FinalSun, Nov 1, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Colorado def. Texas Tech 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Colorado 95.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 1, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Colorado beat visiting Texas Tech 3-0 (25-18, 27-25, 25-12) on Sun, Nov 1, 2026. Colorado's Ana Burilovic led with 13 kills, and Tinons Munar Galmes added 13 digs.

Data through · final Nov 1

Set123Sets
TXTECH1825120
COLO2527253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 7–0 run in the third set broke it open for Colorado.

Win probability never moved more than 2.4 points on one rally; Texas Tech topped out at 6% in Set 2. RallyIQ gave Colorado 96% before first serve.

Texas TechColorado
  • Break %+18.2 pts
    35.153.3

    40 of 75 on serve vs 20 of 57, so Texas Tech's sideout was 46.7%.

  • Hitting+.148
    .048.196

    39 K / 21 E against 29 K / 24 E.

  • Longest run+2
    57

    Up 17–11 in the third set, Colorado scored 7 straight to make it 24–11. Final score of the set: 25–12.

Colorado above 50Texas Tech belowMax swing 2.4%

Texas TechColorado

Aces
Texas Tech 2·Colorado 4
Serve err
Texas Tech 9·Colorado 3
Blocks
Texas Tech 9·Colorado 122 BS · 14 BA vs 3 BS · 18 BA
Digs
Texas Tech 29·Colorado 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Colorado above 50 · Texas Tech below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.4% TXTECHrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Texas Tech — set 2, TXTECH 25-24 COLO. Cayla Payne stuffed by Shelby Ignash. COLO win probability 97% → 94%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TXTECH 4.0%96.0% COLO

Texas Tech wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
1.1%
3-2
2.5%

Colorado wins

3-0
58.6%
3-1
28.7%
3-2
8.7%
TXTECH break %
35.3% vs this opp
COLO break %
48.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Shelby IgnashBlock+2.4%

    Cayla Payne stuffed by Shelby Ignash

    Set 2 · TXTECH 25-24 COLO · TXTECH 3% → 6%

  2. 02
    Cayla PayneKill+1.9%

    Kill by Cayla Payne (set by Jenna Ylivainio)

    Set 2 · TXTECH 25-26 COLO · COLO 96% → 98%

  3. 03
    Ana BurilovicKill+1.8%

    Kill by Ana Burilovic (set by Jenna Ylivainio)

    Set 2 · TXTECH 25-25 COLO · COLO 94% → 96%

  4. 04
    Aviya RussoAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Aviya Russo

    Set 2 · TXTECH 25-27 COLO · COLO 98% → 99%

  5. 05
    Maggie BoydService error+1.3%

    Service error by Maggie Boyd

    Set 2 · TXTECH 23-24 COLO · COLO 97% → 98%

  6. 06
    Shelby IgnashKill+1.3%

    Kill by Shelby Ignash (set by Katelyn Cochran)

    Set 2 · TXTECH 24-24 COLO · TXTECH 2% → 3%

  7. 07
    Lily DwinellAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Lily Dwinell

    Set 2 · TXTECH 22-22 COLO · TXTECH 2% → 3%

  8. 08

    Kill by Gretchen Sigman (set by Katelyn Cochran)

    Set 2 · TXTECH 23-23 COLO · TXTECH 2% → 3%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38114.5000010004210
35118.22200020031.56.5
35520.000003410005
33415-.067011300004
3012-.5002311900212
2327.143000101225
3000–000000000
3000–302410000
24820-.200000300215
2000–000210000
2000–001100000
1004.00000000111.51.5
1124-.250000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals2924104.0482629294214955
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310213.6151000024414
313729.207001121010.513.5
37419.15800010052.59.5
3407.57100040031.55.5
3104.250311050031.53.5
33210.100100500003
3000–011310001
3000–2001300000
2158-.500011101013
14Nikki OttL/DS
2000–010000001
1012-.500000000211
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals392192.19635434423181277

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TXTECH · COLO 7

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 TXTECHCOLO 3

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 3 TXTECHCOLO 5

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 5 TXTECHCOLO 7

Bars above the line = Colorado leads, below = Texas Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Texas Tech

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%6/12
55%6/11
2
67%6/9
50%6/12
3
71%5/7
0%0/6
4
44%4/9
17%1/6
5
67%4/6
20%1/5
6
50%4/8
0%0/4
All
57%29/51
32%14/44

Colorado

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%6/14
50%5/10
2
86%6/7
25%2/8
3
86%6/7
33%3/9
4
80%4/5
60%6/10
5
100%4/4
33%2/6
6
57%4/7
50%4/8
All
68%30/44
43%22/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#TXTECH-COLOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TXTECHCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+0.4
21-1COLOTXTECHKillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran+0.4
31-2TXTECHCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+0.4
41-3COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.5
52-3COLOTXTECHKillTatum Johnsonset Katelyn Cochran+0.4
62-4TXTECHCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.3
72-5COLOCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.4
82-6COLOCOLO×3BlockedShelby Ignashblk Cayla Payne+0.3
93-6COLOTXTECHKillGretchen Sigmanset Katelyn Cochran+0.2
103-7TXTECHCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+0.2
114-7COLOTXTECHKillAviya Russoset Emily Contreras+0.2
124-8TXTECHCOLOServe errAviya Russo+0.2
135-8COLOTXTECHBlockedInes Losadablk Katelyn Cochran, Shelby Ignash+0.2
145-9TXTECHCOLOServe errEmily Contreras+0.2
155-10COLOCOLOAceInes Losadaaced Madeleine Smotherman+0.3
166-10COLOTXTECHKillTatum Johnsonset Katelyn Cochran+0.2
176-11TXTECHCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+0.2
187-11COLOTXTECHKillTatum Johnsonset Katelyn Cochran+0.2
198-11TXTECHTXTECHBlockedAna Burilovicblk Gretchen Sigman, Tatum Johnson+0.3
208-12TXTECHCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+0.3
219-12COLOTXTECHAttack errAna Burilovic+0.3
229-13TXTECHCOLOServe errTatum Johnson+0.3
2310-13COLOTXTECHKillAviya Russoset Katelyn Cochran+0.3
2410-14TXTECHCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+0.3
2510-15COLOCOLOAttack errAviya Russo+0.3
2611-15COLOTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran+0.2
2711-16TXTECHCOLOServe errAviya Russo+0.2
2811-17COLOCOLOBlockedElia Dinsmoreblk Maria Splawska, Lily Dwinell+0.2
2912-17COLOTXTECHAttack errInes Losada+0.1
3012-18TXTECHCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+0.1
3113-18COLOTXTECH×4KillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran+0.1
3214-18TXTECHTXTECH×4BlockedAna Burilovicblk Gretchen Sigman, Tatum Johnson+0.2
3315-18TXTECHTXTECH×4AceKatelyn Cochranaced Ana Burilovic+0.4
3416-18TXTECHTXTECH×4KillGretchen Sigmanset Katelyn Cochran+0.6
3516-19TXTECHCOLO×3KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+0.5
3616-20COLOCOLO×3Attack errGretchen Sigman+0.5
3716-21COLOCOLO×3AceNikki Ottaced Aviya Russo+0.3
3817-21COLOTXTECHKillTatum Johnsonset Katelyn Cochran+0.1
3917-22TXTECHCOLO×3Serve errElia Dinsmore+0.2
4017-23COLOCOLO×3Attack errAviya Russo+0.1
4117-24COLOCOLO×3KillJenna Ylivainio·
4218-24COLOTXTECHKillAviya Russoset Katelyn Cochran·
4318-25TXTECHCOLOBlockedElia Dinsmoreblk Cayla Payne, Ana Burilovic·
Set 2
11-0COLOTXTECH×3KillTatum Johnsonset Katelyn Cochran+0.3
22-0TXTECHTXTECH×3KillTatum Johnsonset Katelyn Cochran+0.5
33-0TXTECHTXTECH×3Attack errAna Burilovic+0.6
43-1TXTECHCOLOAttack errAviya Russo+0.3
54-1COLOTXTECHServe errInes Losada+0.4
64-2TXTECHCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+0.3
75-2COLOTXTECHAttack errAna Burilovic+0.4
85-3TXTECHCOLO×3KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+0.4
95-4COLOCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.5
105-5COLOCOLO×3AceAvery Bolles+0.5
116-5COLOTXTECHKillAviya Russoset Katelyn Cochran+0.4
127-5TXTECHTXTECHBlockedAna Burilovicblk Katelyn Cochran, Shelby Ignash+0.6
137-6TXTECHCOLOServe errAviya Russo+0.4
148-6COLOTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran+0.5
158-7TXTECHCOLO×3Serve errEmily Contreras+0.4
168-8COLOCOLO×3BlockedTatum Johnsonblk Ines Losada+0.5
178-9COLOCOLO×3Attack errElia Dinsmore+0.5
189-9COLOTXTECH×3KillElia Dinsmoreset Katelyn Cochran+0.4
1910-9TXTECHTXTECH×3Attack errInes Losada+0.6
2011-9TXTECHTXTECH×3KillGretchen Sigman+0.7
2111-10TXTECHCOLO×5Serve errKatelyn Cochran+0.4
2211-11COLOCOLO×5KillInes Losadaset Tinons Munar Galmes+0.6
2311-12COLOCOLO×5KillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+0.5
2411-13COLOCOLO×5AceJenna Ylivainioaced Emily Contreras+0.5
2511-14COLOCOLO×5BlockedElia Dinsmoreblk Maria Splawska, Lily Dwinell+0.4
2612-14COLOTXTECH×3Attack errInes Losada+0.3
2713-14TXTECHTXTECH×3Attack errInes Losada+0.5
2814-14TXTECHTXTECH×3Attack errLily Dwinell+0.6
2914-15TXTECHCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Sydney Jordan+0.4
3015-15COLOTXTECHKillAviya Russoset Katelyn Cochran+0.5
3115-16TXTECHCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+0.5
3216-16COLOTXTECHAttack errCayla Payne+0.5
3316-17TXTECHCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.5
3417-17COLOTXTECHServe errAvery Bolles+0.6
3517-18TXTECHCOLOAttack errShelby Ignash+0.5
3617-19COLOCOLOBlockedKatelyn Cochranblk Cayla Payne+0.7
3718-19COLOTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran+0.5
3818-20TXTECHCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+0.5
3918-21COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.5
4019-21COLOTXTECHAttack errSydney Jordan+0.3
4120-21TXTECHTXTECHKillGretchen Sigmanset Emily Contreras+0.7
4220-22TXTECHCOLOBlockedSara Bowcuttblk Jenna Ylivainio, Maria Splawska+0.6
4321-22COLOTXTECHBlockedSydney Jordanblk Gretchen Sigman, Tatum Johnson+0.5
4422-22TXTECHTXTECHAttack errLily Dwinell+1.3
4522-23TXTECHCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.0
4623-23COLOTXTECHKillGretchen Sigmanset Katelyn Cochran+1.1
4723-24TXTECHCOLOServe errMaggie Boyd+1.3
4824-24COLOTXTECHKillShelby Ignashset Katelyn Cochran+1.3
4925-24TXTECHTXTECHBlockedCayla Payneblk Shelby Ignash+2.4
5025-25TXTECHCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.8
5125-26COLOCOLO×3KillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+1.9
5225-27COLOCOLO×3Attack errAviya Russo+1.4
Set 3
11-0TXTECHTXTECHBlockedLily Dwinellblk Tatum Johnson, Sara Bowcutt+0.2
21-1TXTECHCOLO×6KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.1
31-2COLOCOLO×6BlockedSara Bowcuttblk Cayla Payne, Lily Dwinell+0.2
41-3COLOCOLO×6KillCayla Payne+0.1
51-4COLOCOLO×6KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.1
61-5COLOCOLO×6KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+0.1
71-6COLOCOLO×6KillAna Burilovicset Cayla Payne+0.1
82-6COLOTXTECHKillTatum Johnsonset Katelyn Cochran·
92-7TXTECHCOLOKillCayla Payneset Tinons Munar Galmes·
102-8COLOCOLOBlockedAviya Russoblk Jenna Ylivainio, Cayla Payne+0.1
113-8TXTECH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
123-9TXTECHCOLO×5KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio·
133-10COLOCOLO×5BlockedKenna McKenzieblk Jenna Ylivainio, Cayla Payne·
143-11COLOCOLO×5Bad setSara Bowcutt·
153-12COLOCOLO×5KillCayla Payne·
163-13COLOCOLO×5KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio·
174-13COLOTXTECHServe errAna Burilovic·
184-14TXTECHCOLO×3KillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio·
194-15COLOCOLO×3Attack errKenna McKenzie·
204-16COLOCOLO×3KillSydney Jordanset Tinons Munar Galmes·
215-16COLOTXTECH×5KillKenna McKenzieset Katelyn Cochran·
226-16TXTECHTXTECH×5BlockedBarbora Rakauskaiteblk Faith Jordan, Sara Bowcutt·
237-16TXTECHTXTECH×5KillSara Bowcuttset Emily Contreras·
248-16TXTECHTXTECH×5BlockedAna Burilovicblk Faith Jordan·
259-16TXTECHTXTECH×5AceElia Dinsmoreaced Avery Bolles·
269-17TXTECHCOLOAttack errSara Bowcutt·
2710-17COLOTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Katelyn Cochran·
2811-17TXTECHTXTECHAttack errLily Dwinell·
2911-18TXTECHCOLO×7KillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio·
3011-19COLOCOLO×7BlockedSara Bowcuttblk Barbora Rakauskaite, Lily Dwinell·
3111-20COLOCOLO×7BlockedSara Bowcuttblk Lily Dwinell, Barbora Rakauskaite·
3211-21COLOCOLO×7KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio·
3311-22COLOCOLO×7KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio·
3411-23COLOCOLO×7Attack errSara Bowcutt·
3511-24COLOCOLO×7Attack errSara Bowcutt·
3612-24COLOTXTECHKillSara Bowcuttset Ana Burilovic·
3712-25TXTECHCOLOAttack errSara Bowcutt·

Score shown after each rally, Texas Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).