FinalMon, Sep 7, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

3:0

HomeBIG-EAST

Penn St. def. DePaul 3–0

(25-23, 27-25, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
PENNST	25	27	25	3
DEPAUL	23	25	21	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

DEPAUL above 50 · PENNST below

Biggest swing: 7.0% to Penn St. — set 1, PENNST 24-23 DEPAUL. Kill by Kennedy Martin (set by Leonor Polezzi). DEPAUL win probability 23% → 16%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

PENNST 81.5%18.5% DEPAUL

Penn St. wins

3-0

33.0%

3-1

30.6%

3-2

17.8%

DePaul wins

3-0

2.9%

3-1

6.1%

3-2

9.5%

PENNST break %: 46.3% vs this opp
DEPAUL break %: 39.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kennedy MartinKill+7.0%
Kill by Kennedy Martin (set by Leonor Polezzi)
Set 1 · PENNST 24-23 DEPAUL · PENNST 77% → 84%
02
Isabela Tavares-SalomonAttack error+6.0%
Attack error by Isabela Tavares-Salomon
Set 1 · PENNST 25-23 DEPAUL · PENNST 84% → 90%
03
Isabela Tavares-SalomonAttack error+5.9%
Isabela Tavares-Salomon stuffed by Ryla Jones & Finley Krystkowiak
Set 1 · PENNST 23-23 DEPAUL · PENNST 71% → 77%
04
Kennedy MartinAttack error+5.9%
Kennedy Martin stuffed by Jade Epps & Kendall Timme
Set 2 · PENNST 24-25 DEPAUL · DEPAUL 12% → 17%
05
Martina DianaAttack error+5.2%
Martina Diana stuffed by Ryla Jones & Kennedy Martin
Set 2 · PENNST 24-23 DEPAUL · PENNST 87% → 92%
06
Kendall TimmeAttack error+5.2%
Attack error by Kendall Timme
Set 2 · PENNST 26-25 DEPAUL · PENNST 87% → 92%
07
Jade EppsAttack error+4.5%
Jade Epps stuffed by Finley Krystkowiak
Set 2 · PENNST 25-25 DEPAUL · PENNST 83% → 87%
08
Kendall TimmeAttack error+4.4%
Kendall Timme stuffed by Ryla Jones & Alexis Stucky
Set 2 · PENNST 27-25 DEPAUL · PENNST 92% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Penn St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Kennedy MartinOH	3	15	4	33	.333	1	0	2	6	0	0	3	1.5	16.5
26Whitney LauensteinOH	3	16	4	36	.333	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	16
7Ryla JonesMB	3	5	1	10	.400	0	1	2	3	0	0	6	3	9
23Haley BurgdorfOH	3	8	2	11	.545	1	0	2	5	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
5Alexis StuckyS	3	0	2	4	-.500	37	3	0	11	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
8Gabrielle NicholsMB	2	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
42Finley KrystkowiakOH	3	5	4	11	.091	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	7
2Ava FaldutoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	0	13	1	0	0	0	0
11Jocelyn NathanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
9Lexi GinDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
1Kendall NorthernMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		53	18	114	.307	50	4	7	50	4	1	14	8	77

DePaulhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7Isabela Tavares-SalomonOH	3	12	4	28	.286	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	13
20Kendall TimmeOH	3	11	2	34	.265	1	0	0	5	2	1	0.5	11.5
13Martina DianaOH	3	7	3	23	.174	0	1	1	5	1	2	1	9
15Jade EppsMB	3	6	4	16	.125	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
4Jocelyn PaigeMB	3	2	2	9	.000	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
10Leonor PolezziS	3	1	0	1	1.000	26	1	2	9	0	2	1	3
5Eva HurrleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
12Nora MannionL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	0	16	0	0	0	1
2Abby CahillL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	3	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	15	111	.216	36	4	5	39	4	14	7	69

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 PENNST · DEPAUL 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 6 PENNSTDEPAUL 4

Set 2

27-25

Longest run 3 PENNSTDEPAUL 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 5 PENNSTDEPAUL 4

Bars above the line = DePaul leads, below = Penn St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Penn St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%9/17	53%8/15
2	60%9/15	55%11/20
3	62%8/13	27%3/11
4	67%6/9	60%9/15
5	55%6/11	14%1/7
6	100%6/6	14%1/7
All	62%44/71	44%33/75

DePaul

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	39%9/23	33%4/12
2	89%8/9	53%10/19
3	44%7/16	27%3/11
4	60%6/10	30%3/10
5	100%6/6	45%5/11
6	55%6/11	25%2/8
All	56%42/75	38%27/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

146 rallies

Rally log

#	PENNST-DEPAUL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Haley Burgdorf	+1.8
2	0-2	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Nora Mannion	+1.9
3	1-2	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+1.3
4	1-3	PENNST	DEPAUL×4	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.5
5	1-4	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Attack err	Kennedy Martin		+2.1
6	1-5	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Kill	Jocelyn Paige	set Leonor Polezzi	+2.1
7	1-6	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+2.1
8	2-6	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+1.3
9	2-7	PENNST	DEPAUL	Serve err	PENNST server		+1.6
10	3-7	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+1.3
11	3-8	PENNST	DEPAUL	Attack err	Alexis Stucky		+1.6
12	3-9	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+2.0
13	4-9	DEPAUL	PENNST	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+1.2
14	5-9	PENNST	PENNST	Attack err	Jade Epps	blk Ryla Jones, Haley Burgdorf	+1.8
15	5-10	PENNST	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Martina Diana	set Kennedy Martin	+1.7
16	5-11	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Attack err	Haley Burgdorf		+2.0
17	5-12	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Jocelyn Nathan	+1.8
18	6-12	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Ava Falduto	+0.9
19	6-13	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Leonor Polezzi	set Abby Cahill	+1.3
20	7-13	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+0.9
21	7-14	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.3
22	8-14	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Kennedy Martin	+0.9
23	9-14	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Ava Falduto	+1.5
24	9-15	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.6
25	10-15	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Ava Falduto	+1.1
26	10-16	PENNST	DEPAUL	Attack err	Kennedy Martin	blk Jocelyn Paige, Martina Diana	+1.6
27	11-16	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Finley Krystkowiak	set Alexis Stucky	+1.0
28	12-16	PENNST	PENNST	Attack err	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	blk Ryla Jones, Finley Krystkowiak	+1.8
29	12-17	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.9
30	13-17	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Finley Krystkowiak	set Alexis Stucky	+1.3
31	13-18	PENNST	DEPAUL	Serve err	PENNST server		+1.9
32	13-19	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Finley Krystkowiak	blk Leonor Polezzi, Jade Epps	+1.9
33	14-19	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Finley Krystkowiak	set Alexis Stucky	+0.8
34	14-20	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.4
35	15-20	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+0.7
36	15-21	PENNST	DEPAUL	Serve err	PENNST server		+1.3
37	16-21	DEPAUL	PENNST×3	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+0.6
38	17-21	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Ava Falduto	+1.3
39	18-21	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+1.9
40	18-22	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+2.4
41	19-22	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+1.3
42	19-23	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+2.3
43	20-23	DEPAUL	PENNST×6	Attack err	Isabela Tavares-Salomon		+1.0
44	21-23	PENNST	PENNST×6	Kill	Ryla Jones		+2.4
45	22-23	PENNST	PENNST×6	Attack err	Jade Epps	blk Ryla Jones, Kennedy Martin	+4.0
46	23-23	PENNST	PENNST×6	Attack err	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	blk Ryla Jones, Finley Krystkowiak	+5.9
47	24-23	PENNST	PENNST×6	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Leonor Polezzi	+7.0
48	25-23	PENNST	PENNST×6	Attack err	Isabela Tavares-Salomon		+6.0
Set 2
1	1-0	PENNST	PENNST×3	Ace	PENNST server	aced Team	+1.2
2	2-0	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Ava Falduto	+1.1
3	3-0	PENNST	PENNST×3	Attack err	Jocelyn Paige		+1.0
4	3-1	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Kendall Timme	+0.7
5	3-2	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Gabrielle Nichols		+1.1
6	4-2	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+0.8
7	5-2	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+1.0
8	5-3	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.7
9	6-3	DEPAUL	PENNST×3	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+0.8
10	7-3	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+0.9
11	8-3	PENNST	PENNST×3	Attack err	Jade Epps		+0.7
12	8-4	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Abby Cahill	+0.5
13	8-5	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Nora Mannion	+0.8
14	9-5	DEPAUL	PENNST	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+0.7
15	9-6	PENNST	DEPAUL	Attack err	Haley Burgdorf	blk Leonor Polezzi, Jade Epps	+0.6
16	10-6	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Jocelyn Nathan	+0.7
17	10-7	PENNST	DEPAUL	Serve err	PENNST server		+0.7
18	10-8	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.1
19	11-8	DEPAUL	PENNST	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+0.9
20	11-9	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Nora Mannion	+0.9
21	12-9	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.9
22	12-10	PENNST	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Jocelyn Paige	+0.9
23	12-11	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.4
24	12-12	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Ava Falduto	+1.7
25	13-12	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+1.3
26	13-13	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.4
27	14-13	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+1.3
28	14-14	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.4
29	15-14	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+1.4
30	16-14	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Finley Krystkowiak	set Ava Falduto	+1.7
31	16-15	PENNST	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Jade Epps	set Nora Mannion	+1.3
32	16-16	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Lexi Gin	+2.1
33	16-17	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Attack err	Finley Krystkowiak		+2.4
34	17-17	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Alexis Stucky	+1.7
35	17-18	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+2.0
36	17-19	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Alexis Stucky		+2.8
37	18-19	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+1.8
38	19-19	PENNST	PENNST	Ace	PENNST server	aced Kendall Timme	+2.7
39	19-20	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Jocelyn Paige	set Lexi Gin	+2.3
40	20-20	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+2.1
41	21-20	PENNST	PENNST	Attack err	Martina Diana	blk Kennedy Martin, Gabrielle Nichols	+3.0
42	21-21	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+2.3
43	21-22	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Whitney Lauenstein		+3.9
44	22-22	DEPAUL	PENNST	Attack err	Martina Diana		+2.7
45	22-23	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+3.5
46	23-23	DEPAUL	PENNST	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+3.2
47	24-23	PENNST	PENNST	Attack err	Martina Diana	blk Ryla Jones, Kennedy Martin	+5.2
48	24-24	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Nora Mannion	+3.8
49	24-25	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Kennedy Martin	blk Jade Epps, Kendall Timme	+5.9
50	25-25	DEPAUL	PENNST×3	Attack err	Jade Epps	blk Finley Krystkowiak	+4.5
51	26-25	PENNST	PENNST×3	Attack err	Kendall Timme		+5.2
52	27-25	PENNST	PENNST×3	Attack err	Kendall Timme	blk Ryla Jones, Alexis Stucky	+4.4
Set 3
1	0-1	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Whitney Lauenstein		+0.7
2	1-1	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+0.5
3	1-2	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.5
4	1-3	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Ryla Jones		+0.8
5	2-3	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+0.5
6	2-4	PENNST	DEPAUL	Bad set	Alexis Stucky		+0.6
7	3-4	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+0.5
8	3-5	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.6
9	4-5	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+0.5
10	4-6	PENNST	DEPAUL	Serve err	PENNST server		+0.6
11	5-6	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+0.6
12	5-7	PENNST	DEPAUL	Serve err	PENNST server		+0.6
13	6-7	DEPAUL	PENNST×4	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.6
14	7-7	PENNST	PENNST×4	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.8
15	8-7	PENNST	PENNST×4	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.7
16	9-7	PENNST	PENNST×4	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Alexis Stucky	+0.7
17	9-8	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.5
18	10-8	DEPAUL	PENNST×4	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+0.5
19	11-8	PENNST	PENNST×4	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Ava Falduto	+0.6
20	12-8	PENNST	PENNST×4	Attack err	Jocelyn Paige		+0.5
21	13-8	PENNST	PENNST×4	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Ava Falduto	+0.4
22	13-9	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.3
23	13-10	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Whitney Lauenstein		+0.5
24	14-10	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+0.4
25	14-11	PENNST	DEPAUL×4	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.4
26	14-12	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Attack err	Finley Krystkowiak	blk Isabela Tavares-Salomon, Jade Epps	+0.6
27	14-13	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Attack err	Kennedy Martin	blk Jade Epps, Martina Diana	+0.8
28	14-14	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Attack err	Finley Krystkowiak		+1.0
29	15-14	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Alexis Stucky	+0.7
30	15-15	PENNST	DEPAUL	Serve err	PENNST server		+0.8
31	16-15	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+0.8
32	16-16	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.8
33	17-16	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Finley Krystkowiak	set Ava Falduto	+0.8
34	17-17	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.9
35	18-17	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.9
36	19-17	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Haley Burgdorf	+1.1
37	19-18	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.8
38	19-19	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Nora Mannion	+1.3
39	20-19	DEPAUL	PENNST×5	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+1.0
40	21-19	PENNST	PENNST×5	Ace	PENNST server	aced Kendall Timme	+1.3
41	22-19	PENNST	PENNST×5	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+1.0
42	23-19	PENNST	PENNST×5	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Ava Falduto	+0.6
43	24-19	PENNST	PENNST×5	Ace	PENNST server	aced Martina Diana	+0.3
44	24-20	PENNST	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.0
45	24-21	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Whitney Lauenstein		+0.2
46	25-21	DEPAUL	PENNST	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Alexis Stucky	+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Penn St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.