Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 11, 2026Watch on ACCNX

NC State def. Boston College 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: NC State 83.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

NC State beat visiting Boston College 3-1 (25-16, 25-21, 19-25, 25-18) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Britni Silver led NC State with 13 kills; Boston College's Audrey Ross had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set1234Sets
BC162125181
NC ST252519253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

NC State won every phase.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.5 points, and Boston College's high was 23% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. Pre-match, RallyIQ had NC State at 84%.

Boston CollegeNC State
  • Break %+10.0 pts
    30.940.9

    On serve: 38/93 against 25/81 (Boston College sideout 59.1%).

  • Hitting+.142
    .133.275

    58 kills, 25 errors vs 37 kills, 22 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    45

    NC State scored 5 straight in the first set to turn a 6–8 deficit into an 11–8 lead. The set finished 25–16.

NC State above 50Boston College belowMax swing 2.5%

Boston CollegeNC State

Aces
Boston College 5·NC State 6
Serve err
Boston College 5·NC State 13
Blocks
Boston College 10·NC State 10.53 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 19 BA
Digs
Boston College 29·NC State 45

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

NC State above 50 · Boston College below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.5% BCrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Boston College — set 4, BC 6-2 NC ST. Boston College ace. NC ST win probability 83% → 81%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BC 15.7%84.3% NC ST

Boston College wins

3-0
2.4%
3-1
5.1%
3-2
8.3%

NC State wins

3-0
36.2%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
16.9%
BC break %
39.4% vs this opp
NC ST break %
47.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Boston CollegeAce+2.5%

    Boston College ace

    Set 4 · BC 6-2 NC ST · BC 17% → 19%

  2. 02

    Audrey Ross stuffed by Talia Francom & Jordan Smith

    Set 4 · BC 9-9 NC ST · NC ST 86% → 89%

  3. 03
    Sofija MarjanovicAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Sofija Marjanovic

    Set 4 · BC 12-14 NC ST · NC ST 91% → 93%

  4. 04
    Boston CollegeAce+2.4%

    Boston College ace

    Set 4 · BC 4-1 NC ST · BC 14% → 16%

  5. 05

    Audrey Ross stuffed by Jordan Smith & Talia Francom

    Set 4 · BC 9-10 NC ST · NC ST 89% → 91%

  6. 06
    NC StateAce+2.3%

    NC State ace on Sofija Marjanovic

    Set 4 · BC 6-5 NC ST · NC ST 85% → 87%

  7. 07
    Naomi WatsonAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Naomi Watson

    Set 4 · BC 6-4 NC ST · NC ST 82% → 85%

  8. 08

    Jordan Smith stuffed by Sam Hoppes & Naomi Watson

    Set 4 · BC 2-0 NC ST · BC 12% → 14%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419438.3951105114323
4318.250000001225
43314.000000000214
43717-.235001130003
4000–1810100001
3015-.20000000153.53.5
46220.20000010010.56.5
4012-.5002201410002
4000–001100000
3112.0001010300002
2000–402000000
2000–000300000
1112.000001000001
1112.000000010001
1003.000000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3722113.13335552963141080
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412321.42920130174.516.5
413829.17211182010.514.5
46211.36444131000218
4000–011800001
4000–002400000
34410.00000020010.54.5
411623.21702310052.515.5
410224.3330002002111
4000–301710000
12021.00001100010.53.5
Team totals5825120.2755061345511910.594

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 BC · NC ST 5

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 BCNC ST 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 2 BCNC ST 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 BCNC ST 2

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 2 BCNC ST 4

Bars above the line = NC State leads, below = Boston College leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Boston College

SlotSideout %Break %
1
85%11/13
36%5/14
2
59%10/17
35%6/17
3
50%10/20
33%5/15
4
69%9/13
29%4/14
5
42%8/19
20%2/10
6
64%7/11
27%3/11
All
59%55/93
31%25/81

NC State

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%11/20
36%5/14
2
73%11/15
27%4/15
3
63%10/16
38%6/16
4
75%9/12
47%9/19
5
73%8/11
50%8/16
6
100%7/7
46%6/13
All
69%56/81
41%38/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#BC-NC STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NC STBCBlockedBritni Silverblk Isabelle Poehlein, Reese Dunkle+1.3
22-0BCBCAttack errBritni Silver+1.7
32-1BCNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.2
43-1NC STBC×3Attack errTalia Francom+1.4
54-1BCBC×3Attack errBritni Silver+1.9
65-1BCBC×3Attack errJordan Smith+2.0
75-2BCNC ST×3KillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.3
85-3NC STNC ST×3KillClara Vondranset Eva Long+1.8
95-4NC STNC ST×3BlockedAudrey Rossblk Talia Francom, Jordan Smith+1.8
106-4NC STBCBlockedJordan Smithblk Naomi Watson, Audrey Ross+1.5
117-4BCBCKillSam Hoppesset Lucie Vesela+2.1
127-5BCNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.4
137-6NC STNC STKillJordan Smithset Britni Silver+1.9
148-6NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucie Vesela+1.6
158-7BCNC ST×5KillClara Vondranset Eva Long+1.5
168-8NC STNC ST×5Attack errSam Hoppes+1.9
178-9NC STNC ST×5Attack errSofija Marjanovic+1.8
188-10NC STNC ST×5Attack errSofija Marjanovic+1.6
198-11NC STNC ST×5AceNC Stateaced Brooklyn Yelland+1.4
209-11NC STBCServe errNC State+1.1
219-12BCNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+1.1
2210-12NC STBCKillReese Dunkleset Lucy Mott+1.1
2310-13BCNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+1.2
2411-13NC STBCKillReese Dunkleset Ava McBride+1.1
2512-13BCBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+1.8
2612-14BCNC ST×5KillEva Longset Ava McBride+1.5
2712-15NC STNC ST×5Attack errIsabelle Poehlein+1.6
2812-16NC STNC ST×5Bad setAva McBride+1.3
2912-17NC STNC ST×5BlockedReese Dunkleblk Talia Francom+1.0
3012-18NC STNC ST×5AceNC Stateaced Sofija Marjanovic+0.7
3113-18NC STBCServe errNC State+0.4
3213-19BCNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+0.5
3314-19NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Brooklyn Yelland+0.3
3414-20BCNC STServe errBoston College+0.5
3514-21NC STNC STKillJordan Smithset Talia Francom+0.3
3615-21NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+0.1
3715-22BCNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+0.2
3815-23NC STNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+0.1
3916-23NC STBCServe errNC State·
4016-24BCNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long·
4116-25NC STNC STBad setLucy Mott·
Set 2
10-1BCNC STKillTalia Francom+0.8
21-1NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+0.8
32-1BCBCAceBoston Collegeaced Britni Silver+1.2
42-2BCNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.9
53-2NC STBCKillIsabelle Poehleinset Ava McBride+1.0
63-3BCNC ST×3BlockedSam Hoppesblk Clara Vondran, Talia Francom+0.9
73-4NC STNC ST×3Attack errChloe Allcroft+1.1
83-5NC STNC ST×3KillSophia Groom+1.0
94-5NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucy Mott+0.8
104-6BCNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+0.8
114-7NC STNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+0.9
125-7NC STBCServe errNC State+0.7
135-8BCNC STServe errBoston College+0.7
145-9NC STNC STAceNC Stateaced Sofija Marjanovic+0.8
156-9NC STBCServe errNC State+0.6
166-10BCNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.6
176-11NC STNC STBlockedSofija Marjanovicblk Eva Long, Talia Francom+0.7
187-11NC STBCAttack errBritni Silver+0.5
198-11BCBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+0.8
208-12BCNC STKillEva Long+0.7
219-12NC STBCBlockedBritni Silverblk Reese Dunkle, Isabelle Poehlein+0.6
229-13BCNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+0.7
239-14NC STNC STAttack errIsabelle Poehlein+0.7
2410-14NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+0.5
2511-14BCBCAttack errClara Vondran+0.8
2611-15BCNC STServe errBoston College+0.7
2712-15NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Brooklyn Yelland+0.6
2812-16BCNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+0.7
2913-16NC STBCAttack errClara Vondran+0.7
3013-17BCNC STServe errBoston College+0.8
3113-18NC STNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.7
3214-18NC STBCKillSam Hoppesset Lucy Mott+0.4
3314-19BCNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.5
3415-19NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+0.4
3516-19BCBCAttack errEva Long+0.8
3616-20BCNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.8
3717-20NC STBCAttack errTalia Francom+0.6
3817-21BCNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+0.8
3917-22NC STNC STAceNC Stateaced Mia Gold+0.6
4018-22NC STBCAttack errJordan Smith+0.3
4119-22BCBCKillChloe Allcroft+0.6
4219-23BCNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+0.8
4319-24NC STNC STKillJordan Smithset Talia Francom+0.4
4420-24NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+0.1
4521-24BCBCKillMia Goldset Ava McBride+0.3
4621-25BCNC STBlockedMia Goldblk Jordan Smith, Sophia Groom+0.5
Set 3
10-1NC STNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.5
21-1NC STBCKillSam Hoppesset Ava McBride+0.4
31-2BCNC STKillEva Longset Eva Long+0.4
42-2NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+0.4
52-3BCNC STBlockedSofija Marjanovicblk Talia Francom, Jordan Smith+0.4
62-4NC STNC STAttack errBrooklyn Yelland+0.5
73-4NC STBCKillIsabelle Poehleinset Lucie Vesela+0.4
83-5BCNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+0.4
94-5NC STBCServe errNC State+0.4
104-6BCNC STKillEva Long+0.4
115-6NC STBC×4Attack errBritni Silver+0.4
126-6BCBC×4AceBoston Collegeaced Britni Silver+0.6
137-6BCBC×4Attack errSophia Groom+0.7
148-6BCBC×4Attack errBritni Silver+0.7
158-7BCNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.5
169-7NC STBCKillSofija Marjanovicset Ava McBride+0.6
179-8BCNC STServe errBoston College+0.5
1810-8NC STBCServe errNC State+0.6
1910-9BCNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+0.6
2011-9NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+0.7
2111-10BCNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+0.6
2212-10NC STBC×3Serve errNC State+0.7
2313-10BCBC×3KillSofija Marjanovicset Lucie Vesela+0.9
2414-10BCBC×3BlockedSophia Groomblk Naomi Watson+0.9
2514-11BCNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+0.5
2615-11NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucie Vesela+0.7
2716-11BCBCBlockedSophia Groomblk Reese Dunkle+0.8
2816-12BCNC STKillClara Vondranset Zuzanna Maciejewicz+0.5
2916-13NC STNC STAttack errLucie Vesela+0.7
3017-13NC STBCAttack errSophia Groom+0.8
3117-14BCNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.6
3218-14NC STBCKillSam Hoppesset Ava McBride+0.8
3318-15BCNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+0.6
3418-16NC STNC STKillBritni Silverset Zuzanna Maciejewicz+0.9
3519-16NC STBC×3Serve errNC State+0.9
3620-16BCBC×3AceBoston Collegeaced Zuzanna Maciejewicz+1.0
3721-16BCBC×3BlockedBritni Silverblk Audrey Ross, Naomi Watson+0.8
3821-17BCNC STKillJordan Smithset Zuzanna Maciejewicz+0.3
3922-17NC STBCKillSam Hoppesset Ava McBride+0.6
4022-18BCNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+0.3
4123-18NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucie Vesela+0.5
4223-19BCNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+0.2
4324-19NC STBCServe errNC State+0.4
4425-19BCBCAttack errEva Long+0.2
Set 4
11-0BCBCKillReese Dunkleset Ava McBride+2.0
22-0BCBCBlockedJordan Smithblk Sam Hoppes, Naomi Watson+2.2
32-1BCNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.5
43-1NC STBCKillSam Hoppesset Ava McBride+1.8
54-1BCBCAceBoston College+2.4
64-2BCNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+1.6
75-2NC STBCKillLucie Vesela+1.9
86-2BCBCAceBoston College+2.5
96-3BCNC ST×3KillClara Vondranset Eva Long+1.6
106-4NC STNC ST×3Attack errNaomi Watson+2.2
116-5NC STNC ST×3AceNC Stateaced Sofija Marjanovic+2.3
127-5NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucie Vesela+2.0
137-6BCNC STKillEva Longset Eva Long+1.8
148-6NC STBCKillSofija Marjanovicset Audrey Ross+2.1
158-7BCNC STKillNorah Buschset Eva Long+1.8
169-7NC STBCServe errNC State+2.1
179-8BCNC ST×3BlockedSofija Marjanovicblk Eva Long, Talia Francom, Britni Silver+1.9
189-9NC STNC ST×3BlockedAudrey Rossblk Talia Francom, Jordan Smith+2.4
199-10NC STNC ST×3BlockedAudrey Rossblk Jordan Smith, Talia Francom+2.3
2010-10NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+1.9
2110-11BCNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.8
2211-11NC STBCBlockedJordan Smithblk Audrey Ross, Naomi Watson+2.0
2311-12BCNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+1.9
2412-12NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucie Vesela+2.1
2512-13BCNC ST×3KillNorah Buschset Eva Long+2.0
2612-14NC STNC ST×3Attack errSofija Marjanovic+2.4
2712-15NC STNC ST×3Attack errAudrey Ross+2.1
2813-15NC STBCKillIsabelle Poehleinset Lucie Vesela+1.5
2913-16BCNC STServe errBoston College+1.6
3013-17NC STNC STAttack errSofija Marjanovic+1.7
3114-17NC STBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucie Vesela+1.1
3214-18BCNC ST×4KillBritni Silverset Eva Long+1.3
3314-19NC STNC ST×4KillEva Longset Brooklyn Yelland+1.2
3414-20NC STNC ST×4AceNC Stateaced Audrey Ross+0.8
3514-21NC STNC ST×4KillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.4
3615-21NC STBCServe errNC State+0.2
3715-22BCNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.3
3816-22NC STBCBlockedJordan Smithblk Audrey Ross+0.1
3917-22BCBCAttack errTalia Francom+0.3
4017-23BCNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+0.4
4118-23NC STBCServe errNC State+0.1
4218-24BCNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+0.3
4318-25NC STNC STBlockedIsabelle Poehleinblk Clara Vondran, Norah Busch+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Boston College first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).