FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on SNY, ESPN+

Fairfield def. Quinnipiac 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Fairfield 94.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Fairfield beat visiting Quinnipiac 3-0 (25-9, 28-26, 25-18) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Fairfield's Mamie Krubally led with 11 kills, and Katelyn Cook added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
QUINN926180
FAIR2528253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Mamie Krubally hit .625 with 11 kills as Fairfield rolled past Quinnipiac.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.0 points. Quinnipiac peaked at 8% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Fairfield at 94%.

QuinnipiacFairfield
  • Break %+20.6 pts
    35.255.8

    Points won on own serve: 43 of 77 vs 19 of 54. Quinnipiac sided out 44.2% of the time.

  • Hitting+.306
    .035.341

    40 K / 9 E against 32 K / 28 E.

  • Longest run+4
    48

    Fairfield scored 8 straight in the first set to stretch a 6–4 lead to 14–4. The set finished 25–9.

Fairfield above 50Quinnipiac belowMax swing 3.0%

QuinnipiacFairfield

Aces
Quinnipiac 3·Fairfield 5
Serve err
Quinnipiac 5·Fairfield 8
Blocks
Quinnipiac 4·Fairfield 131 BS · 6 BA vs 0 BS · 26 BA
Digs
Quinnipiac 34·Fairfield 33

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Fairfield above 50 · Quinnipiac below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.0% QUINNrally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.0% to Quinnipiac — set 2, QUINN 25-24 FAIR. Harlan Wyche stuffed by Sila Yildiz. FAIR win probability 96% → 93%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

QUINN 10.5%89.5% FAIR

Quinnipiac wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-2
5.9%

Fairfield wins

3-0
43.5%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.3%
QUINN break %
37.7% vs this opp
FAIR break %
47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sila YildizBlock+3.0%

    Harlan Wyche stuffed by Sila Yildiz

    Set 2 · QUINN 25-24 FAIR · QUINN 4% → 7%

  2. 02
    Aislin OldachKill+2.4%

    Kill by Aislin Oldach (set by Zofia Sykut)

    Set 2 · QUINN 25-26 FAIR · FAIR 95% → 97%

  3. 03

    Kill by Mamie Krubally (set by Zofia Sykut)

    Set 2 · QUINN 25-25 FAIR · FAIR 93% → 95%

  4. 04

    Sahra Ozbiltekin stuffed by Emma Bortolotti & Sophia Nagy

    Set 2 · QUINN 26-28 FAIR · FAIR 97% → 99%

  5. 05
    Sila YildizKill+1.8%

    Kill by Sila Yildiz

    Set 2 · QUINN 23-23 FAIR · QUINN 3% → 4%

  6. 06

    Giulia Ragusa stuffed by Harlan Wyche & Mamie Krubally

    Set 2 · QUINN 23-24 FAIR · FAIR 96% → 97%

  7. 07
    Giulia RagusaKill+1.7%

    Kill by Giulia Ragusa (set by Klara Olszewska)

    Set 2 · QUINN 24-24 FAIR · QUINN 3% → 4%

  8. 08
    FairfieldService error+1.7%

    Fairfield service error

    Set 2 · QUINN 26-26 FAIR · QUINN 3% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38111.63600210031.59.5
38735.029111700009
34210.200110001016
34517-.059010200005
3013-.33325001000211
22415-.133000300002
3000–000840000
24415.00000111010.54.5
2248-.250001200002
Team totals3228114.035273534516453
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311116.6250002006314
35212.25000230073.58.5
37315.267101130010.57.5
33010.300000000636
34222.091013620005
3000–2011000001
39115.5331000006312
31011.0001431100004
3000–000000000
3000–000810000
1000–000000000
Team totals40991.34136583330261378

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Quinnipiac vs Fairfield

Season series · Fairfield leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 QUINN · FAIR 8

Set 1

9-25

Longest run 2 QUINNFAIR 8

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 4 QUINNFAIR 5

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 QUINNFAIR 5

Bars above the line = Fairfield leads, below = Quinnipiac leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Quinnipiac

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
14%1/7
2
50%6/12
20%2/10
3
36%5/14
33%3/9
4
31%5/16
29%2/7
5
45%5/11
50%5/10
6
71%5/7
55%6/11
All
44%34/77
35%19/54

Fairfield

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
53%8/15
2
86%6/7
50%6/12
3
55%6/11
45%5/11
4
71%5/7
77%17/22
5
50%5/10
44%4/9
6
56%5/9
38%3/8
All
65%35/54
56%43/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#QUINN-FAIRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FAIRQUINNServe errFairfield+0.6
22-0QUINNQUINNAttack errKatelyn Cook+0.9
32-1QUINNFAIR×4Serve errQuinnipiac+0.6
42-2FAIRFAIR×4BlockedGiulia Ragusablk Mamie Krubally, Harlan Wyche+0.8
52-3FAIRFAIR×4KillAislin Oldach+0.7
62-4FAIRFAIR×4Attack errSila Yildiz+0.6
73-4FAIRQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+0.5
83-5QUINNFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+0.5
93-6FAIRFAIRAttack errSophia Minlend+0.5
104-6FAIRQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+0.4
114-7QUINNFAIR×8Attack errSophia Minlend+0.4
124-8FAIRFAIR×8KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+0.4
134-9FAIRFAIR×8BlockedSila Yildizblk Emma Bortolotti, Sophia Nagy+0.3
144-10FAIRFAIR×8Attack errSahra Ozbiltekin+0.3
154-11FAIRFAIR×8AceFairfieldaced Didar Bulbul+0.2
164-12FAIRFAIR×8AceFairfieldaced Didar Bulbul+0.1
174-13FAIRFAIR×8KillEmma Bortolotti+0.1
184-14FAIRFAIR×8KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri·
195-14FAIRQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska·
205-15QUINNFAIR×3KillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri·
215-16FAIRFAIR×3Attack errVittoria Tonelli·
225-17FAIRFAIR×3AceFairfieldaced Vittoria Tonelli·
236-17FAIRQUINNServe errFairfield·
247-17QUINNQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Klara Olszewska·
257-18QUINNFAIRBlockedGiulia Ragusablk Sophia Nagy, Emma Bortolotti·
267-19FAIRFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Noella Migliuri·
278-19FAIRQUINNKillAsia Belliset Noella Migliuri·
288-20QUINNFAIR×4Serve errQuinnipiac·
298-21FAIRFAIR×4AceFairfieldaced Didar Bulbul·
308-22FAIRFAIR×4KillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut·
318-23FAIRFAIR×4Attack errGiulia Ragusa·
329-23FAIRQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska·
339-24QUINNFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut·
349-25FAIRFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut·
Set 2
10-1QUINNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.3
20-2FAIRFAIRBlockedGiulia Ragusablk Harlan Wyche, Mamie Krubally+0.4
31-2FAIRQUINNServe errFairfield+0.3
41-3QUINNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.3
52-3FAIRQUINN×4Attack errAislin Oldach+0.3
63-3QUINNQUINN×4KillVittoria Tonelliset Klara Olszewska+0.5
74-3QUINNQUINN×4KillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+0.6
85-3QUINNQUINN×4AceQuinnipiacaced Aislin Oldach+0.7
95-4QUINNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.4
105-5FAIRFAIRBlockedVittoria Tonelliblk Sophia Nagy, Emma Bortolotti+0.6
116-5FAIRQUINNServe errFairfield+0.5
126-6QUINNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+0.4
137-6FAIRQUINN×4Serve errFairfield+0.5
148-6QUINNQUINN×4BlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Asia Belli, Vittoria Tonelli+0.8
159-6QUINNQUINN×4KillVittoria Tonelli+0.9
1610-6QUINNQUINN×4KillAsia Belli+0.9
1710-7QUINNFAIR×3KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+0.5
1810-8FAIRFAIR×3BlockedAsia Belliblk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche+0.8
1910-9FAIRFAIR×3BlockedVittoria Tonelliblk Harlan Wyche, Emma Bortolotti+0.7
2011-9FAIRQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Klara Olszewska+0.7
2112-9QUINNQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+1.0
2212-10QUINNFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Noella Migliuri+0.6
2313-10FAIRQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+0.8
2413-11QUINNFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+0.6
2513-12FAIRFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+0.9
2614-12FAIRQUINNAttack errMamie Krubally+0.8
2714-13QUINNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.7
2814-14FAIRFAIRBlockedSophia Minlendblk Mamie Krubally, Sophia Nagy+0.9
2915-14FAIRQUINNKillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+0.8
3015-15QUINNFAIR×5KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.7
3115-16FAIRFAIR×5KillEmma Bortolotti+0.9
3215-17FAIRFAIR×5KillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+0.7
3315-18FAIRFAIR×5Attack errVittoria Tonelli+0.6
3415-19FAIRFAIR×5Attack errSophia Minlend+0.4
3516-19FAIRQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Giulia Ragusa+0.3
3616-20QUINNFAIRKillNoella Migliuriset Katelyn Cook+0.3
3717-20FAIRQUINNKillFarah Sherifset Klara Olszewska+0.2
3817-21QUINNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+0.3
3918-21FAIRQUINN×4Attack errAislin Oldach+0.2
4019-21QUINNQUINN×4AceQuinnipiacaced Aislin Oldach+0.5
4120-21QUINNQUINN×4BlockedKatelyn Cookblk Asia Belli, Klara Olszewska+0.9
4221-21QUINNQUINN×4KillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+1.4
4321-22QUINNFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri+1.1
4421-23FAIRFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+1.3
4522-23FAIRQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+0.7
4623-23QUINNQUINNKillSila Yildiz+1.8
4723-24QUINNFAIRBlockedGiulia Ragusablk Harlan Wyche, Mamie Krubally+1.7
4824-24FAIRQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+1.7
4925-24QUINNQUINNBlockedHarlan Wycheblk Sila Yildiz+3.0
5025-25QUINNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.3
5125-26FAIRFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+2.4
5226-26FAIRQUINNServe errFairfield+1.7
5326-27QUINNFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+1.7
5426-28FAIRFAIRBlockedSahra Ozbiltekinblk Emma Bortolotti, Sophia Nagy+1.8
Set 3
10-1FAIRFAIR×3KillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+0.2
20-2FAIRFAIR×3BlockedGiulia Ragusablk Mamie Krubally, Harlan Wyche+0.2
30-3FAIRFAIR×3BlockedFarah Sherifblk Harlan Wyche, Katelyn Cook+0.1
41-3FAIRQUINNAttack errHarlan Wyche+0.1
51-4QUINNFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+0.1
62-4FAIRQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+0.1
72-5QUINNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.1
82-6FAIRFAIRAttack errKlara Olszewska+0.1
93-6FAIRQUINNServe errFairfield+0.1
104-6QUINNQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+0.2
114-7QUINNFAIRServe errQuinnipiac+0.1
125-7FAIRQUINN×3KillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+0.1
136-7QUINNQUINN×3AceQuinnipiacaced Natalie Carlin+0.2
147-7QUINNQUINN×3KillFarah Sherifset Sila Yildiz+0.3
157-8QUINNFAIR×3KillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+0.2
167-9FAIRFAIR×3Attack errSahra Ozbiltekin+0.2
177-10FAIRFAIR×3Attack errFarah Sherif+0.2
188-10FAIRQUINNBad setNoella Migliuri+0.1
198-11QUINNFAIRAttack errSahra Ozbiltekin+0.1
209-11FAIRQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+0.1
219-12QUINNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+0.1
2210-12FAIRQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+0.1
2310-13QUINNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.1
2411-13FAIRQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+0.2
2511-14QUINNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.2
2611-15FAIRFAIRBlockedFarah Sherifblk Sophia Nagy, Mamie Krubally+0.2
2712-15FAIRQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+0.1
2813-15QUINNQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+0.2
2913-16QUINNFAIR×5KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.2
3013-17FAIRFAIR×5KillSophia Nagyset Emma Bortolotti+0.2
3113-18FAIRFAIR×5Attack errFarah Sherif+0.1
3213-19FAIRFAIR×5AceFairfieldaced Didar Bulbul+0.1
3313-20FAIRFAIR×5Attack errSahra Ozbiltekin·
3414-20FAIRQUINNKillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska·
3514-21QUINNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri·
3615-21FAIRQUINNServe errFairfield·
3716-21QUINNQUINNBlockedKatelyn Cookblk Asia Belli, Klara Olszewska·
3816-22QUINNFAIRServe errQuinnipiac·
3917-22FAIRQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska·
4017-23QUINNFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Noella Migliuri·
4117-24FAIRFAIRAttack errGiulia Ragusa·
4218-24FAIRQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska·
4318-25QUINNFAIRServe errQuinnipiac·

Score shown after each rally, Quinnipiac first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).