Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026 · Neutral site

Binghamton def. Central Conn. St. 3–1

Binghamton beat Central Conn. St. 3-1 (25-22, 25-22, 21-25, 25-15) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026 at a neutral site. Viktoria Dimitrova and Magi Milicevic led Binghamton with 14 kills each; Central Conn. St.'s Olivia Keckler had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set1234Sets
BINGHA252521253
C CONN222225151

Win probability

Central Conn. St. above 50 · Binghamton below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.7% BINGHArally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.7% to Binghamton — set 1, BINGHA 24-22 C CONN. Kill by Viktoria Dimitrova (set by Regan Kadel). C CONN win probability 11% → 8%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BINGHA 87.8%12.2% C CONN

Binghamton wins

3-0
40.9%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.3%

Central Conn. St. wins

3-0
1.7%
3-1
3.8%
3-2
6.7%
BINGHA break %
48.0% vs this opp
C CONN break %
39.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Viktoria Dimitrova (set by Regan Kadel)

    Set 1 · BINGHA 24-22 C CONN · BINGHA 89% → 92%

  2. 02
    Maya Coblentz-BrownAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Maya Coblentz-Brown

    Set 1 · BINGHA 16-17 C CONN · C CONN 14% → 16%

  3. 03
    Madison FulgencioAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Madison Fulgencio

    Set 1 · BINGHA 18-17 C CONN · BINGHA 85% → 88%

  4. 04
    Briana BinagiAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Briana Binagi

    Set 1 · BINGHA 23-22 C CONN · C CONN 8% → 11%

  5. 05

    Kill by Magi Milicevic (set by Regan Kadel)

    Set 1 · BINGHA 20-18 C CONN · BINGHA 88% → 90%

  6. 06
    Hannah OlmsteadAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Hannah Olmstead

    Set 1 · BINGHA 16-16 C CONN · C CONN 12% → 14%

  7. 07
    Regan KadelKill+2.1%

    Kill by Regan Kadel (set by Briana Binagi)

    Set 1 · BINGHA 22-20 C CONN · BINGHA 89% → 91%

  8. 08
    Central Conn. St.Ace+2.0%

    Central Conn. St. ace on Viktoria Dimitrova

    Set 4 · BINGHA 4-5 C CONN · C CONN 8% → 10%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414747.14930210202115
48212.50000120052.510.5
4304.750411030073.57.5
4016-.16722462010.52.5
4000–0021100000
1112.00000000010.51.5
414333.3330020000014
410325.28010000031.511.5
4102.5003222820003
4000–010300001
2218.12510010052.54.5
1000–011000001
Team totals5318139.252517146460241296
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416556.19612111300018
410730.1002003002111
47215.333000100218
47528.071100200007
4304.750270160010.53.5
42516-.18810000010.52.5
4002.0005121120001
4000–013200001
4000–111710001
4000–1121110001
1000–401000000
Team totals4524151.1394361154706384

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 BINGHA · C CONN 7

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 BINGHAC CONN 3

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 BINGHAC CONN 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 BINGHAC CONN 7

Set 4

25-15

Longest run 5 BINGHAC CONN 3

Bars above the line = Central Conn. St. leads, below = Binghamton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Binghamton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
56%10/18
2
67%8/12
38%5/13
3
78%7/9
30%3/10
4
33%7/21
42%5/12
5
75%6/8
40%4/10
6
100%6/6
25%2/8
All
61%42/69
41%29/71

Central Conn. St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%9/20
13%1/8
2
89%8/9
43%6/14
3
64%7/11
20%2/10
4
60%6/10
42%5/12
5
55%6/11
67%12/18
6
60%6/10
14%1/7
All
59%42/71
39%27/69

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#BINGHA-C CONNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BINGHABINGHAAttack errHanley Schmidt+1.1
22-0BINGHABINGHAAceBinghamtonaced Annabelle Denomme+1.0
32-1BINGHAC CONN×3Serve errBinghamton+0.8
42-2C CONNC CONN×3KillOlivia Kecklerset Annabelle Denomme+1.2
52-3C CONNC CONN×3Attack errViktoria Dimitrova+1.4
63-3C CONNBINGHAKillSydney Geselbrachtset Regan Kadel+1.0
73-4BINGHAC CONNServe errBinghamton+1.1
84-4C CONNBINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel+1.0
94-5BINGHAC CONNBlockedViktoria Dimitrovablk Hanley Schmidt, Cullen Winter+1.2
105-5C CONNBINGHA×3Attack errOlivia Keckler+1.1
116-5BINGHABINGHA×3BlockedOlivia Kecklerblk Maya Coblentz-Brown, Hannah Olmstead+1.3
127-5BINGHABINGHA×3KillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+1.2
137-6BINGHAC CONNKillAnja Milosevicset Regan Kadel+1.0
147-7C CONNC CONNBlockedMagi Milicevicblk Anja Milosevic, Cullen Winter+1.4
158-7C CONNBINGHAKillHannah Olmsteadset Regan Kadel+1.1
168-8BINGHAC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+1.2
178-9C CONNC CONNAceCentral Conn. St.aced Celeste Ocampo+1.7
189-9C CONNBINGHAServe errCentral Conn. St.+1.2
199-10BINGHAC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+1.4
2010-10C CONNBINGHA×3Serve errCentral Conn. St.+1.3
2111-10BINGHABINGHA×3KillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel+1.6
2212-10BINGHABINGHA×3Attack errHanley Schmidt+1.4
2312-11BINGHAC CONNServe errBinghamton+1.1
2413-11C CONNBINGHAKillRegan Kadelset Anja Milosevic+1.1
2513-12BINGHAC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+1.2
2614-12C CONNBINGHAServe errCentral Conn. St.+1.2
2714-13BINGHAC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Hanley Schmidt+1.2
2814-14C CONNC CONNAttack errViktoria Dimitrova+1.9
2915-14C CONNBINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+1.5
3016-14BINGHABINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+1.7
3116-15BINGHAC CONN×3KillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic+1.3
3216-16C CONNC CONN×3Attack errHannah Olmstead+2.2
3316-17C CONNC CONN×3Attack errMaya Coblentz-Brown+2.6
3417-17C CONNBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+1.8
3518-17BINGHABINGHAAttack errMadison Fulgencio+2.4
3618-18BINGHAC CONNKillAnja Milosevicset Olivia Keckler+1.9
3719-18C CONNBINGHAServe errCentral Conn. St.+1.9
3820-18BINGHABINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+2.3
3920-19BINGHAC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+1.6
4021-19C CONNBINGHAKillSydney Geselbrachtset Regan Kadel+1.9
4121-20BINGHAC CONNServe errBinghamton+1.7
4222-20C CONNBINGHAKillRegan Kadelset Briana Binagi+2.1
4323-20BINGHABINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel+1.9
4423-21BINGHAC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+0.9
4523-22C CONNC CONNAttack errBriana Binagi+2.3
4624-22C CONNBINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel+2.7
4725-22BINGHABINGHAAceBinghamtonaced Annabelle Denomme+1.8
Set 2
10-1C CONNC CONNAceCentral Conn. St.aced Celeste Ocampo+0.9
21-1C CONNBINGHAServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.7
32-1BINGHABINGHAKillFrancesca Pierdonatiset Regan Kadel+0.8
42-2BINGHAC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+0.7
52-3C CONNC CONNAceCentral Conn. St.aced Briana Binagi+1.0
63-3C CONNBINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel+0.7
73-4BINGHAC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+0.8
84-4C CONNBINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+0.7
95-4BINGHABINGHABlockedOlivia Kecklerblk Maya Coblentz-Brown, Francesca Pierdonati+0.9
105-5BINGHAC CONNKillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic+0.7
116-5C CONNBINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+0.7
126-6BINGHAC CONNKillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic+0.8
137-6C CONNBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Maya Coblentz-Brown+0.7
147-7BINGHAC CONNServe errBinghamton+0.8
158-7C CONNBINGHA×4KillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+0.8
169-7BINGHABINGHA×4KillSydney Geselbrachtset Regan Kadel+0.9
1710-7BINGHABINGHA×4KillRegan Kadelset Briana Binagi+0.8
1811-7BINGHABINGHA×4AceBinghamtonaced Olivia Keckler+0.6
1911-8BINGHAC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Hanley Schmidt+0.5
2012-8C CONNBINGHAKillSydney Geselbrachtset Regan Kadel+0.5
2113-8BINGHABINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Celeste Ocampo+0.5
2213-9BINGHAC CONNServe errBinghamton+0.3
2313-10C CONNC CONNKillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic+0.6
2414-10C CONNBINGHABlockedCullen Winterblk Regan Kadel, Francesca Pierdonati+0.5
2514-11BINGHAC CONNAttack errFrancesca Pierdonati+0.5
2615-11C CONNBINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+0.5
2715-12BINGHAC CONNAttack errMaya Coblentz-Brown+0.5
2815-13C CONNC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.9
2916-13C CONNBINGHAKillCeleste Ocamposet Regan Kadel+0.7
3016-14BINGHAC CONNKillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic+0.7
3116-15C CONNC CONNAttack errSydney Geselbracht+1.2
3217-15C CONNBINGHAServe errCentral Conn. St.+1.0
3318-15BINGHABINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel+1.1
3418-16BINGHAC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+0.7
3519-16C CONNBINGHAKillSydney Geselbrachtset Regan Kadel+0.8
3619-17BINGHAC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Annabelle Denomme+0.7
3720-17C CONNBINGHA×3KillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel+0.9
3821-17BINGHABINGHA×3Attack errBreanna Ginley+0.8
3922-17BINGHABINGHA×3BlockedOlivia Kecklerblk Regan Kadel, Francesca Pierdonati+0.5
4022-18BINGHAC CONNServe errBinghamton+0.2
4123-18C CONNBINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel+0.3
4223-19BINGHAC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.1
4324-19C CONNBINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+0.3
4424-20BINGHAC CONN×3Serve errBinghamton+0.1
4524-21C CONNC CONN×3KillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+0.2
4624-22C CONNC CONN×3Attack errViktoria Dimitrova+0.6
4725-22C CONNBINGHABlockedMadison Fulgencioblk Maya Coblentz-Brown, Francesca Pierdonati+0.9
Set 3
10-1BINGHAC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Annabelle Denomme+0.3
21-1C CONNBINGHAKillSydney Geselbrachtset Regan Kadel+0.3
31-2BINGHAC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Annabelle Denomme+0.4
42-2C CONNBINGHABad setAnja Milosevic+0.3
52-3BINGHAC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Annabelle Denomme+0.4
62-4C CONNC CONNAceCentral Conn. St.aced Briana Binagi+0.5
73-4C CONNBINGHAServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.4
83-5BINGHAC CONN×3Serve errBinghamton+0.4
93-6C CONNC CONN×3KillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.6
103-7C CONNC CONN×3KillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.6
114-7C CONNBINGHA×3KillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+0.4
125-7BINGHABINGHA×3AceBinghamtonaced Gabriella Burdier+0.5
136-7BINGHABINGHA×3KillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+0.5
146-8BINGHAC CONNServe errBinghamton+0.5
157-8C CONNBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+0.4
167-9BINGHAC CONNServe errBinghamton+0.5
178-9C CONNBINGHA×3KillSydney Geselbrachtset Regan Kadel+0.4
189-9BINGHABINGHA×3Attack errMadison Fulgencio+0.5
1910-9BINGHABINGHA×3BlockedHanley Schmidtblk Regan Kadel, Sydney Geselbracht+0.5
2010-10BINGHAC CONN×3KillHanley Schmidtset Breanna Ginley+0.4
2110-11C CONNC CONN×3BlockedViktoria Dimitrovablk Breanna Ginley, Hanley Schmidt+0.6
2210-12C CONNC CONN×3Attack errSydney Geselbracht+0.7
2311-12C CONNBINGHABlockedBreanna Ginleyblk Sydney Geselbracht, Regan Kadel+0.5
2411-13BINGHAC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+0.6
2511-14C CONNC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.8
2612-14C CONNBINGHA×3Attack errCullen Winter+0.5
2713-14BINGHABINGHA×3Attack errHanley Schmidt+0.7
2814-14BINGHABINGHA×3AceBinghamtonaced Meg Berkland+0.7
2914-15BINGHAC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Meg Berkland+0.6
3015-15C CONNBINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Celeste Ocampo+0.5
3116-15BINGHABINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+0.7
3216-16BINGHAC CONN×7KillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.6
3316-17C CONNC CONN×7KillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic+0.9
3416-18C CONNC CONN×7KillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+0.9
3516-19C CONNC CONN×7Attack errMaya Coblentz-Brown+1.0
3616-20C CONNC CONN×7KillAnja Milosevicset Gabriella Burdier+0.9
3716-21C CONNC CONN×7AceCentral Conn. St.aced Viktoria Dimitrova+0.7
3816-22C CONNC CONN×7KillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.5
3917-22C CONNBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Viktoria Dimitrova+0.2
4018-22BINGHABINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+0.3
4118-23BINGHAC CONNAttack errMagi Milicevic+0.5
4219-23C CONNBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Viktoria Dimitrova+0.2
4319-24BINGHAC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.4
4420-24C CONNBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Celeste Ocampo+0.1
4521-24BINGHABINGHABlockedBreanna Ginleyblk Regan Kadel, Sydney Geselbracht+0.3
4621-25BINGHAC CONNServe errBinghamton+0.5
Set 4
11-0C CONNBINGHAServe errCentral Conn. St.+1.1
22-0BINGHABINGHABlockedBreanna Ginleyblk Regan Kadel, Francesca Pierdonati+1.3
32-1BINGHAC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Olivia Keckler+1.1
43-1C CONNBINGHAKillFrancesca Pierdonatiset Regan Kadel+1.0
53-2BINGHAC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+1.1
64-2C CONNBINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel+1.1
74-3BINGHAC CONN×3Attack errMagi Milicevic+1.1
84-4C CONNC CONN×3KillOlivia Kecklerset Madison Fulgencio+1.7
94-5C CONNC CONN×3AceCentral Conn. St.aced Viktoria Dimitrova+2.0
105-5C CONNBINGHAServe errCentral Conn. St.+1.4
115-6BINGHAC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+1.6
126-6C CONNBINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+1.5
137-6BINGHABINGHAAttack errMadison Fulgencio+1.8
147-7BINGHAC CONNAttack errViktoria Dimitrova+1.5
158-7C CONNBINGHA×4Attack errHanley Schmidt+1.4
169-7BINGHABINGHA×4BlockedMadison Fulgencioblk Sydney Geselbracht, Viktoria Dimitrova+1.7
1710-7BINGHABINGHA×4Attack errBreanna Ginley+1.4
1811-7BINGHABINGHA×4KillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel+1.2
1911-8BINGHAC CONNServe errBinghamton+0.9
2012-8C CONNBINGHABlockedHanley Schmidtblk Sydney Geselbracht, Viktoria Dimitrova+0.9
2113-8BINGHABINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Francesca Pierdonati+1.0
2213-9BINGHAC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Isabella Aviles+0.6
2314-9C CONNBINGHAServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.7
2414-10BINGHAC CONNAttack errViktoria Dimitrova+0.6
2514-11C CONNC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Isabella Aviles+1.2
2615-11C CONNBINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel+1.0
2715-12BINGHAC CONNKillCullen Winterset Isabella Aviles+0.9
2816-12C CONNBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Viktoria Dimitrova+1.0
2916-13C CONN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
3017-13C CONNBINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+1.1
3117-14BINGHAC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Isabella Aviles+0.9
3218-14C CONNBINGHA×3Serve errCentral Conn. St.+1.1
3319-14BINGHABINGHA×3KillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+1.0
3420-14BINGHABINGHA×3Attack errHanley Schmidt+0.6
3520-15BINGHAC CONNServe errBinghamton+0.3
3621-15C CONNBINGHA×5KillSydney Geselbrachtset Regan Kadel+0.4
3722-15BINGHABINGHA×5AceBinghamtonaced Olivia Keckler+0.3
3823-15BINGHABINGHA×5KillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel+0.1
3924-15BINGHABINGHA×5BlockedOlivia Kecklerblk Regan Kadel, Briana Binagi·
4025-15BINGHABINGHA×5AceBinghamtonaced Olivia Keckler·

Score shown after each rally, Binghamton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).