CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026

Texas Tech def. Central Ark. 31

(25-15, 25-27, 28-26, 25-22)
Set1234Sets
TXTECH252528253
C ARK152726221

RallyIQ model

Win probability

C ARK above 50 · TXTECH below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100C ARKTXTECHBiggest swing +13.0% C ARK · S3 24-25rally 193 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.0% to Central Ark. — set 3, TXTECH 24-25 C ARK. Central Ark. ace on Emily Contreras. C ARK win probability 32%45%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TXTECH 76.2%23.8% C ARK

Texas Tech wins

3-0
28.0%
3-1
29.1%
3-2
19.1%

Central Ark. wins

3-0
4.1%
3-1
8.1%
3-2
11.6%
TXTECH break %
44.5% vs this opp
C ARK break %
39.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    C ARK serverAce+13.0%

    Central Ark. ace on Emily Contreras

    Set 3 · TXTECH 24-25 C ARK · C ARK 32%45%

  2. 02
    Ella ChaneyAttack error+11.8%

    Attack error by Ella Chaney

    Set 3 · TXTECH 27-26 C ARK · TXTECH 64%76%

  3. 03
    C ARK serverAce+11.4%

    Central Ark. ace on Sara Bowcutt

    Set 3 · TXTECH 24-24 C ARK · C ARK 21%32%

  4. 04
    Sara BowcuttKill+10.4%

    Kill by Sara Bowcutt (set by Emily Contreras)

    Set 3 · TXTECH 28-26 C ARK · TXTECH 76%87%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kayla Robertson (set by Katelyn Cochran)

    Set 3 · TXTECH 25-25 C ARK · TXTECH 55%64%

  6. 06
    Ella ChaneyKill+9.5%

    Kill by Ella Chaney (set by Sophie Skinner)

    Set 3 · TXTECH 25-26 C ARK · C ARK 36%45%

  7. 07
    Elia DinsmoreKill+9.5%

    Kill by Elia Dinsmore (set by Katelyn Cochran)

    Set 3 · TXTECH 26-26 C ARK · TXTECH 55%64%

  8. 08
    C ARK serverAce+7.8%

    Central Ark. ace on Elia Dinsmore

    Set 2 · TXTECH 25-27 C ARK · C ARK 21%29%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422354.352042133010.526.5
45515.00011000111.57.5
45214.214002113010.55.5
4107.1435510601013
1103.33301020010.52.5
1103.333000100001
410533.15200050010.510.5
410117.5290004000010
4001.0004411510004
4000111820001
39215.46700000010.59.5
Team totals6418162.28461126659265103
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410216.5001001014313
49322.27302201031.512.5
4409.44446011100215
4000211610001
25212.250000000005
22316-.06301041010.53.5
44420.000000300215
4000020330002
4002.0004112320001
314234.35322112302117
39420.250000100009
1000000000000
Team totals5720151.24555966412114890

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 TXTECH · C ARK 5

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 3 TXTECHC ARK 2

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 4 TXTECHC ARK 4

Set 3

28-26

Longest run 4 TXTECHC ARK 5

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 4 TXTECHC ARK 3

Bars above the line = Central Ark. leads, below = Texas Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Texas Tech

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%12/14
44%8/18
2
63%10/16
44%8/18
3
82%9/11
44%8/18
4
53%8/15
56%10/18
5
47%8/17
43%6/14
6
44%8/18
50%8/16
All
60%55/91
47%48/102

Central Ark.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
44%8/18
2
59%10/17
27%4/15
3
47%9/19
23%3/13
4
47%8/17
38%5/13
5
62%8/13
53%9/17
6
42%8/19
47%7/15
All
53%54/102
40%36/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

193 rallies

Rally log

#TXTECH-C ARKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1C ARKC ARKKillKarlyn Frazierset Sophie Skinner+2.1
21-1C ARKTXTECH×3Attack errFiona VanDyke+1.4
32-1TXTECHTXTECH×3AceTXTECH serveraced Sarah Carnathan+1.9
43-1TXTECHTXTECH×3Attack errSarah Carnathan+1.8
53-2TXTECHC ARKKillFiona VanDykeset Olivia Kremer+1.3
64-2C ARKTXTECHKillGretchen Sigmanset Katelyn Cochran+1.3
75-2TXTECHTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran+1.7
85-3TXTECHC ARKKillKarlyn Frazierset Sophie Skinner+1.2
96-3C ARKTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+1.2
106-4TXTECHC ARKAttack errShelby Ignashblk Sarah Carnathan, Greyson Button+1.2
117-4C ARKTXTECHKillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran+1.2
127-5TXTECHC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+1.2
138-5C ARKTXTECHKillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran+1.3
148-6TXTECHC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+1.2
158-7C ARKC ARKKillFiona VanDykeset Sophie Skinner+2.0
169-7C ARKTXTECHServe errC ARK server+1.5
1710-7TXTECHTXTECHAttack errFiona VanDyke+1.9
1810-8TXTECHC ARKKillFiona VanDykeset Sophie Skinner+1.3
1911-8C ARKTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+1.4
2012-8TXTECHTXTECHAttack errKarlyn Frazier+1.6
2112-9TXTECHC ARKKillFiona VanDykeset Sophie Skinner+1.0
2213-9C ARKTXTECH×3KillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+1.2
2314-9TXTECHTXTECH×3KillSara Bowcutt+1.3
2415-9TXTECHTXTECH×3Bad setSophie Skinner+1.0
2515-10TXTECHC ARKAttack errElia Dinsmore+0.5
2616-10C ARKTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran+0.7
2716-11TXTECHC ARKAttack errKenna McKenzie+0.5
2817-11C ARKTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran+0.7
2918-11TXTECHTXTECHAceTXTECH serveraced Olivia Kremer+0.6
3018-12TXTECHC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Sophie Skinner+0.3
3118-13C ARKC ARKKillFiona VanDykeset Sophie Skinner+0.6
3219-13C ARKTXTECH×3Attack errGreyson Button+0.6
3320-13TXTECHTXTECH×3KillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran+0.5
3421-13TXTECHTXTECH×3KillKayla Robertsonset Katelyn Cochran+0.2
3521-14TXTECHC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Karlyn Frazier+0.1
3622-14C ARKTXTECH×3KillTatum Johnsonset Katelyn Cochran+0.1
3723-14TXTECHTXTECH×3KillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran+0.1
3824-14TXTECHTXTECH×3Attack errKarlyn Frazierblk Tatum Johnson, Sara Bowcutt+0.0
3924-15TXTECHC ARKServe errTXTECH server+0.0
4025-15C ARKTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+0.0
Set 2
10-1TXTECHC ARKAttack errElia Dinsmore+1.2
21-1C ARKTXTECHAttack errAnnie Hopkins+1.1
31-2TXTECHC ARKKillAnnie Hopkinsset Sophie Skinner+1.2
42-2C ARKTXTECH×3KillFaith Jordanset Katelyn Cochran+1.1
53-2TXTECHTXTECH×3KillSara Bowcuttset Emily Contreras+1.5
64-2TXTECHTXTECH×3Attack errAnnie Hopkins+1.4
74-3TXTECHC ARKAttack errShelby Ignash+1.0
85-3C ARKTXTECHKillKayla Robertsonset Katelyn Cochran+1.0
95-4TXTECHC ARKServe errTXTECH server+1.1
106-4C ARKTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran+1.1
116-5TXTECHC ARKServe errTXTECH server+1.1
127-5C ARKTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran+1.1
138-5TXTECHTXTECHKillFaith Jordan+1.4
148-6TXTECHC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+1.0
158-7C ARKC ARKKillKarlyn Frazierset Katelyn Cochran+1.6
169-7C ARKTXTECHServe errC ARK server+1.2
1710-7TXTECHTXTECHKillFaith Jordanset Katelyn Cochran+1.5
1810-8TXTECHC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+1.0
1911-8C ARKTXTECHKillKayla Robertsonset Katelyn Cochran+1.1
2011-9TXTECHC ARKKillKarlyn Frazierset Sophie Skinner+1.0
2111-10C ARKC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Ella Chaney+1.7
2212-10C ARKTXTECHKillKayla Robertsonset Katelyn Cochran+1.3
2313-10TXTECHTXTECHAttack errSarah Carnathan+1.6
2413-11TXTECHC ARKServe errTXTECH server+1.1
2514-11C ARKTXTECHServe errC ARK server+1.2
2615-11TXTECHTXTECHAttack errSarah Carnathan+1.4
2715-12TXTECHC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+0.8
2815-13C ARKC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+1.5
2916-13C ARKTXTECH×3Serve errC ARK server+1.3
3017-13TXTECHTXTECH×3AceTXTECH serveraced Olivia Kremer+1.4
3118-13TXTECHTXTECH×3KillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+1.0
3218-14TXTECHC ARK×4KillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+0.5
3318-15C ARKC ARK×4AceC ARK serveraced Madeleine Smotherman+1.1
3418-16C ARKC ARK×4Attack errShelby Ignashblk Ella Chaney, Greyson Button+1.6
3518-17C ARKC ARK×4Attack errKenna McKenzie+2.2
3619-17C ARKTXTECH×4KillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran+1.8
3720-17TXTECHTXTECH×4KillFaith Jordanset Katelyn Cochran+2.1
3821-17TXTECHTXTECH×4KillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran+1.5
3922-17TXTECHTXTECH×4Attack errGreyson Button+0.9
4022-18TXTECHC ARK×3KillElla Chaneyset Olivia Kremer+0.3
4122-19C ARKC ARK×3KillSophie Skinnerset Ella Chaney+0.8
4222-20C ARKC ARK×3Attack errKenna McKenzieblk Sophie Skinner, Karlyn Frazier+1.5
4323-20C ARKTXTECHKillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran+1.7
4423-21TXTECHC ARKKillKarlyn Frazierset Sophie Skinner+1.0
4523-22C ARKC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+2.6
4624-22C ARKTXTECHKillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran+3.0
4724-23TXTECHC ARK×3KillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+1.7
4824-24C ARKC ARK×3Attack errSara Bowcuttblk Annie Hopkins, Karlyn Frazier+6.0
4924-25C ARKC ARK×3KillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+6.8
5025-25C ARKTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+5.0
5125-26TXTECHC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+5.0
5225-27C ARKC ARKAceC ARK serveraced Elia Dinsmore+7.8
Set 3
11-0C ARKTXTECHAttack errKennady Martindale+1.9
22-0TXTECHTXTECHKillKayla Robertsonset Katelyn Cochran+2.6
32-1TXTECHC ARKAttack errFaith Jordan+1.9
43-1C ARKTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+1.9
53-2TXTECHC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+1.9
64-2C ARKTXTECHKillFaith Jordanset Faith Jordan+1.9
74-3TXTECHC ARKKillAnnie Hopkinsset Sophie Skinner+2.0
85-3C ARKTXTECH×4KillKayla Robertsonset Katelyn Cochran+2.0
96-3TXTECHTXTECH×4KillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+2.5
107-3TXTECHTXTECH×4AceTXTECH serveraced Cameron McDaniel+2.2
118-3TXTECHTXTECH×4KillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran+1.8
128-4TXTECHC ARK×5KillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+1.2
138-5C ARKC ARK×5Attack errShelby Ignash+2.0
148-6C ARKC ARK×5AceC ARK serveraced Elia Dinsmore+2.5
158-7C ARKC ARK×5KillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+3.0
168-8C ARKC ARK×5AceC ARK serveraced Madeleine Smotherman+3.4
179-8C ARKTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+2.4
1810-8TXTECHTXTECHAceTXTECH serveraced Team+3.2
1910-9TXTECHC ARKServe errTXTECH server+2.3
2010-10C ARKC ARKAceC ARK serveraced Sara Bowcutt+3.7
2111-10C ARKTXTECH×4KillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran+2.6
2212-10TXTECHTXTECH×4Attack errKennady Martindale+3.4
2313-10TXTECHTXTECH×4Attack errKennady Martindale+3.0
2414-10TXTECHTXTECH×4AceTXTECH serveraced Ella Chaney+2.5
2514-11TXTECHC ARKAttack errSara Bowcuttblk Karlyn Frazier+1.6
2615-11C ARKTXTECHKillKatelyn Cochranset Madeleine Smotherman+1.8
2715-12TXTECHC ARKKillKarlyn Frazierset Sophie Skinner+1.6
2815-13C ARKC ARKAttack errKenna McKenzieblk Annie Hopkins, Karlyn Frazier+2.9
2916-13C ARKTXTECHKillKayla Robertsonset Katelyn Cochran+2.4
3016-14TXTECHC ARKKillKarlyn Frazierset Sophie Skinner+2.2
3117-14C ARKTXTECH×4KillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran+2.5
3218-14TXTECHTXTECH×4KillKayla Robertsonset Katelyn Cochran+2.7
3319-14TXTECHTXTECH×4Attack errGreyson Buttonblk Shelby Ignash+1.9
3420-14TXTECHTXTECH×4AceTXTECH serveraced Greyson Button+1.2
3520-15TXTECHC ARK×4KillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+0.5
3620-16C ARKC ARK×4AceC ARK serveraced Elia Dinsmore+1.2
3720-17C ARKC ARK×4Attack errKayla Robertsonblk Greyson Button, Ella Chaney+2.0
3820-18C ARKC ARK×4KillSophie Skinnerset Trinity Hamilton+3.1
3921-18C ARKTXTECHKillKayla Robertsonset Katelyn Cochran+2.9
4021-19TXTECHC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+2.2
4122-19C ARKTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Emily Contreras+3.1
4222-20TXTECHC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+2.1
4322-21C ARKC ARKAceC ARK serveraced Sara Bowcutt+5.0
4423-21C ARKTXTECHKillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran+4.9
4523-22TXTECHC ARKKillSophie Skinnerset Olivia Kremer+3.6
4624-22C ARKTXTECHServe errC ARK server+5.7
4724-23TXTECHC ARK×3KillKarlyn Frazierset Sophie Skinner+3.3
4824-24C ARKC ARK×3AceC ARK serveraced Sara Bowcutt+11.4
4924-25C ARKC ARK×3AceC ARK serveraced Emily Contreras+13.0
5025-25C ARKTXTECHKillKayla Robertsonset Katelyn Cochran+9.5
5125-26TXTECHC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+9.5
5226-26C ARKTXTECH×3KillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran+9.5
5327-26TXTECHTXTECH×3Attack errElla Chaney+11.8
5428-26TXTECHTXTECH×3KillSara Bowcuttset Emily Contreras+10.4
Set 4
11-0TXTECHTXTECHAttack errAnnie Hopkinsblk Faith Jordan, Elia Dinsmore+2.2
21-1TXTECHC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+1.7
32-1C ARKTXTECH×4KillFaith Jordanset Katelyn Cochran+1.6
43-1TXTECHTXTECH×4AceTXTECH serveraced Cameron McDaniel+2.1
54-1TXTECHTXTECH×4KillSara Bowcuttset Shelby Ignash+1.9
65-1TXTECHTXTECH×4AceTXTECH serveraced Cameron McDaniel+1.7
75-2TXTECHC ARKKillAnnie Hopkinsset Sophie Skinner+1.1
86-2C ARKTXTECH×3KillSara Bowcuttset Emily Contreras+1.2
97-2TXTECHTXTECH×3KillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+1.4
108-2TXTECHTXTECH×3KillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+1.2
118-3TXTECHC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+0.7
129-3C ARKTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+0.8
1310-3TXTECHTXTECHAceTXTECH serveraced Trinity Hamilton+0.9
1410-4TXTECHC ARK×3KillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+0.5
1510-5C ARKC ARK×3Attack errKenna McKenzieblk Karlyn Frazier, Sophie Skinner+1.0
1610-6C ARKC ARK×3Attack errShelby Ignash+1.3
1711-6C ARKTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+1.1
1811-7TXTECHC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+0.9
1912-7C ARKTXTECHKillFaith Jordanset Katelyn Cochran+1.1
2012-8TXTECHC ARK×3KillAnnie Hopkinsset Sophie Skinner+0.9
2112-9C ARKC ARK×3KillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+1.7
2212-10C ARKC ARK×3Attack errFaith Jordan+2.2
2313-10C ARKTXTECHAttack errAnnie Hopkins+1.7
2413-11TXTECHC ARKServe errTXTECH server+1.6
2514-11C ARKTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+1.8
2614-12TXTECHC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+1.7
2715-12C ARKTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran+1.9
2815-13TXTECHC ARKKillSophie Skinnerset Sophie Skinner+1.7
2915-14C ARKC ARKAttack errSara Bowcutt+3.0
3016-14C ARKTXTECH×4Serve errC ARK server+2.3
3117-14TXTECHTXTECH×4KillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+2.8
3218-14TXTECHTXTECH×4Attack errKennady Martindaleblk Katelyn Cochran+2.2
3319-14TXTECHTXTECH×4AceTXTECH serveraced Ella Chaney+1.6
3419-15TXTECHC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+0.8
3519-16C ARKC ARKKillKarlyn Frazierset Sophie Skinner+1.7
3620-16C ARKTXTECHKillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran+1.6
3720-17TXTECHC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Trinity Hamilton+1.2
3820-18C ARKC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+2.5
3921-18C ARKTXTECHKillFaith Jordanset Katelyn Cochran+2.4
4022-18TXTECHTXTECHAceTXTECH serveraced Ella Chaney+2.3
4122-19TXTECHC ARK×3KillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+0.9
4222-20C ARKC ARK×3KillElla Chaneyset Olivia Kremer+2.4
4322-21C ARKC ARK×3KillElla Chaneyset Sophie Skinner+4.0
4423-21C ARKTXTECHKillFaith Jordanset Katelyn Cochran+4.0
4523-22TXTECHC ARKKillKarlyn Frazierset Sophie Skinner+3.0
4624-22C ARKTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+4.7
4725-22TXTECHTXTECHAttack errElla Chaneyblk Kenna McKenzie, Shelby Ignash+3.3

Score shown after each rally, Texas Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.