Final · 4 setsSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayBIG-SKY

3:1

HomeWCC

Eastern Wash. def. Seattle U 3–1

(25-21, 25-17, 17-25, 25-12)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
E WASH	25	25	17	25	3
SEATTL	21	17	25	12	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SEATTL above 50 · E WASH below

Biggest swing: 2.9% to Eastern Wash. — set 1, E WASH 24-21 SEATTL. Seattle U service error. SEATTL win probability 20% → 17%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

E WASH 71.5%28.5% SEATTL

Eastern Wash. wins

3-0

24.3%

3-1

27.4%

3-2

19.7%

Seattle U wins

3-0

5.3%

3-1

9.9%

3-2

13.3%

E WASH break %: 47.5% vs this opp
SEATTL break %: 43.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
SEATTL serverService error+2.9%
Seattle U service error
Set 1 · E WASH 24-21 SEATTL · E WASH 80% → 83%
02
Teagan MeltonKill+2.6%
Kill by Teagan Melton (set by Grace Jones)
Set 4 · E WASH 5-5 SEATTL · SEATTL 13% → 15%
03
Aspyn ReedKill+2.5%
Kill by Aspyn Reed (set by Jailyn Davenport)
Set 4 · E WASH 7-5 SEATTL · E WASH 87% → 89%
04
Judith BolomboyAttack error+2.4%
Judith Bolomboy stuffed by Lexi Jones & Adee Butler
Set 1 · E WASH 6-7 SEATTL · SEATTL 29% → 31%
05
Bria CarlisleKill+2.4%
Kill by Bria Carlisle (set by Jailyn Davenport)
Set 4 · E WASH 5-3 SEATTL · E WASH 87% → 89%
06
Linnaea MooreBad set+2.3%
Bad set by Linnaea Moore
Set 1 · E WASH 8-7 SEATTL · E WASH 71% → 73%
07
Lexi JonesKill+2.3%
Kill by Lexi Jones (set by Bella Jones)
Set 1 · E WASH 11-10 SEATTL · SEATTL 24% → 27%
08
Orinayo OlukanmiAttack error+2.3%
Orinayo Olukanmi stuffed by Kalista Lukovich & Judith Bolomboy
Set 4 · E WASH 1-0 SEATTL · E WASH 85% → 87%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Eastern Wash.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Kalista LukovichOH	4	18	6	44	.273	0	0	0	10	0	0	7	3.5	21.5
18Aspyn ReedOH	4	11	7	33	.121	0	1	2	9	3	0	2	1	13
8Sidney GrayMB	4	4	1	6	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	7	3.5	7.5
11Judith BolomboyMB	4	2	1	9	.111	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	3.5	5.5
6Jailyn DavenportS	4	1	0	7	.143	35	0	4	5	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
4Reese BetschartOH	4	1	1	4	.000	0	0	2	9	2	0	0	0	1
12Bria CarlisleMB	4	7	2	14	.357	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	8
2Jade LivingstonL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	4	2	5	0	0	0	0	4
14Elle BruegmanDS	4	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	16	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		44	18	117	.222	39	6	11	56	7	1	26	14	92

Seattle Uhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Chloee LeslieOH	4	8	7	28	.036	2	1	0	6	2	0	3	1.5	10.5
6Teagan MeltonOH	4	7	5	20	.100	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
4Lexi JonesMB	4	6	2	16	.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
7Hailey McEllrathMB	4	3	2	10	.100	1	3	2	4	0	0	4	2	8
1Bella JonesS	4	1	0	2	.500	12	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	2
2Elaina DuongL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	1	0	3	4	0	0	0	0	0
5Adee ButlerOH	4	11	7	39	.103	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	11.5
12Janae DemantL/DS	4	0	0	3	.000	6	2	3	11	1	0	0	0	2
10Grace JonesS	4	0	0	2	.000	13	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
8Orinayo OlukanmiOH	2	2	3	8	-.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
14Linnaea MooreOH	2	1	1	6	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
11Tamara UngaOH	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
3Clara GarciaL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
9Mikayla LiljenquistS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	27	138	.087	36	7	10	44	6	1	14	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 9 E WASH · SEATTL 8

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 E WASHSEATTL 2

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 5 E WASHSEATTL 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 E WASHSEATTL 8

Set 4

25-12

Longest run 9 E WASHSEATTL 3

Bars above the line = Seattle U leads, below = Eastern Wash. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Eastern Wash.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	59%10/17	53%9/17
2	69%9/13	65%17/26
3	88%7/8	53%9/17
4	58%7/12	36%4/11
5	44%7/16	46%6/13
6	60%6/10	14%1/7
All	61%46/76	51%46/91

Seattle U

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%10/19	33%4/12
2	29%8/28	47%9/19
3	70%7/10	0%0/7
4	58%7/12	30%3/10
5	54%7/13	63%12/19
6	67%6/9	22%2/9
All	49%45/91	39%30/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

167 rallies

Rally log

#	E WASH-SEATTL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Kalista Lukovich		+2.1
2	1-1	SEATTL	E WASH	Serve err	SEATTL server		+1.7
3	1-2	E WASH	SEATTL	Attack err	Sidney Gray	blk Lexi Jones, Chloee Leslie	+1.8
4	2-2	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Jailyn Davenport	+1.7
5	3-2	E WASH	E WASH	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Jailyn Davenport	+2.0
6	3-3	E WASH	SEATTL	Serve err	E WASH server		+1.7
7	4-3	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Elle Bruegman	+1.7
8	4-4	E WASH	SEATTL	Attack err	Bria Carlisle		+1.8
9	4-5	SEATTL	SEATTL	Ace	SEATTL server	aced Aspyn Reed	+2.3
10	5-5	SEATTL	E WASH	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+1.8
11	6-5	E WASH	E WASH	Attack err	Hailey McEllrath	blk Judith Bolomboy	+2.2
12	6-6	E WASH	SEATTL	Serve err	E WASH server		+1.9
13	6-7	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Judith Bolomboy	blk Lexi Jones, Adee Butler	+2.4
14	7-7	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+1.9
15	8-7	E WASH	E WASH	Bad set	Linnaea Moore		+2.3
16	8-8	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Chloee Leslie	+2.0
17	9-8	SEATTL	E WASH×3	Serve err	SEATTL server		+2.0
18	10-8	E WASH	E WASH×3	Attack err	Adee Butler		+2.3
19	11-8	E WASH	E WASH×3	Ace	E WASH server	aced Adee Butler	+2.1
20	11-9	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Bella Jones	+1.6
21	11-10	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Bella Jones	+2.3
22	12-10	SEATTL	E WASH×3	Serve err	SEATTL server		+2.0
23	13-10	E WASH	E WASH×3	Ace	E WASH server	aced Janae Demant	+2.2
24	14-10	E WASH	E WASH×3	Attack err	Teagan Melton	blk Kalista Lukovich, Sidney Gray	+1.9
25	14-11	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Bella Jones	+1.4
26	14-12	SEATTL	SEATTL	Ace	SEATTL server	aced Team	+2.1
27	15-12	SEATTL	E WASH×4	Serve err	SEATTL server		+1.9
28	16-12	E WASH	E WASH×4	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Jailyn Davenport	+2.0
29	17-12	E WASH	E WASH×4	Bad set	Bella Jones		+1.6
30	18-12	E WASH	E WASH×4	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+1.1
31	18-13	E WASH	SEATTL	Serve err	E WASH server		+0.7
32	19-13	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Bria Carlisle	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.9
33	19-14	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.6
34	19-15	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Aspyn Reed		+1.1
35	20-15	SEATTL	E WASH	Attack err	Adee Butler		+1.3
36	20-16	E WASH	SEATTL	Attack err	Aspyn Reed		+0.9
37	21-16	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+1.2
38	21-17	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Grace Jones	+0.8
39	21-18	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Bella Jones	+1.5
40	22-18	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Jailyn Davenport	+1.8
41	22-19	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Janae Demant	+1.1
42	23-19	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Judith Bolomboy	set Aspyn Reed	+1.8
43	23-20	E WASH	SEATTL	Serve err	E WASH server		+0.9
44	23-21	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Bella Jones	+2.1
45	24-21	SEATTL	E WASH	Serve err	SEATTL server		+2.9
46	25-21	E WASH	E WASH	Attack err	Teagan Melton	blk Kalista Lukovich, Sidney Gray	+1.4
Set 2
1	1-0	E WASH	E WASH	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Jailyn Davenport	+1.6
2	2-0	E WASH	E WASH	Bad set	Teagan Melton		+1.5
3	2-1	E WASH	SEATTL×4	Serve err	E WASH server		+1.3
4	2-2	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Bella Jones	set Judith Bolomboy	+1.7
5	2-3	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Teagan Melton	+1.8
6	2-4	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Chloee Leslie	+1.9
7	3-4	SEATTL	E WASH×5	Attack err	Chloee Leslie	blk Judith Bolomboy, Jailyn Davenport	+1.4
8	4-4	E WASH	E WASH×5	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+1.8
9	5-4	E WASH	E WASH×5	Ace	E WASH server	aced Chloee Leslie	+1.7
10	6-4	E WASH	E WASH×5	Ace	E WASH server	aced Team	+1.6
11	7-4	E WASH	E WASH×5	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+1.5
12	7-5	E WASH	SEATTL	Attack err	Reese Betschart		+1.2
13	8-5	SEATTL	E WASH×3	Kill	Reese Betschart	set Jailyn Davenport	+1.3
14	9-5	E WASH	E WASH×3	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+1.4
15	10-5	E WASH	E WASH×3	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+1.2
16	10-6	E WASH	SEATTL	Serve err	E WASH server		+0.9
17	10-7	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+1.3
18	11-7	SEATTL	E WASH×3	Attack err	Linnaea Moore	blk Kalista Lukovich, Sidney Gray	+1.2
19	12-7	E WASH	E WASH×3	Bad set	Grace Jones		+1.2
20	13-7	E WASH	E WASH×3	Attack err	Adee Butler		+1.0
21	13-8	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Janae Demant	+0.7
22	13-9	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Kalista Lukovich		+1.0
23	14-9	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Bria Carlisle	set Jailyn Davenport	+1.0
24	14-10	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+0.9
25	15-10	SEATTL	E WASH	Attack err	Lexi Jones		+1.0
26	15-11	E WASH	SEATTL	Attack err	Aspyn Reed	blk Lexi Jones	+0.9
27	16-11	SEATTL	E WASH	Attack err	Teagan Melton	blk Judith Bolomboy, Aspyn Reed	+1.0
28	16-12	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Bella Jones	+0.8
29	17-12	SEATTL	E WASH×3	Serve err	SEATTL server		+1.0
30	18-12	E WASH	E WASH×3	Kill	Sidney Gray		+0.9
31	19-12	E WASH	E WASH×3	Ace	E WASH server	aced Tamara Unga	+0.6
32	19-13	E WASH	SEATTL	Serve err	E WASH server		+0.3
33	20-13	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.5
34	21-13	E WASH	E WASH	Kill	Bria Carlisle	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.3
35	21-14	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Linnaea Moore	set Grace Jones	+0.1
36	22-14	SEATTL	E WASH	Attack err	Hailey McEllrath	blk Bria Carlisle, Sidney Gray	+0.2
37	23-14	E WASH	E WASH	Attack err	Adee Butler		+0.1
38	23-15	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Hailey McEllrath	+0.0
39	23-16	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Kalista Lukovich		+0.1
40	24-16	SEATTL	E WASH	Serve err	SEATTL server		+0.1
41	24-17	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Grace Jones	+0.0
42	25-17	SEATTL	E WASH	Attack err	Lexi Jones		+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.7
2	2-0	E WASH	E WASH	Kill	Sidney Gray	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.8
3	2-1	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Bella Jones	+0.7
4	3-1	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.7
5	4-1	E WASH	E WASH	Kill	Bria Carlisle	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.8
6	4-2	E WASH	SEATTL	Serve err	E WASH server		+0.6
7	5-2	SEATTL	E WASH	Attack err	Teagan Melton	blk Kalista Lukovich, Sidney Gray	+0.7
8	5-3	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Janae Demant	+0.7
9	6-3	SEATTL	E WASH	Attack err	Teagan Melton		+0.7
10	6-4	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Elaina Duong	+0.7
11	6-5	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.9
12	7-5	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.8
13	7-6	E WASH	SEATTL	Serve err	E WASH server		+0.8
14	8-6	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.8
15	8-7	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Bella Jones	+0.8
16	9-7	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.8
17	9-8	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Bella Jones	+0.8
18	9-9	SEATTL	SEATTL	Ace	SEATTL server	aced Elle Bruegman	+1.1
19	10-9	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Elle Bruegman	+0.9
20	10-10	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Janae Demant	+1.0
21	11-10	SEATTL	E WASH	Serve err	SEATTL server		+1.0
22	11-11	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Grace Jones	+1.0
23	12-11	SEATTL	E WASH	Serve err	SEATTL server		+1.0
24	12-12	E WASH	SEATTL×8	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+1.0
25	12-13	SEATTL	SEATTL×8	Attack err	Aspyn Reed		+1.4
26	12-14	SEATTL	SEATTL×8	Ace	SEATTL server	aced Aspyn Reed	+1.4
27	12-15	SEATTL	SEATTL×8	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+1.4
28	12-16	SEATTL	SEATTL×8	Attack err	Aspyn Reed	blk Hailey McEllrath, Teagan Melton	+1.3
29	12-17	SEATTL	SEATTL×8	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+1.2
30	12-18	SEATTL	SEATTL×8	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Janae Demant	+0.9
31	12-19	SEATTL	SEATTL×8	Attack err	Bria Carlisle	blk Hailey McEllrath, Chloee Leslie	+0.7
32	13-19	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.3
33	13-20	E WASH	SEATTL	Attack err	Kalista Lukovich		+0.5
34	13-21	SEATTL	SEATTL	Ace	SEATTL server	aced Reese Betschart	+0.4
35	14-21	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Judith Bolomboy	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.1
36	15-21	E WASH	E WASH	Attack err	Chloee Leslie	blk Jailyn Davenport, Judith Bolomboy	+0.3
37	15-22	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Bella Jones	+0.4
38	16-22	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.2
39	16-23	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Bella Jones	+0.3
40	16-24	SEATTL	SEATTL	Ace	SEATTL server	aced Reese Betschart	+0.1
41	17-24	SEATTL	E WASH	Serve err	SEATTL server		+0.0
42	17-25	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Bella Jones	+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	E WASH	E WASH	Attack err	Orinayo Olukanmi	blk Kalista Lukovich, Judith Bolomboy	+2.3
2	1-1	E WASH	SEATTL	Serve err	E WASH server		+2.0
3	2-1	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Elle Bruegman	+1.9
4	2-2	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Bella Jones	+2.0
5	3-2	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Jailyn Davenport		+2.0
6	3-3	E WASH	SEATTL	Attack err	Kalista Lukovich	blk Teagan Melton, Lexi Jones	+2.1
7	4-3	SEATTL	E WASH	Kill	Sidney Gray	set Jailyn Davenport	+2.0
8	5-3	E WASH	E WASH	Kill	Bria Carlisle	set Jailyn Davenport	+2.4
9	5-4	E WASH	SEATTL	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Grace Jones	+2.0
10	5-5	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+2.6
11	6-5	SEATTL	E WASH×6	Kill	Bria Carlisle	set Jailyn Davenport	+2.2
12	7-5	E WASH	E WASH×6	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Jailyn Davenport	+2.5
13	8-5	E WASH	E WASH×6	Kill	Bria Carlisle	set Elle Bruegman	+2.3
14	9-5	E WASH	E WASH×6	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Jailyn Davenport	+2.0
15	10-5	E WASH	E WASH×6	Ace	E WASH server	aced Chloee Leslie	+1.7
16	11-5	E WASH	E WASH×6	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+1.4
17	11-6	E WASH	SEATTL	Attack err	Aspyn Reed	blk Teagan Melton, Hailey McEllrath	+1.0
18	12-6	SEATTL	E WASH	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+1.2
19	12-7	E WASH	SEATTL×3	Serve err	E WASH server		+1.0
20	12-8	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Janae Demant	+1.5
21	12-9	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Adee Butler	set Bella Jones	+1.9
22	13-9	SEATTL	E WASH×4	Kill	Aspyn Reed	set Jailyn Davenport	+1.8
23	14-9	E WASH	E WASH×4	Bad set	Bella Jones		+1.8
24	15-9	E WASH	E WASH×4	Attack err	Orinayo Olukanmi	blk Kalista Lukovich, Judith Bolomboy	+1.4
25	16-9	E WASH	E WASH×4	Attack err	Adee Butler		+1.0
26	16-10	E WASH	SEATTL×3	Serve err	E WASH server		+0.6
27	16-11	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Attack err	Kalista Lukovich		+1.1
28	16-12	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Ace	SEATTL server	aced Aspyn Reed	+1.5
29	17-12	SEATTL	E WASH×9	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+1.5
30	18-12	E WASH	E WASH×9	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jade Livingston	+1.4
31	19-12	E WASH	E WASH×9	Attack err	Orinayo Olukanmi	blk Kalista Lukovich, Sidney Gray	+0.9
32	20-12	E WASH	E WASH×9	Attack err	Adee Butler		+0.5
33	21-12	E WASH	E WASH×9	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.3
34	22-12	E WASH	E WASH×9	Attack err	Adee Butler	blk Jailyn Davenport, Sidney Gray	+0.1
35	23-12	E WASH	E WASH×9	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
36	24-12	E WASH	E WASH×9	Kill	Kalista Lukovich	set Jailyn Davenport	+0.0
37	25-12	E WASH	E WASH×9	Kill	Sidney Gray	set Mikayla Liljenquist	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Wash. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.