Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwaySEC

2:3

HomeMAC

Toledo def. Missouri 3–2

(25-17, 25-21, 22-25, 14-25, 15-10)

Set	1*	2*	3	4	5	Sets
MIZZOU	17	21	25	25	10	2
TOLEDO	25	25	22	14	15	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TOLEDO above 50 · MIZZOU below

Biggest swing: 9.1% to Toledo — set 5, MIZZOU 1-3 TOLEDO. Kill by Kayla Ozanich (set by Madelyn Bach). TOLEDO win probability 55% → 64%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MIZZOU 56.9%43.1% TOLEDO

Missouri wins

3-0

15.6%

3-1

21.6%

3-2

19.7%

Toledo wins

3-0

9.8%

3-1

15.9%

3-2

17.4%

MIZZOU break %: 43.4% vs this opp
TOLEDO break %: 42.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kayla OzanichKill+9.1%
Kill by Kayla Ozanich (set by Madelyn Bach)
Set 5 · MIZZOU 1-3 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 55% → 64%
02
Paige FelderAttack error+9.0%
Paige Felder stuffed by Sierra Pertzborn & Kayla Ozanich
Set 5 · MIZZOU 1-2 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 46% → 55%
03
Sierra PertzbornKill+8.7%
Kill by Sierra Pertzborn (set by Madelyn Bach)
Set 5 · MIZZOU 1-4 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 64% → 73%
04
Ava SiefkeKill+8.3%
Kill by Ava Siefke (set by Janelle Green)
Set 5 · MIZZOU 4-8 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 76% → 85%
05
Kimani JohnsonKill+8.0%
Kill by Kimani Johnson (set by Ainoah Cruz)
Set 5 · MIZZOU 4-6 TOLEDO · MIZZOU 23% → 31%
06
Kayla OzanichKill+7.8%
Kill by Kayla Ozanich (set by Madelyn Bach)
Set 5 · MIZZOU 1-5 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 73% → 81%
07
Sierra PertzbornKill+7.3%
Kill by Sierra Pertzborn (set by Madelyn Bach)
Set 5 · MIZZOU 4-7 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 69% → 76%
08
Jessica CostlowKill+6.5%
Kill by Jessica Costlow (set by Grace Freiberger)
Set 5 · MIZZOU 7-11 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 84% → 90%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Missouriaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
15Paige FelderOH	5	16	5	46	.239	0	0	2	8	1	1	0.5	16.5
11Eva SmithMB	5	3	2	6	.167	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
2Sierra DudleyS	5	3	0	6	.500	18	1	0	15	0	1	0.5	4.5
40Grace O'reillyOH	5	1	2	10	-.100	0	0	0	3	0	3	1.5	2.5
12Lauren LarkinMB	5	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Zoey MatiasL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	9	1	0	0	0
10Maca LobaglioOH	5	10	2	23	.348	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	11.5
3Maizy AgnelloOH	5	10	4	32	.188	1	0	0	5	4	2	1	11
23Tia PhinezyMB	5	4	0	6	.667	2	2	4	1	0	6	3	9
22Millie BauerMB	5	5	1	10	.400	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
7Kimani JohnsonOH	5	4	3	16	.063	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	5
13Piper BatieS	5	1	0	4	.250	19	2	1	4	0	0	0	3
18Claire MorrisseyOH	5	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
4Ainoah CruzDS	5	0	0	3	.000	3	0	2	16	0	0	0	0
8Ceylin KuyanOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Kaylen RushL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Lydia StahleyOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
0Nina MandovicS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		58	21	169	.219	46	6	10	66	9	22	11	98

Toledohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Ava SiefkeOH	5	14	9	35	.143	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	14
10Kayla OzanichMB	5	12	3	29	.310	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	13.5
6Jessica CostlowOH	5	10	6	42	.095	1	2	1	21	2	2	1	13
23Lilly MerkMB	5	7	1	12	.500	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	8
22Sierra PertzbornMB	5	5	1	15	.267	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	6
15Madelyn BachS	5	0	0	0	–	25	0	0	8	0	0	0	0
16Sophie CatalanoOPP	5	7	4	26	.115	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	7
4Olivia HeitkampOH	5	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
1Grace FreibergerL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	4	3	1	14	1	0	0	3
3Janelle GreenS	5	1	0	2	.500	24	1	3	9	0	1	0.5	2.5
7Avery AdamskiL/DS	5	0	0	4	.000	0	2	0	10	1	0	0	2
11Brooke NaniseniOH	5	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Audrey DyasMB	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Caylee SharkeyOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Gabbi LeblancS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Jadyn KennedyL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24Lucy MonahanMB	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Mariah GainesOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Meg JarrettL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Sydney CrowleyL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		59	25	176	.193	54	9	6	74	6	8	4	101

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 MIZZOU · TOLEDO 5

Set 1*

17-25

Longest run 2 MIZZOUTOLEDO 3

Set 2*

21-25

Longest run 4 MIZZOUTOLEDO 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 MIZZOUTOLEDO 5

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 7 MIZZOUTOLEDO 4

Set 5

10-15

Longest run 2 MIZZOUTOLEDO 5

Bars above the line = Toledo leads, below = Missouri leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Missouri

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%6/9	56%5/9
2	50%5/10	57%8/14
3	67%4/6	64%7/11
4	40%4/10	33%2/6
5	36%4/11	50%4/8
6	67%4/6	64%7/11
All	52%27/52	56%33/59

Toledo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%6/12	25%2/8
2	29%4/14	50%5/10
3	44%4/9	33%2/6
4	57%4/7	50%4/8
5	57%4/7	67%8/12
6	40%4/10	50%4/8
All	44%26/59	48%25/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

199 rallies

Rally log

#	MIZZOU-TOLEDO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Ainoah Cruz	+1.8
2	1-1	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.8
3	1-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Eva Smith		+2.5
4	2-2	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Kimani Johnson	+1.9
5	2-3	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Grace Freiberger	+1.9
6	2-4	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Ace	TOLEDO server	aced TEAM	+2.6
7	2-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+2.6
8	3-5	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Piper Batie	+1.8
9	3-6	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Madelyn Bach	+2.0
10	4-6	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Piper Batie	set Maizy Agnello	+1.8
11	4-7	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+2.0
12	4-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+2.5
13	5-8	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+1.7
14	5-9	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.9
15	5-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Lauren Larkin		+2.3
16	6-10	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Sierra Dudley	+1.4
17	6-11	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+1.7
18	7-11	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Sierra Dudley		+1.4
19	8-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Kayla Ozanich	blk Sierra Dudley, Grace O'reilly	+2.3
20	8-12	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.0
21	9-12	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	+1.7
22	9-13	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+2.1
23	10-13	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOLEDO server		+1.7
24	11-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Piper Batie	+2.8
25	11-14	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+2.4
26	11-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Eva Smith		+2.9
27	12-15	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Piper Batie	+1.8
28	12-16	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+2.2
29	12-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+2.4
30	12-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Kimani Johnson	blk Jessica Costlow, Kayla Ozanich	+1.8
31	13-18	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Piper Batie	+0.9
32	13-19	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+1.3
33	13-20	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.1
34	14-20	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Sierra Dudley	+0.4
35	15-20	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+0.9
36	15-21	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+1.1
37	15-22	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Paige Felder		+0.8
38	15-23	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Ace	TOLEDO server	aced Zoey Matias	+0.3
39	16-23	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOLEDO server		+0.1
40	16-24	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
41	17-24	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn	set Jessica Costlow	+0.0
42	17-25	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+2.0
2	1-1	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+2.0
3	2-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.7
4	3-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Madelyn Bach	+2.6
5	4-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+2.5
6	4-2	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+1.8
7	5-2	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+1.9
8	6-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Eva Smith	set Piper Batie	+2.3
9	7-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced TEAM	+2.1
10	7-3	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+1.3
11	8-3	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Piper Batie	+1.5
12	9-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Piper Batie	+1.8
13	9-4	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.1
14	10-4	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Piper Batie	+1.3
15	11-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Zoey Matias	+1.4
16	12-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+1.1
17	12-5	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+0.6
18	12-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.1
19	12-7	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Maca Lobaglio		+1.4
20	13-7	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Sophie Catalano	blk Tia Phinezy, Maizy Agnello	+1.3
21	13-8	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Grace O'reilly	blk Kayla Ozanich, Jessica Costlow	+1.0
22	13-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Maizy Agnello		+1.8
23	13-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+2.3
24	14-10	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+2.0
25	14-11	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+1.7
26	14-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+2.8
27	14-13	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+3.4
28	14-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+3.8
29	15-14	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Kayla Ozanich	set Jessica Costlow	+3.0
30	15-15	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+3.0
31	15-16	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Ace	TOLEDO server	aced Maizy Agnello	+4.3
32	15-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Ace	TOLEDO server	aced Paige Felder	+4.3
33	15-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+4.0
34	15-19	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Ace	TOLEDO server	aced Maizy Agnello	+3.4
35	16-19	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOLEDO server		+1.8
36	16-20	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+2.6
37	17-20	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOLEDO server		+1.8
38	18-20	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Sophie Catalano	blk Zoey Matias, Eva Smith, Claire Morrissey	+3.4
39	18-21	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+3.5
40	18-22	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Claire Morrissey		+3.4
41	18-23	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Grace Freiberger	+2.0
42	19-23	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Claire Morrissey	set Piper Batie	+0.6
43	20-23	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.5
44	20-24	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+2.2
45	21-24	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Piper Batie	+0.7
46	21-25	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Attack err	Grace O'reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+1.6
Set 3
1	1-0	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+1.4
2	1-1	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+1.4
3	2-1	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+1.4
4	2-2	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Jessica Costlow	+1.4
5	2-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Paige Felder		+2.0
6	3-3	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Piper Batie	+1.4
7	4-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Piper Batie		+2.0
8	4-4	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+1.5
9	4-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+2.1
10	5-5	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×4	Serve err	TOLEDO server		+1.5
11	6-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Ava Siefke	blk Grace O'reilly, Tia Phinezy	+2.1
12	7-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Lilly Merk	blk Grace O'reilly, Tia Phinezy	+2.0
13	8-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+1.9
14	8-6	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+1.3
15	9-6	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Tia Phinezy	set Piper Batie	+1.4
16	9-7	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+1.3
17	10-7	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio		+1.5
18	10-8	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Attack err	Paige Felder	set Zoey Matias	+1.4
19	10-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+2.1
20	11-9	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Jessica Costlow	blk Tia Phinezy, Maca Lobaglio	+1.7
21	11-10	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+1.6
22	12-10	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Sierra Dudley	+1.7
23	13-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Piper Batie	+2.2
24	13-11	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke		+1.5
25	14-11	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Piper Batie	+1.7
26	14-12	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+1.5
27	14-13	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Maizy Agnello		+2.4
28	15-13	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Millie Bauer	set Piper Batie	+2.0
29	15-14	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+1.8
30	15-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Attack err	Kimani Johnson		+2.8
31	15-16	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Ball handling	Piper Batie		+3.0
32	15-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Attack err	Toledo	blk Janelle Green, Sierra Pertzborn	+3.1
33	15-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Ace	TOLEDO server	aced Maizy Agnello	+2.8
34	16-18	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Tia Phinezy		+1.7
35	17-18	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Tia Phinezy		+2.9
36	17-19	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+2.6
37	18-19	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Serve err	TOLEDO server		+2.3
38	19-19	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+3.6
39	19-20	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+3.0
40	19-21	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp		+4.0
41	20-21	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+2.5
42	21-21	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+4.3
43	21-22	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Attack err	Maca Lobaglio	set Sierra Dudley	+3.8
44	22-22	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder		+3.6
45	23-22	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Piper Batie		+5.9
46	24-22	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Ava Siefke	blk Kimani Johnson, Paige Felder	+5.5
47	25-22	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Ava Siefke	blk Kimani Johnson, Millie Bauer	+3.0
Set 4
1	1-0	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Zoey Matias	+3.5
2	1-1	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Attack err	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+2.6
3	1-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	TOLEDO server	aced TEAM	+3.6
4	2-2	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×7	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+2.7
5	3-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+3.6
6	4-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Kill	Sierra Dudley		+3.5
7	5-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Kill	Paige Felder		+3.4
8	6-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Ava Siefke	+3.1
9	7-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Jessica Costlow	+2.7
10	8-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Kill	Paige Felder	set Tia Phinezy	+2.3
11	8-3	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+1.5
12	8-4	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Grace Freiberger	+2.4
13	9-4	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Millie Bauer	set Sierra Dudley	+2.1
14	10-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Millie Bauer	set Jessica Costlow	+2.3
15	11-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+1.9
16	12-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Jessica Costlow	+1.4
17	12-5	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Janelle Green		+0.8
18	12-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.4
19	13-6	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Millie Bauer	set Piper Batie	+1.3
20	13-7	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×4	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+1.0
21	13-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+1.8
22	13-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Ace	TOLEDO server	aced TEAM	+2.4
23	13-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Attack err	Millie Bauer		+3.0
24	14-10	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Piper Batie	+2.7
25	15-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Piper Batie	+3.0
26	15-11	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+1.7
27	15-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Kimani Johnson		+3.0
28	15-13	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+3.8
29	16-13	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×6	Attack err	Jessica Costlow	set Avery Adamski	+3.4
30	17-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Sierra Dudley	+3.8
31	18-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Maca Lobaglio		+3.0
32	19-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Tia Phinezy	+2.1
33	20-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Ace	MIZZOU server	aced Avery Adamski	+1.3
34	21-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Attack err	Sophie Catalano	blk Tia Phinezy, Maizy Agnello	+0.7
35	21-14	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+0.2
36	22-14	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Sierra Dudley	+0.4
37	23-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Tia Phinezy	set Gabbi Leblanc	+0.2
38	24-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+0.0
39	25-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Brooke Naniseni	blk Maca Lobaglio, Tia Phinezy	+1.1
Set 5
1	1-0	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Sierra Dudley	+6.3
2	1-1	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×5	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+6.4
3	1-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Attack err	Paige Felder	blk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich	+9.0
4	1-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+9.1
5	1-4	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+8.7
6	1-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+7.8
7	2-5	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+4.8
8	2-6	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+6.0
9	3-6	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Bad set	Jessica Costlow		+4.8
10	4-6	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Ainoah Cruz	+8.0
11	4-7	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+7.3
12	4-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+8.3
13	5-8	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Ava Siefke	set Grace Freiberger	+4.7
14	5-9	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+6.4
15	5-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Kimani Johnson		+6.3
16	6-10	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Piper Batie	+3.0
17	7-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+5.9
18	7-11	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Grace Freiberger	+6.5
19	7-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Kayla Ozanich		+5.7
20	7-13	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Maizy Agnello		+2.9
21	8-13	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Sierra Dudley	+0.7
22	8-14	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+1.5
23	9-14	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+0.3
24	10-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Kayla Ozanich	blk Millie Bauer, Maca Lobaglio	+1.0
25	10-15	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Serve err	MIZZOU server		+1.7

Score shown after each rally, Missouri first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.