Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

Loyola Maryland def. Morgan St. 3–2

Loyola Maryland won at Morgan St. 3-2 (25-19, 25-19, 24-26, 22-25, 15-6) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Loyola Maryland's Ava Nepkin led with 17 kills, and Addie Huber added 23 digs.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set12345Sets
LOY MD25252422153
MORGAN1919262562

Win probability

Morgan St. above 50 · Loyola Maryland below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+9.1% LOY MDrally 206 · set 5

Biggest swing: 9.1% to Loyola Maryland — set 5, LOY MD 5-3 MORGAN. Attack error by Jada Williams. MORGAN win probability 38% → 29%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LOY MD 59.8%40.2% MORGAN

Loyola Maryland wins

3-0
17.1%
3-1
22.8%
3-2
19.9%

Morgan St. wins

3-0
8.8%
3-1
14.7%
3-2
16.7%
LOY MD break %
44.1% vs this opp
MORGAN break %
42.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Jada WilliamsAttack error+9.1%

    Attack error by Jada Williams

    Set 5 · LOY MD 5-3 MORGAN · LOY MD 62% → 71%

  2. 02
    Jada WilliamsAttack error+8.3%

    Attack error by Jada Williams

    Set 5 · LOY MD 6-3 MORGAN · LOY MD 71% → 80%

  3. 03
    Ava NepkinKill+7.1%

    Kill by Ava Nepkin (set by Gabi Verdicchio)

    Set 5 · LOY MD 4-3 MORGAN · LOY MD 55% → 62%

  4. 04

    Nathalia Morais stuffed by Morgan Crawford & Elsie Afful

    Set 5 · LOY MD 7-3 MORGAN · LOY MD 80% → 87%

  5. 05
    Elsie AffulAttack error+6.9%

    Attack error by Elsie Afful

    Set 5 · LOY MD 3-3 MORGAN · MORGAN 38% → 45%

  6. 06
    Ava NepkinKill+6.8%

    Kill by Ava Nepkin (set by Madison Monahan)

    Set 5 · LOY MD 3-2 MORGAN · LOY MD 55% → 62%

  7. 07
    Elsie AffulAttack error+6.6%

    Attack error by Elsie Afful

    Set 5 · LOY MD 2-2 MORGAN · MORGAN 38% → 45%

  8. 08
    Ava NepkinKill+6.5%

    Kill by Ava Nepkin (set by Madison Monahan)

    Set 5 · LOY MD 2-1 MORGAN · LOY MD 55% → 62%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517638.28901216800018
515748.1670005102116
55515.00001120212.58.5
55828-.10700010010.55.5
5509.556000100005
5102.5002342800005
57120.30010040010.57.5
5114.00002200111.54.5
5001.000131610003
5001.0004202320002
5000–23101000001
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
Team totals5628166.169521487612366111
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
57841-.02405210024416
512746.1090029610113
59732.0630106300010
56418.1113012032410
5308.3750002062710
54212.16730211200006
5000–0221310002
5000–021500002
5113.000000010001
5001.000301810000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
Team totals4229161.08136121067141281695

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 LOY MD · MORGAN 6

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 3 LOY MDMORGAN 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 5 LOY MDMORGAN 4

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 6 LOY MDMORGAN 5

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 5 LOY MDMORGAN 6

Set 5

15-6

Longest run 8 LOY MDMORGAN 1

Bars above the line = Morgan St. leads, below = Loyola Maryland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Loyola Maryland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%4/9
50%3/6
2
100%3/3
0%0/3
3
50%3/6
70%7/10
4
60%3/5
0%0/3
5
60%3/5
73%8/11
6
67%2/3
25%1/4
All
58%18/31
51%19/37

Morgan St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%3/6
25%1/4
2
100%3/3
63%5/8
3
30%3/10
0%0/3
4
30%3/10
50%3/6
5
60%3/5
40%2/5
6
100%3/3
40%2/5
All
49%18/37
42%13/31

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

206 rallies

#LOY MD-MORGANSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MORGANMORGAN×3Attack errAddie Lowe+2.4
20-2MORGANMORGAN×3BlockedAddie Loweblk Tre'niya Miller+2.5
30-3MORGANMORGAN×3BlockedAddie Loweblk Jada Williams+2.5
41-3MORGANLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Gabi Verdicchio+1.7
52-3LOY MD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.4
62-4LOY MDMORGANBlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Tre'niya Miller+2.0
72-5MORGANMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+2.6
83-5MORGANLOY MDAttack errJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+1.8
93-6LOY MDMORGANBad setGabi Verdicchio+2.0
104-6MORGANLOY MDServe errMorgan St.+1.8
115-6LOY MDLOY MDAceLoyola Marylandaced Nathalia Morais+2.6
125-7LOY MDMORGANKillAubrey Wilsonset Isabelle Brown+2.1
135-8MORGANMORGANBlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Aubrey Wilson+2.7
146-8MORGANLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+1.9
157-8LOY MDLOY MDAceLoyola Marylandaced Michaela Panekova+2.7
167-9LOY MDMORGANKillAubrey Wilsonset Isabelle Brown+2.2
178-9MORGANLOY MD×3KillSydnee Petersset Madison Monahan+2.1
189-9LOY MDLOY MD×3KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+2.9
1910-9LOY MDLOY MD×3KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+3.0
2010-10LOY MDMORGANServe errLoyola Maryland+2.3
2111-10MORGANLOY MD×3KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+2.3
2212-10LOY MDLOY MD×3KillAva Nepkinset Gabi Verdicchio+3.0
2313-10LOY MDLOY MD×3AceLoyola Marylandaced Michaela Panekova+2.8
2413-11LOY MDMORGANKillTre'niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+1.9
2514-11MORGANLOY MDKillAddie Lowe+2.1
2614-12LOY MDMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Tameary Wardlaw+1.9
2715-12MORGANLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+2.2
2816-12LOY MDLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Addie Huber+2.5
2916-13LOY MDMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+1.6
3016-14MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.aced Morgan Crawford+2.7
3117-14MORGANLOY MD×3KillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+2.4
3218-14LOY MDLOY MD×3Attack errMichaela Panekova+2.6
3319-14LOY MDLOY MD×3BlockedNathalia Moraisblk Elsie Afful+2.0
3419-15LOY MDMORGANKillAubrey Wilsonset Isabelle Brown+1.0
3519-16MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.aced Ava Nepkin+2.0
3620-16MORGANLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+2.0
3720-17LOY MDMORGANKillAubrey Wilson+1.5
3821-17MORGANLOY MDServe errMorgan St.+2.1
3921-18LOY MDMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+1.4
4022-18MORGANLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+2.0
4123-18LOY MDLOY MDKillMariah Sanabiaset Gabi Verdicchio+1.5
4223-19LOY MDMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.5
4324-19MORGANLOY MDServe errMorgan St.+0.9
4425-19LOY MDLOY MDAttack errMichaela Panekova+0.3
Set 2
10-1LOY MDMORGANKillIsabelle Brownset Tameary Wardlaw+1.7
21-1MORGANLOY MDKillAddie Lowe+1.6
32-1LOY MDLOY MDKillAva Nepkin+2.2
42-2LOY MDMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+1.7
53-2MORGANLOY MDAttack errJada Williamsset Addie Huber+1.7
63-3LOY MDMORGANBlockedAddie Loweblk Jada Williams+1.7
74-3MORGANLOY MDAttack errJada Williamsset Tameary Wardlaw+1.7
84-4LOY MDMORGANKillNathalia Moraisset Isabelle Brown+1.7
95-4MORGANLOY MD×3KillMorgan Crawfordset Sydnee Peters+1.8
106-4LOY MDLOY MD×3KillElsie Affulset Madison Monahan+2.3
117-4LOY MDLOY MD×3BlockedAubrey Wilsonblk Elsie Afful+2.1
127-5LOY MDMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+1.5
138-5MORGANLOY MDServe errMorgan St.+1.7
148-6LOY MDMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+1.6
159-6MORGANLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+1.7
1610-6LOY MDLOY MDAceLoyola Marylandaced Bailey Swinton+2.0
1710-7LOY MDMORGAN×4Serve errLoyola Maryland+1.4
1810-8MORGAN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.1
1910-9MORGANMORGAN×4Attack errAva Nepkin+2.4
2010-10MORGANMORGAN×4AceMorgan St.aced Elise Bocanegra+2.7
2111-10MORGANLOY MDKillMariah Sanabiaset Gabi Verdicchio+2.1
2212-10LOY MDLOY MDKillMariah Sanabiaset Gabi Verdicchio+2.7
2312-11LOY MDMORGANBad setGabi Verdicchio+2.0
2413-11MORGANLOY MDServe errMorgan St.+2.1
2513-12LOY MDMORGANKillNathalia Moraisset Isabelle Brown+2.0
2613-13MORGANMORGANKillIsabelle Brown+3.0
2714-13MORGANLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+2.4
2814-14LOY MDMORGANKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+2.4
2915-14MORGANLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+2.5
3015-15LOY MDMORGANKillAubrey Wilsonset Isabelle Brown+2.5
3116-15MORGANLOY MDAttack errMichaela Panekovaset Aubrey Wilson+2.6
3216-16LOY MDMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+2.6
3317-16MORGANLOY MDAttack errJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+2.8
3418-16LOY MDLOY MDAceLoyola Maryland+3.5
3518-17LOY MDMORGANAttack errAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+2.5
3619-17MORGANLOY MD×5KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+2.8
3720-17LOY MDLOY MD×5KillAva Nepkinset Addie Huber+3.3
3821-17LOY MDLOY MD×5AceLoyola Marylandaced Michaela Panekova+2.5
3922-17LOY MDLOY MD×5KillAva Nepkinset Gabi Verdicchio+1.6
4023-17LOY MDLOY MD×5KillMariah Sanabiaset Gabi Verdicchio+0.8
4123-18LOY MDMORGANServe errLoyola Maryland+0.2
4224-18MORGANLOY MDKillMariah Sanabiaset Gabi Verdicchio+0.4
4324-19LOY MDMORGANServe errLoyola Maryland+0.1
4425-19MORGANLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+0.2
Set 3
10-1MORGANMORGAN×3BlockedEllie Joffeblk Tre'niya Miller+1.4
20-2MORGANMORGAN×3AceMorgan St.aced Ava Nepkin+1.4
30-3MORGANMORGAN×3BlockedAddie Loweblk Tre'niya Miller+1.4
41-3MORGANLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+1.0
51-4LOY MDMORGANBad setAddie Lowe+1.1
61-5MORGANMORGANBlockedElsie Affulblk Tre'niya Miller+1.4
72-5MORGANLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+0.9
82-6LOY MDMORGANKillNathalia Moraisset Isabelle Brown+1.0
93-6MORGANLOY MD×3Attack errJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.9
104-6LOY MDLOY MD×3Attack errJada Williams+1.4
115-6LOY MDLOY MD×3BlockedNathalia Moraisblk Ellie Joffe, Sydnee Peters+1.5
125-7LOY MDMORGAN×5BlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Aubrey Wilson, Jada Williams+1.2
135-8MORGANMORGAN×5AceMorgan St.aced Ava Nepkin+1.5
145-9MORGAN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.5
155-10MORGANMORGAN×5AceMorgan St.aced Ava Nepkin+1.3
165-11MORGANMORGAN×5KillNathalia Moraisset Isabelle Brown+1.1
176-11MORGANLOY MDKillEllie Joffeset Madison Monahan+0.7
186-12LOY MDMORGANAttack errAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+0.9
196-13MORGANMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.9
207-13MORGANLOY MD×6Attack errMichaela Panekovaset Bailey Swinton+0.5
218-13LOY MDLOY MD×6KillAva Nepkinset Elise Bocanegra+0.9
229-13LOY MDLOY MD×6KillSydnee Petersset Madison Monahan+1.1
2310-13LOY MDLOY MD×6AceLoyola Marylandaced Nathalia Morais+1.3
2411-13LOY MDLOY MD×6KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+1.6
2512-13LOY MDLOY MD×6AceLoyola Marylandaced Tameary Wardlaw+1.8
2612-14LOY MDMORGANServe errLoyola Maryland+1.5
2713-14MORGANLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Addie Huber+1.4
2814-14LOY MDLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+2.0
2914-15LOY MDMORGANKillIsabelle Brown+1.6
3014-16MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.aced Addie Huber+2.1
3115-16MORGANLOY MDBad setBailey Swinton+1.5
3216-16LOY MDLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+2.2
3316-17LOY MDMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Tameary Wardlaw+1.8
3417-17MORGANLOY MDServe errMorgan St.+1.7
3517-18LOY MDMORGANKillNathalia Moraisset Isabelle Brown+1.9
3618-18MORGANLOY MD×3Attack errAubrey Wilsonset Morgan Crawford+1.9
3719-18LOY MDLOY MD×3Attack errNathalia Morais+2.6
3820-18LOY MDLOY MD×3KillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+2.5
3920-19LOY MDMORGAN×5Attack errMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+1.7
4020-20MORGANMORGAN×5AceMorgan St.aced Ava Nepkin+2.8
4120-21MORGANMORGAN×5KillNathalia Moraisset Aubrey Wilson+3.3
4220-22MORGANMORGAN×5BlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Aubrey Wilson+3.3
4320-23MORGANMORGAN×5AceMorgan St.aced Ava Nepkin+2.7
4421-23MORGANLOY MD×4BlockedIsabelle Brownblk Ellie Joffe+1.2
4522-23LOY MDLOY MD×4AceLoyola Maryland+2.7
4623-23LOY MDLOY MD×4KillAva Nepkinset Addie Huber+4.2
4724-23LOY MDLOY MD×4KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+5.4
4824-24LOY MDMORGAN×3KillNathalia Moraisset Isabelle Brown+4.1
4924-25MORGANMORGAN×3AceMorgan St.aced Addie Huber+5.6
5024-26MORGANMORGAN×3KillAubrey Wilson+5.8
Set 4
11-0LOY MDLOY MDAttack errMichaela Panekova+2.9
22-0LOY MDLOY MDAttack errNathalia Morais+2.8
32-1LOY MDMORGANKillNathalia Moraisset Isabelle Brown+2.1
43-1MORGANLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Gabi Verdicchio+2.2
53-2LOY MDMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+2.2
64-2MORGANLOY MD×4Serve errMorgan St.+2.2
75-2LOY MDLOY MD×4Attack errAubrey Wilson+2.8
86-2LOY MDLOY MD×4AceLoyola Marylandaced Nathalia Morais+2.6
97-2LOY MDLOY MD×4Attack errNathalia Morais+2.3
107-3LOY MDMORGAN×3KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+1.5
117-4MORGANMORGAN×3Attack errAddie Lowe+2.4
127-5MORGANMORGAN×3AceMorgan St.aced Ava Nepkin+2.7
138-5MORGANLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+2.3
148-6LOY MDMORGANKillMichaela Panekova+2.1
158-7MORGANMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Ava Nepkin+3.2
169-7MORGANLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Madison Monahan+2.5
1710-7LOY MDLOY MDAceLoyola Marylandaced Michaela Panekova+3.2
1810-8LOY MDMORGAN×3KillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+2.2
1910-9MORGANMORGAN×3BlockedAva Nepkinblk Jada Williams, Tre'niya Miller+3.3
2010-10MORGANMORGAN×3KillTre'niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+3.7
2111-10MORGANLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Madison Monahan+2.9
2211-11LOY MDMORGANServe errLoyola Maryland+2.9
2311-12MORGANMORGANBlockedAva Nepkinblk Tre'niya Miller+4.1
2412-12MORGANLOY MDServe errMorgan St.+3.0
2513-12LOY MDLOY MDAceLoyola Marylandaced Jenae Mason+4.1
2613-13LOY MDMORGAN×6BlockedAva Nepkinblk Jada Williams, Tre'niya Miller+3.2
2713-14MORGANMORGAN×6Attack errElsie Afful+4.4
2813-15MORGANMORGAN×6AceMorgan St.aced Ava Nepkin+4.5
2913-16MORGANMORGAN×6KillJenae Masonset Aubrey Wilson+4.3
3013-17MORGANMORGAN×6BlockedAddie Loweblk Jada Williams, Aubrey Wilson+3.8
3113-18MORGANMORGAN×6KillJada Williamsset Aubrey Wilson+3.1
3214-18MORGANLOY MDServe errMorgan St.+1.6
3314-19LOY MDMORGANAttack errAddie Loweset Gabi Verdicchio+2.3
3415-19MORGANLOY MD×5Serve errMorgan St.+1.5
3516-19LOY MDLOY MD×5Attack errJenae Mason+2.9
3617-19LOY MDLOY MD×5AceLoyola Marylandaced Michaela Panekova+3.9
3718-19LOY MDLOY MD×5KillMorgan Crawfordset Michaela Panekova+4.9
3819-19LOY MDLOY MD×5KillAddie Loweset Gabi Verdicchio+5.8
3919-20LOY MDMORGANAttack errMorgan Crawfordset Addie Huber+4.9
4019-21MORGANMORGANBlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Aubrey Wilson+6.5
4120-21MORGANLOY MDAttack errAubrey Wilsonset Isabelle Brown+4.1
4220-22LOY MDMORGANBlockedSydnee Petersblk Michaela Panekova+5.5
4320-23MORGANMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+5.9
4421-23MORGANLOY MDAttack errIsabelle Brownset Jada Williams+2.5
4521-24LOY MDMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+4.6
4622-24MORGANLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Madison Monahan+1.8
4722-25LOY MDMORGANKillTre'niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+3.3
Set 5
11-0MORGANLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+6.3
21-1LOY MDMORGANServe errLoyola Maryland+6.4
32-1MORGANLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+6.5
42-2LOY MDMORGANAttack errElsie Affulset Madison Monahan+6.6
53-2MORGANLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+6.8
63-3LOY MDMORGANAttack errElsie Affulset Addie Huber+6.9
74-3MORGANLOY MD×8KillAva Nepkinset Gabi Verdicchio+7.1
85-3LOY MDLOY MD×8Attack errJada Williams+9.1
96-3LOY MDLOY MD×8Attack errJada Williams+8.3
107-3LOY MDLOY MD×8BlockedNathalia Moraisblk Morgan Crawford, Elsie Afful+7.0
118-3LOY MDLOY MD×8AceLoyola Marylandaced Michaela Panekova+5.4
129-3LOY MDLOY MD×8BlockedNathalia Moraisblk Addie Lowe, Morgan Crawford+3.8
1310-3LOY MDLOY MD×8Attack errMichaela Panekova+2.3
1411-3LOY MDLOY MD×8KillGabi Verdicchio+1.2
1511-4LOY MDMORGANServe errLoyola Maryland+0.4
1612-4MORGANLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+0.7
1713-4LOY MDLOY MDAttack errMichaela Panekova+0.3
1813-5LOY MDMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.1
1914-5MORGANLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+0.1
2014-6LOY MDMORGANKillNathalia Moraisset Isabelle Brown·
2115-6MORGANLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Madison Monahan·

Score shown after each rally, Loyola Maryland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).