FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026

Lehigh def. Loyola Maryland 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Lehigh 95.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 2:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Lehigh beat visiting Loyola Maryland 3-0 (25-22, 25-14, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Lehigh's Ufuoma Omene led with 13 kills, and Sophia Bond added 9 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
LOY MD2214210
LEHIGH2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.478 and 13 kills for Ufuoma Omene as Lehigh rolled past Loyola Maryland.

Win probability never moved more than 1.3 points on one rally; Loyola Maryland topped out at 11% in Set 1. Lehigh went in as RallyIQ's 96% pick.

Loyola MarylandLehigh
  • Break %+14.0 pts
    41.455.4

    41 of 74 on serve vs 24 of 58, so Loyola Maryland's sideout was 44.6%.

  • Hitting+.197
    .168.365

    45 kills, 10 errors vs 37 kills, 18 errors.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    Lehigh scored 5 straight in the first set to erase an 8–13 deficit and tie it at 13. That set ended 25–22.

Lehigh above 50Loyola Maryland belowMax swing 1.3%

Loyola MarylandLehigh

Aces
Loyola Maryland 6·Lehigh 6
Serve err
Loyola Maryland 4·Lehigh 3
Blocks
Loyola Maryland 3·Lehigh 63 BS · 0 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Loyola Maryland 37·Lehigh 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Lehigh above 50 · Loyola Maryland below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.3% LOY MDrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Loyola Maryland — set 1, LOY MD 13-8 LEHIGH. Kill by Ava Nepkin. LEHIGH win probability 91% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LOY MD 4.4%95.6% LEHIGH

Loyola Maryland wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.2%
3-2
2.7%

Lehigh wins

3-0
57.4%
3-1
29.1%
3-2
9.2%
LOY MD break %
35.5% vs this opp
LEHIGH break %
48.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ava NepkinKill+1.3%

    Kill by Ava Nepkin

    Set 1 · LOY MD 13-8 LEHIGH · LOY MD 9% → 11%

  2. 02
    Ellie JoffeKill+1.2%

    Kill by Ellie Joffe

    Set 1 · LOY MD 11-6 LEHIGH · LOY MD 9% → 10%

  3. 03
    Ava NepkinKill+1.1%

    Kill by Ava Nepkin

    Set 1 · LOY MD 9-5 LEHIGH · LOY MD 7% → 8%

  4. 04
    Ava NepkinAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Ava Nepkin

    Set 1 · LOY MD 13-11 LEHIGH · LEHIGH 91% → 92%

  5. 05
    Elsie AffulAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Elsie Afful

    Set 1 · LOY MD 13-12 LEHIGH · LEHIGH 92% → 93%

  6. 06
    Ufuoma OmeneKill+1.1%

    Kill by Ufuoma Omene (set by Sophia Bond)

    Set 1 · LOY MD 15-16 LEHIGH · LEHIGH 94% → 95%

  7. 07
    Morgan CrawfordAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Morgan Crawford

    Set 1 · LOY MD 13-10 LEHIGH · LEHIGH 90% → 91%

  8. 08
    Sydnee PetersKill+1.1%

    Kill by Sydnee Peters (set by Gabi Verdicchio)

    Set 1 · LOY MD 6-1 LEHIGH · LOY MD 8% → 9%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311432.2191105000012
311125.4000001000011
37421.143001500007
33212.083001200003
33412-.083000000003
3000–1910600001
32311-.091000003035
3000–2321400003
3000–1310400001
2000–000000000
Team totals3718113.168356437630357
Lehighhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311119.52600010010.511.5
37219.2631206102110
37013.538002301229
35413.07701050010.56.5
3115.00000010031.52.5
3000–1501400000
313223.47800000010.513.5
3000–020500002
3001.0001910500001
3000–600900000
11011.000000000001
1002.000000200000
1000–000100000
Team totals451096.3654163426110675

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Loyola Maryland vs Lehigh

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 LOY MD · LEHIGH 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 5 LOY MDLEHIGH 5

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 4 LOY MDLEHIGH 5

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 LOY MDLEHIGH 4

Bars above the line = Lehigh leads, below = Loyola Maryland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Loyola Maryland

No clean sets to split.

Lehigh

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#LOY MD-LEHIGHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0LEHIGHLOY MD×3KillSydnee Peters+0.5
22-0LOY MDLOY MD×3KillMorgan Crawford+0.8
33-0LOY MDLOY MD×3Attack errAlysia Fingall+0.9
43-1LOY MDLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.5
54-1LEHIGHLOY MD×3KillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+0.7
65-1LOY MDLOY MD×3AceLoyola Maryland+1.0
76-1LOY MDLOY MD×3KillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+1.1
86-2LEHIGH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
97-2LEHIGHLOY MDKillEllie Joffeset Gabi Verdicchio+0.8
107-3LOY MDLEHIGH×3KillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+0.6
117-4LEHIGHLEHIGH×3Bad setMorgan Crawford+0.9
127-5LEHIGHLEHIGH×3Attack errEllie Joffe+0.9
138-5LEHIGHLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+0.8
149-5LOY MDLOY MDKillAva Nepkin+1.1
159-6LEHIGH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
1610-6LEHIGHLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+0.9
1711-6LOY MDLOY MDKillEllie Joffe+1.2
1811-7LOY MDLEHIGHAttack errEllie Joffe+0.7
1911-8LEHIGHLEHIGHAttack errElsie Afful+1.0
2012-8LOY MD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
2113-8LOY MDLOY MDKillAva Nepkin+1.3
2213-9LOY MDLEHIGH×5KillNatalie Luscomb+0.7
2313-10LEHIGHLEHIGH×5Attack errMorgan Crawford+1.1
2413-11LEHIGHLEHIGH×5Attack errAva Nepkin+1.1
2513-12LEHIGHLEHIGH×5Attack errElsie Afful+1.1
2613-13LEHIGHLEHIGH×5AceLehigh+1.1
2714-13LEHIGHLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+0.9
2814-14LOY MDLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.8
2915-14LEHIGHLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+0.9
3015-15LOY MDLEHIGH×3KillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+0.8
3115-16LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillUfuoma Omeneset Sophia Bond+1.1
3215-17LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillMary Massias+0.9
3316-17LEHIGHLOY MDKillMorgan Crawford+0.7
3416-18LOY MDLEHIGH×5KillOlivia Lasee+0.7
3516-19LEHIGHLEHIGH×5Attack errAddie Lowe+0.7
3616-20LEHIGHLEHIGH×5KillAlysia Fingallset Abby Felkai+0.5
3716-21LEHIGH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
3816-22LEHIGHLEHIGH×5KillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+0.1
3917-22LEHIGHLOY MDServe errLehigh·
4017-23LOY MDLEHIGHKillMary Massias+0.1
4117-24LEHIGHLEHIGHBlockedAva Nepkinblk Natalie Luscomb, Lia Henderson·
4218-24LEHIGHLOY MD×5Serve errLehigh·
4319-24LOY MDLOY MD×5KillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan·
4420-24LOY MDLOY MD×5KillAva Nepkin·
4521-24LOY MDLOY MD×5Attack errLia Henderson+0.1
4622-24LOY MDLOY MD×5KillAddie Loweset Madison Monahan+0.3
4722-25LOY MDLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Grace Slovensky+0.5
Set 2
11-0LOY MDLOY MDKillSydnee Peters+0.4
21-1LOY MDLEHIGH×3KillAlysia Fingall+0.3
31-2LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillOlivia Laseeset Grace Slovensky+0.3
41-3LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.3
52-3LEHIGHLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+0.2
62-4LOY MDLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Grace Slovensky+0.2
72-5LEHIGHLEHIGHAttack errElsie Afful+0.3
83-5LEHIGHLOY MD×3Attack errAlysia Fingall+0.2
94-5LOY MDLOY MD×3AceLoyola Maryland+0.3
105-5LOY MDLOY MD×3Attack errUfuoma Omene+0.4
115-6LOY MDLEHIGH×4Attack errUfuoma Omene+0.3
125-7LEHIGHLEHIGH×4BlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Olivia Lasee, Ufuoma Omene+0.3
135-8LEHIGHLEHIGH×4KillUfuoma Omeneset Sophia Bond+0.3
145-9LEHIGHLEHIGH×4AceLehigh+0.2
156-9LEHIGHLOY MDAttack errUfuoma Omene+0.2
16–177-10LOY MD · LEHIGH
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
188-10LOY MDLOY MD×4KillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+0.3
199-10LOY MDLOY MD×4KillAva Nepkin+0.4
2010-10LOY MDLOY MD×4AceLoyola Maryland+0.5
2110-11LOY MDLEHIGH×4KillMary Massiasset Abby Felkai+0.4
2210-12LEHIGHLEHIGH×4KillLia Henderson+0.4
2310-13LEHIGHLEHIGH×4BlockedAddie Loweblk Lia Henderson, Mary Massias+0.4
2410-14LEHIGHLEHIGH×4Bad setMadison Monahan+0.3
2511-14LEHIGHLOY MDKillEllie Joffeset Madison Monahan+0.2
2611-15LOY MDLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.2
2711-16LEHIGHLEHIGHAceLehigh+0.2
2812-16LEHIGHLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Madison Monahan+0.1
2912-17LOY MDLEHIGH×5KillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.1
3012-18LEHIGHLEHIGH×5KillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.1
3112-19LEHIGHLEHIGH×5Attack errAva Nepkin+0.1
3212-20LEHIGHLEHIGH×5KillOlivia Laseeset Grace Slovensky·
3312-21LEHIGHLEHIGH×5Attack errElsie Afful·
3413-21LEHIGHLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Gabi Verdicchio·
3513-22LOY MDLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Grace Slovensky·
3614-22LEHIGHLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio·
3714-23LOY MDLEHIGH×3KillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai·
3814-24LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillUfuoma Omene·
3914-25LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillMary Massiasset Abby Felkai·
Set 3
11-0LEHIGHLOY MDKillElsie Afful+0.1
21-1LOY MDLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Grace Slovensky+0.1
31-2LEHIGHLEHIGHAceLehigh+0.1
42-2LEHIGHLOY MDAttack errAlysia Fingall+0.1
52-3LOY MDLEHIGH×4KillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+0.1
62-4LEHIGHLEHIGH×4BlockedEllie Joffeblk Olivia Lasee+0.1
72-5LEHIGHLEHIGH×4KillAlysia Fingallset Abby Felkai+0.1
82-6LEHIGHLEHIGH×4KillUfuoma Omene+0.1
93-6LEHIGHLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+0.1
103-7LOY MDLEHIGHAttack errMorgan Crawford+0.1
114-7LEHIGHLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+0.1
124-8LOY MDLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+0.1
135-8LEHIGHLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+0.1
145-9LOY MDLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscomb+0.1
155-10LEHIGHLEHIGHAceLehigh+0.1
166-10LEHIGHLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan·
176-11LOY MDLEHIGH×3KillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.1
186-12LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillOlivia Laseeset Grace Slovensky+0.1
196-13LEHIGHLEHIGH×3AceLehigh·
207-13LEHIGHLOY MDServe errLehigh·
217-14LOY MDLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Grace Slovensky·
228-14LEHIGHLOY MD×3KillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio·
239-14LOY MDLOY MD×3Bad setAbby Felkai·
2410-14LOY MDLOY MD×3KillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+0.1
2510-15LOY MDLEHIGH×3Serve errLoyola Maryland+0.1
2610-16LEHIGHLEHIGH×3Serve errLehigh+0.1
27–2912-17LOY MD 2 · LEHIGH
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3013-17LOY MDLOY MD×3BlockedMary Massiasblk Addie Lowe+0.1
3113-18LOY MDLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+0.1
3214-18LEHIGHLOY MDBlockedMary Massiasblk Addie Lowe·
3314-19LOY MDLEHIGH×3KillNatalie Luscombset Mary Massias+0.1
3414-20LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillDakota Arnetteset Sophia Bond·
3514-21LEHIGHLEHIGH×3Attack errAva Nepkin·
3615-21LEHIGHLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Madison Monahan·
3716-21LOY MDLOY MDAceGabi Verdicchioaced Mary Massias·
3816-22LOY MDLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscomb·
3917-22LEHIGHLOY MDKillSydnee Peters·
4017-23LOY MDLEHIGHAttack errSydnee Peters·
4118-23LEHIGHLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio·
4219-23LOY MDLOY MDAceAddie Huber·
4319-24LOY MDLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omene·
4420-24LEHIGHLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Olivia Lasee·
4521-24LOY MDLOY MDAceMadison Monahan·
4621-25LOY MDLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Loyola Maryland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).