FinalSun, Oct 4, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Arizona def. Texas Tech 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Arizona 77.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Arizona beat visiting Texas Tech 3-0 (25-14, 25-20, 25-18) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. Arizona's Destiny Ndam-Simpson led with 13 kills, and Gigi Whann added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 4

Set123Sets
TXTECH1420180
ARIZ2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No set was closer than 5 points: Arizona swept Texas Tech.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.4 points. Texas Tech peaked at 23% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Arizona at 78%.

Texas TechArizona
  • Break %+21.1 pts
    29.650.7

    Points won on own serve: 37 of 73 vs 16 of 54. Texas Tech sided out 49.3% of the time.

  • Hitting+.190
    .103.293

    Kills and errors: 38–9 vs 32–20.

  • Longest run+4
    48

    Arizona scored 8 straight in the third set to turn a 7–10 deficit into a 15–10 lead. The set finished 25–18.

Arizona above 50Texas Tech belowMax swing 2.4%

Texas TechArizona

Aces
Texas Tech 2·Arizona 8
Serve err
Texas Tech 8·Arizona 6
Blocks
Texas Tech 1·Arizona 50 BS · 2 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Texas Tech 48·Arizona 54

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Arizona above 50 · Texas Tech below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.4% ARIZrally 127 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Arizona — set 2, TXTECH 16-17 ARIZ. Arizona ace. ARIZ win probability 86% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TXTECH 18.6%81.4% ARIZ

Texas Tech wins

3-0
3.0%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
9.5%

Arizona wins

3-0
33.0%
3-1
30.6%
3-2
17.9%
TXTECH break %
38.4% vs this opp
ARIZ break %
45.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    ArizonaAce+2.4%

    Arizona ace

    Set 2 · TXTECH 16-17 ARIZ · ARIZ 86% → 89%

  2. 02

    Kill by Destiny Ndam-Simpson (set by Maria Olga Siapani)

    Set 2 · TXTECH 17-19 ARIZ · ARIZ 89% → 91%

  3. 03
    Elia DinsmoreKill+2.3%

    Kill by Elia Dinsmore (set by Taylor Cook)

    Set 2 · TXTECH 14-12 ARIZ · TXTECH 15% → 17%

  4. 04
    Elia DinsmoreAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Elia Dinsmore

    Set 2 · TXTECH 15-15 ARIZ · ARIZ 84% → 86%

  5. 05
    Elia DinsmoreKill+2.2%

    Kill by Elia Dinsmore (set by Taylor Cook)

    Set 2 · TXTECH 13-12 ARIZ · TXTECH 13% → 15%

  6. 06
    Sara BowcuttAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Sara Bowcutt

    Set 2 · TXTECH 19-22 ARIZ · ARIZ 92% → 94%

  7. 07
    Texas TechService error+2.0%

    Texas Tech service error

    Set 2 · TXTECH 19-21 ARIZ · ARIZ 90% → 92%

  8. 08

    Kill by Carlie Cisneros (set by Kennedy Osunsanmi)

    Set 1 · TXTECH 7-9 ARIZ · ARIZ 79% → 81%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311625.20010012200011
36215.26700000010.56.5
36633.000001800006
3308.375010100004
31316-.12500030010.51.5
31011.0001700800001
3000–413800001
3001.0001003600000
3000–000000000
2326.167000100003
2117.000000000001
1004.000001100000
1000–000000000
Team totals3220116.103322848802152
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313432.28112180010.515.5
311222.40934210000015
34111.273000100426
35010.500000100005
33113.154100500214
31011.0001610600002
3019-.111000200211
3000–1110400001
3000–000200000
3000–4021500000
21011.00000100010.51.5
1000–000000000
Team totals38999.2933686542010575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Texas Tech vs Arizona

Season series · Arizona leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 TXTECH · ARIZ 8

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 TXTECHARIZ 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 TXTECHARIZ 3

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 4 TXTECHARIZ 8

Bars above the line = Arizona leads, below = Texas Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Texas Tech

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%7/16
36%4/11
2
47%7/15
13%1/8
3
67%6/9
36%4/11
4
35%6/17
25%2/8
5
83%5/6
25%2/8
6
50%5/10
38%3/8
All
49%36/73
30%16/54

Arizona

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
50%6/12
2
100%7/7
56%9/16
3
64%7/11
50%7/14
4
60%6/10
40%4/10
5
100%5/5
67%10/15
6
56%5/9
17%1/6
All
70%38/54
51%37/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#TXTECH-ARIZSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TXTECHARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Carlie Cisneros+1.3
21-1ARIZTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+1.4
31-2TXTECHARIZ×3Serve errTexas Tech+1.3
41-3ARIZARIZ×3Attack errSara Bowcutt+1.7
51-4ARIZARIZ×3KillCarlie Cisnerosset Maria Olga Siapani+1.5
62-4ARIZTXTECH×3Serve errArizona+1.1
73-4TXTECHTXTECH×3Attack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+1.7
84-4TXTECHTXTECH×3KillKatelyn Cochranset Elia Dinsmore+2.0
94-5TXTECHARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Maria Olga Siapani+1.4
105-5ARIZTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran+1.5
115-6TXTECHARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+1.5
126-6ARIZTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran+1.6
136-7TXTECHARIZKillKristen Dearset Harmony Sample+1.5
147-7ARIZTXTECHKillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran+1.6
157-8TXTECHARIZ×3KillJourney Tuckerset Harmony Sample+1.6
167-9ARIZARIZ×3KillCarlie Cisnerosset Kennedy Osunsanmi+2.0
177-10ARIZARIZ×3KillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+1.8
188-10ARIZTXTECHKillTatum Johnsonset Katelyn Cochran+1.3
198-11TXTECHARIZAttack errGretchen Sigman+1.3
208-12ARIZARIZAceArizona+1.5
219-12ARIZTXTECHServe errArizona+1.0
229-13TXTECHARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Maria Olga Siapani+1.1
2310-13ARIZTXTECHAttack errKennedy Osunsanmi+1.0
2410-14TXTECHARIZ×3KillKristen Dearset Maria Olga Siapani+1.2
2510-15ARIZARIZ×3KillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Gigi Whann+1.3
2610-16ARIZARIZ×3Attack errElia Dinsmore+0.9
2711-16ARIZTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Taylor Cook+0.5
2811-17TXTECHARIZ×3Serve errTexas Tech+0.6
2911-18ARIZARIZ×3AceArizona+0.6
3011-19ARIZARIZ×3KillCarlie Cisnerosset Destiny Ndam-Simpson+0.3
3112-19ARIZTXTECHServe errArizona+0.1
3212-20TXTECHARIZServe errTexas Tech+0.2
3313-20ARIZTXTECHKillKayla Robertsonset Taylor Cook+0.1
3413-21TXTECHARIZBlockedKenna McKenzieblk Journey Tucker, Renee Jones+0.2
3514-21ARIZTXTECHKillTatum Johnsonset Katelyn Cochran+0.1
3614-22TXTECHARIZ×4KillCarlie Cisnerosset Maria Olga Siapani+0.1
3714-23ARIZARIZ×4AceArizona+0.1
3814-24ARIZARIZ×4KillJourney Tuckerset Maria Olga Siapani·
3914-25ARIZARIZ×4AceArizonaaced Elia Dinsmore·
Set 2
10-1ARIZARIZAttack errElia Dinsmore+1.4
21-1ARIZTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+1.0
32-1TXTECHTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+1.5
42-2TXTECHARIZAttack errElia Dinsmore+1.1
53-2ARIZTXTECHServe errArizona+1.2
63-3TXTECHARIZBlockedGretchen Sigmanblk Destiny Ndam-Simpson, Journey Tucker+1.1
73-4ARIZARIZAttack errSara Bowcutt+1.5
84-4ARIZTXTECHServe errArizona+1.1
94-5TXTECHARIZServe errTexas Tech+1.1
105-5ARIZTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Taylor Cook+1.2
115-6TXTECHARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+1.1
126-6ARIZTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Taylor Cook+1.2
136-7TXTECHARIZServe errTexas Tech+1.2
147-7ARIZTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Taylor Cook+1.2
158-7TXTECHTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Emily Contreras+1.8
168-8TXTECHARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample+1.3
179-8ARIZTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran+1.4
189-9TXTECHARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Gigi Whann+1.3
199-10ARIZARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Maria Olga Siapani+1.8
2010-10ARIZTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran+1.4
2110-11TXTECHARIZKillJourney Tuckerset Maria Olga Siapani+1.3
2211-11ARIZTXTECHAttack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+1.4
2311-12TXTECHARIZKillKristen Dearset Maria Olga Siapani+1.4
2412-12ARIZTXTECH×3KillSara Bowcuttset Taylor Cook+1.5
2513-12TXTECHTXTECH×3KillElia Dinsmoreset Taylor Cook+2.2
2614-12TXTECHTXTECH×3KillElia Dinsmoreset Taylor Cook+2.3
2714-13TXTECHARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+1.5
2815-13ARIZTXTECHAttack errCarlie Cisneros+1.8
2915-14TXTECHARIZServe errTexas Tech+1.6
3015-15ARIZARIZAttack errElia Dinsmore+2.3
3116-15ARIZTXTECHServe errArizona+1.9
3216-16TXTECHARIZKillJourney Tuckerset Harmony Sample+1.8
3316-17ARIZARIZAceArizona+2.4
3417-17ARIZTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran+1.9
3517-18TXTECHARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Maria Olga Siapani+1.9
3617-19ARIZARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Maria Olga Siapani+2.4
3718-19ARIZTXTECHKillTatum Johnsonset Katelyn Cochran+1.6
3818-20TXTECHARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Maria Olga Siapani+1.9
3919-20ARIZTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran+1.7
4019-21TXTECHARIZ×3Serve errTexas Tech+2.0
4119-22ARIZARIZ×3Attack errSara Bowcutt+2.2
4219-23ARIZARIZ×3AceArizona+1.3
4320-23ARIZTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Taylor Cook+0.5
4420-24TXTECHARIZAttack errKayla Robertson+0.8
4520-25ARIZARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.3
Set 3
11-0TXTECHTXTECH×3Attack errJourney Tucker+0.8
22-0TXTECHTXTECH×3KillElia Dinsmoreset Emily Contreras+0.9
33-0TXTECHTXTECH×3Bad setMaria Olga Siapani+0.9
43-1TXTECHARIZ×3Serve errTexas Tech+0.6
53-2ARIZARIZ×3KillKennedy Osunsanmiset Gigi Whann+0.8
63-3ARIZARIZ×3AceArizona+0.8
74-3ARIZTXTECHAttack errCarlie Cisneros+0.7
84-4TXTECHARIZ×3KillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Carlie Cisneros+0.6
94-5ARIZARIZ×3KillKristen Dearset Carlie Cisneros+0.8
104-6ARIZARIZ×3KillKristen Dearset Maria Olga Siapani+0.7
115-6ARIZTXTECH×3Attack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+0.6
126-6TXTECHTXTECH×3AceTexas Tech+0.9
137-6TXTECHTXTECH×3BlockedDestiny Ndam-Simpsonblk Gretchen Sigman, Shelby Ignash+0.9
147-7TXTECHARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Maria Olga Siapani+0.7
158-7ARIZTXTECH×3Bad setHarmony Sample+0.7
169-7TXTECHTXTECH×3Bad setHarmony Sample+1.0
1710-7TXTECHTXTECH×3KillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran+1.1
1810-8TXTECHARIZ×8KillMarina Voslooset Katelyn Cochran+0.7
1910-9ARIZARIZ×8BlockedElia Dinsmoreblk Marina Vosloo, Renee Jones+1.0
2010-10ARIZARIZ×8KillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample+1.0
2110-11ARIZARIZ×8Attack errShelby Ignash+1.0
2210-12ARIZARIZ×8KillCarlie Cisnerosset Gigi Whann+0.9
2310-13ARIZARIZ×8Bad setKatelyn Cochran+0.8
2410-14ARIZARIZ×8AceArizonaaced Elia Dinsmore+0.7
2510-15ARIZARIZ×8Attack errShelby Ignash+0.5
2611-15ARIZTXTECHKillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran+0.3
2711-16TXTECHARIZServe errTexas Tech+0.4
2812-16ARIZTXTECH×4KillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran+0.3
2913-16TXTECHTXTECH×4Attack errRenee Jones+0.6
3014-16TXTECHTXTECH×4AceTexas Tech+0.8
3115-16TXTECHTXTECH×4KillKenna McKenzieset Emily Contreras+1.0
3215-17TXTECHARIZ×3KillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample+0.8
3315-18ARIZARIZ×3Attack errElia Dinsmore+1.0
3415-19ARIZARIZ×3Attack errKenna McKenzie+0.7
3516-19ARIZTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran+0.4
3616-20TXTECHARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Maria Olga Siapani+0.5
3716-21ARIZARIZBlockedGretchen Sigmanblk Journey Tucker, Kennedy Osunsanmi+0.5
3817-21ARIZTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Taylor Cook+0.2
3917-22TXTECHARIZ×3BlockedSara Bowcuttblk Journey Tucker, Kennedy Osunsanmi+0.3
4017-23ARIZARIZ×3KillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Maria Olga Siapani+0.2
4117-24ARIZARIZ×3KillMaria Olga Siapaniset Tatum Johnson+0.1
4218-24ARIZTXTECHKillGretchen Sigmanset Emily Contreras·
4318-25TXTECHARIZAttack errSara Bowcutt·

Score shown after each rally, Texas Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).