Missouri vs Toledo Volleyball: Toledo Wins 3-2 (Sep 18)

Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

2:3

Toledo beat visiting Missouri 3-2 (25-17, 25-21, 22-25, 14-25, 15-10) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Ava Siefke led Toledo with 14 kills; Missouri's Paige Felder had a match-high 16.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 18

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
MIZZOU	17	21	25	25	10	2
TOLEDO	25	25	22	14	15	3

Win probability

Toledo above 50 · Missouri below

Biggest swing: 9.7% to Toledo — set 5, MIZZOU 1-3 TOLEDO. Kill by Kayla Ozanich (set by Madelyn Bach). TOLEDO win probability 50% → 60%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIZZOU 68.0%32.0% TOLEDO

Missouri wins

3-0

21.9%

3-1

26.1%

3-2

20.0%

Toledo wins

3-0

6.3%

3-1

11.3%

3-2

14.4%

MIZZOU break %: 43.1% vs this opp
TOLEDO break %: 39.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Kayla OzanichKill+9.7%
Kill by Kayla Ozanich (set by Madelyn Bach)
Set 5 · MIZZOU 1-3 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 50% → 60%
02
Sierra PertzbornKill+9.5%
Kill by Sierra Pertzborn (set by Madelyn Bach)
Set 5 · MIZZOU 1-4 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 60% → 69%
03
Kayla Ozanich&Sierra PertzbornBlock+9.3%
Paige Felder stuffed by Kayla Ozanich & Sierra Pertzborn
Set 5 · MIZZOU 1-2 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 41% → 50%
04
Ava SiefkeKill+9.2%
Kill by Ava Siefke (set by Janelle Green)
Set 5 · MIZZOU 4-8 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 74% → 83%
05
Kayla OzanichKill+8.7%
Kill by Kayla Ozanich (set by Madelyn Bach)
Set 5 · MIZZOU 1-5 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 69% → 78%
06
Kimani JohnsonKill+8.5%
Kill by Kimani Johnson (set by Ainoah Cruz)
Set 5 · MIZZOU 4-6 TOLEDO · MIZZOU 25% → 34%
07
Sierra PertzbornKill+7.5%
Kill by Sierra Pertzborn (set by Madelyn Bach)
Set 5 · MIZZOU 4-7 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 66% → 74%
08
Millie BauerKill+7.2%
Kill by Millie Bauer (set by Paige Felder)
Set 3 · MIZZOU 23-22 TOLEDO · MIZZOU 18% → 25%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Missouriaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
15Paige FelderOH	5	16	5	46	.239	0	0	2	8	1	1	0.5	16.5
2Sierra DudleyS	5	3	0	6	.500	18	1	0	15	0	1	0.5	4.5
1Zoey MatiasL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	9	1	0	0	0
11Eva SmithMB	3	3	2	6	.167	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
40Grace O'ReillyOH	3	1	2	10	-.100	0	0	0	3	0	3	1.5	2.5
12Lauren LarkinMB	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Maca LobaglioOH	5	10	2	23	.348	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	11.5
3Maizy AgnelloOH	5	10	4	32	.188	1	0	0	5	4	2	1	11
13Piper BatieS	5	1	0	4	.250	19	2	1	4	0	0	0	3
4Ainoah CruzDS	5	0	0	3	.000	3	0	2	16	0	0	0	0
23Tia PhinezyMB	4	4	0	6	.667	2	2	4	1	0	6	3	9
22Millie BauerMB	4	5	1	10	.400	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
7Kimani JohnsonOH	4	4	3	16	.063	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	5
18Claire MorrisseyOH	2	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		58	21	169	.219	46	6	10	66	9	22	11	98

Toledohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Ava SiefkeOH	5	14	9	35	.143	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	14
10Kayla OzanichMB	5	12	3	29	.310	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	13.5
6Jessica CostlowOH	5	10	6	42	.095	1	2	1	21	2	2	1	13
23Lilly MerkMB	5	7	1	12	.500	0	1	1	2	0	1	0.5	8.5
15Madelyn BachS	5	0	0	0	–	25	0	0	8	0	0	0	0
22Sierra PertzbornMB	4	5	1	15	.267	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	6
16Sophie CatalanoOPP	5	7	4	26	.115	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	7
1Grace FreibergerL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	4	3	1	14	1	0	0	3
7Avery AdamskiL/DS	5	0	0	4	.000	0	2	0	10	1	0	0	2
3Janelle GreenS	5	1	0	2	.500	24	1	3	9	0	0	0	2
4Olivia HeitkampOH	3	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
21Meg JarrettL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Brooke NaniseniOH	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Caylee SharkeyOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Gabbi LeBlancS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		59	25	176	.193	54	9	6	74	6	8	4	101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 MIZZOU · TOLEDO 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 MIZZOUTOLEDO 3

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 MIZZOUTOLEDO 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 MIZZOUTOLEDO 5

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 7 MIZZOUTOLEDO 4

Set 5

10-15

Longest run 2 MIZZOUTOLEDO 5

Bars above the line = Toledo leads, below = Missouri leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Missouri

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%11/19	43%6/14
2	50%10/20	52%12/23
3	67%8/12	50%9/18
4	47%8/17	38%5/13
5	40%8/20	47%7/15
6	54%7/13	47%7/15
All	51%52/101	47%46/98

Toledo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	61%11/18	38%6/16
2	41%9/22	47%9/19
3	50%8/16	50%8/16
4	62%8/13	38%5/13
5	57%8/14	62%13/21
6	53%8/15	50%8/16
All	53%52/98	49%49/101

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

199 rallies

#	MIZZOU-TOLEDO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Ainoah Cruz	+1.5
2	1-1	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.6
3	1-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Eva Smith		+2.4
4	2-2	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Kimani Johnson	+1.6
5	2-3	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Grace Freiberger	+1.8
6	2-4	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Ace	Toledo		+2.6
7	2-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+2.6
8	3-5	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Piper Batie	+1.6
9	3-6	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Madelyn Bach	+1.9
10	4-6	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Piper Batie	set Maizy Agnello	+1.7
11	4-7	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+1.9
12	4-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+2.6
13	5-8	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+1.6
14	5-9	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.9
15	5-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Lauren Larkin		+2.4
16	6-10	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Sierra Dudley	+1.4
17	6-11	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+1.8
18	7-11	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Sierra Dudley		+1.4
19	8-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Kayla Ozanich	blk Grace O'Reilly, Sierra Dudley	+2.3
20	8-12	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.0
21	9-12	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	+1.6
22	9-13	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+2.1
23	10-13	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Serve err	Toledo		+1.7
24	11-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Piper Batie	+2.8
25	11-14	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Serve err	Missouri		+2.3
26	11-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Eva Smith		+3.0
27	12-15	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Piper Batie	+1.7
28	12-16	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Serve err	Missouri		+2.2
29	12-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+2.6
30	12-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Kimani Johnson	blk Kayla Ozanich, Jessica Costlow	+1.9
31	13-18	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Piper Batie	+0.9
32	13-19	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+1.3
33	13-20	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Bad set	Sierra Dudley		+1.2
34	14-20	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Sierra Dudley	+0.4
35	15-20	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+1.0
36	15-21	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+1.1
37	15-22	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Paige Felder		+0.8
38	15-23	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Ace	Toledo	aced Zoey Matias	+0.3
39	16-23	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Serve err	Toledo		+0.1
40	16-24	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
41	17-24	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn		·
42	17-25	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	·
Set 2
1	0-1	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+2.1
2	1-1	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+2.0
3	2-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Bad set	Madelyn Bach		+2.8
4	3-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Ainoah Cruz	+2.7
5	4-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+2.5
6	4-2	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Serve err	Missouri		+1.7
7	5-2	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+1.8
8	6-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Eva Smith	set Piper Batie	+2.2
9	7-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Ace	Missouri		+1.9
10	7-3	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Serve err	Missouri		+1.2
11	8-3	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Piper Batie	+1.3
12	9-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Piper Batie	+1.6
13	9-4	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+0.9
14	10-4	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Piper Batie	+1.1
15	11-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Zoey Matias	+1.2
16	12-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+0.9
17	12-5	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+0.4
18	12-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Ace	Toledo	aced Maizy Agnello	+0.9
19	12-7	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Maca Lobaglio		+1.2
20	13-7	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Maizy Agnello, Tia Phinezy	+1.1
21	13-8	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Grace O'Reilly	blk Jessica Costlow, Kayla Ozanich	+0.9
22	13-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Maizy Agnello		+1.7
23	13-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+2.2
24	14-10	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+1.8
25	14-11	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+1.6
26	14-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+2.8
27	14-13	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+3.5
28	14-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+4.1
29	15-14	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Kayla Ozanich		+3.0
30	15-15	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+3.1
31	15-16	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Ace	Toledo	aced Maizy Agnello	+4.8
32	15-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Ace	Toledo	aced Paige Felder	+5.0
33	15-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+4.7
34	15-19	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Ace	Toledo	aced Maizy Agnello	+4.0
35	16-19	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Serve err	Toledo		+2.0
36	16-20	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+2.9
37	17-20	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Serve err	Toledo		+1.9
38	18-20	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Claire Morrissey, Eva Smith	+3.9
39	18-21	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+3.9
40	18-22	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Claire Morrissey		+4.1
41	18-23	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Grace Freiberger	+2.4
42	19-23	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Claire Morrissey	set Piper Batie	+0.6
43	20-23	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	Missouri	aced Grace Freiberger	+1.7
44	20-24	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+2.5
45	21-24	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Piper Batie	+0.7
46	21-25	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Attack err	Grace O'Reilly		+1.7
Set 3
1	1-0	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+1.5
2	1-1	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Serve err	Missouri		+1.6
3	2-1	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+1.6
4	2-2	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Jessica Costlow	+1.6
5	2-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Paige Felder		+2.5
6	3-3	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Piper Batie	+1.7
7	4-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Ainoah Cruz	+2.4
8	4-4	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+1.7
9	4-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+2.6
10	5-5	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×4	Serve err	Toledo		+1.8
11	6-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Tia Phinezy, Grace O'Reilly	+2.5
12	7-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Blocked	Lilly Merk	blk Tia Phinezy, Grace O'Reilly	+2.4
13	8-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+2.2
14	8-6	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+1.4
15	9-6	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Tia Phinezy	set Piper Batie	+1.5
16	9-7	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+1.5
17	10-7	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Ainoah Cruz	+1.6
18	10-8	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Attack err	Paige Felder		+1.5
19	10-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+2.5
20	11-9	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Blocked	Jessica Costlow	blk Maca Lobaglio, Tia Phinezy	+1.9
21	11-10	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Serve err	Missouri		+1.8
22	12-10	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Sierra Dudley	+1.9
23	13-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Piper Batie	+2.5
24	13-11	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+1.6
25	14-11	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Piper Batie	+1.8
26	14-12	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+1.6
27	14-13	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Maizy Agnello		+2.8
28	15-13	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Millie Bauer	set Piper Batie	+2.2
29	15-14	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+2.1
30	15-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Attack err	Kimani Johnson		+3.5
31	15-16	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Serve err	Toledo		+3.9
32	15-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Blocked	Maizy Agnello	blk Sierra Pertzborn, Lilly Merk	+4.0
33	15-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Ace	Toledo	aced Maizy Agnello	+3.8
34	16-18	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Tia Phinezy	set Janelle Green	+2.1
35	17-18	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Tia Phinezy		+3.7
36	17-19	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+3.2
37	18-19	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Serve err	Toledo		+2.7
38	19-19	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Bad set	Janelle Green		+4.5
39	19-20	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+3.6
40	19-21	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+5.3
41	20-21	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+3.0
42	21-21	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+5.5
43	21-22	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Attack err	Maca Lobaglio		+4.6
44	22-22	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Sierra Dudley		+4.3
45	23-22	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Millie Bauer	set Paige Felder	+7.2
46	24-22	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Paige Felder, Kimani Johnson	+6.4
47	25-22	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Millie Bauer, Kimani Johnson	+3.3
Set 4
1	1-0	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Zoey Matias	+3.7
2	1-1	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Attack err	Paige Felder		+2.7
3	1-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Toledo		+4.0
4	2-2	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×7	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+2.7
5	3-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+3.9
6	4-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Kill	Sierra Dudley	set Madelyn Bach	+3.7
7	5-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Kill	Paige Felder	set Zoey Matias	+3.4
8	6-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Ace	Missouri	aced Ava Siefke	+3.0
9	7-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Ace	Missouri	aced Jessica Costlow	+2.6
10	8-2	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×7	Kill	Paige Felder	set Tia Phinezy	+2.1
11	8-3	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+1.3
12	8-4	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Grace Freiberger	+2.3
13	9-4	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Millie Bauer	set Sierra Dudley	+1.8
14	10-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Millie Bauer	set Jessica Costlow	+2.1
15	11-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+1.6
16	12-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Ace	Missouri	aced Jessica Costlow	+1.2
17	12-5	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Janelle Green		+0.6
18	12-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.2
19	13-6	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Millie Bauer	set Piper Batie	+1.1
20	13-7	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×4	Serve err	Missouri		+0.8
21	13-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+1.6
22	13-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Ace	Toledo		+2.2
23	13-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Attack err	Millie Bauer		+3.0
24	14-10	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Piper Batie	+2.5
25	15-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Piper Batie	+2.8
26	15-11	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Serve err	Missouri		+1.5
27	15-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Ainoah Cruz	+3.0
28	15-13	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+3.9
29	16-13	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×6	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+3.2
30	17-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Sierra Dudley	+3.8
31	18-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Janelle Green	+2.8
32	19-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Tia Phinezy	+1.8
33	20-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Ace	Missouri	aced Avery Adamski	+1.1
34	21-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Maizy Agnello, Tia Phinezy	+0.5
35	21-14	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+0.2
36	22-14	TOLEDO	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Sierra Dudley	+0.3
37	23-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Tia Phinezy	set Gabbi LeBlanc	+0.1
38	24-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	·
39	25-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Blocked	Brooke Naniseni	blk Tia Phinezy, Maca Lobaglio	+1.3
Set 5
1	1-0	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Sierra Dudley	+5.9
2	1-1	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×5	Serve err	Missouri		+6.1
3	1-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Blocked	Paige Felder	blk Kayla Ozanich, Sierra Pertzborn	+9.3
4	1-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+9.7
5	1-4	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+9.5
6	1-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+8.7
7	2-5	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+4.8
8	2-6	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+6.3
9	3-6	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Bad set	Jessica Costlow		+4.8
10	4-6	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Ainoah Cruz	+8.5
11	4-7	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+7.5
12	4-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+9.2
13	5-8	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+4.7
14	5-9	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+6.7
15	5-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Kimani Johnson		+7.1
16	6-10	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Piper Batie	+3.0
17	7-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+6.4
18	7-11	MIZZOU	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Grace Freiberger	+6.8
19	7-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Kayla Ozanich		+6.3
20	7-13	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Maizy Agnello		+3.2
21	8-13	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Kill	Maca Lobaglio	set Sierra Dudley	+0.7
22	8-14	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+1.6
23	9-14	TOLEDO	MIZZOU	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+0.3
24	10-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Kayla Ozanich	blk Maca Lobaglio, Millie Bauer	+1.0
25	10-15	MIZZOU	TOLEDO	Serve err	Missouri		+1.7

Score shown after each rally, Missouri first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Toledo def. Missouri 3–2