Final · 4 setsSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on ACCNX

Syracuse def. Boston College 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Boston College 86.9% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Syracuse won at Boston College 3-1 (25-21, 28-26, 12-25, 25-19) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Kiernan Stamey led Syracuse with 15 kills; Boston College's Audrey Ross had a match-high 23.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set1234Sets
SYR252812253
BC212625191

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave Syracuse 13%. Syracuse won anyway.

The match turned once; each line shows Syracuse's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ had Boston College at 87% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Syracuse 25–25 Boston College

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Syracuse, enough to take the set 28–26 and lead 2–0. The match swung to Syracuse.

    Syracuse 38% → 63%

Boston College above 50Syracuse belowMax swing 15.0%

SyracuseBoston College

Sideout %
Syracuse 64.1·Boston College 65.2
Break %
Syracuse 34.8·Boston College 35.9
Hitting
Syracuse .227·Boston College .159
Longest run
Syracuse 4·Boston College 7

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Boston College above 50 · Syracuse below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+15.0% SYRrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 15.0% to Syracuse — set 2, SYR 28-26 BC. Kill by Kiernan Stamey. BC win probability 52% → 37%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SYR 15.0%85.0% BC

Syracuse wins

3-0
2.2%
3-1
4.8%
3-2
8.0%

Boston College wins

3-0
37.1%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
16.6%
SYR break %
38.6% vs this opp
BC break %
46.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kiernan StameyKill+15.0%

    Kill by Kiernan Stamey

    Set 2 · SYR 28-26 BC · SYR 48% → 63%

  2. 02
    Charis BurgeKill+12.3%

    Kill by Charis Burge (set by Kiernan Stamey)

    Set 2 · SYR 25-24 BC · SYR 36% → 48%

  3. 03
    Naomi WatsonAttack error+12.3%

    Attack error by Naomi Watson

    Set 2 · SYR 27-26 BC · SYR 36% → 48%

  4. 04
    Audrey RossKill+10.5%

    Kill by Audrey Ross (set by Ava McBride)

    Set 2 · SYR 23-24 BC · BC 62% → 72%

  5. 05
    Audrey RossBlock+10.5%

    Abby Nicholson stuffed by Audrey Ross

    Set 2 · SYR 25-26 BC · BC 62% → 72%

  6. 06
    Audrey RossKill+9.5%

    Kill by Audrey Ross (set by Ava McBride)

    Set 2 · SYR 25-25 BC · BC 52% → 62%

  7. 07
    Emma WilliamsKill+8.0%

    Kill by Emma Williams (set by Charis Burge)

    Set 2 · SYR 22-21 BC · SYR 35% → 43%

  8. 08

    Audrey Ross stuffed by Abby Nicholson & Charis Burge

    Set 2 · SYR 24-24 BC · SYR 28% → 36%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415243.30210312202116
48225.24000310254.512.5
49634.088201121010.59.5
48217.353101500008
4429.222000111226
4115.00044011100212
49419.2630100002111
4112.0003141900002
Team totals5520154.227512136143141090
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4231161.19700151212.525.5
48423.17402013000010
45313.15410060010.55.5
43214.071000100214
4329.111000600003
4000–27001000000
410529.1720002002111
4001.0004101810001
4011-1.0001602800000
3000–000000000
1000–011000001
1000–000200000
Team totals5228151.159484471226591

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Syracuse vs Boston College

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SYR · BC 7

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 SYRBC 4

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 3 SYRBC 3

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 SYRBC 7

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 3 SYRBC 3

Bars above the line = Boston College leads, below = Syracuse leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Syracuse

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%9/19
20%2/10
2
64%9/14
25%3/12
3
67%8/12
33%4/12
4
67%6/9
42%5/12
5
100%6/6
25%2/8
6
60%6/10
45%5/11
All
63%44/70
32%21/65

Boston College

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%9/11
56%9/16
2
75%9/12
31%4/13
3
62%8/13
44%7/16
4
55%6/11
36%4/11
5
75%6/8
0%0/6
6
60%6/10
25%2/8
All
68%44/65
37%26/70

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#SYR-BCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BCSYRKillEmma Faerberset Charis Burge+1.1
22-0SYRSYRAttack errAudrey Ross+1.5
32-1SYRBCKillChloe Allcroftset Ava McBride+1.1
43-1BCSYR×4KillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+1.2
54-1SYRSYR×4KillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+1.7
65-1SYRSYR×4BlockedIsabelle Poehleinblk Abby Nicholson, Marie Laurio+1.8
76-1SYRSYR×4Attack errAudrey Ross+1.8
86-2SYRBCKillIsabelle Poehleinset Ava McBride+1.1
97-2BCSYRServe errLucie Vesela+1.4
107-3SYRBCKillSam Hoppesset Naomi Watson+1.1
118-3BCSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+1.5
129-3SYRSYRKillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+1.8
139-4SYRBCServe errAbby Nicholson+1.0
149-5BCBCAceAli Nattaced Marie Laurio+1.6
1510-5SYR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.5
1610-6SYRBCKillSam Hoppesset Lucie Vesela+1.2
1711-6BCSYR×3KillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+1.5
1812-6SYRSYR×3Attack errChloe Allcroft+1.8
1913-6SYRSYR×3Attack errIsabelle Poehlein+1.6
2013-7SYRBC×4KillSofija Marjanovicset Ava McBride+0.9
2113-8BCBC×4KillAudrey Rossset Brooklyn Yelland+1.4
2213-9BCBC×4Bad setCharis Burge+1.6
2313-10BCBC×4Attack errMarie Laurio+1.8
2414-10BCSYRKillEmma Faerberset Charis Burge+1.8
2515-10SYRSYRAceYuka Uranoaced Brooklyn Yelland+2.1
2615-11SYRBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+1.2
2716-11BCSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+1.7
2816-12SYRBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+1.2
2917-12BCSYRAttack errSofija Marjanovic+1.7
3018-12SYRSYRKillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+1.8
3118-13SYRBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucie Vesela+0.9
3219-13BCSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+1.4
3319-14SYRBCServe errAbby Nicholson+0.8
3420-14BCSYRServe errAli Natt+1.3
3520-15SYRBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucie Vesela+0.7
3620-16BCBCAttack errYuka Urano+1.3
3721-16BCSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+1.7
3821-17SYRBCServe errKiernan Stamey+0.9
3922-17BCSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Marie Laurio+1.6
4023-17SYRSYRAttack errAudrey Ross+1.2
4123-18SYRBCServe errSyracuse+0.3
4224-18BCSYRKillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+0.6
4324-19SYRBC×3Serve errSyracuse+0.1
4424-20BCBC×3Attack errMarie Laurio+0.4
4524-21BCBC×3KillAudrey Rossset Lucie Vesela+0.8
4625-21BCSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+1.4
Set 2
10-1SYRBCBlockedCharis Burgeblk Audrey Ross+1.6
21-1BCSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+1.8
31-2SYRBC×3KillNaomi Watsonset Ava McBride+1.7
41-3BCBC×3BlockedMarie Laurioblk Sam Hoppes, Naomi Watson+2.0
51-4BCBC×3KillSam Hoppesset Lucie Vesela+1.8
62-4BCSYRBlockedLucie Veselablk Kiernan Stamey, Abby Nicholson+1.4
73-4SYRSYRBlockedNaomi Watsonblk Abby Nicholson+2.1
83-5SYRBCServe errKiernan Stamey+1.6
94-5BCSYRBlockedAudrey Rossblk Abby Nicholson+1.7
104-6SYRBCKillNaomi Watsonset Lucie Vesela+1.7
115-6BCSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+1.8
125-7SYRBCAttack errKeila Gabriel+1.7
136-7BCSYR×3KillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+1.8
147-7SYRSYR×3KillEmma Williamsset Yuka Urano+2.8
158-7SYRSYR×3KillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+3.2
168-8SYRBC×3KillSofija Marjanovicset Ava McBride+2.2
178-9BCBC×3Attack errEmma Faerber+2.8
188-10BCBC×3Attack errEmma Williams+2.6
199-10BCSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+2.0
209-11SYRBCServe errYuka Urano+2.0
2110-11BCSYRKillYuka Uranoset Audrey Ross+2.1
2210-12SYRBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+2.0
2311-12BCSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+2.1
2411-13SYRBCKillNaomi Watsonset Lucie Vesela+2.1
2512-13BCSYRServe errAudrey Ross+2.2
2612-14SYRBCKillSam Hoppesset Brooklyn Yelland+2.2
2713-14BCSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+2.3
2813-15SYRBCAttack errKeila Gabriel+2.3
2914-15BCSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Yuka Urano+2.4
3014-16SYRBCKillSofija Marjanovicset Ava McBride+2.5
3115-16BCSYRKillEmma Faerberset Charis Burge+2.5
3215-17SYRBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+2.6
3316-17BCSYRKillMarie Laurioset Emma Williams+2.6
3416-18SYRBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+2.8
3517-18BCSYRAttack errSam Hoppes+2.8
3617-19SYRBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucie Vesela+3.0
3718-19BCSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+2.9
3818-20SYRBCServe errAbby Nicholson+3.2
3919-20BCSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+3.1
4020-20SYRSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+5.5
4120-21SYRBCAttack errEmma Faerber+4.5
4221-21BCSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+4.7
4322-21SYRSYRKillEmma Williamsset Charis Burge+8.0
4422-22SYRBCKillSofija Marjanovicset Ava McBride+5.6
4523-22BCSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+7.5
4623-23SYRBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+6.8
4723-24BCBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+10.5
4824-24BCSYRBlockedAudrey Rossblk Abby Nicholson, Charis Burge+7.8
4925-24SYRSYRKillCharis Burgeset Kiernan Stamey+12.3
5025-25SYRBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+9.5
5125-26BCBCBlockedAbby Nicholsonblk Audrey Ross+10.5
5226-26BCSYR×3KillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+7.8
5327-26SYRSYR×3Attack errNaomi Watson+12.3
5428-26SYRSYR×3KillKiernan Stamey+15.0
Set 3
10-1BCBC×7AceSofija Marjanovicaced Emma Faerber+2.6
20-2BCBC×7KillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+2.3
30-3BCBC×7KillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+2.0
40-4BCBC×7Bad setCharis Burge+1.7
50-5BCBC×7AceSofija Marjanovicaced Kiernan Stamey+1.4
60-6BCBC×7KillAudrey Rossset Charis Burge+1.1
70-7BCBC×7KillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+0.9
81-7BCSYRBlockedAudrey Rossblk Keila Gabriel, Emma Faerber+0.6
91-8SYRBCServe errYuka Urano+0.6
102-8BCSYRAttack errAudrey Ross+0.6
112-9SYRBCKillChloe Allcroftset Ava McBride+0.6
122-10BCBCAttack errMarie Laurio+0.6
133-10BCSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+0.4
144-10SYRSYRKillKiernan Stamey+0.7
154-11SYRBC×4KillSam Hoppesset Lucie Vesela+0.6
164-12BCBC×4KillSofija Marjanovicset Lucie Vesela+0.6
174-13BCBC×4KillSam Hoppesset Chloe Allcroft+0.4
184-14BCBC×4KillSam Hoppesset Lucie Vesela+0.2
195-14BCSYRBlockedSam Hoppesblk Kiernan Stamey, Abby Nicholson+0.1
206-14SYRSYRAttack errSam Hoppes+0.3
216-15SYRBCKillSofija Marjanovicset Lucie Vesela+0.3
227-15BCSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.2
238-15SYRSYRBlockedNaomi Watsonblk Emma Faerber+0.4
248-16SYRBC×3Serve errCharis Burge+0.4
258-17BCBC×3Attack errKeila Gabriel+0.3
268-18BCBC×3Attack errKiernan Stamey+0.2
279-18BCSYRKillEmma Faerberset Keila Gabriel+0.1
289-19SYRBCServe errKiernan Stamey+0.1
2910-19BCSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+0.1
3010-20SYRBCServe errYuka Urano+0.1
3110-21BCBCAttack errAbby Nicholson·
3211-21BCSYRBlockedAudrey Rossblk Abby Nicholson, Keila Gabriel·
3311-22SYRBC×3KillIsabelle Poehleinset Ava McBride·
3411-23BCBC×3BlockedMarie Laurioblk Sam Hoppes, Chloe Allcroft·
3511-24BCBC×3KillSam Hoppesset Brooklyn Yelland·
3612-24BCSYRServe errLucie Vesela·
3712-25SYRBCAttack errEmma Williams·
Set 4
10-1SYRBCKillIsabelle Poehleinset Ava McBride+2.6
21-1BCSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+2.8
32-1SYRSYRAceKeila Gabrielaced Audrey Ross+4.1
42-2SYRBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+2.9
53-2BCSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+3.3
63-3SYRBCAttack errKiernan Stamey+3.0
73-4BCBCKillAudrey Rossset Lucie Vesela+3.8
84-4BCSYR×3KillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+3.1
95-4SYRSYR×3BlockedSofija Marjanovicblk Emma Faerber, Charis Burge+4.5
106-4SYRSYR×3KillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+5.0
116-5SYRBCKillSam Hoppesset Lucie Vesela+3.4
127-5BCSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+4.0
137-6SYRBCKillNaomi Watsonset Keila Gabriel+3.5
148-6BCSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+4.2
158-7SYRBCKillSofija Marjanovicset Ava McBride+3.6
169-7BCSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+4.3
1710-7SYRSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+5.9
1810-8SYRBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+3.8
1911-8BCSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+4.8
2011-9SYRBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+3.9
2112-9BCSYRAttack errSofija Marjanovic+4.9
2212-10SYRBCServe errMarie Laurio+4.1
2313-10BCSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+5.1
2414-10SYRSYRAttack errSam Hoppes+6.6
2514-11SYRBCKillSam Hoppesset Brooklyn Yelland+3.9
2615-11BCSYRAttack errSofija Marjanovic+5.2
2715-12SYRBCKillNaomi Watsonset Lucie Vesela+4.0
2816-12BCSYRKillKeila Gabrielset Charis Burge+5.4
2917-12SYRSYRBad setAva McBride+6.3
3017-13SYRBCKillSofija Marjanovicset Ava McBride+3.3
3118-13BCSYRAttack errAudrey Ross+4.9
3219-13SYRSYRKillMarie Laurioset Yuka Urano+5.0
3319-14SYRBC×3KillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+2.3
3419-15BCBC×3AceBrooklyn Yellandaced Kiernan Stamey+4.1
3519-16BCBC×3BlockedKeila Gabrielblk Audrey Ross, Chloe Allcroft+5.4
3620-16BCSYRAttack errAudrey Ross+6.1
3721-16SYRSYRAttack errChloe Allcroft+6.1
3821-17SYRBCKillAudrey Rossset Ava McBride+2.5
3921-18BCBCAttack errMarie Laurio+5.0
4022-18BCSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+6.2
4123-18SYRSYRAttack errSam Hoppes+5.2
4223-19SYRBCKillChloe Allcroftset Lucie Vesela+1.5
4324-19BCSYRAttack errAudrey Ross+3.3
4425-19SYRSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Marie Laurio+1.2

Score shown after each rally, Syracuse first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).