Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026 · Neutral site

Bucknell def. Niagara 3–1

Bucknell beat Niagara 3-1 (20-25, 25-18, 25-21, 25-17) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. Sidney Shaffer and Marion Haskell led Bucknell with 13 kills each, and Cameron Lloyd added 9 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set1234Sets
BUCKNL202525253
NIAGRA251821171

Win probability

Niagara above 50 · Bucknell below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.8% NIAGRArally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.8% to Niagara — set 2, BUCKNL 10-14 NIAGRA. Kill by Karlotta Kattai (set by Paisley Ka’ahanui). NIAGRA win probability 29% → 33%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BUCKNL 94.9%5.1% NIAGRA

Bucknell wins

3-0
55.1%
3-1
29.8%
3-2
10.0%

Niagara wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.4%
3-2
3.1%
BUCKNL break %
50.2% vs this opp
NIAGRA break %
37.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Karlotta Kattai (set by Paisley Ka’ahanui)

    Set 2 · BUCKNL 10-14 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 29% → 33%

  2. 02

    Kill by Karlotta Kattai (set by Paisley Ka’ahanui)

    Set 2 · BUCKNL 10-15 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 33% → 36%

  3. 03
    Klea TarjaKill+3.6%

    Kill by Klea Tarja (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 2 · BUCKNL 15-16 NIAGRA · BUCKNL 71% → 75%

  4. 04
    Karlotta KattaiAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Karlotta Kattai

    Set 2 · BUCKNL 16-16 NIAGRA · BUCKNL 75% → 78%

  5. 05

    Karlotta Kattai stuffed by Stephanie Eroh & Klea Tarja

    Set 2 · BUCKNL 14-16 NIAGRA · BUCKNL 68% → 71%

  6. 06
    Klea TarjaKill+3.3%

    Kill by Klea Tarja (set by Emily Kearney)

    Set 2 · BUCKNL 17-16 NIAGRA · BUCKNL 78% → 82%

  7. 07
    Klea TarjaKill+3.2%

    Kill by Klea Tarja (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 2 · BUCKNL 13-16 NIAGRA · BUCKNL 65% → 68%

  8. 08

    Kill by Karlotta Kattai (set by Paisley Ka’ahanui)

    Set 2 · BUCKNL 11-16 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 34% → 37%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413123.52200110111.514.5
413322.4550000002114
47118.33300010132.59.5
47525.080012900008
4306.500470280010.53.5
4238-.125103710002
4000–110000001
4000–412820001
4000–103830000
311318.44401020010.512.5
11011.000000000001
11011.000000000001
1000–100100000
Team totals5816122.3445541345628695
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414836.16712261010.516.5
414531.29001262031.516.5
44722-.13600020031.55.5
4328.125000100214
4315.400101000214
4103.3332410900002
46319.15800010010.56.5
4000–4121410001
4000–1410500001
1001.000000000000
Team totals4526125.1524467444012681

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 BUCKNL · NIAGRA 8

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 BUCKNLNIAGRA 8

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 7 BUCKNLNIAGRA 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 BUCKNLNIAGRA 4

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 6 BUCKNLNIAGRA 2

Bars above the line = Niagara leads, below = Bucknell leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bucknell

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%9/20
47%7/15
2
64%9/14
44%7/16
3
80%8/10
53%9/17
4
80%8/10
53%9/17
5
67%8/12
50%8/16
6
44%7/16
46%6/13
All
60%49/82
49%46/94

Niagara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%9/22
50%8/16
2
73%8/11
31%4/13
3
50%8/16
33%4/12
4
47%8/17
27%3/11
5
44%8/18
27%3/11
6
70%7/10
58%11/19
All
51%48/94
40%33/82

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#BUCKNL-NIAGRASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NIAGRABUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+0.4
22-0BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errPayton Lee+0.5
32-1BUCKNLNIAGRAServe errBucknell+0.4
43-1NIAGRABUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.4
53-2BUCKNLNIAGRAServe errBucknell+0.4
64-2NIAGRABUCKNLServe errNiagara+0.4
75-2BUCKNLBUCKNLAceBucknellaced Katelynn Rottman+0.4
85-3BUCKNLNIAGRAServe errBucknell+0.4
96-3NIAGRABUCKNL×3Attack errKadence Goolsby+0.3
107-3BUCKNLBUCKNL×3BlockedJakayla Brownblk Stephanie Eroh+0.4
118-3BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errKarlotta Kattai+0.3
128-4BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+0.2
138-5NIAGRANIAGRAAttack errKaitlyn Taylor+0.4
149-5NIAGRABUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+0.3
1510-5BUCKNLBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.3
1610-6BUCKNLNIAGRAAttack errCameron Lloyd+0.2
1711-6NIAGRABUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+0.2
1811-7BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKatelynn Rottmanset Ashley Moreland+0.2
1912-7NIAGRABUCKNL×3KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+0.2
2013-7BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errPayton Lee+0.2
2114-7BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errPayton Lee+0.2
2214-8BUCKNLNIAGRAKillPaisley Ka’ahanuiset Taylor Jenkins+0.1
2315-8NIAGRABUCKNLServe errNiagara+0.1
2415-9BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.1
2516-9NIAGRABUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+0.1
2616-10BUCKNLNIAGRAServe errBucknell+0.1
2717-10NIAGRABUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.1
2817-11BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Ashley Moreland+0.1
2918-11NIAGRABUCKNLServe errNiagara+0.1
3019-11BUCKNLBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Katie O'Sullivan+0.1
3119-12BUCKNLNIAGRA×8KillKatelynn Rottmanset Noel Perkins·
3219-13NIAGRANIAGRA×8BlockedStephanie Erohblk Payton Lee, Katelynn Rottman+0.1
3319-14NIAGRANIAGRA×8Attack errMarion Haskell+0.2
3419-15NIAGRANIAGRA×8KillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+0.3
3519-16NIAGRANIAGRA×8BlockedKaitlyn Taylorblk Katelynn Rottman, Kadence Goolsby+0.5
3619-17NIAGRANIAGRA×8AceNiagaraaced Katie O'Sullivan+0.7
3719-18NIAGRANIAGRA×8Attack errMarion Haskell+1.1
3819-19NIAGRANIAGRA×8KillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+1.6
3920-19NIAGRABUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Emerson Boyd+1.2
4020-20BUCKNLNIAGRA×6Serve errBucknell+1.4
4120-21NIAGRANIAGRA×6KillPayton Leeset Ashley Moreland+2.3
4220-22NIAGRANIAGRA×6KillKatelynn Rottmanset Paisley Ka’ahanui+2.7
4320-23NIAGRANIAGRA×6KillPayton Leeset Karlotta Kattai+2.6
4420-24NIAGRANIAGRA×6Attack errKaitlyn Taylor+1.8
4520-25NIAGRANIAGRA×6KillKatelynn Rottmanset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.7
Set 2
10-1BUCKNLNIAGRA×4KillKatelynn Rottmanset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.5
20-2NIAGRANIAGRA×4Attack errCameron Lloyd+2.1
30-3NIAGRANIAGRA×4AceNiagaraaced Kaitlyn Taylor+2.4
40-4NIAGRANIAGRA×4Attack errMarion Haskell+2.7
51-4NIAGRABUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.7
61-5BUCKNLNIAGRA×3KillTaylor Jenkinsset Paisley Ka’ahanui+2.2
71-6NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+2.9
81-7NIAGRANIAGRA×3BlockedCameron Lloydblk Payton Lee, Jakayla Brown+3.0
92-7NIAGRABUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.8
102-8BUCKNLNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+2.5
113-8NIAGRABUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.8
123-9BUCKNLNIAGRAServe errBucknell+2.5
134-9NIAGRABUCKNLServe errNiagara+1.8
144-10BUCKNLNIAGRAKillJakayla Brownset Noel Perkins+2.6
155-10NIAGRABUCKNL×3Attack errKarlotta Kattai+1.9
166-10BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+2.6
177-10BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errKadence Goolsby+2.7
187-11BUCKNLNIAGRAServe errBucknell+2.8
198-11NIAGRABUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+2.1
209-11BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errPayton Lee+2.8
219-12BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+2.8
2210-12NIAGRABUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+2.2
2310-13BUCKNLNIAGRA×3Serve errBucknell+2.9
2410-14NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+3.8
2510-15NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+3.8
2611-15NIAGRABUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.1
2711-16BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+3.1
2812-16NIAGRABUCKNL×7KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.1
2913-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×7KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+3.2
3014-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×7BlockedKarlotta Kattaiblk Stephanie Eroh, Klea Tarja+3.5
3115-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×7KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+3.6
3216-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×7Attack errKarlotta Kattai+3.5
3317-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×7KillKlea Tarjaset Emily Kearney+3.3
3418-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×7AceBucknellaced Katelynn Rottman+2.8
3518-17BUCKNLNIAGRAKillJakayla Brownset Noel Perkins+2.2
3619-17NIAGRABUCKNL×6KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.3
3720-17BUCKNLBUCKNL×6Attack errKatelynn Rottman+2.3
3821-17BUCKNLBUCKNL×6KillKlea Tarjaset Katie O'Sullivan+1.5
3922-17BUCKNLBUCKNL×6Attack errKatelynn Rottman+0.9
4023-17BUCKNLBUCKNL×6KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.4
4124-17BUCKNLBUCKNL×6KillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+0.1
4224-18BUCKNLNIAGRAServe errBucknell·
4325-18NIAGRABUCKNLServe errNiagara·
Set 3
11-0NIAGRABUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.0
22-0BUCKNLBUCKNLAceBucknellaced Ashley Moreland+1.1
32-1BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKatelynn Rottmanset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.9
43-1NIAGRABUCKNL×3KillPeyton McGeeset Kaitlyn Taylor+0.9
54-1BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillSidney Shaffer+1.0
65-1BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.8
75-2BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.6
86-2NIAGRABUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Taylor Jenkins+0.6
96-3BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.6
106-4NIAGRANIAGRAAceNiagaraaced Isabella Charlton+1.1
117-4NIAGRABUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Isabella Charlton+0.8
127-5BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Noel Perkins+0.9
138-5NIAGRABUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+0.8
148-6BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKatelynn Rottmanset Noel Perkins+0.9
159-6NIAGRABUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+0.9
1610-6BUCKNLBUCKNLAceBucknellaced Karlotta Kattai+0.9
1710-7BUCKNLNIAGRA×4KillTaylor Jenkinsset Noel Perkins+0.7
1810-8NIAGRANIAGRA×4KillKatelynn Rottmanset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.2
1910-9NIAGRANIAGRA×4KillKatelynn Rottmanset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.6
2010-10NIAGRANIAGRA×4AceNiagaraaced Katie O'Sullivan+2.0
2111-10NIAGRABUCKNL×3KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.5
2212-10BUCKNLBUCKNL×3BlockedPayton Leeblk Marion Haskell, Sidney Shaffer+1.7
2313-10BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.4
2413-11BUCKNLNIAGRAServe errBucknell+1.1
2514-11NIAGRABUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.1
2614-12BUCKNLNIAGRAKillTaylor Jenkinsset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.1
2715-12NIAGRABUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.2
2816-12BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errKarlotta Kattai+1.2
2916-13BUCKNLNIAGRAKillJakayla Brownset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.8
3017-13NIAGRABUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+0.9
3117-14BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+0.8
3217-15NIAGRANIAGRAAceNiagaraaced Isabella Charlton+1.6
3318-15NIAGRABUCKNL×3KillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+1.3
3419-15BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errKadence Goolsby+1.3
3520-15BUCKNLBUCKNL×3BlockedKatelynn Rottmanblk Marion Haskell, Stephanie Eroh+0.8
3620-16BUCKNLNIAGRA×3KillKatelynn Rottmanset Noel Perkins+0.5
3720-17NIAGRANIAGRA×3BlockedKlea Tarjablk Taylor Jenkins, Katelynn Rottman+1.0
3820-18NIAGRANIAGRA×3Bad setPeyton McGee+1.7
3921-18NIAGRABUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+1.6
4021-19BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKatelynn Rottmanset Noel Perkins+1.3
4122-19NIAGRABUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.7
4223-19BUCKNLBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.3
4323-20BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKatelynn Rottmanset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.5
4423-21NIAGRANIAGRABlockedCameron Lloydblk Payton Lee, Taylor Jenkins+1.4
4524-21NIAGRABUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.8
4625-21BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errKarlotta Kattai+0.8
Set 4
11-0BUCKNLBUCKNL×5Attack errPayton Lee+0.9
22-0BUCKNLBUCKNL×5KillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+0.8
33-0BUCKNLBUCKNL×5Attack errTaylor Jenkins+0.7
44-0BUCKNLBUCKNL×5Attack errKatelynn Rottman+0.5
55-0BUCKNLBUCKNL×5KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.4
65-1BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKatelynn Rottmanset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.3
76-1NIAGRABUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+0.3
86-2BUCKNLNIAGRAServe errBucknell+0.3
97-2NIAGRABUCKNL×6KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.3
108-2BUCKNLBUCKNL×6Attack errPayton Lee+0.3
119-2BUCKNLBUCKNL×6BlockedJakayla Brownblk Sidney Shaffer+0.2
1210-2BUCKNLBUCKNL×6Attack errKatelynn Rottman+0.2
1311-2BUCKNLBUCKNL×6KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.1
1412-2BUCKNLBUCKNL×6KillSidney Shaffer+0.1
1512-3BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui·
1612-4NIAGRANIAGRABlockedSidney Shafferblk Karlotta Kattai, Jakayla Brown+0.1
1713-4NIAGRABUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+0.1
1814-4BUCKNLBUCKNLBlockedKarlotta Kattaiblk Peyton McGee, Stephanie Eroh+0.1
1914-5BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Ashley Moreland·
2014-6NIAGRANIAGRAAceNiagaraaced Isabella Charlton+0.1
2115-6NIAGRABUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+0.1
2216-6BUCKNLBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+0.1
2316-7BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKatelynn Rottmanset Noel Perkins·
2416-8NIAGRANIAGRAAttack errCameron Lloyd+0.1
2517-8NIAGRABUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+0.1
2617-9BUCKNLNIAGRAServe errBucknell·
2718-9NIAGRABUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.1
2818-10BUCKNLNIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui·
2919-10NIAGRABUCKNLServe errNiagara+0.1
3019-11BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui·
3120-11NIAGRABUCKNLKillEmerson Springsset Peyton McGee·
3221-11BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errKarlotta Kattai·
3321-12BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui·
3421-13NIAGRANIAGRAAttack errKlea Tarja·
3522-13NIAGRABUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee·
3622-14BUCKNLNIAGRAAttack errKlea Tarja·
3723-14NIAGRABUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee·
3823-15BUCKNLNIAGRAServe errBucknell·
3923-16NIAGRANIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Noel Perkins·
4024-16NIAGRABUCKNLServe errNiagara·
4124-17BUCKNLNIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins·
4225-17NIAGRABUCKNLKillSarah Williamsset Peyton McGee·

Score shown after each rally, Bucknell first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).