FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Toledo def. Eastern Mich. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Toledo 96.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Toledo beat visiting Eastern Mich. 3-0 (25-17, 25-6, 25-22) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Toledo's Ava Siefke led with 13 kills, and Jessica Costlow added 17 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set123Sets
E MICH176220
TOLEDO2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Jessica Costlow served 5 aces in a Toledo rout.

Win probability never moved more than 0.6 points on one rally; Eastern Mich. topped out at 4% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Toledo at 97%.

Eastern Mich.Toledo
  • Break %+29.3 pts
    26.155.4

    On serve: 41/74 against 12/46 (Eastern Mich. sideout 44.6%).

  • Hitting+.217
    .009.226

    Kills and errors: 40–14 vs 25–24.

  • Longest run+7
    411

    Toledo opened the set in the second set with 11 straight points for an 11–0 lead. Final score of the set: 25–6.

Toledo above 50Eastern Mich. belowMax swing 0.6%

Eastern Mich.Toledo

Aces
Eastern Mich. 1·Toledo 6
Serve err
Eastern Mich. 4·Toledo 4
Blocks
Eastern Mich. 8·Toledo 100 BS · 16 BA vs 0 BS · 20 BA
Digs
Eastern Mich. 46·Toledo 58

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Toledo above 50 · Eastern Mich. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 120 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Toledo stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E MICH 2.5%97.5% TOLEDO

Eastern Mich. wins

3-0
0.3%
3-1
0.7%
3-2
1.6%

Toledo wins

3-0
64.4%
3-1
26.4%
3-2
6.7%
E MICH break %
35.9% vs this opp
TOLEDO break %
50.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
371035-.08610010031.58.5
35013.38510001300427
33212.083000100847
32624-.167110300003
3204.500701500002
3114.000000100001
34419.00000010010.54.5
3000–1011600000
21011.000101310001
1004.000000020000
1011-1.000000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–001200000
Team totals2524117.0092114466016845
Toledohome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313736.16700030010.513.5
37014.50010130073.510.5
34219.1052511710009
32213.00011010031.54.5
25113.308100300427
2000–1100500000
36217.23500030052.58.5
3000–001200000
3000–3011500000
3000–1900600000
12021.000000000002
11011.000000000001
1000–100000000
Team totals4014115.22639645810201075

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 E MICH · TOLEDO 11

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 E MICHTOLEDO 4

Set 2

6-25

Longest run 1 E MICHTOLEDO 11

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 E MICHTOLEDO 4

Bars above the line = Toledo leads, below = Eastern Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Eastern Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
24%7/29
25%2/8
2
60%6/10
30%3/10
3
45%5/11
33%3/9
4
83%5/6
44%4/9
5
63%5/8
0%0/5
6
50%5/10
0%0/5
All
45%33/74
26%12/46

Toledo

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
46%6/13
2
67%6/9
75%18/24
3
56%5/9
62%8/13
4
100%5/5
17%1/6
5
100%5/5
38%3/8
6
71%5/7
50%5/10
All
74%34/46
55%41/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

120 rallies

#E MICH-TOLEDOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0TOLEDOE MICHBlockedSophie Catalanoblk Azra Eriç, Natalie Slusher
22-0E MICHE MICHAttack errAva Siefke
32-1E MICHTOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Janelle Green
42-2TOLEDOTOLEDOAttack errNatalie Slusher
53-2TOLEDOE MICHKillLina Govoniset Natalie Slusher
64-2E MICHE MICHAttack errLilly Merk
74-3E MICHTOLEDO×3BlockedNatalie Slusherblk Lilly Merk, Sophie Catalano
84-4TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green
94-5TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Attack errMaddie Herman
105-5TOLEDOE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni
115-6E MICHTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Janelle Green
126-6TOLEDOE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni
136-7E MICHTOLEDOBlockedOlivia Beaudrieblk Kayla Ozanich, Sierra Pertzborn
147-7TOLEDOE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni
157-8E MICHTOLEDO×4KillAva Siefkeset Grace Freiberger
167-9TOLEDOTOLEDO×4KillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach
177-10TOLEDOTOLEDO×4KillAva Siefkeset Lilly Merk
187-11TOLEDOTOLEDO×4Attack errOlivia Beaudrie
198-11TOLEDOE MICHKillKaylin Richterset Olivia Beaudrie
208-12E MICHTOLEDOAttack errAzra Eriç
219-12TOLEDOE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Kaylin Richter
229-13E MICHTOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Janelle Green
239-14TOLEDOTOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Janelle Green
2410-14TOLEDOE MICHKillLina Govoniset Kaylin Richter
2510-15E MICHTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green
2610-16TOLEDOTOLEDOBlockedTaeley Mahlerblk Kayla Ozanich, Sophie Catalano
2711-16TOLEDOE MICHServe errToledo
2811-17E MICHTOLEDOServe errEastern Mich.
2912-17TOLEDOE MICHAttack errJessica Costlow
3012-18E MICHTOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach
3113-18TOLEDOE MICHBlockedAva Siefkeblk Taeley Mahler, Azra Eriç
3213-19E MICHTOLEDO×3KillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach
3313-20TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach
3413-21TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillAva Siefkeset Jessica Costlow
3514-21TOLEDOE MICH×3KillOlivia Beaudrieset Kaylin Richter
3615-21E MICHE MICH×3BlockedSierra Pertzbornblk Azra Eriç, Natalie Slusher
3716-21E MICHE MICH×3KillAzra Eriçset Madelyn Bach
3816-22E MICHTOLEDO×3KillAva Siefkeset Jessica Costlow
3916-23TOLEDOTOLEDO×3BlockedAzra Eriçblk Lilly Merk, Ava Siefke
4016-24TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Attack errNatalie Slusher
4117-24TOLEDOE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni
4217-25E MICHTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green
Set 2
10-1E MICHTOLEDO×11KillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach
20-2TOLEDOTOLEDO×11KillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach
30-3TOLEDOTOLEDO×11AceToledo
40-4TOLEDOTOLEDO×11KillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach
50-5TOLEDOTOLEDO×11KillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach
60-6TOLEDOTOLEDO×11KillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach
70-7TOLEDOTOLEDO×11AceToledo
80-8TOLEDOTOLEDO×11AceToledoaced Lily Spark
90-9TOLEDOTOLEDO×11BlockedNatalie Slusherblk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich
100-10TOLEDOTOLEDO×11KillKayla Ozanichset Lina Govoni
110-11TOLEDOTOLEDO×11BlockedNatalie Slusherblk Kayla Ozanich, Sierra Pertzborn
121-11TOLEDOE MICHKillLina Govoniset Mia Schaefer
131-12E MICHTOLEDO×3KillAva Siefkeset Kayla Ozanich
141-13TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach
151-14TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach
162-14TOLEDOE MICHServe errToledo
172-15E MICHTOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach
183-15TOLEDOE MICHBlockedAva Siefkeblk Azra Eriç, Natalie Slusher
193-16E MICHTOLEDOServe errEastern Mich.
204-16TOLEDOE MICHAttack errJessica Costlow
214-17E MICHTOLEDOAttack errTaeley Mahler
225-17TOLEDOE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Richter
235-18E MICHTOLEDOKillCaylee Sharkeyset Gabbi LeBlanc
246-18TOLEDOE MICHKillKaylin Richterset Surabhi Srinivasan
256-19E MICHTOLEDO×7KillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach
266-20TOLEDOTOLEDO×7AceToledoaced Lily Spark
276-21TOLEDOTOLEDO×7KillBrooke Naniseniset Madelyn Bach
286-22TOLEDOTOLEDO×7KillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach
296-23TOLEDOTOLEDO×7Attack errNatalie Slusher
306-24TOLEDOTOLEDO×7KillBrooke Naniseniset Grace Freiberger
316-25TOLEDOTOLEDO×7BlockedOlivia Stewartblk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich
Set 3
10-1TOLEDOTOLEDOAceToledoaced Mia Schaefer
21-1TOLEDOE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni
31-2E MICHTOLEDOAttack errTaeley Mahler
42-2TOLEDOE MICHAttack errSierra Pertzborn
53-2E MICHE MICHBlockedAva Siefkeblk Azra Eriç, Lina Govoni
63-3E MICHTOLEDO×4Bad setOlivia Beaudrie
73-4TOLEDOTOLEDO×4BlockedOlivia Beaudrieblk Lilly Merk, Sophie Catalano
83-5TOLEDOTOLEDO×4KillSophie Catalanoset Grace Freiberger
93-6TOLEDOTOLEDO×4KillAva Siefkeset Sophie Catalano
104-6TOLEDOE MICH×4KillAzra Eriçset Kaylin Richter
115-6E MICHE MICH×4AceOlivia Beaudrieaced Jessica Costlow
126-6E MICHE MICH×4BlockedAva Siefkeblk Azra Eriç, Lina Govoni
137-6E MICHE MICH×4KillNatalie Slusherset Kaylin Richter
147-7E MICHTOLEDOAttack errNatalie Slusher
158-7TOLEDOE MICHServe errToledo
168-8E MICHTOLEDO×3KillJessica Costlowset Janelle Green
178-9TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillJessica Costlowset Janelle Green
188-10TOLEDOTOLEDO×3BlockedNatalie Slusherblk Kayla Ozanich, Sophie Catalano
199-10TOLEDOE MICHKillLina Govoniset Kaylin Richter
209-11E MICHTOLEDOAttack errTaeley Mahler
2110-11TOLEDOE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni
2210-12E MICHTOLEDO×4KillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach
2310-13TOLEDOTOLEDO×4BlockedOlivia Beaudrieblk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich
2410-14TOLEDOTOLEDO×4KillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach
2510-15TOLEDOTOLEDO×4KillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach
2611-15TOLEDOE MICH×3Serve errToledo
2712-15E MICHE MICH×3KillMia Schaeferset Lina Govoni
2813-15E MICHE MICH×3Bad setMadelyn Bach
2913-16E MICHTOLEDOServe errEastern Mich.
3014-16TOLEDOE MICHAttack errAva Siefke
3115-16E MICHE MICHBlockedLilly Merkblk Azra Eriç, Lina Govoni
3215-17E MICHTOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach
3316-17TOLEDOE MICHBlockedAva Siefkeblk Azra Eriç, Lina Govoni
3417-17E MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni
3517-18E MICHTOLEDOAttack errNatalie Slusher
3617-19TOLEDOTOLEDOAttack errNatalie Slusher
3718-19TOLEDOE MICHKillLina Govoniset Kaylin Richter
3818-20E MICHTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green
3918-21TOLEDOTOLEDOAceToledo
4019-21TOLEDOE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Richter
4119-22E MICHTOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Janelle Green
4220-22TOLEDOE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni
4320-23E MICHTOLEDOServe errEastern Mich.
4421-23TOLEDOE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni
4521-24E MICHTOLEDOAttack errOlivia Beaudrie
4622-24TOLEDOE MICHKillOlivia Beaudrieset Lina Govoni
4722-25E MICHTOLEDOAttack errOlivia Beaudrie

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Mich. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).