
2112-9RICERICE×4KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+4.9
2213-9RICERICE×4KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+4.5
2313-10RICEFAUAttack errAshlyn Seay+2.3
2414-10FAURICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.9
2515-10RICERICEAceRiceaced Sara Gamboa+3.8
2615-11RICEFAUKillAnna Hartmanset Emsley Venard+1.8
2715-12FAUFAUAttack errArissa Smith+3.7
2816-12FAURICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+3.0
2916-13RICEFAUKillLuye Marquez-Morenoset Maya Van Heyst+2.3
3017-13FAURICEAttack errNatalie Depaula+3.1
3117-14RICEFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+2.3
3218-14FAURICEKillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+3.1
3318-15RICEFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+2.2
3418-16FAUFAUKillAnna Hartmanset Luye Marquez-Moreno+4.7
3519-16FAURICE×3Serve errFla. Atlantic+4.0
3620-16RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+4.9
3721-16RICERICE×3AceRiceaced Olivia Hart+3.3
3821-17RICEFAUKillOlivia Hartset Maya Van Heyst+1.1
3922-17FAURICE×3KillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.9
4023-17RICERICE×3BlockedLuye Marquez-Morenoblk Arissa Smith, Savannah Skopal+1.4
4124-17RICERICE×3KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.4
4224-18RICEFAUAttack errAshlyn Seay·
4325-18FAURICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Rice first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).