Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026 · Neutral site

California Baptist def. Seattle U 3–1

California Baptist beat Seattle U 3-1 (25-23, 22-25, 25-16, 25-21) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026 at a neutral site. California Baptist's Nalanie Neal led with 15 kills, and Avery Barber added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set1234Sets
SEATTL232516211
CALBAP252225253

Win probability

California Baptist above 50 · Seattle U below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.5% CALBAPrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.5% to California Baptist — set 4, SEATTL 21-22 CALBAP. Orinayo Olukanmi stuffed by Nalanie Neal. CALBAP win probability 82% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SEATTL 28.0%72.0% CALBAP

Seattle U wins

3-0
5.2%
3-1
9.7%
3-2
13.1%

California Baptist wins

3-0
24.7%
3-1
27.6%
3-2
19.7%
SEATTL break %
42.4% vs this opp
CALBAP break %
46.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Nalanie NealBlock+6.5%

    Orinayo Olukanmi stuffed by Nalanie Neal

    Set 4 · SEATTL 21-22 CALBAP · CALBAP 82% → 88%

  2. 02

    Chloee Leslie stuffed by Daria Chekhovskikh & Nalanie Neal

    Set 1 · SEATTL 23-25 CALBAP · CALBAP 78% → 84%

  3. 03

    Kill by Audrey Heiring (set by Maria Contreras)

    Set 4 · SEATTL 21-23 CALBAP · CALBAP 88% → 94%

  4. 04
    Orinayo OlukanmiAttack error+6.0%

    Attack error by Orinayo Olukanmi

    Set 4 · SEATTL 21-21 CALBAP · CALBAP 76% → 82%

  5. 05
    Adee ButlerAttack error+4.8%

    Attack error by Adee Butler

    Set 1 · SEATTL 20-21 CALBAP · CALBAP 69% → 74%

  6. 06

    Kill by Orinayo Olukanmi (set by Bella Jones)

    Set 4 · SEATTL 21-19 CALBAP · SEATTL 23% → 28%

  7. 07
    Adee ButlerKill+4.7%

    Kill by Adee Butler (set by Grace Jones)

    Set 1 · SEATTL 20-19 CALBAP · SEATTL 30% → 34%

  8. 08

    Kill by Orinayo Olukanmi (set by Janae Demant)

    Set 4 · SEATTL 18-16 CALBAP · SEATTL 21% → 25%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412946.0650004110113
410425.2400001012212
44419.000100001859
4519.44411230010.56.5
41011.0002203500001
34423.000000004048
4000–220710002
4000–4001620000
3218.12500010031.53.5
3000–802400000
2317.28600000010.53.5
1328.12500010031.54.5
1102.500400100001
Team totals4526148.12842374367181685
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414833.182134112313.520.5
415437.2972018012217
411522.2731003012213
4226.0000103054710
4113.00043001301012
26520.05010120010.56.5
4000–021500002
4000–300900000
31011.000100000001
2509.556001201227
2000–000600000
1113.000000210001
1000–000300000
Team totals5626134.224526867312121897

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SEATTL · CALBAP 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 SEATTLCALBAP 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 SEATTLCALBAP 5

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 4 SEATTLCALBAP 5

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 4 SEATTLCALBAP 6

Bars above the line = California Baptist leads, below = Seattle U leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Seattle U

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%10/20
38%5/13
2
71%10/14
29%4/14
3
50%8/16
47%8/17
4
40%8/20
50%8/16
5
64%7/11
50%8/16
6
40%6/15
30%3/10
All
51%49/96
42%36/86

California Baptist

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
38%5/13
2
50%9/18
47%9/19
3
50%9/18
47%8/17
4
50%8/16
50%8/16
5
62%8/13
58%11/19
6
86%6/7
50%6/12
All
58%50/86
49%47/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#SEATTL-CALBAPSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SEATTLSEATTLBlockedNalanie Nealblk Hailey McEllrath, Teagan Melton+2.1
21-1SEATTLCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+1.6
32-1CALBAPSEATTLAttack errNalanie Neal+1.8
42-2SEATTLCALBAPBlockedChloee Leslieblk Daria Chekhovskikh+1.7
53-2CALBAPSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+1.8
64-2SEATTLSEATTLBlockedAudrey Heiringblk Teagan Melton, Lexi Jones+2.3
74-3SEATTLCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Anaiya Campbell+1.7
84-4CALBAPCALBAPAttack errLexi Jones+2.2
95-4CALBAPSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+1.9
105-5SEATTLCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+1.8
115-6CALBAPCALBAPKillBella Breuer+2.2
126-6CALBAPSEATTL×3KillChloee Leslieset Elaina Duong+1.8
137-6SEATTLSEATTL×3BlockedAnaiya Campbellblk Lexi Jones, Linnaea Moore+2.5
148-6SEATTLSEATTL×3Attack errAnaiya Campbell+2.6
158-7SEATTLCALBAPAttack errLexi Jones+1.9
169-7CALBAPSEATTLBlockedAvery Barberblk Adee Butler+2.2
179-8SEATTLCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+2.0
1810-8CALBAPSEATTLKillHailey McEllrathset Mikayla Liljenquist+2.2
1910-9SEATTLCALBAP×3KillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+2.0
2010-10CALBAPCALBAP×3Bad setGrace Jones+2.6
2110-11CALBAPCALBAP×3KillAvery Barber+2.6
2211-11CALBAPSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+2.2
2312-11SEATTLSEATTLAceSeattle Uaced Audrey Heiring+2.9
2412-12SEATTLCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+2.2
2513-12CALBAPSEATTLKillHailey McEllrathset Grace Jones+2.5
2613-13SEATTLCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+2.3
2713-14CALBAPCALBAPBlockedTeagan Meltonblk Audrey Heiring+2.9
2814-14CALBAPSEATTLServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.4
2915-14SEATTLSEATTLBad setAvery Barber+3.3
3015-15SEATTLCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Nalanie Neal+2.6
3115-16CALBAPCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+3.2
3216-16CALBAPSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Mikayla Liljenquist+2.7
3316-17SEATTLCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+2.7
3417-17CALBAPSEATTLServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.8
3517-18SEATTLCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+2.9
3617-19CALBAPCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+3.4
3718-19CALBAPSEATTL×3Attack errNalanie Neal+2.6
3819-19SEATTLSEATTL×3BlockedBella Breuerblk Adee Butler+4.0
3920-19SEATTLSEATTL×3KillAdee Butlerset Grace Jones+4.7
4020-20SEATTLCALBAP×4Serve errSeattle U+3.6
4120-21CALBAPCALBAP×4Attack errAdee Butler+4.8
4220-22CALBAPCALBAP×4Bad setGrace Jones+4.4
4320-23CALBAPCALBAP×4BlockedTeagan Meltonblk Daria Chekhovskikh+3.4
4421-23CALBAPSEATTLServe errCalifornia Baptist+1.7
4521-24SEATTLCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+2.8
4622-24CALBAPSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+1.2
4723-24SEATTLSEATTLKillLexi Jones+3.5
4823-25SEATTLCALBAPBlockedChloee Leslieblk Daria Chekhovskikh, Nalanie Neal+6.0
Set 2
11-0CALBAPSEATTLBlockedAudrey Heiringblk Adee Butler+1.4
21-1SEATTLCALBAPBlockedTeagan Meltonblk Audrey Heiring+1.3
32-1CALBAPSEATTL×5KillHailey McEllrathset Grace Jones+1.4
43-1SEATTLSEATTL×5AceSeattle Uaced Emery DeJong+1.8
54-1SEATTLSEATTL×5Attack errDaria Chekhovskikh+1.9
65-1SEATTLSEATTL×5KillChloee Leslieset Grace Jones+1.9
76-1SEATTLSEATTL×5KillLexi Jones+1.8
86-2SEATTLCALBAPBlockedChloee Leslieblk Daria Chekhovskikh+1.2
96-3CALBAPCALBAPAttack errChloee Leslie+1.7
107-3CALBAPSEATTL×3KillChloee Leslieset Grace Jones+1.6
118-3SEATTLSEATTL×3BlockedAnaiya Campbellblk Lexi Jones, Linnaea Moore+1.8
129-3SEATTLSEATTL×3KillChloee Leslieset Mikayla Liljenquist+1.7
139-4SEATTLCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+1.1
1410-4CALBAPSEATTLServe errCalifornia Baptist+1.4
1511-4SEATTLSEATTLAttack errAnaiya Campbell+1.5
1611-5SEATTLCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+0.9
1712-5CALBAPSEATTL×3KillLexi Jonesset Mikayla Liljenquist+1.2
1813-5SEATTLSEATTL×3Attack errEmery DeJong+1.2
1914-5SEATTLSEATTL×3BlockedBella Breuerblk Adee Butler+0.9
2014-6SEATTLCALBAPKillEmery DeJongset Avery Barber+0.5
2115-6CALBAPSEATTLAttack errDaria Chekhovskikh+0.7
2216-6SEATTLSEATTLKillHailey McEllrathset Grace Jones+0.6
2316-7SEATTLCALBAP×3BlockedHailey McEllrathblk Nalanie Neal, Daria Chekhovskikh+0.3
2416-8CALBAPCALBAP×3BlockedAdee Butlerblk Audrey Heiring, Daria Chekhovskikh+0.5
2516-9CALBAPCALBAP×3KillNalanie Nealset Devyn Masi+0.7
2617-9CALBAPSEATTLKillAdee Butlerset Grace Jones+0.8
2717-10SEATTLCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+0.5
2818-10CALBAPSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Hailey McEllrath+0.8
2918-11SEATTLCALBAPServe errSeattle U+0.4
3019-11CALBAPSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Lexi Jones+0.7
3119-12SEATTLCALBAP×5Serve errSeattle U+0.4
3219-13CALBAPCALBAP×5KillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+0.7
3319-14CALBAPCALBAP×5KillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+1.0
3419-15CALBAPCALBAP×5Attack errChloee Leslie+1.4
3519-16CALBAPCALBAP×5BlockedLinnaea Mooreblk Anaiya Campbell, Bella Breuer+1.9
3620-16CALBAPSEATTLKillLexi Jonesset Mikayla Liljenquist+2.1
3721-16SEATTLSEATTLBlockedAnaiya Campbellblk Lexi Jones, Linnaea Moore+2.0
3821-17SEATTLCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+0.9
3921-18CALBAPCALBAPBlockedLexi Jonesblk Bella Breuer+1.7
4022-18CALBAPSEATTLServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.2
4122-19SEATTLCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+1.2
4222-20CALBAPCALBAPAceCalifornia Baptist+2.4
4323-20CALBAPSEATTLKillLinnaea Mooreset Mikayla Liljenquist+3.1
4423-21SEATTLCALBAPKillDaria Chekhovskikhset Avery Barber+1.8
4524-21CALBAPSEATTLKillAdee Butlerset Grace Jones+3.2
4624-22SEATTLCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+1.3
4725-22CALBAPSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+3.1
Set 3
10-1SEATTLCALBAPServe errSeattle U+2.2
21-1CALBAPSEATTL×4KillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+2.3
32-1SEATTLSEATTL×4AceSeattle Uaced Audrey Heiring+3.1
43-1SEATTLSEATTL×4BlockedAudrey Heiringblk Teagan Melton+3.2
54-1SEATTLSEATTL×4Bad setAvery Barber+3.3
64-2SEATTLCALBAP×3KillDaria Chekhovskikhset Avery Barber+2.4
74-3CALBAPCALBAP×3BlockedChloee Leslieblk Eleftheria Baxa, Bella Breuer+3.1
84-4CALBAPCALBAP×3KillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+3.1
95-4CALBAPSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+2.7
105-5SEATTLCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.6
115-6CALBAPCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Devyn Masi+3.1
126-6CALBAPSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Grace Jones+2.6
137-6SEATTLSEATTLAttack errAudrey Heiring+3.5
147-7SEATTLCALBAPServe errSeattle U+2.7
157-8CALBAPCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+3.3
168-8CALBAPSEATTLServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.8
178-9SEATTLCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+2.7
189-9CALBAPSEATTLKillAdee Butlerset Mikayla Liljenquist+2.9
199-10SEATTLCALBAP×3KillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+2.8
209-11CALBAPCALBAP×3BlockedAdee Butlerblk Daria Chekhovskikh, Eleftheria Baxa+3.4
219-12CALBAPCALBAP×3KillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+3.0
2210-12CALBAPSEATTLKillLinnaea Mooreset Mikayla Liljenquist+2.3
2311-12SEATTLSEATTLKillGrace Jonesset Grace Jones+3.4
2411-13SEATTLCALBAP×4Serve errSeattle U+2.9
2511-14CALBAPCALBAP×4BlockedChloee Leslieblk Daria Chekhovskikh+3.2
2611-15CALBAPCALBAP×4KillAudrey Heiring+2.7
2711-16CALBAPCALBAP×4BlockedAdee Butlerblk Daria Chekhovskikh+2.2
2812-16CALBAPSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+1.4
2912-17SEATTLCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+1.7
3012-18CALBAPCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+1.6
3113-18CALBAPSEATTLBad setNalanie Neal+0.9
3214-18SEATTLSEATTLBlockedBella Breuerblk Lexi Jones+1.6
3314-19SEATTLCALBAPServe errSeattle U+1.7
3415-19CALBAPSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Grace Jones+1.3
3515-20SEATTLCALBAP×5KillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+1.7
3615-21CALBAPCALBAP×5KillNalanie Nealset Bella Breuer+1.3
3715-22CALBAPCALBAP×5BlockedChloee Leslieblk Avery Barber+0.7
3815-23CALBAPCALBAP×5AceCalifornia Baptistaced Elaina Duong+0.3
3915-24CALBAPCALBAP×5AceCalifornia Baptist+0.1
4016-24CALBAPSEATTLBlockedNalanie Nealblk Chloee Leslie·
4116-25SEATTLCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber·
Set 4
11-0CALBAPSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+2.0
21-1SEATTLCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+1.9
32-1CALBAPSEATTLKillHailey McEllrathset Grace Jones+2.1
43-1SEATTLSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Elaina Duong+2.7
53-2SEATTLCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.0
64-2CALBAPSEATTL×3KillChloee Leslieset Grace Jones+2.3
75-2SEATTLSEATTL×3KillChloee Leslieset Bella Jones+2.8
86-2SEATTLSEATTL×3Attack errAudrey Heiring+2.8
96-3SEATTLCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.0
107-3CALBAPSEATTLServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.3
118-3SEATTLSEATTLKillTamara Ungaset Bella Jones+2.7
128-4SEATTLCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+1.8
138-5CALBAPCALBAPAttack errTamara Unga+2.5
149-5CALBAPSEATTLServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.4
1510-5SEATTLSEATTLKillOrinayo Olukanmiset Janae Demant+2.8
1610-6SEATTLCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+1.9
1711-6CALBAPSEATTLKillTamara Ungaset Bella Jones+2.3
1811-7SEATTLCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+1.9
1912-7CALBAPSEATTLKillTamara Ungaset Janae Demant+2.3
2012-8SEATTLCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+1.9
2112-9CALBAPCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Devyn Masi+2.7
2213-9CALBAPSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+2.7
2313-10SEATTLCALBAP×5KillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.2
2413-11CALBAPCALBAP×5KillAudrey Heiringset Nalanie Neal+3.1
2513-12CALBAPCALBAP×5BlockedChloee Leslieblk Eleftheria Baxa+3.4
2613-13CALBAPCALBAP×5BlockedTeagan Meltonblk Audrey Heiring+3.5
2713-14CALBAPCALBAP×5AceCalifornia Baptistaced Janae Demant+3.5
2814-14CALBAPSEATTL×3Attack errAudrey Heiring+2.9
2915-14SEATTLSEATTL×3KillBella Jonesset Janae Demant+4.0
3016-14SEATTLSEATTL×3BlockedBella Breuerblk Lexi Jones, Orinayo Olukanmi+4.2
3116-15SEATTLCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Audrey Heiring+3.0
3216-16CALBAPCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+4.1
3317-16CALBAPSEATTL×4BlockedAudrey Heiringblk Lexi Jones, Orinayo Olukanmi+3.6
3418-16SEATTLSEATTL×4KillOrinayo Olukanmiset Janae Demant+4.7
3519-16SEATTLSEATTL×4BlockedBella Breuerblk Tamara Unga, Lexi Jones+4.5
3620-16SEATTLSEATTL×4BlockedAudrey Heiringblk Lexi Jones, Orinayo Olukanmi+3.9
3720-17SEATTLCALBAP×3KillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+2.2
3820-18CALBAPCALBAP×3Attack errLexi Jones+3.6
3920-19CALBAPCALBAP×3AceCalifornia Baptistaced Janae Demant+4.6
4021-19CALBAPSEATTLKillOrinayo Olukanmiset Bella Jones+4.8
4121-20SEATTLCALBAP×6KillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+3.9
4221-21CALBAPCALBAP×6Attack errOrinayo Olukanmi+6.0
4321-22CALBAPCALBAP×6BlockedOrinayo Olukanmiblk Nalanie Neal+6.5
4421-23CALBAPCALBAP×6KillAudrey Heiringset Maria Contreras+6.0
4521-24CALBAPCALBAP×6AceCalifornia Baptistaced Chloee Leslie+4.2
4621-25CALBAPCALBAP×6KillMaria Contreras+1.6

Score shown after each rally, Seattle U first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).