CollegeVolleyball
FinalWed, Sep 9, 2026

Vanderbilt def. Boston College 30

(25-23, 25-14, 25-13)
Set123Sets
VANDY2525253
BC2314130

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BC above 50 · VANDY below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100BCVANDYBiggest swing +4.2% VANDY · S1 24-23rally 125 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.2% to Vanderbilt — set 1, VANDY 24-23 BC. Audrey Ross stuffed by Rachel Ogunleye & Samantha Wunsch. BC win probability 11%7%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

VANDY 92.9%7.1% BC

Vanderbilt wins

3-0
50.2%
3-1
30.9%
3-2
11.9%

Boston College wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.1%
3-2
4.1%
VANDY break %
46.8% vs this opp
BC break %
35.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Audrey RossAttack error+4.2%

    Audrey Ross stuffed by Rachel Ogunleye & Samantha Wunsch

    Set 1 · VANDY 24-23 BC · VANDY 89%93%

  2. 02

    Kill by Samantha Wunsch (set by Avery Scoggins)

    Set 1 · VANDY 25-23 BC · VANDY 93%96%

  3. 03
    VANDY serverAce+3.2%

    Vanderbilt ace on Sofija Marjanovic

    Set 1 · VANDY 22-22 BC · VANDY 86%89%

  4. 04
    Audrey RossKill+2.9%

    Kill by Audrey Ross (set by Lucy Mott)

    Set 1 · VANDY 22-23 BC · BC 11%14%

  5. 05
    Sam HoppesKill+2.7%

    Kill by Sam Hoppes (set by Lucie Vesela)

    Set 1 · VANDY 18-21 BC · BC 14%17%

  6. 06
    Audrey RossAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Audrey Ross

    Set 1 · VANDY 23-23 BC · VANDY 86%89%

  7. 07
    VANDY serverAce+2.6%

    Vanderbilt ace on Sofija Marjanovic

    Set 1 · VANDY 21-22 BC · VANDY 84%86%

  8. 08

    Kill by Sofija Marjanovic (set by Lucie Vesela)

    Set 1 · VANDY 17-19 BC · BC 11%13%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312323.39103360010.515.5
37220.25003130010.510.5
37071.000000000007
3337.000000000214
3102.5003322700003
3000000400000
37416.1880412000011
3000030000003
3001.0004121010001
12021.000000000002
1011-1.000000100000
1000000000000
1000000100000
Team totals391379.3293716934104275
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310629.1381021200010
3308.375000000214
3205.40000001111.53.5
3038-.37500010010.50.5
2203.667000450002
2000910300001
34111.273000001226
3001.000801300000
3000202410000
2001.000001320000
1315.400001030003
1000300100000
1000001010000
1000000000000
Team totals241171.1832318201626550

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 VANDY · BC 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 VANDYBC 4

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 5 VANDYBC 3

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 4 VANDYBC 2

Bars above the line = Boston College leads, below = Vanderbilt leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Vanderbilt

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
45%5/11
2
60%6/10
60%9/15
3
75%6/8
57%8/14
4
86%6/7
40%4/10
5
71%5/7
50%5/10
6
63%5/8
62%8/13
All
69%36/52
53%39/73

Boston College

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%6/12
42%5/12
2
40%6/15
40%4/10
3
55%6/11
33%3/9
4
60%6/10
14%1/7
5
36%5/14
25%2/8
6
45%5/11
17%1/6
All
47%34/73
31%16/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

125 rallies

Rally log

#VANDY-BCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BCBCAttack errSamantha Wunsch+1.0
21-1BCVANDY×4KillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+0.6
32-1VANDYVANDY×4Attack errLaney Blevins+0.8
43-1VANDYVANDY×4KillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+0.7
54-1VANDYVANDY×4AceVANDY serveraced Audrey Ross+0.6
64-2VANDYBC×4Serve errVANDY server+0.4
74-3BCBC×4Attack errSamantha Wunsch+0.7
84-4BCBC×4Attack errRachel Ogunleye+0.9
94-5BCBC×4Attack errRachel Ogunleye+1.1
105-5BCVANDYServe errBC server+0.7
116-5VANDYVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Hailee Mack+0.9
126-6VANDYBC×3KillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+0.7
136-7BCBC×3Attack errRachel Ogunleyeblk Naomi Watson+1.2
146-8BCBC×3KillAudrey Rossset Brooklyn Yelland+1.4
157-8BCVANDYServe errBC server+0.8
167-9VANDYBCServe errVANDY server+1.0
178-9BCVANDYServe errBC server+0.9
189-9VANDYVANDYAceVANDY serveraced Sofija Marjanovic+1.2
199-10VANDYBCKillSam Hoppesset Lucie Vesela+1.0
209-11BCBCAttack errMaya Witherspoonblk Sam Hoppes, Reese Dunkle+1.6
2110-11BCVANDYServe errBC server+0.9
2211-11VANDYVANDYKillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+1.3
2311-12VANDYBCKillSam Hoppesset Lucie Vesela+1.1
2411-13BCBCAceBC serveraced Hailee Mack+1.7
2512-13BCVANDYKillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+1.0
2612-14VANDYBCKillSofija Marjanovicset Lucy Mott+1.3
2712-15BCBCBad setAvery Scoggins+1.9
2813-15BCVANDYKillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+1.1
2913-16VANDYBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+1.5
3014-16BCVANDY×3KillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+1.1
3115-16VANDYVANDY×3Attack errAudrey Ross+1.8
3216-16VANDYVANDY×3AceVANDY serveraced Ali Natt+1.8
3316-17VANDYBCKillNaomi Watsonset Lucy Mott+1.5
3417-17BCVANDYKillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+1.3
3517-18VANDYBCAttack errMaya Witherspoon+1.6
3617-19BCBCKillSofija Marjanovicset Lucie Vesela+2.5
3718-19BCVANDYKillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+1.4
3818-20VANDYBCServe errVANDY server+2.0
3918-21BCBCKillSam Hoppesset Lucie Vesela+2.7
4019-21BCVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+1.3
4119-22VANDYBCKillSam Hoppesset Lucie Vesela+2.1
4220-22BCVANDY×3KillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+1.2
4321-22VANDYVANDY×3AceVANDY serveraced Sofija Marjanovic+2.6
4422-22VANDYVANDY×3AceVANDY serveraced Sofija Marjanovic+3.2
4522-23VANDYBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+2.9
4623-23BCVANDY×3Attack errAudrey Ross+2.6
4724-23VANDYVANDY×3Attack errAudrey Rossblk Rachel Ogunleye, Samantha Wunsch+4.2
4825-23VANDYVANDY×3KillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+3.2
Set 2
10-1VANDYBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+0.5
20-2BCBCAttack errReese Animashaunblk Laney Blevins, Naomi Watson+0.7
31-2BCVANDY×5KillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+0.4
42-2VANDYVANDY×5AceVANDY serveraced Ali Natt+0.6
53-2VANDYVANDY×5Attack errAudrey Ross+0.6
64-2VANDYVANDY×5KillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+0.5
75-2VANDYVANDY×5KillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+0.4
85-3VANDYBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+0.3
96-3BCVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+0.3
106-4VANDYBCServe errVANDY server+0.3
117-4BCVANDYKillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+0.3
127-5VANDYBCServe errVANDY server+0.3
138-5BCVANDY×3KillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+0.3
149-5VANDYVANDY×3AceVANDY serveraced Sofija Marjanovic+0.4
1510-5VANDYVANDY×3KillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+0.3
1610-6VANDYBCAttack errReese Animashaunblk Reese Dunkle, Sam Hoppes+0.2
1711-6BCVANDY×3Attack errLaney Blevins+0.2
1812-6VANDYVANDY×3KillRachel Ogunleyeset Avery Scoggins+0.2
1913-6VANDYVANDY×3AceVANDY serveraced Brooklyn Yelland+0.1
2013-7VANDYBC×3KillReese Dunkleset Lucy Mott+0.1
2113-8BCBC×3Attack errSamantha Wunsch+0.2
2213-9BCBC×3KillAudrey Rossset Brooklyn Yelland+0.2
2314-9BCVANDYKillRachel Ogunleyeset Avery Scoggins+0.2
2415-9VANDYVANDYAceVANDY serveraced Team+0.2
2515-10VANDYBCKillReese Dunkleset Lucy Mott+0.1
2616-10BCVANDYServe errBC server+0.1
2716-11VANDYBCServe errVANDY server+0.1
2816-12BCBCBad setAvery Scoggins+0.2
2917-12BCVANDY×4KillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+0.2
3018-12VANDYVANDY×4Attack errAudrey Ross+0.2
3119-12VANDYVANDY×4AceVANDY serveraced Naomi Watson+0.1
3220-12VANDYVANDY×4KillSamantha Wunschset Hailee Mack+0.1
3320-13VANDYBCKillNaomi Watsonset Audrey Ross+0.0
3421-13BCVANDY×3KillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+0.0
3522-13VANDYVANDY×3KillMaya Witherspoonset Hailee Mack+0.0
3623-13VANDYVANDY×3AceVANDY serveraced Savannah Curtis+0.0
3723-14VANDYBCServe errVANDY server+0.0
3824-14BCVANDYKillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+0.0
3925-14VANDYVANDYAceVANDY serveraced Sofija Marjanovic+0.0
Set 3
11-0BCVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+0.2
21-1VANDYBCServe errVANDY server+0.2
32-1BCVANDY×3KillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+0.2
43-1VANDYVANDY×3KillMaya Witherspoonset Hailee Mack+0.2
54-1VANDYVANDY×3AceVANDY serveraced Ava Castro+0.2
64-2VANDYBCAttack errMaya Witherspoon+0.1
75-2BCVANDYKillRachel Ogunleyeset Avery Scoggins+0.1
86-2VANDYVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+0.2
96-3VANDYBCKillAva Castroset Ava McBride+0.1
107-3BCVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+0.1
118-3VANDYVANDYAceVANDY serveraced Ava Castro+0.1
128-4VANDYBCBad setMaya Witherspoon+0.1
139-4BCVANDY×4KillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+0.1
1410-4VANDYVANDY×4AceVANDY serveraced Ava Castro+0.1
1511-4VANDYVANDY×4Attack errLaney Blevins+0.1
1612-4VANDYVANDY×4Bad setAva Castro+0.0
1712-5VANDYBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+0.0
1813-5BCVANDY×3KillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+0.0
1914-5VANDYVANDY×3KillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+0.0
2015-5VANDYVANDY×3Attack errAudrey Ross+0.0
2115-6VANDYBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucie Vesela+0.0
2215-7BCBCKillReese Dunkle+0.0
2316-7BCVANDYAttack errSam Hoppesblk Reese Animashaun, Rachel Ogunleye+0.0
2416-8VANDYBCKillAva Castroset Lucie Vesela+0.0
2517-8BCVANDYServe errBC server+0.0
2617-9VANDYBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucie Vesela+0.0
2718-9BCVANDYKillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+0.0
2819-9VANDYVANDYAttack errAva Castro+0.0
2919-10VANDYBCKillAva Castroset Ava McBride+0.0
3020-10BCVANDYServe errBC server+0.0
3120-11VANDYBCAttack errMaya Witherspoon+0.0
3221-11BCVANDY×3KillAvery Scogginsset Maddy Bowser+0.0
3322-11VANDYVANDY×3KillMaddy Bowserset Avery Scoggins+0.0
3423-11VANDYVANDY×3AceVANDY serveraced Audrey Ross+0.0
3523-12VANDYBCServe errVANDY server+0.0
3624-12BCVANDYKillMaddy Bowserset Avery Scoggins+0.0
3724-13VANDYBCAttack errJordin Southallblk Sam Hoppes+0.0
3825-13BCVANDYServe errBC server+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Vanderbilt first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.