FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Fairfield def. Rider 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Fairfield 98.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Fairfield beat visiting Rider 3-0 (25-23, 25-14, 25-16) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Fairfield's Emma Bortolotti led with 9 kills, and Natalie Carlin added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set123Sets
RIDER2314160
FAIR2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Fairfield held Rider to .096 hitting.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.7 points. Rider peaked at 2% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Fairfield 99% before first serve.

RiderFairfield
  • Break %+21.6 pts
    23.645.2

    Points won on own serve: 33 of 73 vs 13 of 55. Rider sided out 54.8% of the time.

  • Hitting+.154
    .096.250

    Kills and errors: 38–12 vs 33–22.

  • Longest run+2
    46

    Down 8–9 in the first set, Fairfield scored 6 straight to lead 14–9. The set finished 25–23.

Fairfield above 50Rider belowMax swing 0.7%

RiderFairfield

Aces
Rider 1·Fairfield 5
Serve err
Rider 9·Fairfield 6
Blocks
Rider 7·Fairfield 111 BS · 12 BA vs 2 BS · 18 BA
Digs
Rider 45·Fairfield 53

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Fairfield above 50 · Rider below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 128 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Fairfield stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

RIDER 3.9%96.1% FAIR

Rider wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
1.1%
3-2
2.4%

Fairfield wins

3-0
59.0%
3-1
28.5%
3-2
8.6%
RIDER break %
35.4% vs this opp
FAIR break %
48.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Rideraway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37216.313000001229
36530.033000300217
36515.06700010010.56.5
3318.2502210140010.54.5
31411-.273001100423
3000–000320000
38528.10700162010.58.5
3001.000603300000
3000–3031110000
2000–101200000
1203.667000000002
1003.00000010010.50.5
Team totals3322115.0963219455112753
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38116.4380001004210
35013.3850112024410
36524.042012800218
3317.28600020052.55.5
33214.07110151010.53.5
3000–1311700001
39324.25000000010.59.5
32021.0001200900002
3000–7211200002
2204.50000070010.52.5
2000–000000000
Team totals3812104.25033565312181175

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Rider vs Fairfield

Season series · Fairfield leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 RIDER · FAIR 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 RIDERFAIR 6

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 RIDERFAIR 6

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 RIDERFAIR 6

Bars above the line = Fairfield leads, below = Rider leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rider

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
22%2/9
2
47%8/17
27%3/11
3
70%7/10
0%0/8
4
75%6/8
30%3/10
5
60%6/10
0%0/6
6
42%5/12
45%5/11
All
55%40/73
24%13/55

Fairfield

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
25%2/8
2
80%8/10
58%11/19
3
89%8/9
47%7/15
4
78%7/9
36%4/11
5
86%6/7
33%3/9
6
56%5/9
55%6/11
All
76%42/55
45%33/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#RIDER-FAIRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0RIDERRIDERBlockedSophia Nagyblk Aubrey Baker, Molly Rohde
21-1RIDERFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut
31-2FAIRFAIRKillSophia Nagy
42-2FAIRRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason
53-2RIDERRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason
63-3RIDERFAIRServe errRider
74-3FAIRRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason
84-4RIDERFAIRBlockedAubrey Bakerblk Mamie Krubally, Harlan Wyche
95-4FAIRRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason
105-5RIDERFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Aislin Oldach
116-5FAIRRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Katie Cook
126-6RIDERFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
137-6FAIRRIDERKillMakenna Masonset Carly Allen
147-7RIDERFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Noella Migliuri
157-8FAIRFAIRBlockedAnja Kellyblk Katelyn Cook, Sophia Nagy
168-8FAIRRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason
179-8RIDERRIDERBlockedKatelyn Cookblk Anja Kelly, Molly Rohde
189-9RIDERFAIR×6KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
199-10FAIRFAIR×6AceFairfieldaced Olivia DeSaro
209-11FAIRFAIR×6KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
219-12FAIRFAIR×6Attack errAubrey Baker
229-13FAIRFAIR×6Attack errAubrey Baker
239-14FAIRFAIR×6KillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut
2410-14FAIRRIDERServe errFairfield
2510-15RIDERFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut
2610-16FAIRFAIRBlockedTori Bonacciblk Harlan Wyche
2711-16FAIRRIDERBlockedAislin Oldachblk Anja Kelly, Tori Bonacci
2811-17RIDERFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
2912-17FAIRRIDERKillMakenna Mason
3013-17RIDERRIDERBlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Makenna Mason, Tori Bonacci
3113-18RIDERFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri
3214-18FAIRRIDERServe errFairfield
3314-19RIDERFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
3415-19FAIRRIDER×4KillRylah Robinsonset Simone Langford
3516-19RIDERRIDER×4AceMakenna Masonaced Aislin Oldach
3617-19RIDERRIDER×4KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason
3718-19RIDERRIDER×4KillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason
3818-20RIDERFAIRKillNoella Migliuriset Natalie Carlin
3919-20FAIRRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason
4019-21RIDERFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut
4119-22FAIRFAIRBlockedMolly Rohdeblk Sophia Nagy, Aislin Oldach
4220-22FAIRRIDERServe errFairfield
4320-23RIDERFAIRServe errRider
4421-23FAIRRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason
4521-24RIDERFAIRBlockedAubrey Bakerblk Mamie Krubally, Harlan Wyche
4622-24FAIRRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason
4723-24RIDERRIDERKillMakenna Masonset Simone Langford
4823-25RIDERFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri
Set 2
11-0FAIRRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason
21-1RIDERFAIR×3KillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut
31-2FAIRFAIR×3KillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut
41-3FAIRFAIR×3KillMamie Kruballyset Natalie Carlin
52-3FAIRRIDERAttack errMamie Krubally
62-4RIDERFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
72-5FAIRFAIRAttack errAubrey Baker
83-5FAIRRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason
94-5RIDERRIDERAttack errAislin Oldach
104-6RIDERFAIRServe errRider
114-7FAIRFAIRKillEmma Bortolotti
125-7FAIRRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason
135-8RIDERFAIR×4KillEmma Bortolottiset Natalie Carlin
145-9FAIRFAIR×4BlockedRylah Robinsonblk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche
155-10FAIRFAIR×4KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
165-11FAIRFAIR×4BlockedMakenna Masonblk Harlan Wyche
176-11FAIRRIDERAttack errKatelyn Cook
186-12RIDERFAIR×6Attack errAnja Kelly
196-13FAIRFAIR×6Attack errAnja Kelly
206-14FAIRFAIR×6KillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri
216-15FAIRFAIR×6AceFairfieldaced Rylah Robinson
226-16FAIRFAIR×6BlockedMolly Rohdeblk Katelyn Cook, Sophia Nagy
236-17FAIRFAIR×6KillEmma Bortolottiset Molly Rohde
247-17FAIRRIDERServe errFairfield
257-18RIDERFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
268-18FAIRRIDERKillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason
279-18RIDERRIDERAttack errKatelyn Cook
289-19RIDERFAIRServe errRider
299-20FAIRFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Natalie Carlin
3010-20FAIRRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason
3110-21RIDERFAIRServe errRider
3211-21FAIRRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason
3311-22RIDERFAIRBlockedRylah Robinsonblk Mamie Krubally, Harlan Wyche
3411-23FAIRFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Natalie Carlin
3512-23FAIRRIDERBlockedKatelyn Cookblk Tori Bonacci
3612-24RIDERFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Noella Migliuri
3713-24FAIRRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason
3814-24RIDERRIDERBlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Rylah Robinson, Molly Rohde
3914-25RIDERFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Noella Migliuri
Set 3
10-1RIDERFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut
21-1FAIRRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason
31-2RIDERFAIR×6KillMamie Kruballyset Natalie Carlin
41-3FAIRFAIR×6AceFairfieldaced Olivia DeSaro
51-4FAIRFAIR×6Attack errAnja Kelly
61-5FAIRFAIR×6AceFairfieldaced Simone Langford
71-6FAIRFAIR×6KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
81-7FAIRFAIR×6Bad setMakenna Mason
92-7FAIRRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason
102-8RIDERFAIR×3Attack errTori Bonacci
112-9FAIRFAIR×3Attack errRylah Robinson
122-10FAIRFAIR×3KillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri
133-10FAIRRIDERAttack errEmma Bortolotti
143-11RIDERFAIRServe errRider
154-11FAIRRIDERKillAnnabell Zachritzset Katie Cook
164-12RIDERFAIRAttack errMolly Rohde
175-12FAIRRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Katie Cook
186-12RIDERRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Simone Langford
196-13RIDERFAIRAttack errRylah Robinson
206-14FAIRFAIRAceFairfieldaced Rylah Robinson
217-14FAIRRIDERServe errFairfield
227-15RIDERFAIRBlockedRylah Robinsonblk Mamie Krubally, Sophia Nagy
238-15FAIRRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason
248-16RIDERFAIRBlockedAnja Kellyblk Julie Dufourt, Sophia Nagy
259-16FAIRRIDERKillAnnabell Zachritzset Makenna Mason
269-17RIDERFAIRServe errRider
2710-17FAIRRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Katie Cook
2810-18RIDERFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Rylah Robinson
2911-18FAIRRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Katie Cook
3011-19RIDERFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri
3111-20FAIRFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
3212-20FAIRRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Katie Cook
3312-21RIDERFAIRKillNoella Migliuriset Natalie Carlin
3413-21FAIRRIDERBlockedKatelyn Cookblk Molly Rohde, Madison Daley
3513-22RIDERFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut
3613-23FAIRFAIRAttack errMolly Rohde
3714-23FAIRRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason
3815-23RIDERRIDERBad setZofia Sykut
3915-24RIDERFAIRServe errRider
4016-24FAIRRIDERServe errFairfield
4116-25RIDERFAIRServe errRider

Score shown after each rally, Rider first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).